As this market has shown consistently over the past few years, no headlines, no problem, and it's off to the races we go.
With the EU summit still a day away and some nearly-positive news in the form of a May durable goods number that came in plus 1.1%, above expectations of 1.0%. There is also a buoyant attitude surrounding the housing market these days. After new home sales showed a boost on Monday and the Case-Shiller 20-City Index was up on a monthly basis, a 5.9% gain in pending home sales from April to May added momentum to home builder stocks.
For the second straight day, there was near silence from Europe, which served to keep stocks rolling right along throughout the session.
It was also a day for regulators to catch up with a couple of the crooks, and what better reason to bid up stocks, as the ROI on financial crime is stupendous.
Billionaire hedge fund operator, Phil Falcone, who made a ton of money in 2007 betting against sub-prime mortgage securities, was charged by the SEC with securities fraud along with the firm he founded, Harbinger Capital Partners. Sadly, the charge, among others, is civil, no criminal, and centers around Falcone's receipt of a $114 million loan from his fund to pay his taxes and other schemes, such as short selling and short squeezing.
Also, Barclay's has agreed to pay British and US authorities $453 million in a settlement over allegations the firm manipulated key overnight bank lending rates know as Libor. Being the first to be nailed in association with the probe, the door is now open for regulators to go after other financial firms who may have colluded to rig the Libor.
Laughably, the US Department of Justice said that its criminal investigation is ongoing and focused on a wide swath of banking interests which may have taken part in a conspiracy to manipulate the Libor. If any charges are ever brought, expect them to coincide with President Obama's re-election bid. Like local police who round up prostitutes just before a sheriff's election, the feds operate in much the same manner.
Stocks galloped out of the opening gate and closed near the highs reached in the middle of the day.
Dow 12,627.01, +92.34 (0.74%)
NASDAQ 2,875.32, +21.26 (0.74%)
S&P 500 1,331.85, +11.86 (0.90%)
NYSE Composite 7,597.99, +70.90 (0.94%)
NASDAQ Volume 1,550,569,000
NYSE Volume 3,249,099,500
Combined NYSE & NASDAQ Advance - Decline: 4207-1385
Combined NYSE & NASDAQ New highs - New lows: 180-76
WTI crude oil: 80.21, +0.85
Gold: 1,578.40, +3.50
Silver: 26.94, -0.10
Wednesday, June 27, 2012
Tuesday, June 26, 2012
Markets Barely Budge on Quiet News Day
In the headline-driven market that has evolved into what passes today for what used to be among the finest equity discounting exchanges in the world, there was very little upon which investors could base a trade.
Europe was relatively calm, even though Moody's downgraded all Spanish banks after the close on Monday and Crete has become the latest nation to be seeking assistance from the European Union.
There was the badly out-dated Case-Shiller 20-City Index, which was up 1.3% in April from May, but fell 1.9% from a year earlier. The 10:00 am EDT June consumer confidence reading of 62.0 - down from 64.4 in May - did nothing to bolster sentiment.
Thus, US markets fell and rose over the course of the session, ending the session with marginal, almost worthless gains. Volume was poor, as usual, the advance-decline line improved over Monday's performance, but new lows outnumbered new highs for the second straight day.
All of this inactivity in a dull session gives rise to feelings - as opposed to yesterday's gloomy assessment - that this market may wish to move in a sideways pattern for the summer's duration. Most indicators are such that any good news is followed by bad, even though the usual chorus of "stocks are cheap" can be heard from the perma-bull crowd.
Such a market gives rise to feelings of anxiety over the future, but an urge to take a flier here and there, so, while wild swings in either direction are possible, the overall trend may be to drift, and quite possibly to edge lower.
It's a real guessing game at this point, with so many balls in the air, so to speak.
Any movement may be caused by Thursday's initial unemployment claims or what new nonsense comes out of the EU summit this Thursday and Friday.
