Today's late day action isn't what has been the norm for this artificially-pumped-up market for the last three-and-a-half years. Normally, at the end of the session, the markets stage a "miracle" rally out of the blue, then send futures soaring into the next day's trading.
Today was a little bit different and investors better get used to it or get out, go short or just suffer losses.
Fear of the US going over the fiscal cliff and sending the economy into a tailspin recession would be an unabashed disaster, but that seems to be more on the mind of traders than anything else these days. The problem is that the issues facing the US government aren't going away soon and aren't likely to be solved by a president who's done little in four years and a congress that's done nothing good for the American public for the past 12.
So, after taking on a 67-point loss on the Dow in early trading, stocks regained their momentum (what little there was), based largely on results from Home Depot (HD) which beat third quarter estimates and was traded up to a 12-year high on the day. As has been the pattern recently, however, the rally which took the Dow up 83 points was quickly sold off, and, in the final hour of trading, stocks took the beating they so richly deserved in the morning.
If not for the bogus midday rally (which, remarkably, was a pan-Atlantic event, taking all European stock indices up sharply at the closes of their sessions), the Dow may well have suffered a 100+ loss, but the day-trading crowd that controls all buying and selling with their wickedly fast HFT computer algos couldn't have that, so, the small loss is what got cooked into the day.
With no economic news and very few significant companies reporting third quarter earnings, the markets are stuck with waiting on the government for solutions, and, from what we've seen here and in Europe and Japan, that can be a long and painful wait.
The action continues tomorrow, with just two days left before options expiration on Friday. This current round hasn't been pretty nor profitable for many.
It was the fifth straight day in which new lows topped new highs (and by a widening margin) and the same for the A-D line being negative. all of the major indices are trading below their 200-day moving averages, with no relief in sight.
Dow 12,756.18, -58.90 (0.46%)
NASDAQ 2,883.89, -20.37 (0.70%)
S&P 500 1,374.53, -5.50 (0.40%)
NYSE Composite 8,023.23, -30.83 (0.38%)
NASDAQ Volume 1,814,780,250
NYSE Volume 3,427,123,250
Combined NYSE & NASDAQ Advance - Decline: 1773-3741
Combined NYSE & NASDAQ New highs - New lows: 56-249
WTI crude oil: 85.38, -0.19
Gold: 1,724.80, -6.10
Silver: 32.49, 0.035
Showing posts with label fiscal cliff. Show all posts
Showing posts with label fiscal cliff. Show all posts
Tuesday, November 13, 2012
Friday, November 9, 2012
Wall Street Peers Over Fiscal Cliff, Likes the View, Maybe
Only in the Wall Street casino can such madness prevail.
When the S&P 500 index closes almost exactly on its 200-day moving average on a day in which it was down, then up sharply, then down, then up again and finally closing almost where it started, one has a sense of the level of manipulation designed to produce the maximum level of uncertainty.
It's working.
The day started with stocks down sharply, but slowly advancing in anticipation of Rep. John Boehner's brief news conference shortly after 11:00 am ET, during which it sold off slightly before rising - after his very abrupt departure - to what would turn out to be the highs of the day, up 78 points on the Dow, just before President Obama made prepared remarks at 1:07 pm. During and just after the president's appearance, the Dow lost all of its gains and fell briefly into negative territory, a move of 103 points in just under an hour.
Stocks spent the rest of the afternoon folling along the line of unchange, with a couple of sharp rises just to keep things interesting.
Naturally, the final hour turned into a circus microcosm of the day, with the Dow up, down, up, down and eventually closing with a gain of four points.
So much for resolution.
The dueling parties in Washington preened and postured for the cameras and microphones while the wise guys in New York pushed buy and sell buttons with just enough pressure to keep markets in suspended animation for the full session, miraculously ending with gains of less than 10 points on all exchanges (four or less excluding the NASDAQ).
It was politico-socio-psycho-econo theater at its best.
