Showing posts with label crap. Show all posts
Showing posts with label crap. Show all posts

Tuesday, January 15, 2019

Stocks Rise Despite Spate Of Bad News, Brexit No-Go Vote

Some are wondering whether the market is being run by computers or human operatives, or, worse yet, humans running computers front-running the market.

What may be happening is that humans are programming computer algorithms to react to fake news and the PPT is backstopping each and every tick lower by buying futures, resulting in the altos readjusting to buy more.

There was a good deal of bad news flow in the morning... and then just after 7:00 pm London time (2:00 pm ET), there was the Brexit vote.

Here's what passed across the wires prior to the opening bell and shortly thereafter:


  • Both Wells Fargo (WFC) and JP Morgan Chase (JPM) missed on both earnings per share and revenue.
  • Netflix (NFLX) announced the largest price increase in its 12-year history.
  • China's economy grew by 6.4%, the slowest rate in over a decade.
  • PPI cane in at -0.2%, a deflationary reading.
  • Delta Airlines (DAL) beat, but warned that the partial government shutdown would negatively impact earnings in the current quarter.
  • The Empire State Manufacturing Survey fell to a reading of 3.9 in January from an upwardly revised reading of 11.5 in December.
  • Goodyear Tire (GT) lowered its fourth quarter outlook and full year (2018) guidance.

With all this in the cooker, stocks opened higher and took off from there. The Dow exploded to a gain of 190 points just before noon. The NASDAQ was up nearly 120 points.

After noon, the markets went into a wait-and-see mood as the Brexit vote approached. In what has to be the most convoluted, time-wasting exercise in government over-reach (possibly challenged by the partial shutdown in the US), Britain has been wrangling over just how to depart from the European Union after a referendum passed nearly two-and-a-half years ago (June 23, 2016).

With different constituents vying for complete Brexit, partial Brexit with a backstop, no Brexit, and other variants, the argument over how to implement what was voted upon by the constituency has been nothing short of a disaster and an indictment against the effectiveness of government everywhere.

Somebody should point out - we will - that with all the Brexit juggling, partial US shutdown jousting, and continuing French protesting, governments in developed nations are proving to be at least cracked, if not nearly completely broken. Besides the fact that none of them can manage to spend less than what they receive through their extreme, excessive, heavy-handed taxation - which is over the top - it seems all they're capable of doing at the highest levels is fight for positioning and power, all to the detriment of the people they're supposed to be representing. Collectively, they pass no new legislation that is of benefit to the people. Other than President Trump's efforts, government is a massive, obvious failure of human capacity.

If ever there was a time for a global revolution (not a new concept), it would be now, though nobody has any contingency plans for how to deal with the dystopian aftermath that would surely follow.

Experience teaches us that disposing of scoundrels, deposing tyrants, or overthrowing governments only makes matters seem better for a short period of time. At least in the original American revolution, the patriots were separated from their tyrannical rulers by a vast ocean which technology hadn't quite conquered.

Today's intertwined system is different, close at hand, and the scoundrels much better disguised. There isn't going to be any overthrow of anything except morals and values, people's faith and judgment, which seem to be going in the direction of all flesh. Anger, the most palpable manifestation of displeasure, is boiling over in all facets of urban life. People are becoming more and more ill-mannered, short-tempered, self-absorbed, and intolerant toward the views and objectives of others. All of this adds up to uncivil activities, flouting of the law, violence and strife. Essentially, when ordinary people lose faith in a government that they had become accustomed to relying upon, all that's left is chaos, and that seems to be the direction in which we're inexorably, sadly, headed.

... and then came the Brexit vote in Britain's Parliament. Prime Minister Teresa May's government proposal was rounded defeated by a 432-202 vote in the House of Commons. On the news, the Dow tanked... briefly, the other indices slumped shortly, and then shot back to from whence they came.

It's all fake, people. There are no more free markets. Face it. All the geese been thoroughly cooked.

Dow Jones Industrial Average January Scorecard:

Date Close Gain/Loss Cum. G/L
1/2/19 23,346.24 +18.78 +18.78
1/3/19 22,686.22 -660.02 -641.24
1/4/19 23,433.16 +746.94 +105.70
1/7/19 23,531.35 +98.19 +203.89
1/8/19 23,787.45 +256.10 +459.99
1/9/19 23,879.12 +91.67 +551.66
1/10/19 24,001.92 +122.80 +674.46
1/11/19 23,995.95 -5.97 +669.49
1/14/19 23,909.84 -86.11 +583.38
1/15/19 24,065.59 +155.75 +739.13

At the Close, Tuesday, January 15, 2019:
Dow Jones Industrial Average: 24,065.59, +155.75 (+0.65%)
NASDAQ: 7,023.83, +117.92 (+1.71%)
S&P 500: 2,610.30, +27.69 (+1.07%)
NYSE Composite: 11,868.68, +69.57 (+0.59%)

Friday, January 26, 2018

Dow Soars

Really?