Dow 12,534.67, +32.01 (0.26%)
NASDAQ 2,854.06, +17.90 (0.63%)
S&P 500 1,319.99, +6.27 (0.48%)
NYSE Composite 7,527.08, +35.21 (0.47%)
NASDAQ Volume 1,592,364,125
NYSE Volume 3,366,000,500
Combined NYSE & NASDAQ Advance - Decline: 3352-2202
Combined NYSE & NASDAQ New highs - New lows: 132-136
WTI crude oil: 79.36, +0.15
Gold: 1,574.90, -13.50
Silver: 27.04, -0.48
Europe was relatively calm, even though Moody's downgraded all Spanish banks after the close on Monday and Crete has become the latest nation to be seeking assistance from the European Union.
There was the badly out-dated Case-Shiller 20-City Index, which was up 1.3% in April from May, but fell 1.9% from a year earlier. The 10:00 am EDT June consumer confidence reading of 62.0 - down from 64.4 in May - did nothing to bolster sentiment.
Thus, US markets fell and rose over the course of the session, ending the session with marginal, almost worthless gains. Volume was poor, as usual, the advance-decline line improved over Monday's performance, but new lows outnumbered new highs for the second straight day.
All of this inactivity in a dull session gives rise to feelings - as opposed to yesterday's gloomy assessment - that this market may wish to move in a sideways pattern for the summer's duration. Most indicators are such that any good news is followed by bad, even though the usual chorus of "stocks are cheap" can be heard from the perma-bull crowd.
Such a market gives rise to feelings of anxiety over the future, but an urge to take a flier here and there, so, while wild swings in either direction are possible, the overall trend may be to drift, and quite possibly to edge lower.
It's a real guessing game at this point, with so many balls in the air, so to speak.
Any movement may be caused by Thursday's initial unemployment claims or what new nonsense comes out of the EU summit this Thursday and Friday.
Dow 12,534.67, +32.01 (0.26%)
NASDAQ 2,854.06, +17.90 (0.63%)
S&P 500 1,319.99, +6.27 (0.48%)
NYSE Composite 7,527.08, +35.21 (0.47%)
NASDAQ Volume 1,592,364,125
NYSE Volume 3,366,000,500
Combined NYSE & NASDAQ Advance - Decline: 3352-2202
Combined NYSE & NASDAQ New highs - New lows: 132-136
WTI crude oil: 79.36, +0.15
Gold: 1,574.90, -13.50
Silver: 27.04, -0.48
Monday, June 25, 2012
Europe's Pain Keeps World Markets in Red as Week Begins Badly
Back in the headlines again, Europe's continuing woes took front and center position in Monday's investment landscape.
Spain kicked off the festivities with a formal request for aid of up to 100 billion euros for their busted banking sector as they await a ratings cut from Moody's on all Spanish banks, expected to be delivered after the close of US equity markets.
The reality of another bank bailout by the EU and the rumors of the Moody's downgrade was enough to send all European indices lower, lead by the Athens Index Composite, which fell 6.84%. The Swiss Market was harmed the least, down on 0.75%, while the French and German bourses fell by more than two percent.
Greece added to the downside momentum as newly-appointed Finance Minister Vassilis Rapanos resigned his post due to ill health. The tiny island nation of Cyprus became the latest victim, telling the EU that it needs a bailout for its banks - heavily exposed to Greece - and its public sector economy. Estimates call for immediate funds of between 5-10 billion Euros to keep the nation banks and government operating.
US markets fell out of bed like a drunk with a bad hangover, down right from the opening bell through to the close, with the NASDAQ leading the way lower, followed closely by the S&P 500.
Stocks staged a small, uninspired rally near the end of the day, but there was little support to the buying. The evidence that the world is on the brink of a catastrophic global depression are simply too obvious to mask further. Investors are running scared money into the meat-grinder that is otherwise known as the capital markets in hopes that the European leaders will offer some kind of plan to end the crisis, one which has already spread across the nations on the southern periphery.
Internals suggested that today's moves could be a turing point for US markets as losers led gainers by a more than 3:1 margin and new lows outnumbered new highs by nearly 2:1.
