Stocks extended the Santa Claus Rally on the last trading day before Christmas, as there was light trading and not a peep out of Europe, which seems to have settled down after the ECB generously granted about $639 billion in loans to over 500 banks in the region. Additionally, many European stock exchanges and all US stock exchanges will be closed On Monday, in observance of Christmas (which actually falls on Sunday).
A couple of sets of economic data were released prior to Friday's open. Durable Goods Orders showed a 3.8% gain in November, but the number was drastically reduced when transportation was excluded, knocking the gain down to a disappointing 0.3%. Also troubling was the lowered capital spending by businesses, which was down for the second month in a row.
Personal income and personal spending showed gains of 0.1%, both disappointments.
According to the Commerce Dept. new home sales for November were up 1.6%, to an annualized rate of 315,000, an all-time low, coming after last year's dismal showing of 323,000 new homes sold. The small gain pushed the number of new homes on the market to an all time low as home builders have found few takers and even fewer who could qualify for mortgages.
In conjunction with the existing home sales from the National Association of Realtors (NAR) that came out on Wednesday, the housing market continues to show the damage done by the 2008 financial collapse and the now-five-year-long housing bust. The NAR also revised their existing home sales figures from 2007 to 2010 down 14.3%, citing errors in the collection of data, including double listings, a decline in for sale by owners and house flipping.
November sales rose 4% from the previous month and 12.2% from a year ago, though the figures are now much lower than what was previously expected. With the revisions, the NAR acknowledged that the housing slump has been longer and deeper than previously thought.
And, in Washington, the Republican House backed down and decided ot pass the stupid two-month extension of the social security contribution reduction. Good Grief!
Merry Christmas and good night.
Dow 12,294.00, +124.35 (1.02%)
NASDAQ 2,618.64, +19.19 (0.74%)
S&P 500 1,265.33, +11.33 (0.90%)
NYSE Composite 7,518.66, +57.91 (0.78%)
NASDAQ Volume 970,584,500
NYSE Volume 2,226,056,500
Combined NYSE & NASDAQ Advance - Decline: 3491-2108
Combined NYSE & NASDAQ New highs - New lows: 193-42
WTI crude oil: 99.68, +0.15
Gold: 1,606.00, -4.60
Silver: 29.08, +0.04
Friday, December 23, 2011
Thursday, December 22, 2011
Unemployment Claims Lower, Stocks Higher
Stocks advanced modestly today as news flow was about as light as the volume, which was back to mid-summer levels.
Seasonally adjusted initial unemployment claims came in lower than last week's, at 364K, not much of a big deal, since the figures are heavily massaged and almost certain to be revised higher, though, even on their face, the 364,000 people filing for unemployment, while more than 15 million are already out of work, is a bit of a canard. Consider the fact that the way the Labor Department keeps track of these numbers is merely an estimate, then adjusted to match their perception of reality. What's never mentioned is the lower participation rate in the labor force and the idea that there simply aren't that many jobs remaining from which employees can be disposed.
While Wall Street gobbles up phony, manipulated data without blinking an eye - because it suits their 1% agenda - various parts of the country are still suffering from very high unemployment, stagnant local economies and the general malaise stemming from too few jobs for too many people.
With that in mind, it shouldn't surprise anybody that the third and final estimate of 3rd quarter GDP came in at 1.8%, down from the 2.0% in the previous estimate. The big fall-off was in personal consumption, which economists will glibly label "de-leveraging," when the people actually counting their nickels and dimes refer to it as "broke." And that's what the consumer is this Christmas, broke, busted, in debt, with poor outlooks for the future. Those of you with young children should take particular note that your kids cannot achieve your standard of living if current economic conditions remain the way they've been for the past three years. And your standard of living deteriorates daily, thanks to overspending governments at all levels, a tight credit market (despite record low interest rates) and general theft of wealth via taxation, free reign of private utilities, inflation and globalization, to say nothing of the indentured servitude your kids will enter into when they decide to take out a college loan.
As far as Wall Street and our socialized government apparatus is concerned, that's all well and good. To the rest of us, it certainly is beginning to feel a lot like the Dark Ages and the era of feudalism.
Carry on. Christmas is just a few days off. The economic monstrosity the elitists have built will eventually come tumbling down. Unfortunately, most of the carnage will affect ordinary people, not those at the top of the food chain.
Happy Holidays, in advance. See you tomorrow for the anti-climactic end to the penultimate week of the year.
