From Friday, July 1:
U.S. Treasuries advanced accompanied by a stimulus-fueled rally in European debt that pressured regional yields to new record lows. Treasuries were not far behind with demand pressuring the 30-yr yield to a fresh record low of 2.189% while the 10-yr yield hit 1.382%, pausing just above an all-time low of 1.381% that was notched four years ago. The 2-yr note posted a slight loss while the 5-yr note ended flat.
Silver closed in NY at 19.75 (+11.25% - best week since Aug 2013).
For the Week Ended 7/1:
Dow: +548.62 (+3.15%)
S&P 500: +65.54 (+3.22%)
NASDAQ: +154.59 (+3.25%)
Friday's Results:
S&P 500: 2,102.95, +4.09 (0.19%)
Dow: 17,949.37, +19.38 (0.11%)
NASDAQ: 4,862.57, +19.89 (0.41%)
Crude Oil 49.28 +1.97% Gold 1,344.90 +1.84% EUR/USD 1.1135 +0.35% 10-Yr Bond 1.46 -2.15% Corn 368.00 -0.88% Copper 2.22 +1.18% Silver 19.85 +6.62% Natural Gas 2.99 +2.12% Russell 2000 1,156.77 +0.42% VIX 14.77 -5.50% BATS 1000 20,677.17 0.00% GBP/USD 1.3269 -0.10% USD/JPY 102.5180 -0.80%
Tuesday, July 5, 2016
Thursday, June 30, 2016
Stocks Regain Nearly All Brexit Losses, But Silver Tells Another Tale
While the maintainers of the status quo managed to nearly erase all of the losses from Friday and Monday due to Brexit, there is an outlier which Money Daily has referenced in the past, and its name is silver.
Gold being the choice of elitists and very rich people worldwide, it gets most of the attention in the financial press, after stocks, of course. Silver is regarded largely as an afterthought by the all-powerful, but it has been, throughout human history, an essential element in commerce, trade and capital accumulation, and today, it outpaced every other asset class by a wide margin, closing in New York at a very favorable price of $18.695, the best closing price since September of 2014.
While other assets have been languishing or found range-bound, silver has forged ahead by a nifty 35% year-to-date.
As a monetary metal, silver has no equal in terms of affordability and value for the common man or woman. The recent rise will no doubt spur further demand and subsequent gains.
Silver's rise signals a threat to phony fiat money and the monopoly of gold as a store of value. It may also be presaging a new monetary order, one in which the general populace will not be thought of as chattel.
Whoopie!
Brexit Didn't Matter After All:
S&P 500: 2,098.86, +28.09 (1.36%)
Dow: 17,929.99, +235.31 (1.33%)
NASDAQ: 4,842.67, +63.43 (1.33%)
Crude Oil 48.39 -2.99% Gold 1,325.10 -0.14% EUR/USD 1.1101 -0.22% 10-Yr Bond 1.4880 +0.74% Corn 372.75 -2.68% Copper 2.20 +0.87% Silver 18.84 +2.38% Natural Gas 2.92 +2.10% Russell 2000 1,151.92 +1.79% VIX 15.78 -5.17% BATS 1000 20,677.17 0.00% GBP/USD 1.3312 -0.92% USD/JPY 103.2700 +0.34%
Gold being the choice of elitists and very rich people worldwide, it gets most of the attention in the financial press, after stocks, of course. Silver is regarded largely as an afterthought by the all-powerful, but it has been, throughout human history, an essential element in commerce, trade and capital accumulation, and today, it outpaced every other asset class by a wide margin, closing in New York at a very favorable price of $18.695, the best closing price since September of 2014.
While other assets have been languishing or found range-bound, silver has forged ahead by a nifty 35% year-to-date.
As a monetary metal, silver has no equal in terms of affordability and value for the common man or woman. The recent rise will no doubt spur further demand and subsequent gains.
Silver's rise signals a threat to phony fiat money and the monopoly of gold as a store of value. It may also be presaging a new monetary order, one in which the general populace will not be thought of as chattel.
Whoopie!