The new highs to new lows reading, which has been consistent over the years as an early indicator of bullish and bearish trends has recently vacillated between positive and negative, so a sustained period in which new lows exceed new highs would point toward a more severe downturn and a return to bear market conditions.
As of today's close, the Dow is resting at 6% below the May 1 highs, so a move below 11,000 would have to be reached before true bear market conditions (-20%) would prevail. With the situation in Europe continuing to unravel and conditions in the US not gathering any momentum and actually, according to the latest data, already showing signs of stress and weakness, a downturn of that severity cannot be ruled out through the summer months, which are traditionally a slow period for stocks.
Whether the pain comes in the form of a sudden event or as a slow, painful, prolonged ordeal depends greatly upon how panicked investors become. With news and events so highly unpredictable, but bordering on crisis levels, a major happenstance could come from any quarter, be it Syria's upheavals, Germany contentious position or the collapse of Greece or Spain or even the unthinkable, Italy or France.
Once again, it cannot be stressed too much that events may be politically manipulated to coincide with the US presidential election in November, so great caution is urged, especially into the latter stages of the election cycle, late September into October.
Of course, media control being practically omnipresent, the outbreak of war or economic apocalypse could be spun into a positive, though that kind of propagandizing would only satisfy the controllers wishing to make a quick killing as it would likely be unsustainable in light of the true picture.
Following Friday's phony fermentation to the upside on global banks' repudiation of Moody's massive, across-the-board downgrades, it's a very good possibility that the manufactured rally was nothing more than another scam on the public to the profit of the banking cartel, who went long and then short, winning on both sides of the trade.
With that kind of perfidious behavior prevailing in nearly all capital markets, day-to-day movements should be greatly discounted and longer term trends the focus of greater scrutiny.
Dow 12,502.66, -138.12 (1.09%)
Nasdaq 2,836.16, -56.26 (1.95%)
S&P 500 1,313.72, -21.30 (1.60%)
NYSE Composite 7,491.90, -124.69 (1.64%)
NYSE Volume 3,433,923,250
Nasdaq Volume 1,432,183,125
Combined NYSE & NASDAQ Advance - Decline: 1362-4261
Combined NYSE & NASDAQ New highs - New lows: 87-163
WTI crude oil: 79.21, -0.55
Gold: 1,588.40, +21.50
Silver: 27.52, +0.86
Spain kicked off the festivities with a formal request for aid of up to 100 billion euros for their busted banking sector as they await a ratings cut from Moody's on all Spanish banks, expected to be delivered after the close of US equity markets.
The reality of another bank bailout by the EU and the rumors of the Moody's downgrade was enough to send all European indices lower, lead by the Athens Index Composite, which fell 6.84%. The Swiss Market was harmed the least, down on 0.75%, while the French and German bourses fell by more than two percent.
Greece added to the downside momentum as newly-appointed Finance Minister Vassilis Rapanos resigned his post due to ill health. The tiny island nation of Cyprus became the latest victim, telling the EU that it needs a bailout for its banks - heavily exposed to Greece - and its public sector economy. Estimates call for immediate funds of between 5-10 billion Euros to keep the nation banks and government operating.
US markets fell out of bed like a drunk with a bad hangover, down right from the opening bell through to the close, with the NASDAQ leading the way lower, followed closely by the S&P 500.
Stocks staged a small, uninspired rally near the end of the day, but there was little support to the buying. The evidence that the world is on the brink of a catastrophic global depression are simply too obvious to mask further. Investors are running scared money into the meat-grinder that is otherwise known as the capital markets in hopes that the European leaders will offer some kind of plan to end the crisis, one which has already spread across the nations on the southern periphery.
Internals suggested that today's moves could be a turing point for US markets as losers led gainers by a more than 3:1 margin and new lows outnumbered new highs by nearly 2:1.
