Showing posts with label house of representatives. Show all posts
Showing posts with label house of representatives. Show all posts

Monday, December 2, 2019

On Black Friday, Wall Street Saw Red

Stocks finished the week with gains, even though the shortened session on Friday saw widespread declines.

While shoppers were out at retail locales seeking the big deals, Wall Street types were squaring their books in an attempt to get out ahead of what looks to be disconcerting news on the US-China trade front. Issues in the ongoing trade and tariff tete-a-tete have expanded beyond economics, spilling over into the political realm as Washington passed - and the president signed - resolutions in support of the Hong Kong protestors and human rights, roiling top Chinese officials who issued sharp rebukes on Thanksgiving Thursday.

Hong Kong's reliance upon and distancing from the Chinese political apparatus has served as a launching board for US rhetoric on freedom and rights, the interjection of which can only make what were already-tense negotiations even more complicated. US-China relations now overshadows all other conceptual and practical conditions and Wall Street has taken notice.

Shoppers snapped up $7.4 billion worth of online holiday goodies on Black Friday and are poised to spend another $9.4 billion on Cyber Monday. The numbers for online spending were records. Including Thanksgiving Day sales, online retailing grossed $11.6 billion.

Figures for brick and mortar retailers were not readily available, and may be somewhat blurred by innovations such as "buy online, pick up in store," an outreach by physical stores to combine the best of online shopping and foot traffic to stores.

It's shaping up to be a solid holiday shopping season, unsurprising, due to the robust economy, low unemployment, and the rising stock market. Consumers are not only feeling buoyant, the actually have more money in their wallets from the tax cuts made law in 2017 and implemented in 2018 and 2019.

Otherwise, the week of Thanksgiving and Black Friday was notable only for Friday's slide in the stock market. Normally, equity buyers rush in on a wave of enthusiasm. This year, however, the trade situation with China has cast a long shadow on any enthusiasm.

That dour mood may turn out to be misplaced. While the Chinese continue to foot-drag and seek rollbacks of existing tariffs before signing onto any phase one deal, American negotiators stick with the hard line established early on by President Trump. His contentions that China needs our dollars more than we need their goods, and that China has taken advantage of weaknesses by his predecessors for decades continue to guide trade policy. At the end of any deal, there has to be appreciation for not necessarily an even playing field, but one which is not slanted East. The president has made it clear that he will not acquiesce to Chinese demands or bullying and that steadfastness has kept the two countries from reaching even the most rudimentary agreements.

The likelihood of the trade war continuing through the Democrat party primaries and into the general election season are strong. China appears to be playing the long game, believing that Trump may not win re-election and that they will get a better shake from an incoming Democrat president.

Whistling in the wind is what trade negotiators are calling China's hopeful stand-offishness. Even while impeachment is being bandied about the House of Representatives, the White House sees it as no real threat since Republicans in the Senate would be highly unlikely to find Trump guilty in an impeachment trial, even if the House gins up watered-down articles of impeachment.

The entire impeachment fiasco has been nothing more than an annoyance for the White House and President Trump. Meanwhile, public sentiment for removal from office has peaked and is falling. The latest polls find fewer people engaged on the impeachment issue as the numbers in favor of impeachment have begun to slide.

In the House this week there will be more grandstanding by Democrats, whining by Republicans, and less interest by te American people, whose approval of congress is so low it hardly registers a positive number. Americans would like their government to actually do something constructive on anything outside of politics, health care being the most-often cited issue that warrants attention, along with immigration.

Flailing about and waving hands about "high crimes and misdemeanors" isn't cutting it for huge swaths of the American electorate, especially when the "evidence" produced by the anti-Trump forces consists largely of hearsay, innuendo, third party opinions, and actions that aren't even considered criminal.

Insistence by Democrats to pursue impeachment of Mr. Trump may turn out to be one of the worst political strategies ever devised, by some of the most disingenuous politicians ever to have disgraced the halls of congress.

At the Close, Friday, November 29, 2019:
Dow Jones Industrial Average: 28,051.41, -112.59 (-0.40%)
NASDAQ: 8,665.47, -39.70 (-0.46%)
S&P 500: 3,140.98, -12.65 (-0.40%)
NYSE Composite: 13,545.21, -62.39 (-0.46%)

For the Week:
Dow: +175.79 (+0.63%)
NASDAQ: +145.59 (+1.71%)
S&P 500: +30.69 (+0.99%)
NYSE Composite: +104.26 (+0.78%)

Wednesday, November 7, 2018

Wall Street Gives Election Results Thumbs Up

Gridlock assured as Democrats took control of the House of Representatives and Republicans held sway in the Senate, Wall Street roared with approval sending stocks to their best levels in nearly a month, October's declines a fading memory with major indices posting solid two percent-plus gains across the board.