Brexit Didn't Matter After All:
S&P 500: 2,098.86, +28.09 (1.36%)
Dow: 17,929.99, +235.31 (1.33%)
NASDAQ: 4,842.67, +63.43 (1.33%)
Crude Oil 48.39 -2.99% Gold 1,325.10 -0.14% EUR/USD 1.1101 -0.22% 10-Yr Bond 1.4880 +0.74% Corn 372.75 -2.68% Copper 2.20 +0.87% Silver 18.84 +2.38% Natural Gas 2.92 +2.10% Russell 2000 1,151.92 +1.79% VIX 15.78 -5.17% BATS 1000 20,677.17 0.00% GBP/USD 1.3312 -0.92% USD/JPY 103.2700 +0.34%
Wednesday, June 29, 2016
Throwing Caution To The Wind, Stocks Power Higher
Stocks surged worldwide for the second straight day as investors seem determined to make Brexit an afterthought.
They're probably correct in their assessment, as, following the initial panic selling, the reality that an orderly exit from the EU by the UK will be an ongoing process.
Stocks in the US remain largely rangebound, since breaking through to new all-time highs would seem boorish and gaudy, which is why it is completely possible.
With every passing political, emotional, and economic event, the will of investors of equities continues to defy basic common sense and rudimentary risk caution. A side effect, or perhaps a direct one, is that short sellers have been thoroughly routed for the umpteenth time. Covering by shorts has been a bloody bath the past two session.
Mind the Gap.
Carry On.
In case you haven't noticed, with today's gain to 18.38, silver is up a whopping 33% YTD, from a December 31, 2015 close of 13.82.
S&P 500: 2,069.62, +33.53 (1.65%)
Dow: 17,679.34, +269.62 (1.55%)
NASDAQ: 4,778.10, +86.23 (1.84%)
Crude Oil 49.42 +3.28% Gold 1,324.20 +0.48% EUR/USD 1.1101 +0.23% 10-Yr Bond 1.48 +1.10% Corn 383.50 -2.73% Copper 2.19 +0.80% Silver 18.38 +2.74% Natural Gas 2.85 -1.31% Russell 2000 1,131.48 +2.18% VIX 16.90 -9.87% BATS 1000 20,677.17 0.00% GBP/USD 1.3432 +0.76% USD/JPY 102.8385 +0.10%
Reviving a prior feature, here's the Rolling Stones:
They're probably correct in their assessment, as, following the initial panic selling, the reality that an orderly exit from the EU by the UK will be an ongoing process.
Stocks in the US remain largely rangebound, since breaking through to new all-time highs would seem boorish and gaudy, which is why it is completely possible.
With every passing political, emotional, and economic event, the will of investors of equities continues to defy basic common sense and rudimentary risk caution. A side effect, or perhaps a direct one, is that short sellers have been thoroughly routed for the umpteenth time. Covering by shorts has been a bloody bath the past two session.
Mind the Gap.
Carry On.
In case you haven't noticed, with today's gain to 18.38, silver is up a whopping 33% YTD, from a December 31, 2015 close of 13.82.
S&P 500: 2,069.62, +33.53 (1.65%)
Dow: 17,679.34, +269.62 (1.55%)
NASDAQ: 4,778.10, +86.23 (1.84%)
Crude Oil 49.42 +3.28% Gold 1,324.20 +0.48% EUR/USD 1.1101 +0.23% 10-Yr Bond 1.48 +1.10% Corn 383.50 -2.73% Copper 2.19 +0.80% Silver 18.38 +2.74% Natural Gas 2.85 -1.31% Russell 2000 1,131.48 +2.18% VIX 16.90 -9.87% BATS 1000 20,677.17 0.00% GBP/USD 1.3432 +0.76% USD/JPY 102.8385 +0.10%
Reviving a prior feature, here's the Rolling Stones:
Tuesday, June 28, 2016
Stocks Rebound From Dramatic Brexit Declines; Trend Not Apparent Yet
Nothing to see here, really, as markets took Tuesday to bounce back from the losses incurred by the Brexit result.
Participants in the market will likely take today's action to suggest that the initial panic was overdone, and that Britain leaving the EU is no big deal.
The truth may be something different from the offered narrative, but it is too early to confirm any kind of trend, although the Dow, in particular, will have to do some heavy lifting to retain its prior range between 17,500 and 18,000.