The new highs to new lows reading, which has been consistent over the years as an early indicator of bullish and bearish trends has recently vacillated between positive and negative, so a sustained period in which new lows exceed new highs would point toward a more severe downturn and a return to bear market conditions.
As of today's close, the Dow is resting at 6% below the May 1 highs, so a move below 11,000 would have to be reached before true bear market conditions (-20%) would prevail. With the situation in Europe continuing to unravel and conditions in the US not gathering any momentum and actually, according to the latest data, already showing signs of stress and weakness, a downturn of that severity cannot be ruled out through the summer months, which are traditionally a slow period for stocks.
Whether the pain comes in the form of a sudden event or as a slow, painful, prolonged ordeal depends greatly upon how panicked investors become. With news and events so highly unpredictable, but bordering on crisis levels, a major happenstance could come from any quarter, be it Syria's upheavals, Germany contentious position or the collapse of Greece or Spain or even the unthinkable, Italy or France.
Once again, it cannot be stressed too much that events may be politically manipulated to coincide with the US presidential election in November, so great caution is urged, especially into the latter stages of the election cycle, late September into October.
Of course, media control being practically omnipresent, the outbreak of war or economic apocalypse could be spun into a positive, though that kind of propagandizing would only satisfy the controllers wishing to make a quick killing as it would likely be unsustainable in light of the true picture.
Following Friday's phony fermentation to the upside on global banks' repudiation of Moody's massive, across-the-board downgrades, it's a very good possibility that the manufactured rally was nothing more than another scam on the public to the profit of the banking cartel, who went long and then short, winning on both sides of the trade.
With that kind of perfidious behavior prevailing in nearly all capital markets, day-to-day movements should be greatly discounted and longer term trends the focus of greater scrutiny.
Dow 12,502.66, -138.12 (1.09%)
Nasdaq 2,836.16, -56.26 (1.95%)
S&P 500 1,313.72, -21.30 (1.60%)
NYSE Composite 7,491.90, -124.69 (1.64%)
NYSE Volume 3,433,923,250
Nasdaq Volume 1,432,183,125
Combined NYSE & NASDAQ Advance - Decline: 1362-4261
Combined NYSE & NASDAQ New highs - New lows: 87-163
WTI crude oil: 79.21, -0.55
Gold: 1,588.40, +21.50
Silver: 27.52, +0.86
Friday, June 22, 2012
15 Global Banks Downgraded by Moody's; Stocks Rally (Really!)
Wrapping up the week that was, it can truly be said that the level of fraud and deceit by the banks and brokerages is matched only by the complacency of the general public.
Fifteen major global banks were downgraded by Moody's late Thursday afternoon - after markets had closed, though news of the downgrades had been leaking out all say - setting up denial central, in which the very banks' downgraded criticized Moody's for being, among other things, "unwarranted," "arbitrary," and "backward-looking." Too bad these scammers can't take honest medicine, even from a firm that is purportedly "one of their own."
Readers should recall that during the sub-prime scams of 2005-09, Moody's was one of the select ratings firms that deemed the obtuse and overtly fraudulent residential MBS as AAA-rated.
In an outlandish market reaction, financials led Friday's early advance. So much for fundamental analysis. Ratings, upgrades and downgrades now count for about as much as Jamie Dimon's hat size, which we have heard is rather enormous.
The list of downgrades (which took more than a half hour's time to locate) includes Bank of America, Barclays, Citigroup, JP Morgan Chase, Credit Suisse Group AG, HSBC Holdings, Morgan Stanley, Goldman Sachs, Deutsche Bank, Royal Bank of Scotland Group, BNP Paribas, Credit Agricole, Royal Bank of Canada, Societe Generale and UBS AG. That's all 15, though Moody's website features a grand runaround to find the list including the actual levels of downgrades (we gave up because apparently, this information is not conducive to the free flow of information and markets).
In a fitting riposte, Max Keiser channels Friedrich Neitzsche in this interview, intoning, in the finest guttural indignation, "Banks are Dead!"
Stocks registered broad gains during the session, especially on the NASDAQ, which outpaced the other indices handily. Volume was heavy.