Out of the election results, there was no blue wave or red dawn but rather a kind of purple haze hanging over Washington, with the usual noise an rancor interrupted only temporarily on Tuesday night into Wednesday morning. By 11:30, President Trump was at the podium, singing his own praises and sending congratulatory messages to the politicians he helped get elected to federal positions.

It didn't take long for the news media to begin hectoring the president over immigration, dealings with Democrats, the Mueller probe, and various other needling, needless issues. Trump was at his usual boisterous best, telling some reporters to sit down and lambasting others.

Shortly after Trump left the press gaggle, news that Jeff Sessions would step down as US Attorney General broke across the wires, and stocks continued their march higher. Sessions' letter of resignation began with the words, "At your request..." signaling that Trump had planned for the removal of Sessions in advance of the midterms and timed his resignation for immediately following results of the elections.

Trump quickly named Matthew Whitaker, Sessions' chief of staff, as acting Attorney General. Whitaker has been openly critical of the Mueller probe into Russian meddling in the 2016 presidential election, echoing Trump's oft-repeated message that the entire investigation amounts to nothing more than a "witch hunt."

With the path ahead for President Trump more clearly defined, Wall Street can look forward to something resembling sanity in Washington. With Whitaker now in charge of the DoJ, the Mueller probe will likely be reigned in and shortly concluded, ending one of the lengthiest politically-inspired goose chases in American history.

The midterms past, Trump will aggressively advance his agenda, though the rancor from the opposite side of the aisle is likely to become even more manic, illogical, and contrived. Trump has made no friends in the media, and, with the Democrats in control of the House, the politicking leading up to the 2020 presidential election will become more pronounced than ever.

In the meantime, President Trump and his team will plow ahead with initiatives on trade, jobs, infrastructure, and regulatory reform, and there's little the Democrats can do about any of the administrative functions guided by the chief executive. With control of the Senate, Trump also can find smooth sailing for appointees, the Republican majority assuring confirmation of just about anybody he sends up for approval.

Dow Jones Industrial Average November Scorecard:

Date Close Gain/Loss Cum. G/L
11/1/18 25,380.74 +264.98 +264.98
11/2/18 25,270.83 -109.91 +155.07
11/5/18 25,461.70 +190.87 +345.94
11/6/18 25,635.01 +173.31 +519.25
11/7/18 26,180.30 +545.29 +1064.54

At the Close, Wednesday, November 7, 2018:
Dow Jones Industrial Average: 26,180.30, +545.29 (+2.13%)
NASDAQ: 7,570.75, +194.79 (+2.64%)
S&P 500: 2,813.89, +58.44 (+2.12%)
NYSE Composite: 12,678.17, +198.10 (+1.59%)

Friday, January 19, 2018

Does Wall Street Take a Government Shutdown Seriously?

Late Thursday afternoon, US stock indices took a decided turn to the downside as legislators in Washington DC failed to agree upon a plan to meep the US government operating past Friday night.

A favorite parlor game for the noise-makers in the nation's capitol, threatening to shut down the government because there's no budget or continuing resolution may have become passe´ to the general population, but Wall Street may take the issue a bit more seriously.

A partial shutdown of the federal government - because it doesn't really shut down critical operations or necessary functions - isn't taken seriously, though it could become a real issue, if it were, in fact, an absolute reality.

Considering the amounts of money the federal government handles on a regular basis, a complete shut-down would be devastating to the nation's economy. Imagine welfare, social security, and disability recipients not receiving their regular checks or direct deposits.

Imagine the nation's largest workforce going without paychecks for an extended period. Imagine the US Postal Service shut down, the entire military on leave, contractors idled, and an assortment of other regular activities closed, ceased, ended. The US treasury would cease operations, causing all US treasury bonds to become worthless.

Least of all, the bickering by members of congress would least be missed, since they are the supposedly responsible people.

An actual shutdown is a scary thought. Trying to scare the populace with a fake shutdown, caused solely by inter-party disagreements and politics, may be nothing now, but it could be seen as a conditioning effort for a true federal failure.

In such a case, the president would likely declare martial law, a necessary action to ensure civility, especially in cities. That's unlikely to happen at this juncture, but, the more the politicians play politics instead of enacting laws that do good for the American people, the closer the nations comes to a severe and lasting crisis.