New all-time highs are still within hailing distance (S&P: 2134; Dow: 18,351; NASDAQ: 5232), though they are already more than a year old, getting stale and beginning to smell moldy.
Caution is still advised when dealing with a global financial system based entirely on the promises and good faith of either governments or central banks, mostly the latter.
Tuesday Turnabout:
S&P 500: 2,036.09, +35.55 (1.78%)
Dow: 17,409.72, +269.48 (1.57%)
NASDAQ: 4,691.87, +97.42 (2.12%)
Crude Oil 47.98 +3.56% Gold 1,314.70 -0.75% EUR/USD 1.1089 +0.61% 10-Yr Bond 1.46 +0.07% Corn 394.00 -0.06% Copper 2.18 +2.56% Silver 17.81 +0.34% Natural Gas 2.88 +5.25% Russell 2000 1,106.86 +1.58% VIX 18.89 -20.80% BATS 1000 20,677.17 0.00% GBP/USD 1.3354 +1.05% USD/JPY 102.6650 +0.76%
Participants in the market will likely take today's action to suggest that the initial panic was overdone, and that Britain leaving the EU is no big deal.
The truth may be something different from the offered narrative, but it is too early to confirm any kind of trend, although the Dow, in particular, will have to do some heavy lifting to retain its prior range between 17,500 and 18,000.
New all-time highs are still within hailing distance (S&P: 2134; Dow: 18,351; NASDAQ: 5232), though they are already more than a year old, getting stale and beginning to smell moldy.
Caution is still advised when dealing with a global financial system based entirely on the promises and good faith of either governments or central banks, mostly the latter.
Tuesday Turnabout:
S&P 500: 2,036.09, +35.55 (1.78%)
Dow: 17,409.72, +269.48 (1.57%)
NASDAQ: 4,691.87, +97.42 (2.12%)
Crude Oil 47.98 +3.56% Gold 1,314.70 -0.75% EUR/USD 1.1089 +0.61% 10-Yr Bond 1.46 +0.07% Corn 394.00 -0.06% Copper 2.18 +2.56% Silver 17.81 +0.34% Natural Gas 2.88 +5.25% Russell 2000 1,106.86 +1.58% VIX 18.89 -20.80% BATS 1000 20,677.17 0.00% GBP/USD 1.3354 +1.05% USD/JPY 102.6650 +0.76%
Monday, June 27, 2016
Stormy Monday: Brexit Triggering Global Market Chaos
If the financial elites (we're looking at you Fed Governors, ECB ministers, central bankers worldwide) needed a rationale for triggering a cataclysmic collapse of global finance, they may have found their huckleberry in the British vote to leave the European Union, the Brexit, as it has become known.
Since Thursday's astonishing vote by the populace of Great Britain to exit what was once known as the European Common Merket and has morphed into a Hobbesian nightmare of Leviathan proportions known as the European Union, European Commission, European Central Bank and an amalgam of overlapping bureaucratic rules, regulations, guidelines, laws and edicts, a suddenly disunited Europe is making life miserable for masters of finance.
Stocks have been selling off at frantic paces since the verdict of the Brits, with uncertainty the keynote of the ongoing dialogue.
While the NIKKEI responded in heroic fashion on Monday, gaining 357 points, stock indices in Europe and the US were dragged down through the week's opening session, with more on the plate.
Whether Brexit is the absolute catalyst for systemic financial collapse is too early to tell, though it has certainly - to this point - served as an adequate warning shot.
Worth knowing is that the general financial condition of the world's developed and emerging economies has not been right since the first great financial shock of 2008, and efforts to repair what was broken then were akin to bandages applies to a severed artery, with the same result. The bleeding continued, and the patient never really recovered.
For eight years the global financial elites have tried to piece together a working economic narrative, to little avail and now they are faced with disintegration of their seminal project, the EU and the funny money known as euros.
Markets today were trembled by rabid selling, pushing the Dow well below its established range between 17,500 and 18,000, with the bottom falling out in dramatic fashion. All-time highs reached just over a year ago are now being viewed as unattainable, setting in motion the potential for first, a 10% correction, followed by the certainty of a full-blown bear market, which has been a long time coming.
