Tuesday, July 20, 2010

Clueless? You're Not Alone on Turnaround Tuesday

From the most grizzled veterans to the baby-faced nubians, nobody was able to put any kind of story or spin on the dramatic turnaround stocks made Tuesday.

After IBM and Texas Instruments both reported revenue misses for the second quarter Monday after the close, Goldman Sachs continued the trend with an earnings report that had traders scrambling for the exits before the market had even opened. When stocks did begin trading, they fell off a cliff, with the Dow down by more than 145 points within the first 15 minutes.

Stabilizing in the red, all indices were trading lower, but gained strength throughout the morning and accelerated into the afternoon session. As 2:00 pm approached, stocks had staged a stunning reversal on nothing but momentum. By the close, all of the major indices sported solid gains, keeping hopes alive that this earnings season would offer some value and momentum for the second half of the year.

Even though IBM ended lower for the day (-3.24, 126.55, -2.50%), it had pared losses substantially, after it had opened with a loss of more than 5%. Goldman Sachs, on the other hand, possibly the true catalyst behind the entire market rally, ended the day higher (+3.23, 148.91, +2.22%) after initially trading down by more than 3 1/2 points from its previous close.

Dow 10,229.96, +75.53 (0.74%)
NASDAQ 2,222.49, +24.26 (1.10%)
S&P 500 1,083.48, +12.23 (1.14%)
NYSE Composite 6,820.04, +80.40 (1.19%)


Headline numbers were supported by strong internals, with advancing issues beating back decliners, 4846-1552. New highs remained atop new lows, 214-136, though once again the disturbing trend in the NASDAQ - more new lows than highs, 67-26 - appeared for the second straight day. Volume was light, but much better than Monday's dismal showing.

NASDAQ Volume 1,944,221,875
NYSE Volume 5,323,317,000


Crude oil closed out the August futures contract up 90 cents, at $77.44, the highest price in a month. Gold rallied for a gain of $9.80, to $1,191.50. Silver added 15 cents, to $17.68.

After the bell, Yahoo! and Apple reported, with Yahoo missing on revenue though beating consensus bottom line EPS by a penny at 15 cents per share. Apple beat on almost all metrics, including gross revenue and earnings per share, setting up a potentially powerful open for tech shares on Wednesday.

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