Back in the headlines again, Europe's continuing woes took front and center position in Monday's investment landscape.
Spain kicked off the festivities with a formal request for aid of up to 100 billion euros for their busted banking sector as they await a ratings cut from Moody's on all Spanish banks, expected to be delivered after the close of US equity markets.
The reality of another bank bailout by the EU and the rumors of the Moody's downgrade was enough to send all European indices lower, lead by the Athens Index Composite, which fell 6.84%. The Swiss Market was harmed the least, down on 0.75%, while the French and German bourses fell by more than two percent.
Greece added to the downside momentum as newly-appointed Finance Minister Vassilis Rapanos resigned his post due to ill health. The tiny island nation of Cyprus became the latest victim, telling the EU that it needs a bailout for its banks - heavily exposed to Greece - and its public sector economy. Estimates call for immediate funds of between 5-10 billion Euros to keep the nation banks and government operating.
US markets fell out of bed like a drunk with a bad hangover, down right from the opening bell through to the close, with the NASDAQ leading the way lower, followed closely by the S&P 500.
Stocks staged a small, uninspired rally near the end of the day, but there was little support to the buying. The evidence that the world is on the brink of a catastrophic global depression are simply too obvious to mask further. Investors are running scared money into the meat-grinder that is otherwise known as the capital markets in hopes that the European leaders will offer some kind of plan to end the crisis, one which has already spread across the nations on the southern periphery.
Internals suggested that today's moves could be a turing point for US markets as losers led gainers by a more than 3:1 margin and new lows outnumbered new highs by nearly 2:1.
The new highs to new lows reading, which has been consistent over the years as an early indicator of bullish and bearish trends has recently vacillated between positive and negative, so a sustained period in which new lows exceed new highs would point toward a more severe downturn and a return to bear market conditions.
As of today's close, the Dow is resting at 6% below the May 1 highs, so a move below 11,000 would have to be reached before true bear market conditions (-20%) would prevail. With the situation in Europe continuing to unravel and conditions in the US not gathering any momentum and actually, according to the latest data, already showing signs of stress and weakness, a downturn of that severity cannot be ruled out through the summer months, which are traditionally a slow period for stocks.
Whether the pain comes in the form of a sudden event or as a slow, painful, prolonged ordeal depends greatly upon how panicked investors become. With news and events so highly unpredictable, but bordering on crisis levels, a major happenstance could come from any quarter, be it Syria's upheavals, Germany contentious position or the collapse of Greece or Spain or even the unthinkable, Italy or France.
Once again, it cannot be stressed too much that events may be politically manipulated to coincide with the US presidential election in November, so great caution is urged, especially into the latter stages of the election cycle, late September into October.
Of course, media control being practically omnipresent, the outbreak of war or economic apocalypse could be spun into a positive, though that kind of propagandizing would only satisfy the controllers wishing to make a quick killing as it would likely be unsustainable in light of the true picture.
Following Friday's phony fermentation to the upside on global banks' repudiation of Moody's massive, across-the-board downgrades, it's a very good possibility that the manufactured rally was nothing more than another scam on the public to the profit of the banking cartel, who went long and then short, winning on both sides of the trade.
With that kind of perfidious behavior prevailing in nearly all capital markets, day-to-day movements should be greatly discounted and longer term trends the focus of greater scrutiny.
Dow 12,502.66, -138.12 (1.09%)
Nasdaq 2,836.16, -56.26 (1.95%)
S&P 500 1,313.72, -21.30 (1.60%)
NYSE Composite 7,491.90, -124.69 (1.64%)
NYSE Volume 3,433,923,250
Nasdaq Volume 1,432,183,125
Combined NYSE & NASDAQ Advance - Decline: 1362-4261
Combined NYSE & NASDAQ New highs - New lows: 87-163
WTI crude oil: 79.21, -0.55
Gold: 1,588.40, +21.50
Silver: 27.52, +0.86
Monday, June 25, 2012
Friday, June 22, 2012
15 Global Banks Downgraded by Moody's; Stocks Rally (Really!)
Wrapping up the week that was, it can truly be said that the level of fraud and deceit by the banks and brokerages is matched only by the complacency of the general public.
Fifteen major global banks were downgraded by Moody's late Thursday afternoon - after markets had closed, though news of the downgrades had been leaking out all say - setting up denial central, in which the very banks' downgraded criticized Moody's for being, among other things, "unwarranted," "arbitrary," and "backward-looking." Too bad these scammers can't take honest medicine, even from a firm that is purportedly "one of their own."
