Friday, July 8, 2011

Dismal, Huge Miss on Payrolls; Market Response: So What?

Normally, a NFP (non-farm payroll report like the one released today would have sent investors fleeing for a place to hide and stocks into a free-fall, but, since the people who manage YOUR money could care less if any American has a job or whether or not America even survives as a country, the response from market participants was a wide-open yawn.

Following Thursday's overly-rosy ADP private payroll report (+157,000 on expectations of +70,000), the BLS could produce a report showing only 18,000 net new jobs created in the month of June. Expectations ranged from as high as 125,000 (Mark Zandi) or (175,000) Joe Lavorgna to a low of 88,000 (Rick Santelli), though both proved to be too high by orders of magnitude.

On top of the already dismal-sounding report for the current month, the numbers for April and May were also revised lower, by a total of 44,000 more jobs that were not created. Adding to the catastrophe were the lower readings on hourly earnings, which fell 0.01, and average workweek, which dropped from an already low 34.4 to 34.3. So, not only are there not enough new jobs being created to even keep pace with nominal growth in the labor force, the jobs people do have are barely able to provide sustenance and are getting worse.

The immediate response was for the Dow futures to reverse, from +35 to -123 in a matter of minutes. The 10-year note fell from 3.18 to 3.05 in a flash. However, the pre-market shock and awe were the worst the market would feel from one of the worst post-crash jobs reports ever, and incidentally, the second in a row.

Markets opened lower, but not dreadfully, and as the day wore on the Dow sank by as much as 150 points but recovered over the course of the afternoon to close down a mere 62 points. This, after a two-week run-up of over 900 points on the Dow and similar percentage gains on the other major indices.

It should come as no surprise that Wall Street is a crooked place run entirely by deceitful individuals whose only purpose is to pad their wallets. This shameful example of market manipulation ought to serve as a wake-up call to those not already fully aware that when anyone in Washington talks about a "recovery", they mean it only for bankers, their clients and the corporations listed on the exchanges and not the average working man or woman.

Simply put, Wall Street and the US economy are a complete farce.

Dow 12,657.20, -62.29 (0.49%)
NASDAQ 2,859.81, -12.85 (0.45%)
S&P 500 1,343.80, -9.42 (0.70%)
NYSE Composite 8,410.19, -65.94 (0.78%)

Declining issues did lead advancers, 4520-1998, though on the NASDAQ there were 62 new highs and only 22 new lows. There were 57 new highs and 15 new lows on the NYSE, which puts the combined total at 119 new highs and 37 new lows, a far cry from the overly positive figures just yesterday. Volume was absolutely destitute, close to being the worst of the week, in a week that was already under-traded. The volume numbers attest to the fact that there are fewer and fewer market participants every day and only those who chose to sell today after the opening minutes of trading were the real losers, though in the end, with manipulated, tightly-controlled markets, nobody ends up a winner. Monday may, in fact, turn into a real blood-bath.

NASDAQ Volume 1,576,445,500
NYSE Volume 3,554,617,250

It was a good day for automobile drivers as the price of crude oil fall sharply, down $2.67, to $96.20. It was also profitable to be in gold, as the price increased $11.00, to $1,541.60, but not so great for silver holders, as the price is again highly suppressed, gaining only a penny, to $36.54.

The lesson to be learned from today's tenor of trading is not only that numbers cannot be trusted, but those who use them can be trusted not at all.

Thank goodness it's the weekend and we can forget all the thievery, trickery and false hope for at least a few days.

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