At the Close, Thursday, January 25, 2018:
Dow: 26,392.79, +140.67 (+0.54%)
NASDAQ: 7,411.16, -3.89 (-0.05%)
S&P 500: 2,839.25, +1.71 (+0.06%)
NYSE Composite: 13,512.66, +5.00 (+0.04%)

Monday, April 18, 2016

Dow Tops 18,000. Why?

Just guessing, but the last time the Dow was trading at or above 18,000 was sometime in the summer of 2015, probably prior to August.

Be that as it may, having the Dow trading at the level it was nine months ago means that something must have been amiss, because, certainly, the indices are always rising, aren't they?

The number 18,000 poses more questions than answers, to which Money Daily offers none, only more questions as to the sustainability of such an awesome, inspired number, fully without any kind of fundamental support, since the quality of corporate earnings has been disintegrating at an astonishing rate.

Not only that, but the obfuscation and sheer audacity of the lies and pro forma earnings releases (as opposed to the traditionally well-favored GAAP) leads one to believe that the market has lost all bearings and is about to crash upon some unseen shoals while the cruiser's captain is nodded out, asleep at the wheel.

Alas, the market has no captain, as contrary to the desires of the Janet Yellens, Mario Draghis or even George Soroses (some kind of disease, there) of the world might think otherwise.

No, the market is a mechanism of many moving parts, and, being such, can be wound to whatever pulsation or amplitude any broken parts may render it. Make no mistake, there are many broken parts to the market, especially when it comes to equity markets, where valuations have been so absurdly distorted as to become meaningless in a value-oriented frame of mind.

Nevertheless, here we are, so break out the party hats?

Next up: the NASDAQ blasts through the 5,000 barrier.

Really?
S&P 500: 2,094.34, +13.61 (0.65%)
Dow: 18,004.16, +106.70 (0.60%)
NASDAQ: 4,960.02, +21.80 (0.44%)

Crude Oil 41.28 -1.03% Gold 1,230.30 -0.38% EUR/USD 1.1310 -0.02% 10-Yr Bond 1.77 +1.20% Corn 380.50 -0.13% Copper 2.16 -0.02% Silver 16.19 -0.36% Natural Gas 1.94 +1.84% Russell 2000 1,139.28 +0.74% VIX 13.35 -1.98% BATS 1000 20,682.61 0.00% GBP/USD 1.4290 +0.10% USD/JPY 109.1170 +0.26%

Friday, January 29, 2016

US 4th Quarter GDP Grows Feeble 0.7%; Stocks Soar

Apparently, anything better then zero - with the notable exception of the federal funds rate - is cause for Wall Street to break out the champagne and celebrate.

Prior to Friday's opening bell, the BLS produced the first estimate of 4th quarter GDP, showing that the world's largest economy grew by an unimpressive 0.7%.

Back when the United State of America actually had a functioning economy, news such as today's would have caused a rout in stocks. However, in today's fabricated, upside-down mess dominated by zombie banks, a stalled-out global backdrop and an utterly clueless yet self-satisfied Federal Reserve, Wall Street's computer-driven madness produces a 2 1/2% rally, ending January still in the red, just not by as much as, say, yesterday.

There are no words left to describe such idiocy, so let's just say, "have a nice weekend."

Editor's Note: Maybe going back to publishing this blog on a daily basis again wasn't such a good idea after all. The markets are even more manipulated and indecipherable than ever.

S&P 500: 1,940.24, +46.88 (2.48%)
Dow: 16,466.30, +396.66 (2.47%)
NASDAQ: 4,613.95, +107.28 (2.38%)

Crude Oil 33.59 +1.11% Gold 1,117.70 +0.19% EUR/USD 1.0834 -0.98% 10-Yr Bond 1.9310 -2.72% Corn 371.00 +1.50% Copper 2.06 +0.51% Silver 14.26 +0.20% Natural Gas 2.31 +5.87% Russell 2000 1,035.38 +3.20% VIX 20.20 -9.90% BATS 1000 20,684.36 +2.35% GBP/USD 1.4251 -0.76% USD/JPY 121.0870 +1.91%

Thursday, February 13, 2014

Yellen Testimony Delayed; Markets Rise Despite Lack of Noise

Was anybody not connected to the Wall Street/Washington Ponzi scheme really impressed with Janet Yellen?