Passing a two, three, or four-week resolution merely kicks the can down the road a little, making the government appear no better than that of a third-world banana republic.

If that's what's happening, all investors should take appropriate actions to safeguard not only their liquid assets invested in stocks and bonds, but also move to protect their friends and families.

The United States is headed for disaster if the congress and the news media continues on the destructive path of irresolution, political posturing, fear-mongering, and division.

Let's hope it doesn't begin to unravel further over the weekend.

At the Close, Thursday, January 18, 2018:
Dow: 26,017.81, -97.84 (-0.37%)
NASDAQ: 7,296.05, -2.23 (-0.03%)
S&P 500: 2,798.03, -4.53 (-0.16%)
NYSE Composite: 13,315.91, -36.48 (-0.27%)

Friday, November 10, 2017

Stocks Balk at Indecisive Congressional Tax Reform Efforts

Stocks tumbled at midweek as prospects for comprehensive tax reform dimmed in Washington.

The Senate was roundly blamed for the poor performance on the session, as a handful of Republicans expressed doubts over the version of the package submitted by the House days earlier.

A Republican bill was presented, with significant changes, including a permanent 20% business tax rate which would be implemented in 2019. The delay of more than a year concerned investors, though such concern is largely a canard, being that the effective rate for most significant corporations is about 14%.

As the day wore on the pain subsided and late buying boosted averages, though not enough to offset an across-the-board decline, putting the major indices in the red for the week.

Without a positive narrative and strategy for tax reform forthcoming for the congress, it appears that President Trump will be thwarted once again in his efforts to Make American Great Again, though many may argue that his initial tax proposals fell far short of any significant, progressive changes to the tax code.

Simplification would be an effective measure towards keeping the Trump loyalists in camp, but that does not appear to be on the congressional agenda, as per usual.

There's spreading sentiment that nothing will be done in terms of tax reform, which, like Social Security, Medicare/Medicaid, and immigration, has serious problems which year after year seem to defy the ability of congress to implement meaningful change. The more convenient route of promising change and delivering nothing of consequence appears to be the overriding theme of a congress that's essentially done nothing of benefit to the general population for the past twenty years.

As far as Wall Street is concerned, Washington is more a parody, a thinly-veiled lie at effective governance and thus it is, more often than not, discounted as meaningless.

The declines of Wednesday will be considered a sign of weakness, though most will express the opinion that "it's only a flesh wound."

At the Close, Thursday, November 9, 2017:
Dow: 23,461.94, -101.42 (-0.43%)
NASDAQ: 6,750.05, -39.06 (-0.58%)
S&P 500: 2,584.62, -9.76 (-0.38%)
NYSE Composite: 12,339.66, -45.05 (-0.36%)

Thursday, September 19, 2013

The Day After: Buyer's Remorse and the Tea Party Gambit

One day after the Fed did the unexpected - which really should have been expected, after all, since the Fed is so good at doing nothing - and kept its asset purchase program intact, stocks on Wall Street were shaken, not stirred, with the Dow and S&P posting modest losses and only the NASDAQ ahead at the close.

Since yesterday's post-announcement feeding frenzy was done at such a rapid pace, there was a feeling today that the party was great, but some may have overdone it, so positions were squared in front of tomorrow's quadruple-witching options expiry, locking in profits.

There was also a bit of nastiness coming out of Washington, DC, in the form of forty or so House Republicans promoting a bill that would fund the federal government, but only if a provision to defund the Affordable Care Act (ObamaCare) was included.

While that measure could survive a House vote, and well might, the chances of it making its way through the Senate are a different-striped animal altogether. And the chances of Obama signing it into law are absolutely zero.

If the House Republicans have their way, this stalemate could produce a partial shutdown of the federal government (please save your applause for the end of the performance) on October 1, which is just 12 days hence, so traders may have been taking a few chips off the table in advance of those ugly consequences.

Certain members of the House, known widely as Tea Partiers, would like to find a way to accomplish one of two goals: stopping ObamaCare before it is fully implemented, or, the more popular alternative, stopping the federal government from borrowing the Treasury into debt hell, a course which is already well-trodden. If the government cannot borrow any more, it stops the Federal Reserve's treasury purchases dead in its tracks and generally ends the economy as we know it, which, come to think of it, might be a brilliant idea, since the economy has strayed far from free market economics and is wholly controlled by the Federal Reserve and its vassals, the mega-bank primary dealers. Gains of all kind are generally flowing only to the top 3% or even the top 1% of the wealthiest Americans, with the rest of the populace nothing more than debt slaves.