There's surely more to come from the recently-re-anointed crowd in Washington and the usual suspects in New York as we end our way through the final seven weeks of 2012.
While the news and financial networks scramble and flail about trying to explain the undesirable effects of falling over the "fiscal cliff," though Wall Streeters seem perfectly at ease tip-toeing along the precipice. One gets the distinct feeling that the deal has already been struck and the rest is just for show.
How to trade it? Well, one can take the virtuous route and ignore it all, or play along with the pros and prepare to be beaten by their wickedly swift HFT algos which scan and skim every trade.
Bottom line is that there is no actual bottom line, so long as Ben Bernanke sits quietly in the background, his finger poised to punch up another couple hundred billion dollars as needed, along with his counterpart, Mario Draghi, in Europe.
Did somebody mention Europe? That place where equally nothing matters? Yes, they're still out there, kicking their own can further down the road to perdition.
With the elections in the US over and done with, it's back to business as usual, wherein neither the politicians nor the bankers can lose.
For all you poker fans, the market did leave a couple of "tells." Gold and silver notched nice gains again, and, for the third day in a row, new lows slaughtered new highs, 231-76.
That's a pretty fat slice of salami laying out there, Wall Street. Some of us actually notice... and our appetite is good.
Dow 12,815.39, +4.07(0.03%)
NASDAQ 2,904.87, +9.29(0.32%)
S&P 500 1,379.85, +2.34(0.17%)
NYSE Composite 8,053.56, +2.74(0.03%)
NASDAQ Volume 1,802,865,630
NYSE Volume 3,572,545.750
Combined NYSE & NASDAQ Advance - Decline: 2707-2778
Combined NYSE & NASDAQ New highs - New lows: 76-231
WTI crude oil: 86.07, +0.98
Gold: 1,730.90, +4.90
Silver: 32.60, +0.359
When the S&P 500 index closes almost exactly on its 200-day moving average on a day in which it was down, then up sharply, then down, then up again and finally closing almost where it started, one has a sense of the level of manipulation designed to produce the maximum level of uncertainty.
It's working.
The day started with stocks down sharply, but slowly advancing in anticipation of Rep. John Boehner's brief news conference shortly after 11:00 am ET, during which it sold off slightly before rising - after his very abrupt departure - to what would turn out to be the highs of the day, up 78 points on the Dow, just before President Obama made prepared remarks at 1:07 pm. During and just after the president's appearance, the Dow lost all of its gains and fell briefly into negative territory, a move of 103 points in just under an hour.
Stocks spent the rest of the afternoon folling along the line of unchange, with a couple of sharp rises just to keep things interesting.
Naturally, the final hour turned into a circus microcosm of the day, with the Dow up, down, up, down and eventually closing with a gain of four points.
So much for resolution.
The dueling parties in Washington preened and postured for the cameras and microphones while the wise guys in New York pushed buy and sell buttons with just enough pressure to keep markets in suspended animation for the full session, miraculously ending with gains of less than 10 points on all exchanges (four or less excluding the NASDAQ).
It was politico-socio-psycho-econo theater at its best.
There's surely more to come from the recently-re-anointed crowd in Washington and the usual suspects in New York as we end our way through the final seven weeks of 2012.
While the news and financial networks scramble and flail about trying to explain the undesirable effects of falling over the "fiscal cliff," though Wall Streeters seem perfectly at ease tip-toeing along the precipice. One gets the distinct feeling that the deal has already been struck and the rest is just for show.
How to trade it? Well, one can take the virtuous route and ignore it all, or play along with the pros and prepare to be beaten by their wickedly swift HFT algos which scan and skim every trade.
Bottom line is that there is no actual bottom line, so long as Ben Bernanke sits quietly in the background, his finger poised to punch up another couple hundred billion dollars as needed, along with his counterpart, Mario Draghi, in Europe.