Readers should recall that during the sub-prime scams of 2005-09, Moody's was one of the select ratings firms that deemed the obtuse and overtly fraudulent residential MBS as AAA-rated.
In an outlandish market reaction, financials led Friday's early advance. So much for fundamental analysis. Ratings, upgrades and downgrades now count for about as much as Jamie Dimon's hat size, which we have heard is rather enormous.
The list of downgrades (which took more than a half hour's time to locate) includes Bank of America, Barclays, Citigroup, JP Morgan Chase, Credit Suisse Group AG, HSBC Holdings, Morgan Stanley, Goldman Sachs, Deutsche Bank, Royal Bank of Scotland Group, BNP Paribas, Credit Agricole, Royal Bank of Canada, Societe Generale and UBS AG. That's all 15, though Moody's website features a grand runaround to find the list including the actual levels of downgrades (we gave up because apparently, this information is not conducive to the free flow of information and markets).
In a fitting riposte, Max Keiser channels Friedrich Neitzsche in this interview, intoning, in the finest guttural indignation, "Banks are Dead!"
Stocks registered broad gains during the session, especially on the NASDAQ, which outpaced the other indices handily. Volume was heavy.
In closing, our steadfastness in calling banking and financial institutions criminal enterprises is often chided, but sometimes brought to light as truth. In a fascinating story by Matt Taibbi of Rolling Stone, the details of how Wall Street gangsters (dressed like bankers) skimmed millions of dollars from states, cities, towns and villages all across America is revealed.
OK, just one more: Our friends at Zero Hedge report that the ECB Officially Announces Easing Of Collateral Rules, essentially confirming that Europe has run out of assets.
Go easy on the champagne, kids, and have a great weekend!
Dow 12,640.78, +67.21 (0.53%)
NASDAQ 2,892.42, +33.33 (1.17%)
S&P 500 1,335.02, +9.51 (0.72%)
NYSE Composite 7,616.59, +50.48 (0.67%)
NASDAQ Volume 2,801,777,000
NYSE Volume 4,210,423,500
Combined NYSE & NASDAQ Advance - Decline: 3892-1703
Combined NYSE & NASDAQ New highs - New lows: 117-81
WTI crude oil: 79.76, +1.56
Gold: 1,566.90, +1.40
Silver: 26.66, -0.18
Fifteen major global banks were downgraded by Moody's late Thursday afternoon - after markets had closed, though news of the downgrades had been leaking out all say - setting up denial central, in which the very banks' downgraded criticized Moody's for being, among other things, "unwarranted," "arbitrary," and "backward-looking." Too bad these scammers can't take honest medicine, even from a firm that is purportedly "one of their own."
Readers should recall that during the sub-prime scams of 2005-09, Moody's was one of the select ratings firms that deemed the obtuse and overtly fraudulent residential MBS as AAA-rated.
In an outlandish market reaction, financials led Friday's early advance. So much for fundamental analysis. Ratings, upgrades and downgrades now count for about as much as Jamie Dimon's hat size, which we have heard is rather enormous.
The list of downgrades (which took more than a half hour's time to locate) includes Bank of America, Barclays, Citigroup, JP Morgan Chase, Credit Suisse Group AG, HSBC Holdings, Morgan Stanley, Goldman Sachs, Deutsche Bank, Royal Bank of Scotland Group, BNP Paribas, Credit Agricole, Royal Bank of Canada, Societe Generale and UBS AG. That's all 15, though Moody's website features a grand runaround to find the list including the actual levels of downgrades (we gave up because apparently, this information is not conducive to the free flow of information and markets).
In a fitting riposte, Max Keiser channels Friedrich Neitzsche in this interview, intoning, in the finest guttural indignation, "Banks are Dead!"
Stocks registered broad gains during the session, especially on the NASDAQ, which outpaced the other indices handily. Volume was heavy.
In closing, our steadfastness in calling banking and financial institutions criminal enterprises is often chided, but sometimes brought to light as truth. In a fascinating story by Matt Taibbi of Rolling Stone, the details of how Wall Street gangsters (dressed like bankers) skimmed millions of dollars from states, cities, towns and villages all across America is revealed.
OK, just one more: Our friends at Zero Hedge report that the ECB Officially Announces Easing Of Collateral Rules, essentially confirming that Europe has run out of assets.
Go easy on the champagne, kids, and have a great weekend!