The woman sounds like she's been speech-and-brain-impaired since childhood. Sure, she may be among the "best and brightest" but her answers to the softball questions proffered by the House Financial Services Committee didn't raise the bar of professional standards one centimeter, nor did they offer anything other than the usual, plodding "we-will-continue-to-print-until-we-don't" message the Fed's been spouting for the past three to four years.

Sorry, but it's boring, and Janet Yellen may be the "Chair" of the Fed, but she surely doesn't have the backs of regular American citizens. She works for banks, period.

So, paraphrasing our illustrious president, "if you like your Fed Chair, you can keep your Fed Chair."

A snowstorm pushed Yellen's scheduled Thursday testimony before the Senate Banking Committee back to next week. The markets, not wanting to wait until then, rallied anyway, on poor retail sales and unemployment data.

What a scheme. The markets are so distorted, it makes writing about them a difficult, annoying chore, almost not worth doing. This may be the final week of Money Daily.

DOW 16,027.59, +63.65 (+0.40%)
NASDAQ 4,240.67, +39.38 (+0.94%)
S&P 1,829.83, +10.57 (+0.58%)
10-Yr Note 100.05, +0.85 (+0.85%) Yield: 2.73%
NASDAQ Volume 2.08 Bil
NYSE Volume 3.25 Bil
Combined NYSE & NASDAQ Advance - Decline: 4143-1528
Combined NYSE & NASDAQ New highs - New lows: 275-41
WTI crude oil: 100.35, -0.02
Gold: 1,300.10, +5.10
Silver: 20.40, +0.054
Corn: 440.50 , +0.50

Wednesday, February 12, 2014

Quiet Yellen, Dow's a'Sellin'

Since Fed Chair Janet Yellen wasn't stuttering... er, um, speaking today, stocks pretty much ran in place.

That's all there is to this market, for now, but, stick around, the game will change at some point.

We do note that gold has been tearing it up lately, silver a little less so (though it made up some ground today), and don't we all love crude oil over $100 per barrel?

One can also buy more corn toady with the same amount or less silver than yesterday, so that's the deflationary argument.

DOW 15,963.94, -30.83 (-0.19%)
NASDAQ 4,201.29, +10.24 (+0.24%)
S&P 1,819.26, -0.49 (-0.03%)
10-Yr Note 99.94, -0.13 (-0.13%) Yield: 2.76%
NASDAQ Volume 1.88 Bil
NYSE Volume 3.30 Bil
Combined NYSE & NASDAQ Advance - Decline: 2995-2698
Combined NYSE & NASDAQ New highs - New lows: 232-36
WTI crude oil: 100.37, +0.43
Gold: 1,295.00, +5.20
Silver: 20.34, +0.188
Corn: 440.00, -1.50

Monday, January 6, 2014

As Bitter Cold Grips the Nation, Are Bears Clawing at Wall Street?

In three days, the rally which started on March 9, 2009, will be 59 months long, or, just a month shy of five years. That's a long enough time, one should believe, to make gains and take profits, so why is Wall Street worried about the declines of the first few sessions of 2014?

Are they worried? Maybe not. After all, the rally has seen only one 10% correction in those five years, so taking a little off the top of all-time highs might actually be a buying opportunity.

Last week, the excuse was low volume because all the participants were still on vacation. That doesn't fly, now that Monday started off the first full week for markets with equally low volume.

Next, the weather will be blamed, for everything. Just watch.

DOW 16,425.10, -44.89 (-0.27%)
NASDAQ 4,113.68, -18.23 (-0.44%)
S&P 1,826.77, -4.60 (-0.25%)
10-Yr Note 98.23, +0.96 (+0.98%) Yield: 2.96%
NASDAQ Volume 2.14 Bil
NYSE Volume 3.23 Bil
Combined NYSE & NASDAQ Advance - Decline: 2409-3326
Combined NYSE & NASDAQ New highs - New lows: 256-28
WTI crude oil: 93.43, -0.53
Gold: 1,238.00, -0.60
Silver: 20.10, -0.108
Corn: 427.75, +4.25

Friday, October 25, 2013

Sluggish Session Sends S&P to All-Time Highs in Final Half-Hour

The headline tells almost the whole story. Stocks languished in a narrow trading range all day until doubling gains in the final half hour. There was absolutely nothing newsworthy by which to move stocks in any particular direction.

All hail day-traders and Mr. Janet Yellen. Oh, and Twitter, the money-losing company with an estimated IPO value of $16 billion.

