To say that the NASDAQ has nosedived recently would be putting it lightly, as the index has had only one winning session in the past five, and has shed some 336 points over that span, or, about 4.5% percent.
There has also been some pain over on the S&P 500, which really stalled out after making a double top around 2780 (2,782.00, June 11; 2779.66, June 15), is down a little more than three percent over the past two weeks.
While the Dow Industrials were down the least, percentage-wise, the point loss was the greatest among the various indices and the Dow also is leading the charge downhill, already well into the red for the year (-2.5%).
With today's closing price, the Dow is down 9.4% from the January 26 high (26,616.71), on the brink of making a second excursion into correction territory. Meanwhile, the S&P and NASDAQ are still clinging to gains YTD, but are off the January highs as well. The NASDAQ is down just a fraction from January, but the S&P is down six percent over the same span.
Today's Dow downdraft was the 10th session with a negative close in the past 12, as the Dow turned a 903-point gain in June into a 298-point loss, a rapid, 1200-point descent. Whatever can be said about the demise of the Dow over the past three weeks it certainly is not good and does not portend well for the remaining two trading days of the month. Avoiding another correction is probably at the top of the list for the bulls still standing, because this foray will likely be more lasting and also lead to further losses.
Bonds were being bought with both hands on the day, with the yield on the 10-year note down five basis points to 2.83%, the lowest yield since April 17. The 30-year bond lost six bips, closing below 3.00%, at 2.97. This is 13 basis points below the close of 3.10% on the date of the latest FOMC rate hike, June 13. That's quite significant, since the Fed is intent on pushing rates higher, but the market is steadfastly resisting.
This recent spree of bond buying is signaling some dire consequences ahead. If the economy is strong enough to raise rates - as the Fed believes - then why is the market heading in the opposite direction? It's obvious that somebody is wrong-footed, and in this case, the money's on the Fed, which is usually well behind the trend, but currently is seeking to create the trend, something that is pretty much impossible, regardless of how much weight and force the central bank wants to exert on markets.
A explosive, toxic condition is at hand. The Fed and financial media are pushing a narrative of "all's well," but the market is saying, "I don't think so." Something is about to give, and soon. Expect stocks to continue their summer swoon, along with the requisite bouts of euphoria (short covering), though the fear factor will eventually take strong hold of conditions.
As has been stated ad nauseum on these pages for months, "this is a bear market. Trade accordingly."
Dow Jones Industrial Average June Scorecard:
| Date | Close | Gain/Loss | Cum. G/L |
| 6/1/18 | 24,635.21 | +219.37 | +219.37 |
| 6/4/18 | 24,813.69 | +178.48 | +397.85 |
| 6/5/18 | 24,799.98 | -13.71 | +384.14 |
| 6/6/18 | 25,146.39 | +346.41 | +730.55 |
| 6/7/18 | 25,241.41 | +95.02 | +825.57 |
| 6/8/18 | 25,316.53 | +75.12 | +900.69 |
| 6/11/18 | 25,322.31 | +5.78 | +906.47 |
| 6/12/18 | 25,320.73 | -1.58 | +904.89 |
| 6/13/18 | 25,201.20 | -119.53 | +785.36 |
| 6/14/18 | 25,175.31 | -25.89 | +759.47 |
| 6/15/18 | 25,090.48 | -84.83 | +674.64 |
| 6/18/18 | 24,987.47 | -103.01 | +571.63 |
| 6/19/18 | 24,700.21 | -287.26 | +284.37 |
| 6/20/18 | 24,657.80 | -42.41 | +241.96 |
| 6/21/18 | 24,461.70 | -196.10 | +45.86 |
| 6/22/18 | 24,580.89 | +119.19 | +165.05 |
| 6/25/18 | 24,252.80 | -328.09 | -163.04 |
| 6/26/18 | 24,283.11 | +30.31 | -132.73 |
| 6/27/18 | 24,117.59 | -165.52 | -298.25 |
At the Close, Wednesday, June 27, 2018:
Dow Jones Industrial Average: 24,117.59, -165.52 (-0.68%)
NASDAQ: 7,445.08, -116.54 (-1.54%)
S&P 500: 2,699.63, -23.43 (-0.86%)
NYSE Composite: 12,412.06, -98.49 (-0.79%)
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