Dow 12,640.78, +67.21 (0.53%)
NASDAQ 2,892.42, +33.33 (1.17%)
S&P 500 1,335.02, +9.51 (0.72%)
NYSE Composite 7,616.59, +50.48 (0.67%)
NASDAQ Volume 2,801,777,000
NYSE Volume 4,210,423,500
Combined NYSE & NASDAQ Advance - Decline: 3892-1703
Combined NYSE & NASDAQ New highs - New lows: 117-81
WTI crude oil: 79.76, +1.56
Gold: 1,566.90, +1.40
Silver: 26.66, -0.18
Thursday, June 21, 2012
Uh, Oh, Here We Go Again? German Economy Cracking
Just a day after the Federal Reserve's announcement of an extension of operation twist, reports from Europe, especially one showing a drastic slowdown in German manufacturing (Flash PMI), at its lowest level in three years, sent first, European stocks lower, and then, US stocks to even steeper losses by percentages.
Apparently, European investors had already sensed the slowdown, because the losses were not that severe as in the US. However, many of the European nations are already in or on the verge of recession, and their stock indices already in bear market territory.
For US investors, the Dow took its second-worst one-day plunge of the year, as did the NASDAQ and &P 500, exacerbated by a sharp decline in the Philadelhia Fed Index. The June reading came in at -16.2, on expectations of -0.2 (not sure just who was expecting the somewhat rosy, small negative number).
Oil also took another dip, recording the worst two-day decline in nine months.
The key numbers for stocks and commodities are below. There's little more to say except that this one-day event is just another in a long, continuous stream of deflationary, depressing economic data sets that seemingly has no end in sight.
The collapse of the global economy is like watching a slow-moving hurricane heading for a vulnerable coastal city, a la Katrina wiping out New Orleans a number of years ago. Nobody wants to believe it is going to be horrifying and devastating, but it continues apace and the closer it gets, the more people begin running for cover... or their lives.
There is almost no doubt that the world is heading for a major economic event, one which will not only devastate some of the more notorious crooks on the planet, i.e., bankers, but will also change the players and nature of national and global politics.
Just in time for a presidential election. The timing is just so delicious and sickening.
Read 'em and... don't weep. There's no crying in high finance.
Dow 12,573.57, -250.82 (1.96%)
NASDAQ 2,859.09, -71.36 (2.44%)
S&P 500 1,325.51, -30.18 (2.23%)
NYSE Composite 7,562.51, -195.40 (2.52%)
NASDAQ Volume 1,697,187,750
NYSE Volume 3,915,656,000
Combined NYSE & NASDAQ Advance - Decline: 1105-4507
Combined NYSE & NASDAQ New highs - New lows: 104-83
WTI crude oil: 78.20, -3.25
Gold: 1,565.50, -50.40
Silver: 26.84, -1.55
Apparently, European investors had already sensed the slowdown, because the losses were not that severe as in the US. However, many of the European nations are already in or on the verge of recession, and their stock indices already in bear market territory.
For US investors, the Dow took its second-worst one-day plunge of the year, as did the NASDAQ and &P 500, exacerbated by a sharp decline in the Philadelhia Fed Index. The June reading came in at -16.2, on expectations of -0.2 (not sure just who was expecting the somewhat rosy, small negative number).
Oil also took another dip, recording the worst two-day decline in nine months.
The key numbers for stocks and commodities are below. There's little more to say except that this one-day event is just another in a long, continuous stream of deflationary, depressing economic data sets that seemingly has no end in sight.
The collapse of the global economy is like watching a slow-moving hurricane heading for a vulnerable coastal city, a la Katrina wiping out New Orleans a number of years ago. Nobody wants to believe it is going to be horrifying and devastating, but it continues apace and the closer it gets, the more people begin running for cover... or their lives.
There is almost no doubt that the world is heading for a major economic event, one which will not only devastate some of the more notorious crooks on the planet, i.e., bankers, but will also change the players and nature of national and global politics.
Just in time for a presidential election. The timing is just so delicious and sickening.
Read 'em and... don't weep. There's no crying in high finance.
Dow 12,573.57, -250.82 (1.96%)
NASDAQ 2,859.09, -71.36 (2.44%)
S&P 500 1,325.51, -30.18 (2.23%)
NYSE Composite 7,562.51, -195.40 (2.52%)
NASDAQ Volume 1,697,187,750
NYSE Volume 3,915,656,000
Combined NYSE & NASDAQ Advance - Decline: 1105-4507
Combined NYSE & NASDAQ New highs - New lows: 104-83
WTI crude oil: 78.20, -3.25
Gold: 1,565.50, -50.40
Silver: 26.84, -1.55
Wednesday, June 20, 2012
Market Response to Fed Moves More Worrisome Than Reassuring
It's funny how everything seems to work out just as planned, but markets respond in their own unusual ways.