Dow 12,170.64, +62.90 (0.52%)
NASDAQ 2,599.45, +21.48 (0.83%)
S&P 500 1,254.07, +10.35 (0.83%)
NYSE Composite 7,457.31, +68.79 (0.93%)
NASDAQ Volume 1,474,976,375
NYSE Volume 3,398,761,750
Combined NYSE & NASDAQ Advance - Decline: 4005-1623
Combined NYSE & NASDAQ New highs - New lows: 234-63
WTI crude oil: 99.53, +0.86
Gold: 1,610.60, -3.00
Silver: 29.05, -0.20
Seasonally adjusted initial unemployment claims came in lower than last week's, at 364K, not much of a big deal, since the figures are heavily massaged and almost certain to be revised higher, though, even on their face, the 364,000 people filing for unemployment, while more than 15 million are already out of work, is a bit of a canard. Consider the fact that the way the Labor Department keeps track of these numbers is merely an estimate, then adjusted to match their perception of reality. What's never mentioned is the lower participation rate in the labor force and the idea that there simply aren't that many jobs remaining from which employees can be disposed.
While Wall Street gobbles up phony, manipulated data without blinking an eye - because it suits their 1% agenda - various parts of the country are still suffering from very high unemployment, stagnant local economies and the general malaise stemming from too few jobs for too many people.
With that in mind, it shouldn't surprise anybody that the third and final estimate of 3rd quarter GDP came in at 1.8%, down from the 2.0% in the previous estimate. The big fall-off was in personal consumption, which economists will glibly label "de-leveraging," when the people actually counting their nickels and dimes refer to it as "broke." And that's what the consumer is this Christmas, broke, busted, in debt, with poor outlooks for the future. Those of you with young children should take particular note that your kids cannot achieve your standard of living if current economic conditions remain the way they've been for the past three years. And your standard of living deteriorates daily, thanks to overspending governments at all levels, a tight credit market (despite record low interest rates) and general theft of wealth via taxation, free reign of private utilities, inflation and globalization, to say nothing of the indentured servitude your kids will enter into when they decide to take out a college loan.
As far as Wall Street and our socialized government apparatus is concerned, that's all well and good. To the rest of us, it certainly is beginning to feel a lot like the Dark Ages and the era of feudalism.
Carry on. Christmas is just a few days off. The economic monstrosity the elitists have built will eventually come tumbling down. Unfortunately, most of the carnage will affect ordinary people, not those at the top of the food chain.
Happy Holidays, in advance. See you tomorrow for the anti-climactic end to the penultimate week of the year.
Dow 12,170.64, +62.90 (0.52%)
NASDAQ 2,599.45, +21.48 (0.83%)
S&P 500 1,254.07, +10.35 (0.83%)
NYSE Composite 7,457.31, +68.79 (0.93%)
NASDAQ Volume 1,474,976,375
NYSE Volume 3,398,761,750
Combined NYSE & NASDAQ Advance - Decline: 4005-1623
Combined NYSE & NASDAQ New highs - New lows: 234-63
WTI crude oil: 99.53, +0.86
Gold: 1,610.60, -3.00
Silver: 29.05, -0.20
Wednesday, December 21, 2011
European Banks Borrow $639 Billion From ECB; Oracle Tanks Techs
Santa Claus came and went. Apparently, his next stop was in Europe, where today, 523 struggling banks on the continent grabbed for $639 billion (489 billion euros) from the ECB's newest lending facility, which offered a sweetheart of a deal: 1% interest over three years. We should all be so lucky.
The huge amount of borrowing was frowned upon in the US. As the news hit America's shores, futures went into the tank on the perception that the amount borrowed was much higher than originally forecast and the sneaking suspicion that although the European banking system was obviously weak, it actually was in much worse shape than originally thought.
Stocks sent almost the entire day underwater, as poor results from Oracle last night after the close sent shock waves through the tech sector. Though the Dow, which was down as many as 104 points, and the S&P finished marginally positive, the NASDAQ ended the day with a serious loss, though it too cut its losses roughly in half by day's end.
In Washington, there was still no progress on the bill which would keep the current social security payroll deduction at current levels and also extend unemployment benefits to about two million people, as the House of Representatives announced their work for the week completed.
The bill was soundly passed in the Senate, and rejected by the House, mostly along party lines.
Also in Washington today, the Justice Department announced a $335 million settlement with Bank of America (BAC), stemming from a DofJ claim that Countrywide - since acquired by Bank of America - discriminated against over 200,000 black and Hispanic mortgage borrowers by charging them higher rates and fees than white homeowners.