Cheers.

Dow 15,570.28, +61.07 (0.39%)
Nasdaq 3,943.36, +14.40 (0.37%)
S&P 500 1,759.77, +7.70 (0.44%)
10-Yr Bond 2.50%, -0.02
NYSE Volume 3,102,796,500
Nasdaq Volume 2,119,699,000
Combined NYSE & NASDAQ Advance - Decline: 2948-2668 (breadth, anyone?)
Combined NYSE & NASDAQ New highs - New lows: 472-29 (mark-to-fantasy)
WTI crude oil: 97.85, +0.74
Gold: 1,352.50, +2.20
Silver: 22.64, -0.183
Corn: 440.00, -0.25

Tuesday, October 22, 2013

Get Used to 100-Point Gains on the Dow for No Reason

Let's just make sure everybody's on the same page, OK?

The Fed will continue to continue buying treasuries and MBS to the tune of $85 billion a month, with no end in sight. Thoughts of tapering those purchases has been pushed back until March, 2014, at the earliest, that is, if they taper at all. CHECK

The federal government has suspended the debt ceiling, so the federal government can spend whatever it wants without any kind of cost-containment mechanism whatsoever. CHECK

Most government statistics are fabrications, designed to keep the facade of "recovery" (isn't it time we got past recovery, toward a normal economy?) intact. CHECK

Ergo, stocks will continue to rise despite economic conditions or fundamentals like real earnings (those not caused by stock buybacks or forced layoffs or restructuring) and revenue expansion. CHECK

Good. Now go buy some stocks. Nothing will change unless the people at the top (the legendary one percenters) want it to change.

This is the environment we are subjected to by massive frauds and a derelict society led by psychopaths, but, it really can't get any more accommodative for risky speculation. Might as well go right ahead and buy call options. Everybody is going to be rich.

That's it. Meanwhile...

How bad is the experience on the healthcare.gov website?

The National Review estimates that five million lines of code need to be rewritten.

In human terms, if a line of code is rewritten (fixed) every minute, it will only take about ten years to fix the entire site, rendering those who sign up for health care soon a moot point since most of them will be sick or dead by then.

Dow 15,467.66, +75.46 (0.49%)
Nasdaq 3,929.57, +9.52 (0.24%)
S&P 500 1,754.67, +10.01 (0.57%)
10-Yr Bond 2.51%, -0.10
NYSE Volume 3,766,323,750
Nasdaq Volume 1,780,039,250
Combined NYSE & NASDAQ Advance - Decline: 3653-1983
Combined NYSE & NASDAQ New highs - New lows: 717-31 (yes, this is normal)
WTI crude oil: 97.80, -1.42
Gold: 1,342.60, +26.80
Silver: 22.79, +0.512
Corn: 438.25, -5.75

Thursday, September 26, 2013

Washington's Paper Tigers Just Do It and Churn

You've got to be kidding, right?

This non-market, completely underpinned by the $1.02 Trillion annual Bernanke Put, despite the usual theatrics from Washington's paper tigers who can stand around, do nothing, occasionally take to a podium to swear at the other side and eventually cave in to their bankster bosses, still hasn't made new highs.

Sad, really, even as Nike led all indices higher today, especially the Dow, now a worthless contraption engineered to be a perpetual motion machine. If the Dow doesn't go up, they'll just kick out the losers and put in a couple of winners, keeping everybody indexed and happy as clams.

The government isn't going to shut down, nor is it not going to raise the debt ceiling.

Relax. Buy stocks. You will thank Money Daily in December, just before you relinquish 20-40% of your gains to the government. That's how it works, and, if it doesn't, the government will fine you, a la JP Morgan or maybe some Japanese auto parts makers. Fines are the new tax because most intelligent people have already figured out how not to pay ordinary taxes.

Peace.

Dow 15,328.30, +55.04 (0.36%)
Nasdaq 3,787.43, +26.33 (0.70%)
S&P 500 1,698.67, +5.90 (0.35%)
10-Yr Bond 2.64%, +0.03
NYSE Volume 3,008,154,250.00
Nasdaq Volume 1,755,595,375
Combined NYSE & NASDAQ Advance - Decline: 3943-2527
Combined NYSE & NASDAQ New highs - New lows: 256-38
WTI crude oil: 103.03, +0.37
Gold: 1,324.10, -12.10
Silver: 21.77, -0.12

Tuesday, September 17, 2013

Tick Tock... Waiting on the FOMC to Send the World into the Abyss

We all know what's going on here.