If the Republicans in the House can stand their ground, force the government to pay its bills without further borrowing (a seeming impossibility), it could be the best thing that's happened in this country since Benny Goodman played Carnegie Hall in 1938, and that's a long time coming.

Sure, there will be dislocations and a massive depression, but on the other side would be prosperity and a more even playing field for entrepreneurs and citizens without the overarching dictates of an out-of-control oligarchy.

Sounds good, doesn't it? Let's see how this plays out, though nobody is betting that the House Tea Partiers could destroy the global economy with just one, grandiose, spectacular move.

Dow 15,636.55, -40.39 (0.26%)
Nasdaq 3,789.38, +5.74 (0.15%)
S&P 500 1,722.34, -3.18 (0.18%)
10-Yr Bond 2.75%, +0.04
NYSE Volume 4,047,428,000
Nasdaq Volume 1,742,718,375
Combined NYSE & NASDAQ Advance - Decline: 2837-3763
Combined NYSE & NASDAQ New highs - New lows: 564-34
WTI crude oil: 106.39, -1.68
Gold: 1,366.20, -3.10
Silver: 23.10, -0.192

Wednesday, December 12, 2012

Bernanke Drops Unemployment Bomb; Markets Get Cranky

After John Boehner chastised President Obama again from the floor of the House of Representatives in the morning, the markets got what they were so eagerly anticipating and pricing in for the last two weeks: Ben Bernanke's unveiling of QE4, the promise by the Federal Reserve to purchase an additional $45 billion in long-dated treasuries each month, commencing with the wind-down of a similar program known as "Operation Twist."

This new monetizing of government debt is in addition to the fed's commitment to continued purchasing agency mortgage-backed securities at a pace of $40 billion per month for the foreseeable future, which translates roughly into "forever, or until the fiat monetary system collapses."

What the market didn't expect was the Fed's statement tying interest rates to the unemployment rate. In the FOMC statement issued shortly after noon and prior to Bernanke's 2:00 pm ET press conference, the Fed announced, "the Committee decided to keep the target range for the federal funds rate at 0 to 1/4 percent and currently anticipates that this exceptionally low range for the federal funds rate will be appropriate at least as long as the unemployment rate remains above 6-1/2 percent, inflation between one and two years ahead is projected to be no more than a half percentage point above the Committee’s 2 percent longer-run goal, and longer-term inflation expectations continue to be well anchored."

With inflation fairly tame and trending toward dis-inflation on the retail level, the Fed has finally embarked upon a robotic-like exit strategy, though with existential caveats and various loopholes and escape clauses.

After digesting the news, stocks were initially bought up, but, during the press conference, began to slip, finally ending the day with no gains.

While on the one hand the Fed is keeping the monetary floodgates wide open, they are anticipating economic recovery, though even the most ardent bulls don't see the official unemployment rate (U3) falling below 6.5% for at least another year. It currently stands at 7.7%, though that figure is largely due to the decline in the labor participation rate.

With baby boomers retiring at an estimated rate of 10,000 per day - many taking the offer of smaller benefits at age 62 - the labor market is in a state of generational flux unlike any seen in modern times, so there's literally no telling when unemployment might fall below the Fed's threshold level, if at all.

One thing's for certain: if the economy suddenly finds its legs and springs into a real recovery with job creation and rising GDP, Wall Street will be offended because the free money spigots will be turned off or borrowing costs will be significantly increased.

It's a double-edged sword of competitiveness vs. financial repression being played by Wall Street bankers against the population at large. Higher interest rates would tamp down rampant speculation and reverse the galloping higher market trends. In fact, the mere hint from the Fed that interest rates might rise already has seen some effect.

Withe the final Fed meeting of the year out of the way, all eyes will be on the Speaker and the President as they race against time to find a solution to their wide differences to solving the fiscal mess they've created (with ample assistance from Wall Street and the 2008 crash).

Time is running short on the politicians and Wall Street may not be so easily amused over the next few weeks.