While the settlement was the largest of its kind ever, the amount is a mere pittance in comparison to the economic damage wrought by Countrywide and other lenders during the mortgage and housing bust. BofA will pay the money directly to the government and the DofJ will supposedly dole out the proceeds to individuals and families affected by the discriminatory practices.
Attorney General Eric Holder, who seems to only show up after his department settles a case, said, "With today’s settlement, the federal government will ensure that the more than 200,000 African-American and Hispanic borrowers who were discriminated against by Countrywide will be entitled to compensation.”
It should be amusing to track exactly where that money goes.
There are just two more trading sessions before Christmas, three shopping days and a total of seven trading sessions remaining in 2011. Most investors can't wait for the year to end, as stocks have flat-lined for the most part and actually are well off the highs set in late April.
Dow 12,107.74, +4.16 (0.03%)
NASDAQ 2,577.97, -25.76 (0.99%)
S&P 500 1,243.72, +2.42 (0.19%)
NYSE Composite 7,388.52, +27.55 (0.37%)
NASDAQ Volume 1,866,553,125
NYSE Volume 3,574,281,500
Combined NYSE & NASDAQ Advance - Decline: 3153-2488
Combined NYSE & NASDAQ New highs - New lows: 194-95
WTI crude oil: 98.67, +1.43
Gold: 1,613.60, -4.00
Silver: 29.25, -0.29
The huge amount of borrowing was frowned upon in the US. As the news hit America's shores, futures went into the tank on the perception that the amount borrowed was much higher than originally forecast and the sneaking suspicion that although the European banking system was obviously weak, it actually was in much worse shape than originally thought.
Stocks sent almost the entire day underwater, as poor results from Oracle last night after the close sent shock waves through the tech sector. Though the Dow, which was down as many as 104 points, and the S&P finished marginally positive, the NASDAQ ended the day with a serious loss, though it too cut its losses roughly in half by day's end.
In Washington, there was still no progress on the bill which would keep the current social security payroll deduction at current levels and also extend unemployment benefits to about two million people, as the House of Representatives announced their work for the week completed.
The bill was soundly passed in the Senate, and rejected by the House, mostly along party lines.
Also in Washington today, the Justice Department announced a $335 million settlement with Bank of America (BAC), stemming from a DofJ claim that Countrywide - since acquired by Bank of America - discriminated against over 200,000 black and Hispanic mortgage borrowers by charging them higher rates and fees than white homeowners.
While the settlement was the largest of its kind ever, the amount is a mere pittance in comparison to the economic damage wrought by Countrywide and other lenders during the mortgage and housing bust. BofA will pay the money directly to the government and the DofJ will supposedly dole out the proceeds to individuals and families affected by the discriminatory practices.
Attorney General Eric Holder, who seems to only show up after his department settles a case, said, "With today’s settlement, the federal government will ensure that the more than 200,000 African-American and Hispanic borrowers who were discriminated against by Countrywide will be entitled to compensation.”
It should be amusing to track exactly where that money goes.
There are just two more trading sessions before Christmas, three shopping days and a total of seven trading sessions remaining in 2011. Most investors can't wait for the year to end, as stocks have flat-lined for the most part and actually are well off the highs set in late April.
Dow 12,107.74, +4.16 (0.03%)
NASDAQ 2,577.97, -25.76 (0.99%)
S&P 500 1,243.72, +2.42 (0.19%)
NYSE Composite 7,388.52, +27.55 (0.37%)
NASDAQ Volume 1,866,553,125
NYSE Volume 3,574,281,500
Combined NYSE & NASDAQ Advance - Decline: 3153-2488
Combined NYSE & NASDAQ New highs - New lows: 194-95
WTI crude oil: 98.67, +1.43
Gold: 1,613.60, -4.00
Silver: 29.25, -0.29
Tuesday, December 20, 2011
Santa Claus Comes to Wall Street
We all knew this was coming.
Good news or bad, there was going to be a Santa Claus Rally, and today was the day.
Any attempt to quantify or qualify this massive uplift on slightly positive news (really, there was nothing earth-shattering) would be foolhardy. Suffice it to say that the powers that be got the HFT computers cranked up at the open and didn't change the algorithms all day long.
It wasn't as though Europe was fixed for good, or that seven million people went back to work today, or that retail sales have been robust (anecdotally, the malls and the post office aren't especially busy). The top news - and it's suspect, at best - was that housing starts rose 9.3 percent to a 685,000 annual rate, though most of the gains were in multi-family units (rental apartments), which were up 25%, while new construction of single-family houses rose just 2.3 percent from the prior month, so, apparently, the fact that most people in America can't qualify for a mortgage and thus, must rent, qualifies as blockbuster good news.