Such was the case today, as the FOMC announced no substantive changes to their ZIRP program and extended "operation twist," designed to spur the economy by having the Fed buy up the long end of the yield curve.
Memo to Bernanke: It ain't working.
All the tricks and ploys the central bankers have up their collective sleeves have now been tried and proven to have failed. Massive injections of liquidity may have temporarily bolstered the balance sheets of some of the world's largest insolvent banks - both here in the US and in Europe - but the one proven method of clearing out bad debt that hasn't been tried - default, repudiation, bankruptcy and restructuring - is the only way the world economy is ever going to get a solid kick-start.
The Fed and its counterparts in Europe, Japan and China seem to believe they can somehow suspend rules of economics and mathematical certainty. They are wrong, and continue to be proven so every day the global economy continues to carouse through its now nearly four-year-old funk.
The action on the stock market today can best be described in horse racing terms: it was what handicappers like to call a "Z." It's when a horse starts slow, rallies in the middle of the race and then fades down the stretch to the wire. Sometimes, it's a sign that the horse may do well in a subsequent race; usually, it means little, other than the horse was ridden badly or suffers from a lack of stamina.
That analogy could easily be applied to the stock market. It has been "ridden badly" by all the desperate attempts to justify prices and it sure looks like it has been running on empty for some time now.
Today's response to the policy decision to keep rates at or near zero and the Fed's tepid reliance on the "twist" program that only produces marginal support for the economy if any at all, is another shining example of the futility of central baking, government overspending and general malaise. Now, even the cheaters, swindlers and fraudsters on Wall Street aren't happy.
Serves them all right, since most of them should have been serving long prison terms by now. Well, maybe there's hope. After all, the price of gas at the pump keeps going down nearly every day. If nothing else, at least it will be cheaper to take the car out when it's time to head for the hills.
Dow 12,824.09, -13.24 (0.10%)
NASDAQ 2,930.45, +0.69 (0.02%)
S&P 500 1,355.70, -2.28 (0.17%)
NYSE Composite 7,747.91, -18.35 (0.24%)
NASDAQ Volume 1,477,882,125
NYSE Volume 3,637,796,250
Combined NYSE & NASDAQ Advance - Decline: 2639-2903
Combined NYSE & NASDAQ New highs - New lows: 156-27
WTI crude oil: 81.80, -2.23
Gold: 1,615.80, -7.40
Silver: 28.39, +0.02
Such was the case today, as the FOMC announced no substantive changes to their ZIRP program and extended "operation twist," designed to spur the economy by having the Fed buy up the long end of the yield curve.
Memo to Bernanke: It ain't working.
All the tricks and ploys the central bankers have up their collective sleeves have now been tried and proven to have failed. Massive injections of liquidity may have temporarily bolstered the balance sheets of some of the world's largest insolvent banks - both here in the US and in Europe - but the one proven method of clearing out bad debt that hasn't been tried - default, repudiation, bankruptcy and restructuring - is the only way the world economy is ever going to get a solid kick-start.
The Fed and its counterparts in Europe, Japan and China seem to believe they can somehow suspend rules of economics and mathematical certainty. They are wrong, and continue to be proven so every day the global economy continues to carouse through its now nearly four-year-old funk.
The action on the stock market today can best be described in horse racing terms: it was what handicappers like to call a "Z." It's when a horse starts slow, rallies in the middle of the race and then fades down the stretch to the wire. Sometimes, it's a sign that the horse may do well in a subsequent race; usually, it means little, other than the horse was ridden badly or suffers from a lack of stamina.
That analogy could easily be applied to the stock market. It has been "ridden badly" by all the desperate attempts to justify prices and it sure looks like it has been running on empty for some time now.
Today's response to the policy decision to keep rates at or near zero and the Fed's tepid reliance on the "twist" program that only produces marginal support for the economy if any at all, is another shining example of the futility of central baking, government overspending and general malaise. Now, even the cheaters, swindlers and fraudsters on Wall Street aren't happy.
Serves them all right, since most of them should have been serving long prison terms by now. Well, maybe there's hope. After all, the price of gas at the pump keeps going down nearly every day. If nothing else, at least it will be cheaper to take the car out when it's time to head for the hills.