Defining those two terms would be a matter of simplicity, if not for the vagaries of the financial lexicon. A correction may be said to be 10% of "recent" highs, and the same could be said of the bear market reading, but, if losses continue to mount, percentages may be the smallest of worries, since real dollars, euros, yen and yuan will be at stake.
With an already turbulent presidential election already underway, caution would be the preferred method of approaching finances over the following six to eight months. While many ordinary people will no doubt practice frugality and thrift in their affairs, there's some considerable doubt as to how governments and central bankers react to what are, no doubt, challenging times ahead.
Bad Bad Brits and Brexit:
S&P 500: 2,000.54, -36.87 (1.81%)
Dow: 17,140.24, -260.51 (1.50%)
NASDAQ: 4,594.44, -113.54 (2.41%)
Crude Oil 46.71 -1.95% Gold 1,329.90 +0.57% EUR/USD 1.1021 -0.19% 10-Yr Bond 1.46 -7.54% Corn 393.50 -0.19% Copper 2.13 +0.71% Silver 17.78 -0.02% Natural Gas 2.76 +2.41% Russell 2000 1,089.65 -3.36% VIX 23.43 -9.05% BATS 1000 20,677.17 0.00% GBP/USD 1.3218 -1.51% USD/JPY 102.0450 +0.25%
Since Thursday's astonishing vote by the populace of Great Britain to exit what was once known as the European Common Merket and has morphed into a Hobbesian nightmare of Leviathan proportions known as the European Union, European Commission, European Central Bank and an amalgam of overlapping bureaucratic rules, regulations, guidelines, laws and edicts, a suddenly disunited Europe is making life miserable for masters of finance.
Stocks have been selling off at frantic paces since the verdict of the Brits, with uncertainty the keynote of the ongoing dialogue.
While the NIKKEI responded in heroic fashion on Monday, gaining 357 points, stock indices in Europe and the US were dragged down through the week's opening session, with more on the plate.
Whether Brexit is the absolute catalyst for systemic financial collapse is too early to tell, though it has certainly - to this point - served as an adequate warning shot.
Worth knowing is that the general financial condition of the world's developed and emerging economies has not been right since the first great financial shock of 2008, and efforts to repair what was broken then were akin to bandages applies to a severed artery, with the same result. The bleeding continued, and the patient never really recovered.
For eight years the global financial elites have tried to piece together a working economic narrative, to little avail and now they are faced with disintegration of their seminal project, the EU and the funny money known as euros.
Markets today were trembled by rabid selling, pushing the Dow well below its established range between 17,500 and 18,000, with the bottom falling out in dramatic fashion. All-time highs reached just over a year ago are now being viewed as unattainable, setting in motion the potential for first, a 10% correction, followed by the certainty of a full-blown bear market, which has been a long time coming.
Defining those two terms would be a matter of simplicity, if not for the vagaries of the financial lexicon. A correction may be said to be 10% of "recent" highs, and the same could be said of the bear market reading, but, if losses continue to mount, percentages may be the smallest of worries, since real dollars, euros, yen and yuan will be at stake.
With an already turbulent presidential election already underway, caution would be the preferred method of approaching finances over the following six to eight months. While many ordinary people will no doubt practice frugality and thrift in their affairs, there's some considerable doubt as to how governments and central bankers react to what are, no doubt, challenging times ahead.
Bad Bad Brits and Brexit:
S&P 500: 2,000.54, -36.87 (1.81%)
Dow: 17,140.24, -260.51 (1.50%)
NASDAQ: 4,594.44, -113.54 (2.41%)
Crude Oil 46.71 -1.95% Gold 1,329.90 +0.57% EUR/USD 1.1021 -0.19% 10-Yr Bond 1.46 -7.54% Corn 393.50 -0.19% Copper 2.13 +0.71% Silver 17.78 -0.02% Natural Gas 2.76 +2.41% Russell 2000 1,089.65 -3.36% VIX 23.43 -9.05% BATS 1000 20,677.17 0.00% GBP/USD 1.3218 -1.51% USD/JPY 102.0450 +0.25%
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