The markets are in virtual limbo, as the world awaits tomorrow's action by the Federal Reserve, due out with an FOMC policy decision (rates won't change) and an announcement that they will begin tapering their bond purchases.

That they'll make an announcement is known. Whether they decide to cut back on Treasuries or MBS is still an open question, though the smart money is on $10-15 billion less in Treasuries, beginning no later than December (possibly October or November).

The mortgage-backed portion of the portfolio will probably not be changed, as the Fed is the first and last buyer of MBS, the market having collapsed in 2008 when Fannie and Freddie went belly-up and the rest of the nasty stuff of the great collapse happened.

Until then, volume has been dead, though there's still plenty of speculation to the upside, in the clustered thinking that any Fed move has already been priced in (ha, ha, ha). How one prices in liquidity compression with stocks at all-time highs and at nosebleed valuations is a matter for market historians to ponder. While we certainly live in interesting times, they are also warped by the interventionist policies of central banks, who are losing their grip on the global economy, their long-standing franchise of greed over the whole of humanity.

The taper will occur, but the next best question is who will succeed Ben Bernanke on the sinking ship that is the global banking cartel. Since Larry Summers pulled his name from consideration to the top money-man post in the world and sharp-tongued politicians have recently decried the relative value of QE and zero-bound interest rates, a sacrificial lamb must be chosen by President Obama, and that choice is likely to be Janet Yellen, sure to be confirmed by the Senate because she is as clueless about economic policy as all of her predecessors and will be unlikely to make independent decisions, since she has never done so heretofore.

We anxiously await the Fed's announcement that the economy is trudging valiantly toward self-sustainability and that monetary stimulus by the Federal Reserve can thus be gradually wound down.

The time is upon us. Our breath may be baited, though the collective thirst has not been sated.

Dow 15,529.73, +34.95 (0.23%)
Nasdaq 3,745.70, +27.85 (0.75%)
S&P 500 1,704.76, +7.16 (0.42%)
10-Yr Bond 2.85%, -0.02
NYSE Volume 2,971,334,750
Nasdaq Volume 1,480,300,875
Combined NYSE & NASDAQ Advance - Decline: 4406-2182 (2:1)
Combined NYSE & NASDAQ New highs - New lows: 286-50
WTI crude oil: 105.42, -1.17
Gold: 1,309.40, -8.40
Silver: 21.78, -0.225

Friday, September 13, 2013

Retail Sales Miss, Consumer Sentiment Negative, Stocks Move Higher

Well, that's what happens when computers are doing 80% of the trading, of which there isn't much, anyway.

Prior to the market open - giving the insiders plenty of time to rig set their positions, retail sales for August were reported to have risen 0.2% (in some alternate universe) on expectations of a gain of 0.5% (in an even more bizarre universe).

Stocks took a bit of a dip at the open, but were revived when University of Michigan's September consumer sentiment registered a 76.8, on expectations of 81, after showing 82.1 in August. It was the biggest miss in the history of the survey and the lowest reading in five months.

Naturally, stocks recovered and the Dow quickly shot up to about a 70-point gain and stayed their the rest of the session.

It was one of the best weeks of recent memory for the indices. The Dow gained 453 points for the week, while the S&P was up almost two percent, posting a gain of 32.82 points. The NASDAQ was the laggard, up 62.17 or 1.70%.

All of this makes perfect sense when one understands that the average stock position is held for something like seven seconds and that volume was so low today that it scarcely registered.

Then again, Twitter tweeted that it had filed papers for an IPO. The initial valuation is rumored to be around $10 billion, but, Twitter, as far as can be surmised, is not a profitable enterprise. Shades of the dotcom bubble.

Seems there's still some summer remaining at the Hamptons.

Dow 15,376.06, +75.42 (0.49%)
Nasdaq 3,722.18, +6.22 (0.17%)
S&P 500 1,687.99, +4.57 (0.27%)
10-Yr Bond 2.90%, -0.01
NYSE Volume 2,931,141,750
Nasdaq Volume 1,421,610,875
Combined NYSE & NASDAQ Advance - Decline: 3975-2516
Combined NYSE & NASDAQ New highs - New lows: 175-75
WTI crude oil: 108.21, -0.39
Gold: 1,308.60, -22.00
Silver: 21.72, 0.429

Tuesday, August 13, 2013

Dull and Duller Market Nears Midweek

About the most exciting thing that can be said about the stock market this week is that it's nearly to the middle of it.

The same pattern that has persisted for the better part of two weeks - down in the morning, up in the afternoon - showed itself again today, taking the Dow on a 150+ point round trip.

Carl Icahn tweets that he has a position in Apple and the stock gains five percent. Nice to have money.