Dow 12,824.09, -13.24 (0.10%)
NASDAQ 2,930.45, +0.69 (0.02%)
S&P 500 1,355.70, -2.28 (0.17%)
NYSE Composite 7,747.91, -18.35 (0.24%)
NASDAQ Volume 1,477,882,125
NYSE Volume 3,637,796,250
Combined NYSE & NASDAQ Advance - Decline: 2639-2903
Combined NYSE & NASDAQ New highs - New lows: 156-27
WTI crude oil: 81.80, -2.23
Gold: 1,615.80, -7.40
Silver: 28.39, +0.02
Tuesday, June 19, 2012
Positive Rumors Drive Speculative Bets Higher
While world leaders at the G20 conference in Los Cabos, Mexico, dithered over Syria and mostly glad-handed each other over a draft outline for a closer European Union (isn't it already a "union?" How much closer can these failing countries and their failing economies get?), both European and US stock markets looked to the rumor mills for reasons to buy more stocks.
They found them in the usual places: various reports suggesting that the Federal Reserve would commence another round of QE with their announcement of ZIRP - for the umpteenth time - Wednesday, just after noon; ideas being floated around that Greece is close to forming a government that would agree to austere terms dictated by Germany and stay in the Eurozone; and, more elitist propaganda that Spain's banks would somehow be saved, thus keeping the Spanish government in power and that Germany would find a way to soften its stance on that awful austerity in Greece.
Some of the nonsense being thrown around world financial news desks may actually come to fruition, most likely among them the Fed's unwillingness to stop printing worthless US dollars non-stop and the European impulse to keep Spain's insolvent banking system from imploding - at least for a few more weeks or months.
With rumors running rampant on a day that was largely devoid of real news, speculators took the signals (make that, "the HFT algos were tuned up to high volume risk on frequencies") and bid up stocks to a five-week high on the Dow, with the other major indices following along for the ride, before fading late in the session and into the close.
It appears that the markets and their insider specialists are trading on some faint hope that the global financial system will not be melting down over the long, hot summer, and the first signs should be available as early as non-ish on Wdnesday, when the Fed makes a policy statement.
We shall stay tuned.
Dow 12,837.33, +95.51 (0.75%)
NASDAQ 2,929.76, +34.43 (1.19%)
S&P 500 1,357.98, +13.20 (0.98%)
NYSE Composite 7,766.25, +103.97 (1.36%)
NASDAQ Volume 1,828,591,375
NYSE Volume 3,784,083,500
Combined NYSE & NASDAQ Advance - Decline: 4529-1105
Combined NYSE & NASDAQ New highs - New lows: 250-29
WTI crude oil: 84.03, +0.76
Gold: 1,623.20, -3.80
Silver: 28.37, -0.30
They found them in the usual places: various reports suggesting that the Federal Reserve would commence another round of QE with their announcement of ZIRP - for the umpteenth time - Wednesday, just after noon; ideas being floated around that Greece is close to forming a government that would agree to austere terms dictated by Germany and stay in the Eurozone; and, more elitist propaganda that Spain's banks would somehow be saved, thus keeping the Spanish government in power and that Germany would find a way to soften its stance on that awful austerity in Greece.
Some of the nonsense being thrown around world financial news desks may actually come to fruition, most likely among them the Fed's unwillingness to stop printing worthless US dollars non-stop and the European impulse to keep Spain's insolvent banking system from imploding - at least for a few more weeks or months.
With rumors running rampant on a day that was largely devoid of real news, speculators took the signals (make that, "the HFT algos were tuned up to high volume risk on frequencies") and bid up stocks to a five-week high on the Dow, with the other major indices following along for the ride, before fading late in the session and into the close.
It appears that the markets and their insider specialists are trading on some faint hope that the global financial system will not be melting down over the long, hot summer, and the first signs should be available as early as non-ish on Wdnesday, when the Fed makes a policy statement.
We shall stay tuned.
Dow 12,837.33, +95.51 (0.75%)
NASDAQ 2,929.76, +34.43 (1.19%)
S&P 500 1,357.98, +13.20 (0.98%)
NYSE Composite 7,766.25, +103.97 (1.36%)
NASDAQ Volume 1,828,591,375
NYSE Volume 3,784,083,500
Combined NYSE & NASDAQ Advance - Decline: 4529-1105
Combined NYSE & NASDAQ New highs - New lows: 250-29
WTI crude oil: 84.03, +0.76
Gold: 1,623.20, -3.80
Silver: 28.37, -0.30
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