Wednesday, October 23, 2013

Whoops. That's Why We Don't Offer Specific Investment Advice

What happened?

We thought the government was giving Wall Street the "all clear" signal to send the stock market upward and onward to all-time highs. That's why we - somewhat tongue-in-cheek - suggested buying stocks all the way through Christmas. Maybe we were getting a little ahead of ourselves.

Well, a few, not-so-funny things happened on the way to laughing all the way to the bank.

Momentum stocks are beginning to take on water as high-profile investors like Carl Icahn start cashing out of investments like Netflix. Speculative stocks like Chipolte Mexican Grill, Tesla, Facebook, LinkedIn and others have soared by more than 100% in the past year. Many came under heavy selling pressure yesterday and today.

China's largest banks tripled their debt write-offs, bracing for a full-blown implosion of their over-leveraged, over-inflated real estate market, much like the housing crash in the US from 2007 onward.

JP Morgan is close to settling another lawsuit over bad home loans (really? who cudda guessed?), this one for a mere $6 billion.

Late in the day, Bank of America was found liable for fraud on claims related to defective mortgages sold by its Countrywide unit.

Soooooooo, the major averages finished in the red. Of course, this is only one day, and it will take many more down days and confirmation of a failed rally for Money Daily to proclaim a bear market which will precipitate a crash, eventually. Timing is everything, and the final, fatal blow to the abhorrent US stock markets may not come for months or years, though 2014 is beginning to look pretty ugly.

One thing which is a positive, yet unexplained, is the collapse in the price of crude oil, which has dropped more than $10 in the past two months and about $7 in the past 10 days. With lower oil prices come - naturally - lower gas prices. It could be seasonal, though we're hoping the decline is more of a permanent one. Lord knows, car owners need a break at the pump.

Also, bonds have been rallying hard since the government got back to work, sending yields on the ten-year note down 25 bips in just the past week.

With Halloween rapidly approaching, it might be a good idea to begin getting scared in advance, thus, the frightful future of the US economy, according to John Williams of in this revealing, startling interview by Greg Hunter:

BTW: We're still screwed.

Dow 15,413.33, -54.33 (0.35%)
Nasdaq 3,907.07, -22.49 (0.57%)
S&P 500 1,746.38, -8.29 (0.47%)
10-Yr Bond 2.49% 0.03
NYSE Volume 3,695,265,000
Nasdaq Volume 1,866,661,875
Combined NYSE & NASDAQ Advance - Decline: 2382-3210
Combined NYSE & NASDAQ New highs - New lows: 300-32
WTI crude oil: 96.86, -1.44
Gold: 1,334.00, -8.60
Silver: 22.62, -0.173
Corn: 442.75, +4.50

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