In closing, our steadfastness in calling banking and financial institutions criminal enterprises is often chided, but sometimes brought to light as truth. In a fascinating story by Matt Taibbi of Rolling Stone, the details of how Wall Street gangsters (dressed like bankers) skimmed millions of dollars from states, cities, towns and villages all across America is revealed.
OK, just one more: Our friends at Zero Hedge report that the ECB Officially Announces Easing Of Collateral Rules, essentially confirming that Europe has run out of assets.
Go easy on the champagne, kids, and have a great weekend!
Dow 12,640.78, +67.21 (0.53%)
NASDAQ 2,892.42, +33.33 (1.17%)
S&P 500 1,335.02, +9.51 (0.72%)
NYSE Composite 7,616.59, +50.48 (0.67%)
NASDAQ Volume 2,801,777,000
NYSE Volume 4,210,423,500
Combined NYSE & NASDAQ Advance - Decline: 3892-1703
Combined NYSE & NASDAQ New highs - New lows: 117-81
WTI crude oil: 79.76, +1.56
Gold: 1,566.90, +1.40
Silver: 26.66, -0.18
Fifteen major global banks were downgraded by Moody's late Thursday afternoon - after markets had closed, though news of the downgrades had been leaking out all say - setting up denial central, in which the very banks' downgraded criticized Moody's for being, among other things, "unwarranted," "arbitrary," and "backward-looking." Too bad these scammers can't take honest medicine, even from a firm that is purportedly "one of their own."
Readers should recall that during the sub-prime scams of 2005-09, Moody's was one of the select ratings firms that deemed the obtuse and overtly fraudulent residential MBS as AAA-rated.
In an outlandish market reaction, financials led Friday's early advance. So much for fundamental analysis. Ratings, upgrades and downgrades now count for about as much as Jamie Dimon's hat size, which we have heard is rather enormous.
The list of downgrades (which took more than a half hour's time to locate) includes Bank of America, Barclays, Citigroup, JP Morgan Chase, Credit Suisse Group AG, HSBC Holdings, Morgan Stanley, Goldman Sachs, Deutsche Bank, Royal Bank of Scotland Group, BNP Paribas, Credit Agricole, Royal Bank of Canada, Societe Generale and UBS AG. That's all 15, though Moody's website features a grand runaround to find the list including the actual levels of downgrades (we gave up because apparently, this information is not conducive to the free flow of information and markets).
In a fitting riposte, Max Keiser channels Friedrich Neitzsche in this interview, intoning, in the finest guttural indignation, "Banks are Dead!"
Stocks registered broad gains during the session, especially on the NASDAQ, which outpaced the other indices handily. Volume was heavy.
In closing, our steadfastness in calling banking and financial institutions criminal enterprises is often chided, but sometimes brought to light as truth. In a fascinating story by Matt Taibbi of Rolling Stone, the details of how Wall Street gangsters (dressed like bankers) skimmed millions of dollars from states, cities, towns and villages all across America is revealed.
OK, just one more: Our friends at Zero Hedge report that the ECB Officially Announces Easing Of Collateral Rules, essentially confirming that Europe has run out of assets.
Go easy on the champagne, kids, and have a great weekend!
Dow 12,640.78, +67.21 (0.53%)
NASDAQ 2,892.42, +33.33 (1.17%)
S&P 500 1,335.02, +9.51 (0.72%)
NYSE Composite 7,616.59, +50.48 (0.67%)
NASDAQ Volume 2,801,777,000
NYSE Volume 4,210,423,500
Combined NYSE & NASDAQ Advance - Decline: 3892-1703
Combined NYSE & NASDAQ New highs - New lows: 117-81
WTI crude oil: 79.76, +1.56
Gold: 1,566.90, +1.40
Silver: 26.66, -0.18
Thursday, June 21, 2012
Uh, Oh, Here We Go Again? German Economy Cracking
Just a day after the Federal Reserve's announcement of an extension of operation twist, reports from Europe, especially one showing a drastic slowdown in German manufacturing (Flash PMI), at its lowest level in three years, sent first, European stocks lower, and then, US stocks to even steeper losses by percentages.