Dow 13,245.45, -2.99 (0.02%)
NASDAQ 3,013.81, -8.49 (0.28%)
S&P 500 1,428.48, +0.64 (0.04%)
NYSE Composite 8,380.88, +14.40 (0.17%)
NASDAQ Volume 1,755,775,625
NYSE Volume 3,678,721,000
Combined NYSE & NASDAQ Advance - Decline: 2467-3083
Combined NYSE & NASDAQ New highs - New lows: 204-45
WTI crude oil: 86.77, +0.98
Gold: 1,717.90, +8.30
Silver: 33.78, +0.765

Wednesday, November 7, 2012

Obama Wins; Stock Market Sinks on Tax Hike, Fiscal Cliff Fears, Europe

Tuesday was an early night in terms of presidential politics as President Barack Obama was elected overwhelmingly to a second term, whipping Republican challenger in almost every battleground state and winning the popular vote handily.

With the vote in Florida still being tallied (anybody surprised?), the Sunshine State turned out to be mostly inconsequential as the president swept the key states of Virginia, Ohio, Wisconsin, Iowa, Pennsylvania (which never really was in play), New Hampshire, Colorado and Nevada. Romney's sole win in the so-called "swing states" was in North Carolina, a state which Obama took by a narrow 0.3% in 2008.

Once the midwest states of Wisconsin, Iowa and Ohio were declared for Obama, the race was over, but it wasn't until after midnight in the East that Mitt Romney gave his concession speech and later, President Obama gave a ripping, rhetorical speech extolling the virtues of freedom of choice, tolerance and working together toward shared goals and the great creation of our founders, the United States of America, individual states bound together by social compact.

In the House and Senate races, the makeup of congress remained largely the same, with Republicans dominating the House and Democrats strengthening their grip on the senate, winning key races in Virginia, Florida, and, especially, Massachusetts, where Elizabeth Warren, the fiery consumer rights advocate, took the seat away from Republican incumbent Scott Brown, in a major setback for big banks.

Warren, who worked on TARP and other reforms in Washington, especially the implementation of a consumer protection division at the Federal Reserve, will likely end up on the Senate banking Committee, possibly winning the chairmanship.

Another critical Senate race was won in Connecticut by Christopher Murphy, who defeated Linda McMahon, who wrestling millionaire who spent $100 million on her own campaign.

Jon Tester retained his Senate seat from Montana in a close race with Republican challenger Denny Rehberg, keeping the balance of power firmly in their control with 55 seats, along with one independent, Bernie Sanders of Vermont. The Democrats likely gained another ally when former governor, independent Angus King of Maine, won an open Senate seat that had been held by Republican Olympia Snowe. King has not indicated which party he would caucus with, though most believe it will be with Democrats. King won on the simple idea of making filibusters less of an effective measure in killing legislation, believing that excessive filibustering by Senate Republicans had blocked almost all significant legislation over the past four years.

There was little change in the House, as Reublicans retained control with 232 seats to 191 held by Democrats with a number of vacancies.

It wasn't long before other voices began to be heard, especially those on Wall Street who had been counting on a win by Republican Romney. Before the market opened, futures began a steep decline, though the catalyst may have nad more to do with comments by ECB president Mario Draghi and some dismal production figures from Germany, regarded as a stronghold in the recession-plagued continent.

Shortly after Germany's industrial production was reported to have fallen 1.2% in September, Draghi said that the crisis in Europe was beginning to take its toll on the industrial powerhouse that is the German economy.

Heading into the first post-election session, Dow futures were pointing toward a loss of more than 100 points at the open, and the result was worse, with the 132-point gain from Tuesday wiped out in the opening minute.

Stocks continued their descent until bottoming out just before noon, down 369 points, the biggest decline of the year, though some strengthening took all of the indices off their lows as the day progressed.

Still, the losses were dramatic and especially in the banking sector, where ank of America (BAC), Goldman Sachs (GS), JP Morgan Chase (JPM) and other big bank concerns were off more than five percent. All 10 S&P sectors finished in the red, the S&P could not defend the 1400 level and nearly bounced off its 200-day moving averages, the NASDAQ - aided by Apple's continued decline into bear market territory - broke down below its 200-DMA and the Dow closed below its 200-DMA for the first time since the beginning of June.

In Greece, rioters threw fire bombs at police in anticipation of another vote on austerity measures designed to pave the way for another round of financing from the troika of the IMF, EU and ECB. The vote, scheduled for midnight in Greece (5:00 pm ET), is expected to pass, though the populace has seemingly had enough of policies dictated by outsiders.

For Wall Street, the day presented a perfect storm of disappointment, fears of higher taxes on dividends, tighter regulations of banks, uncertainty over tax and spending policies heading into 2013, and renewed concerns over our trading partners in Europe.

The steep declines may have only been a beginning, however, as no policies have changed, and, actually, the political makeup in Washington remained the same as it had been the day before. The continued gridlock coming from the White House and Capitol Hill may be the most disconcerting factor of all.

