Wednesday, June 6, 2012

Short-covering, Algo Push, Promises of Free Money Boost Stocks

Stocks were boosted globally on a combination of an HFT algo push, technical bounce, short covering and something of an unveiled promise by the ECB's Mario Draghi, Germany's Queen Angela Merkel and US print primer-in-chief, president 0-blah-blah to create more money out of thin air until all the bad stuff goes away.

Good luck with that.

The sheeple will continue to follow their leaders, nothing will really be fixed, but the sugar high will be nice... until it's not.

If anyone is entertaining the impulse to buy into this rally, be reminded that the bankrupt US banks led the way back above the 200-day moving averages on the S&P, Dow and NYSE. There are more distortions and false tops in the current market than usual, and that's saying quite a lot.

Gold got a bit of a boost, but the day's real winner was silver, closing in fast on $30/ounce.

Nothing has really changed, except the big money on Wall Street placed some short term bets on what appear to be (they're not) cheap stocks. Moves such as today's usually result in tears and pain within a small time frame. However, if every central bank in the world is going to print until they run out of ink, there could be a bit of a lift. Events may change that.

Caution is strongly advised as the correction may or may not be over. Probably the worst time to buy stocks is during a snap-back rally, especially one like this, on no news, data or earnings.

Some of the biggest gains happen within bear markets, so, be advised that we are still in a cyclical bull market ensconced by a secular bear. Profit-taking should commence within the next three trading days. After that, anybody's guess is best, dependent largely upon what Chairman Ben says to the joint committee of congress tomorrow, though our hunch is that he's already let the cat out of the bag to his henchmen on the street.

Dow 12,414.79, +286.84 (2.37%)
NASDAQ 2,844.72, +66.61 (2.40%)
S&P 500 1,315.13, +29.63 (2.30%)
NYSE Composite 7,502.04, +163.41 (2.23%)
NASDAQ Volume 1,671,509,125
NYSE Volume 4,113,058,500
Combined NYSE & NASDAQ Advance - Decline: 4818-849
Combined NYSE & NASDAQ New highs - New lows: 93-33
WTI crude oil: 85.02, +0.73
Gold: 1,634.20, +17.30
Silver: 29.49, +1.08

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