Apparently, European investors had already sensed the slowdown, because the losses were not that severe as in the US. However, many of the European nations are already in or on the verge of recession, and their stock indices already in bear market territory.
For US investors, the Dow took its second-worst one-day plunge of the year, as did the NASDAQ and &P 500, exacerbated by a sharp decline in the Philadelhia Fed Index. The June reading came in at -16.2, on expectations of -0.2 (not sure just who was expecting the somewhat rosy, small negative number).
Oil also took another dip, recording the worst two-day decline in nine months.
The key numbers for stocks and commodities are below. There's little more to say except that this one-day event is just another in a long, continuous stream of deflationary, depressing economic data sets that seemingly has no end in sight.
The collapse of the global economy is like watching a slow-moving hurricane heading for a vulnerable coastal city, a la Katrina wiping out New Orleans a number of years ago. Nobody wants to believe it is going to be horrifying and devastating, but it continues apace and the closer it gets, the more people begin running for cover... or their lives.
There is almost no doubt that the world is heading for a major economic event, one which will not only devastate some of the more notorious crooks on the planet, i.e., bankers, but will also change the players and nature of national and global politics.
Just in time for a presidential election. The timing is just so delicious and sickening.
Read 'em and... don't weep. There's no crying in high finance.
Dow 12,573.57, -250.82 (1.96%)
NASDAQ 2,859.09, -71.36 (2.44%)
S&P 500 1,325.51, -30.18 (2.23%)
NYSE Composite 7,562.51, -195.40 (2.52%)
NASDAQ Volume 1,697,187,750
NYSE Volume 3,915,656,000
Combined NYSE & NASDAQ Advance - Decline: 1105-4507
Combined NYSE & NASDAQ New highs - New lows: 104-83
WTI crude oil: 78.20, -3.25
Gold: 1,565.50, -50.40
Silver: 26.84, -1.55
Apparently, European investors had already sensed the slowdown, because the losses were not that severe as in the US. However, many of the European nations are already in or on the verge of recession, and their stock indices already in bear market territory.
For US investors, the Dow took its second-worst one-day plunge of the year, as did the NASDAQ and &P 500, exacerbated by a sharp decline in the Philadelhia Fed Index. The June reading came in at -16.2, on expectations of -0.2 (not sure just who was expecting the somewhat rosy, small negative number).
Oil also took another dip, recording the worst two-day decline in nine months.
The key numbers for stocks and commodities are below. There's little more to say except that this one-day event is just another in a long, continuous stream of deflationary, depressing economic data sets that seemingly has no end in sight.
The collapse of the global economy is like watching a slow-moving hurricane heading for a vulnerable coastal city, a la Katrina wiping out New Orleans a number of years ago. Nobody wants to believe it is going to be horrifying and devastating, but it continues apace and the closer it gets, the more people begin running for cover... or their lives.
There is almost no doubt that the world is heading for a major economic event, one which will not only devastate some of the more notorious crooks on the planet, i.e., bankers, but will also change the players and nature of national and global politics.
Just in time for a presidential election. The timing is just so delicious and sickening.
Read 'em and... don't weep. There's no crying in high finance.
Dow 12,573.57, -250.82 (1.96%)
NASDAQ 2,859.09, -71.36 (2.44%)
S&P 500 1,325.51, -30.18 (2.23%)
NYSE Composite 7,562.51, -195.40 (2.52%)
NASDAQ Volume 1,697,187,750
NYSE Volume 3,915,656,000
Combined NYSE & NASDAQ Advance - Decline: 1105-4507
Combined NYSE & NASDAQ New highs - New lows: 104-83
WTI crude oil: 78.20, -3.25
Gold: 1,565.50, -50.40
Silver: 26.84, -1.55
Subscribe to:
Posts (Atom)
Posts