Did somebody mention Europe? That place where equally nothing matters? Yes, they're still out there, kicking their own can further down the road to perdition.
With the elections in the US over and done with, it's back to business as usual, wherein neither the politicians nor the bankers can lose.
For all you poker fans, the market did leave a couple of "tells." Gold and silver notched nice gains again, and, for the third day in a row, new lows slaughtered new highs, 231-76.
That's a pretty fat slice of salami laying out there, Wall Street. Some of us actually notice... and our appetite is good.
Dow 12,815.39, +4.07(0.03%)
NASDAQ 2,904.87, +9.29(0.32%)
S&P 500 1,379.85, +2.34(0.17%)
NYSE Composite 8,053.56, +2.74(0.03%)
NASDAQ Volume 1,802,865,630
NYSE Volume 3,572,545.750
Combined NYSE & NASDAQ Advance - Decline: 2707-2778
Combined NYSE & NASDAQ New highs - New lows: 76-231
WTI crude oil: 86.07, +0.98
Gold: 1,730.90, +4.90
Silver: 32.60, +0.359
Friday, October 26, 2012
Flat, Nowhere to Go, Markets Stall
It's really difficult to put into words just how... searching... searching... searching for the right word... inconsequential (?) this stock market is.
Following today's non-action - up, down, up and then flat at the close - one can only assume that the machines are fully in charge, skimming nickels and dimes off trades for their human masters, the Goldman Sachs and Merrill Lynchs of the world.
For the rest of us, nothing. If the market really does hate indecision, how much does it hate not being able to adequately define itself.
Ponder that over the weekend while hurricane Sandy gets ready to pound the East coast. It should arrive on Wall Street just in time for Tuesday's opening bell. Nothing like a major natural disaster to get those "animal spirits" flowing. Should be good for 10 or 12 points on the Down Jones Industrials (no, that was not a typo).
Have a happy weekend. This blogger is headed for happy hour, because nothing beats being happy. LMAO
Fiscal Cliff. Just in case any bots are looking.
Dow 13,107.21, +3.53 (0.03%)
NASDAQ 2,987.95, +1.83 (0.06%)
S&P 500 1,411.94, -1.03 (0.07%)
NYSE Compos... 8,190.17, -21.74 (0.26%)
NASDAQ Volume 1,766,343,750
NYSE Volume 3,233,096,000
Combined NYSE & NASDAQ Advance - Decline: 2267-3160
Combined NYSE & NASDAQ New highs - New lows: 102-92
WTI crude oil: 86.28, +0.23
Gold: 1,711.90, -1.10
Silver: 32.04, -0.042
Following today's non-action - up, down, up and then flat at the close - one can only assume that the machines are fully in charge, skimming nickels and dimes off trades for their human masters, the Goldman Sachs and Merrill Lynchs of the world.
For the rest of us, nothing. If the market really does hate indecision, how much does it hate not being able to adequately define itself.
Ponder that over the weekend while hurricane Sandy gets ready to pound the East coast. It should arrive on Wall Street just in time for Tuesday's opening bell. Nothing like a major natural disaster to get those "animal spirits" flowing. Should be good for 10 or 12 points on the Down Jones Industrials (no, that was not a typo).
Have a happy weekend. This blogger is headed for happy hour, because nothing beats being happy. LMAO
Fiscal Cliff. Just in case any bots are looking.
Dow 13,107.21, +3.53 (0.03%)
NASDAQ 2,987.95, +1.83 (0.06%)
S&P 500 1,411.94, -1.03 (0.07%)
NYSE Compos... 8,190.17, -21.74 (0.26%)
NASDAQ Volume 1,766,343,750
NYSE Volume 3,233,096,000
Combined NYSE & NASDAQ Advance - Decline: 2267-3160
Combined NYSE & NASDAQ New highs - New lows: 102-92
WTI crude oil: 86.28, +0.23
Gold: 1,711.90, -1.10
Silver: 32.04, -0.042
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