Today's moves were somewhat misleading, as Santa Claus rallies often are. The closing prices on the major indices got them back to where they were about a week ago.
Merry Christmas. It was the feel-good rally for the season. By the time we hit January, this will be all but forgotten, so don't make a big thing out of it, OK?
Meanwhile, the markets actually should be a little bit uneasy over what's happening (or not happening, as the case may be) on Capitol Hill, where House Republicans refuse to pass the two-month social security payroll contribution reduction that was overwhelmingly passed by the Senate over the weekend.
Majority leader John Boehner took the extraordinary step of calling the Senate's bluff, saying they should come back to Washington to work out a better, longer deal. Most Senators have already exited the capitol, en route to a two-week vacation, while the nation stumbles on, without a comprehensive package.
Boehner, in calling out the Senate and President Obama, said, "President Obama needs to call on Senate Democrats to go back into session ... and resolve this bill as soon as possible."
Failure to pass a bill in the House will also curtail unemployment benefits to about two million Americans and Medicare payments to doctors will also be cut short.
The House did pass a bill, 229-193, that sends the legislation back to the Senate. However, with the Senate already out of town for the holidays, House Republicans have set up a perfect stalemate, just in time for the holidays.
Of course, none of this drama means anything to Wall Street, which had donned blinders for the session. Stocks closed at or ear their highs of the day on extremely light volume. All sectors and nearly all asset classes gained on the day, including gold, oil and silver, which had been beaten down mercilessly over the past two weeks.
Not to throw cold water on the festivities, but after the bell, Oracle (ORCL) missed on their quarterly numbers, coming in at 54 cents per share on expectations of 57 cents and missing revenue estimates of $9.2 billion by a mile, at $8.8 billion.
Also, the National Association of Realtors (NAR) will announce tomorrow that they are revising, downward, existing home sales from the past five years, dating back to 2007, when the housing boom went bust. It may not mean a thing to the 1%ers on Wall Street, though the data will show that housing was - and is - in worse shape than previously reported.
Dow 12,103.43, +337.17 (2.87%)
NASDAQ 2,603.73, +80.59 (3.19%)
S&P 500 1,241.30, +35.95 (2.98%)
NYSE Composite 7,357.14, +214.69 (3.01%)
NASDAQ Volume 1,751,316,750
NYSE Volume 4,002,632,750
Combined NYSE & NASDAQ Advance - Decline: 4943-862
Combined NYSE & NASDAQ New highs - New lows: 183-106
WTI crude oil: 97.22, +3.34
Gold: 1,617.60, +20.90
Silver: 29.54, +0.66
Good news or bad, there was going to be a Santa Claus Rally, and today was the day.
Any attempt to quantify or qualify this massive uplift on slightly positive news (really, there was nothing earth-shattering) would be foolhardy. Suffice it to say that the powers that be got the HFT computers cranked up at the open and didn't change the algorithms all day long.
It wasn't as though Europe was fixed for good, or that seven million people went back to work today, or that retail sales have been robust (anecdotally, the malls and the post office aren't especially busy). The top news - and it's suspect, at best - was that housing starts rose 9.3 percent to a 685,000 annual rate, though most of the gains were in multi-family units (rental apartments), which were up 25%, while new construction of single-family houses rose just 2.3 percent from the prior month, so, apparently, the fact that most people in America can't qualify for a mortgage and thus, must rent, qualifies as blockbuster good news.
Today's moves were somewhat misleading, as Santa Claus rallies often are. The closing prices on the major indices got them back to where they were about a week ago.
Merry Christmas. It was the feel-good rally for the season. By the time we hit January, this will be all but forgotten, so don't make a big thing out of it, OK?
Meanwhile, the markets actually should be a little bit uneasy over what's happening (or not happening, as the case may be) on Capitol Hill, where House Republicans refuse to pass the two-month social security payroll contribution reduction that was overwhelmingly passed by the Senate over the weekend.
Majority leader John Boehner took the extraordinary step of calling the Senate's bluff, saying they should come back to Washington to work out a better, longer deal. Most Senators have already exited the capitol, en route to a two-week vacation, while the nation stumbles on, without a comprehensive package.
Boehner, in calling out the Senate and President Obama, said, "President Obama needs to call on Senate Democrats to go back into session ... and resolve this bill as soon as possible."
Failure to pass a bill in the House will also curtail unemployment benefits to about two million Americans and Medicare payments to doctors will also be cut short.
The House did pass a bill, 229-193, that sends the legislation back to the Senate. However, with the Senate already out of town for the holidays, House Republicans have set up a perfect stalemate, just in time for the holidays.
