Wednesday, September 18, 2013

Surprise! Fed Ponzi Scheme Not Working, Will Continue

No change in asset (ha, ha, ha, ha) purchases.

The Fed is content to continue buying worthless paper with make-believe money they create out of thin air.

Sending this money mainly to the primary dealers via zero interest rate policy and repo actions, the dealers become free to speculate in whatever assets they believe worth pursuing, driving prices, in the main, higher.

The next magic trick is more difficult. These primary dealers are supposed to lend out their unallocated capital into the market, creating debt, which is, after all, the only goal of fractional reserve bankers.

Essentially, by changing nothing - even though the Fed hinted strongly that asset purchases would be "tapered" and the markets expected as much - the Fed is telling the world that their stimulus programs have not resulted in the expected results. Inflation remains below their desired threshold, unemployment remains stubbornly high and economic growth continues to be muted, the GDP, even with hedonic adjustments and recent additions, failing to achieve three percent annualized in any quarter since the collapse of 2008-09.

So, everything stays the same. The Fed keeps buying $45 billion of worthless government debt and $40 billion of even more destructive and toxic mortgage debt (toxic because price, or par, is at an excessive, unrealistic level) every month, in hopes that the combined markets which fuel the economy will continue to stumble forward.

Contemporary and classic theories of economics both say this kind of activity can lead to no good. Eventually all assets become overpriced in terms of a depreciating currency to the point at which the currency is no longer accepted in trade. Until the malinestments are purged from the system, normalcy in markets cannot occur, and guess who is holding most of the bad investments.

Central banks, particularly the Bank of England, the European Central Bank (ECB), Bank of Japan (BOJ) and, surpassing them all by levels of magnitude, the US Federal Reserve will end up holding most of the world's assets. Central banks are cornered without escape. They must keep devaluing their currencies in order to service burgeoning debt set against faulty assets. In terms of bubbles, the central banks of the developed nations are the world's greatest bubble and when that pops, there will be true freedom in economies, currencies, prices and price discovery. Not until.

More than anyone else, David Stockman has captured the essence of the current economic climate by use of the word "deformation." The global economy is deformed, distorted, obtuse and opaque. All price discovery mechanisms have been distorted out of recognition by the continuing debasement of currencies.

Even though nothing changed, markets behaved as if something had. Stocks roared to new highs on the Dow and S&P 500, but, here's the kicker: by percentage, hard assets were the most appreciated on the day. Commodities, particularly crude oil, gold and silver all outpaced stocks by multiples. Gold surged 4.5%, silver up 7.5%, crude gained a paltry 2.5%, making the sloppy one percent returns in stocks look like a piker's paradise.

The ramifications of today's Fed (in)action are monumental and trend-setting. So much so, that they cannot be easily disseminated and pursued in a single blog post, though they will have enduring effects, which Money Daily will continue to report upon in the days, weeks and months ahead.

Happy Hunting! Free Houses for Everybody!

Dow 15,676.94, +147.21 (0.95%)
Nasdaq 3,783.64, +37.94 (1.01%)
S&P 500 1,725.52, +20.76 (1.22%)
10-Yr Bond 2.71%, -0.14
NYSE Volume 4,410,661,500
Nasdaq Volume 1,769,496,125
Combined NYSE & NASDAQ Advance - Decline: 5052-1648
Combined NYSE & NASDAQ New highs - New lows: 565-51
WTI crude oil: 108.07, +2.65
Gold: 1,366.40, +58.80
Silver: 23.18, +1.616

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