Otherwise, there's the Hindenburg Omen sitting out there, making some investors a little fidgety. Others still are making hay. The rest are still making out with other traders' wives in the Hamptons.

And so it goes. If it gets any duller, the exchanges may have to call in clowns and magicians just to keep people interested.

In fact, maybe that's not a bad idea. Between the politicians, the bankers and the fed governors, they have the requisite talent already waiting in the wings.

Advancers to decliners was completely out of whack today, another moment for fans of that Hindenburg thingy.

Dow 15,451.01, +31.33 (0.20%)
NASDAQ 3,684.44, +14.49 (0.39%)
S&P 500 1,694.16, +4.69 (0.28%)
NYSE Composite 9,630.59, +21.56 (0.22%)
NASDAQ Volume 1,590,814,000
NYSE Volume 3,284,255,000
Combined NYSE & NASDAQ Advance - Decline: 2953-3896
Combined NYSE & NASDAQ New highs - New lows: 261-220
WTI crude oil: 106.83, +0.72
Gold: 1,320.50, -13.70
Silver: 21.34, +0.004

Thursday, August 1, 2013

Day-Long Ramp Job

Today's action is precisely what was referenced in yesterday's post.

There's absolutely no telling where or when the market (forget individual stocks, that's another story) is going to move. At the close yesterday was a vast selloff, normally indicating trouble ahead, but, if you sold at the close yesterday, you were shut out this morning unless you wanted back in at a much higher price because the market gapped up tremendously at the open and stayed right up there for the remainder of the session, closing just about where it opened.

This kind of activity may be meaningless to the casual investor, but it's death to day-traders, options players and short-term speculators unless you're on the inside and know the game plan. It's all pre-arranged, pre-planned and if you're not on the short list, you're, well... screwed. Royally. On. A. Big. Stick.

Just look at what happened to JC Penny yesterday. Entering the close of trading, word goes out that CIT has cut their lines of credit and the stock gets hit for about 10% in just a five-minute span, right before the close.

Word has it that Goldman Sachs (yeah, those guys) had recently arranged financing for the troubled retail chain, to the tune of about $2.25 billion, with JCP putting up its real estate - which is extensive - as collateral. So, when word comes that CIT has pulled their lines of credit, hastening the path to bankruptcy court, one can assume that the great Lloyd Blankfein and the criminal John Thain (CEO of CIT, formerly of BOfA's Merrill Lynch and before that, head of the NY stock exchange) must have had lunch at some point over the past few months and arranged the untidy undoing of JC Penny.

Today, via the same source, the NY Post, comes word that the CIT story was a complete fabrication and that JC Penny is still receiving shipments and has ample cash on hand.

Either way this plays out, true story or not, per CIT, somebody lost a lot of money yesterday, and, somebody made a bunch today as the stock recovered most of the losses.

Best guess is that Thain and Blankfein and their firms (or their off-shore accounts) were the main beneficiaries of this bit of dis-or-mis-information. How anybody can trade in this environment is a question for the ages or sages. It's a sick-o world out there in the land of high-finance.

Tomorrow's non-farm payroll report comes out at 8:30 am EDT, prior to the opening bell. As we used to say in high school, BFD. Look it up.

Dow 15,628.02, +128.48 (0.83%)
NASDAQ 3,675.74, +49.37 (1.36%)
S&P 500 1,706.87, +21.14 (1.25%)
NYSE Composite 9,673.39, +114.56 (1.20%)
NASDAQ Volume 1,835,171,500
NYSE Volume 4,175,730,750
Combined NYSE & NASDAQ Advance - Decline: 4375-2251
Combined NYSE & NASDAQ New highs - New lows: 698-89
WTI crude oil: 107.89, +2.86
Gold: 1,311.20, -1.80
Silver: 19.62, -0.004

Monday, July 15, 2013

Up, Up, Higher and Higher Go Stocks

Middling economic data. Mixed earnings reports. Anemic volume.

Somehow, all of this amounts to one of the best winning streaks for stocks in decades and record highs on the S&P and the Dow, with multi-year highs (like 12 years) on the NASDAQ.

Let's see: The Dow industrials have been up seven out of the last eight sessions, the only down day being a nine-point loss on July 10.

The S&P 500 has shown day-ending gains eight straight sessions and 13 of the last 15 trading days have ended higher. The only two losing days were disappointments of 6.92 and 0.88.

Likewise the NASDAQ has closed higher eight straight, and 13 of the last 14 sessions have been positive, the only setback was a loss of 0.91 on July 2nd.