Some internal damage was done to markets, with the advance-decline line showing a nearly 5-1 edge for losers and new highs being surpassed by new lows, 94-174.

With none of the important initiatives nearing resolution, there seems to be nowhere for the market to go but down, now that the election is over, earnings season is just about finished and the market must focus on fundamentals and locking in gains for the year. The remainder of 2012 may prove to be quite challenging to investors.

Dow 12,932.73, -312.95 (2.36%)
NASDAQ 2,937.29, -74.64 (2.48%)
S&P 500 1,394.53, -33.86 (2.37%)
NYSE Composite 8,138.80, -173.55 (2.09%)
NASDAQ Volume 4,322,112,500
NYSE Volume 2,059,028,750
Combined NYSE & NASDAQ Advance - Decline: 961-4613
Combined NYSE & NASDAQ New highs - New lows: 94-174
WTI crude oil: 84.44, -4.27
Gold: 1,714.00, -1.00
Silver: 31.66, -0.373

Tuesday, December 20, 2011

Santa Claus Comes to Wall Street

We all knew this was coming.

Good news or bad, there was going to be a Santa Claus Rally, and today was the day.

Any attempt to quantify or qualify this massive uplift on slightly positive news (really, there was nothing earth-shattering) would be foolhardy. Suffice it to say that the powers that be got the HFT computers cranked up at the open and didn't change the algorithms all day long.

It wasn't as though Europe was fixed for good, or that seven million people went back to work today, or that retail sales have been robust (anecdotally, the malls and the post office aren't especially busy). The top news - and it's suspect, at best - was that housing starts rose 9.3 percent to a 685,000 annual rate, though most of the gains were in multi-family units (rental apartments), which were up 25%, while new construction of single-family houses rose just 2.3 percent from the prior month, so, apparently, the fact that most people in America can't qualify for a mortgage and thus, must rent, qualifies as blockbuster good news.

Today's moves were somewhat misleading, as Santa Claus rallies often are. The closing prices on the major indices got them back to where they were about a week ago.

Merry Christmas. It was the feel-good rally for the season. By the time we hit January, this will be all but forgotten, so don't make a big thing out of it, OK?

Meanwhile, the markets actually should be a little bit uneasy over what's happening (or not happening, as the case may be) on Capitol Hill, where House Republicans refuse to pass the two-month social security payroll contribution reduction that was overwhelmingly passed by the Senate over the weekend.

Majority leader John Boehner took the extraordinary step of calling the Senate's bluff, saying they should come back to Washington to work out a better, longer deal. Most Senators have already exited the capitol, en route to a two-week vacation, while the nation stumbles on, without a comprehensive package.

Boehner, in calling out the Senate and President Obama, said, "President Obama needs to call on Senate Democrats to go back into session ... and resolve this bill as soon as possible."

Failure to pass a bill in the House will also curtail unemployment benefits to about two million Americans and Medicare payments to doctors will also be cut short.

The House did pass a bill, 229-193, that sends the legislation back to the Senate. However, with the Senate already out of town for the holidays, House Republicans have set up a perfect stalemate, just in time for the holidays.

Of course, none of this drama means anything to Wall Street, which had donned blinders for the session. Stocks closed at or ear their highs of the day on extremely light volume. All sectors and nearly all asset classes gained on the day, including gold, oil and silver, which had been beaten down mercilessly over the past two weeks.

Not to throw cold water on the festivities, but after the bell, Oracle (ORCL) missed on their quarterly numbers, coming in at 54 cents per share on expectations of 57 cents and missing revenue estimates of $9.2 billion by a mile, at $8.8 billion.

Also, the National Association of Realtors (NAR) will announce tomorrow that they are revising, downward, existing home sales from the past five years, dating back to 2007, when the housing boom went bust. It may not mean a thing to the 1%ers on Wall Street, though the data will show that housing was - and is - in worse shape than previously reported.

Dow 12,103.43, +337.17 (2.87%)
NASDAQ 2,603.73, +80.59 (3.19%)
S&P 500 1,241.30, +35.95 (2.98%)
NYSE Composite 7,357.14, +214.69 (3.01%)
NASDAQ Volume 1,751,316,750
NYSE Volume 4,002,632,750
Combined NYSE & NASDAQ Advance - Decline: 4943-862
Combined NYSE & NASDAQ New highs - New lows: 183-106
WTI crude oil: 97.22, +3.34
Gold: 1,617.60, +20.90
Silver: 29.54, +0.66