Of course, none of this drama means anything to Wall Street, which had donned blinders for the session. Stocks closed at or ear their highs of the day on extremely light volume. All sectors and nearly all asset classes gained on the day, including gold, oil and silver, which had been beaten down mercilessly over the past two weeks.
Not to throw cold water on the festivities, but after the bell, Oracle (ORCL) missed on their quarterly numbers, coming in at 54 cents per share on expectations of 57 cents and missing revenue estimates of $9.2 billion by a mile, at $8.8 billion.
Also, the National Association of Realtors (NAR) will announce tomorrow that they are revising, downward, existing home sales from the past five years, dating back to 2007, when the housing boom went bust. It may not mean a thing to the 1%ers on Wall Street, though the data will show that housing was - and is - in worse shape than previously reported.
Dow 12,103.43, +337.17 (2.87%)
NASDAQ 2,603.73, +80.59 (3.19%)
S&P 500 1,241.30, +35.95 (2.98%)
NYSE Composite 7,357.14, +214.69 (3.01%)
NASDAQ Volume 1,751,316,750
NYSE Volume 4,002,632,750
Combined NYSE & NASDAQ Advance - Decline: 4943-862
Combined NYSE & NASDAQ New highs - New lows: 183-106
WTI crude oil: 97.22, +3.34
Gold: 1,617.60, +20.90
Silver: 29.54, +0.66
Innovate Your Way to Success
In today's uncertain business climate, risk taking is reserved for the truly entrepreneurial at heart. Those with an idea, a concept for change and an appetite for the unusual might find their niche in unusual places while those more intent on riding out the storm of economic crisis before committing to a fresh start may be left behind.
Business isn't just dollars and cents, it's dynamic, changeable and it often pays more to have a unique concept rather than be in a product or service area that "usually" makes money.
Innovative ideas are ones which change or challenge the status quo, and like Apple's iPod, iPhone and iPad, are often met with enthusiastic acceptance from the marketplace.
One example of how innovation was the key to success is how Blue Sky Scrubs (http://www.blueskyscrubs.com/) continues to change the look and custom of hospital garb around the world.
Founded by Shelby Marquardt, an anesthesiology resident at Hermann Hospital in Houston, Texas, she was inspired to create an operating room hat that fit her long hair, rather than settle for unattractive, ill-fitting scrub hats that were the norm.
Ms. Marquardt created the Pony Scrub Hat, and soon after, the Pixie Scrub Hat, patented both designs and her fledgling business was born. After having success with her hats, she decided to try her hand at other hospital wear, and soon, Blue Sky Scrubs was producing scrub tops, bottoms and lab coats that turned drab into unique and dull into a fashion statement with more color and variety.
Today, Blue Sky Scrubs sells a vast array of hospital and medical personnel wear to customers around the world, with orders streaming into the website.
Innovation isn't magic and it's not genetic. Anyone can innovate in any field of endeavor. Turning innovation into a successful business enterprise takes determination, desire and a bit of daring. In the case of Blue Sky Scrubs, Shelby Marquardt took on long-established hospital traditions and turned her designs into a compelling brand.
Business isn't just dollars and cents, it's dynamic, changeable and it often pays more to have a unique concept rather than be in a product or service area that "usually" makes money.
Innovative ideas are ones which change or challenge the status quo, and like Apple's iPod, iPhone and iPad, are often met with enthusiastic acceptance from the marketplace.
One example of how innovation was the key to success is how Blue Sky Scrubs (http://www.blueskyscrubs.com/) continues to change the look and custom of hospital garb around the world.
Founded by Shelby Marquardt, an anesthesiology resident at Hermann Hospital in Houston, Texas, she was inspired to create an operating room hat that fit her long hair, rather than settle for unattractive, ill-fitting scrub hats that were the norm.
Ms. Marquardt created the Pony Scrub Hat, and soon after, the Pixie Scrub Hat, patented both designs and her fledgling business was born. After having success with her hats, she decided to try her hand at other hospital wear, and soon, Blue Sky Scrubs was producing scrub tops, bottoms and lab coats that turned drab into unique and dull into a fashion statement with more color and variety.
Today, Blue Sky Scrubs sells a vast array of hospital and medical personnel wear to customers around the world, with orders streaming into the website.
Innovation isn't magic and it's not genetic. Anyone can innovate in any field of endeavor. Turning innovation into a successful business enterprise takes determination, desire and a bit of daring. In the case of Blue Sky Scrubs, Shelby Marquardt took on long-established hospital traditions and turned her designs into a compelling brand.
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