Gotta love that computer-driven trading. It's beaten the fundamental traders and skeptical bears into lunch sandwiches.

Bear in mind (no pun intended) that 2nd quarter GDP is estimated to be below one percent, but that data won't be released until the final week of July. This week, there's a slew of earnings and economic data due out, including CPI, Housing Starts, Industrial Production, Initial Unemployment Claims and Leading Indicators, all of which will be interpreted as positive news, even if it's negative.

And so it goes...

Dow 15,484.26, +19.96 (0.13%)
NASDAQ 3,607.49, +7.41 (0.21%)
S&P 500 1,682.50, +2.31 (0.14%)
NYSE Composite 9,523.16, +24.65 (0.26%)
NASDAQ Volume 1,439,276,250
NYSE Volume 2,683,426,750
Combined NYSE & NASDAQ Advance - Decline: 4249-2288
Combined NYSE & NASDAQ New highs - New lows: 660-31 (yowzah!)
WTI crude oil: 106.32, +0.37
Gold: 1,283.50, +5.90
Silver: 19.84, +0.047

Tuesday, July 9, 2013

Thanks to Bernanke, Stocks Can Only Go Up

It was another completely uneventful day on Wall Street - no earnings news outside of Alcoa (trading at a 34 p/e, wow!), no economic data - so the computer algos were free to ramp stocks higher, and they did so.

A small dip around 10:30 am EDT gave the bears some hope, but that faded fast, and stocks resumed their levitation, hovering listlessly around the highs of the session right into the close.

At these levels of (dis)interest and lack of meaningful news flow, the Dow could conceivably gain 1200-1500 points per month for the remainder of the year. Since nobody seems to give a whit about fundamental valuations, unchecked, Dow 20,000 becomes a distinct possibility by the end of the year.

Seriously, that's how warped these markets are.

God bless you, Ben Bernanke. You've brought untold wealth and prosperity to almost seven percent of Americans, those being the already rich and already prosperous, while denying safe investments bearing standard interest to hard-working, middle and lower-class savers. You are a scion. The bankers you've bailed out and bankrolled with ZIRP and QE should kiss your naked feet and bedeck you in roses and lavender.

Dow 15,300.34, +75.65 (0.50%)
NASDAQ 3,504.26, +19.43 (0.56%)
S&P 500 1,652.32, +11.86 (0.72%)
NYSE Composite 9,341.40, +75.11 (0.81%)
NASDAQ Volume 1,588,836,625
NYSE Volume 3,460,031,000
Combined NYSE & NASDAQ Advance - Decline: 4438-1990
Combined NYSE & NASDAQ New highs - New lows: 585-49
WTI crude oil: 103.53, +0.39
Gold: 1,245.90, +11.00
Silver: 19.14, 0.10

Stocks Gain on 0 News

The was nothing even remotely newsworthy yo kick off the trading week, so, quite un-naturally, stocks gapped higher at the open and maintained a positive bias - except for the NASDAQ, which oddly lagged - for the duration.

Focus was more on the after-hours, when Alcoa (AA) kicked off earnings season for the second quarter, by posting EPS of .07 on expectations of .06, and had in-line revenue.

Dow 15,224.69, +88.85 (0.59%)
NASDAQ 3,484.83, +5.45 (0.16%)
S&P 500 1,640.46, +8.57 (0.53%)
NYSE Composite 9,266.28, +52.10 (0.57%)
NASDAQ Volume 1,476,924,000
NYSE Volume 3,717,259,750
Combined NYSE & NASDAQ Advance - Decline: 3896-2690
Combined NYSE & NASDAQ New highs - New lows: 645-56
WTI crude oil: 103.14, -0.08
Gold: 1,234.90, +22.20
Silver: 19.04, +0.302

Tuesday, May 7, 2013

Stocks. Must. Go. Higher.

More new records.

Happy faces all around.

Dow 15,056.20, +87.31 (0.58%)
NASDAQ 3,396.63, +3.66 (0.11%)
S&P 500 1,625.96, +8.46 (0.52%)
NYSE Composite 9,409.02, +60.12 (0.64%)
NASDAQ Volume 1,674,661,000
NYSE Volume 3,558,739,000
Combined NYSE & NASDAQ Advance - Decline: 4416-2064
Combined NYSE & NASDAQ New highs - New lows: 670-25
WTI crude oil: 95.62, -0.54
Gold: 1,448.80, -19.20
Silver: 23.81, -0.149

Thursday, May 26, 2011

Bye, Bye, American Pie

There are only a few facts that need to be known to understand what happened today on Wall Street, and, believe me, it wasn't nearly worth the effort.

New unemployment claims came in at 425,000, up 10,000 from an upwardly-revised (always) 414,000.

The government's second (rhymes with fecund) estimate of 1st quarter GDP was 1.8%, the same as the first estimate, but measured differently. For instance, the price index for US domestic purchases increased by 3.8% and motor vehicle output added 1.28% to real GDP for the quarter. Translation: inflation was the main driver behind the poor 1.8% gain and a lot of cars were produced, but only a fraction of that number were unsold. Were it not for government sleight of hand, we'd be going backwards, which we are, but nobody wants to use the "R" word just yet. Forget about growth in this environment. It's a mirage. Survival will be the operative term for the next five years, as it has been for the last three.

It was one of the five slowest trading day of the year thus far. The Dow was down as much as 76 points early on, up as much as 47 later and finished nearly flat.

In other words, if all the traders, bankers, money managers and other financial gurus had stayed home and done nothing, the same result could have been mailed in from a remote location without all the fuss. Tomorrow will likely be ever more boringly stupid as we approach a three-day weekend.

Judging by GDP, our elected officials reluctance to do anything constructive and the general lack of regard by the public, it's a safe bet that we've ceased to be a nation of people and are now just an amorphous aggregation of individuals foraging for life support. America is a dead duck and all that's left are whatever crumbs one can pick from others.

Today may not have been the day the Republic died - that was probably years ago - but anyone who believes that there's a future here is really on some powerful meds and should share with the rest of us.

The federal government is busily raiding the retirement funds of federal employees and will be coming after similar state funds in due time, then private accounts. Eventually, the banker class will have stripped the country of all assets, in plain sight of the populace. Bye, bye, American Pie. The levy truly is dry.

Dow 12,402.76, +8.10 (0.07%)
NASDAQ 2,782.92, +21.54 (0.78%)
S&P 500 1,325.69, +5.22 (0.40%)
NYSE Composite 8,341.66, +46.29 (0.56%)


Advancing issues outpaced decliners, 4663-1852. New highs on the NASDAQ were 64, compared to 51 new lows. On the NYSE, there were 77 new highs and 29 new lows. Total: 141 highs, 80 new lows. Volume? No.

NASDAQ Volume 1,859,346,250
NYSE Volume 3,656,113,250


Commodities were mostly down, with WTI crude oil off $1.09, to $100.23. Gold's latest reading was down $4.60, to $1521.20, with silver stepping in line, losing 50 cents, to $37.40.

Advice for Friday: Take the day off; make it a four-day weekend, maybe five.

Friday, April 8, 2011

Three Hours Remain for Congress to Settle Budget Differences

Despite the glaring obviousness of the headline, there seems to be renewed energy that a deal will be struck before the stroke of midnight, as though that specific time would matter.

Knowing how this entire fiasco of a pubic relations event has thus far unfolded, one could assume that the squabbling and posturing (because that's all it is) will continue until after midnight before any kind of resolution can be found. Word has it that another in a series of continuing resolutions could keep negotiations ongoing over the weekend and keep the government from an "official" shutdown.

The alternative view is that the House Republicans will be seen as villains for slamming the doors over a paltry $350 million earmarked for Planned Parenthood, and, despite the innuendo, none of which money would be used for abortions.

A complete canard is what this Republican gambit is, in reality. It has nothing to do with cutting spending and is only a ploy with a dual intent, to have the government shut down and to make Democrats look bad in so doing. Thus far, it's a huge failure for the party of Lincoln.

If an agreement is to come about before the midnight deadline, it certainly will not be substantive, and it certainly will not address any of the real concerns foremost on the minds of most Americans. Taking the hubris further, expect, if no agreement is reached, for an extended period of unease and disruption, which is probably what at least one of the parties would like.

Another possible development is that in the case of a shutdown, and a prolonged one, watch for arguments to emerge based upon permanently cutting some of the 800,000 federal workers who would be furloughed without pay. By making some of the cuts permanent, the government could save billions. For instance, cutting the government workforce by 200,000 (one quarter of those being forced to stay home) could save $15 billion, using a figure of $75,000 as the average annual pay. Might be a good start.

If they're going to do anything, and I've held that neither side actually wants to pass this particular budget, they'd better get a move on. Just getting everyone back to the assembly when they're all out playing cards or having cocktails will take an hour or more alone.

This is political theater at its very worst. Two little schoolgirls could put on a better drama in their living room. The sad part is that it's only going to get worse from here. This congress is completely off the rails and out of touch with the American people. Shutting down government would be a good start if only we could begin by sending the congress critters home first.

Of course, this would soon shift these