There's Something Very Wrong and the Tea Party Knows It

Stocks were down for the second straight session, as criticism of the Federal Reserve's recently-announced QE2 has ramped up and is nearing a fever pitch. While the Fed seeks to embark on another round of handing easy money to criminals on Wall Street, the rest of the world is not exactly enamored with Chairman Ben Bernanke.

Europe is beset with its own problems, stemming from unstable, out-of-control government spending in the PIIGS countries, but particularly Ireland and Portugal, which have gone from bad to mush worse over the past six months. That has kept the US dollar from appreciating against the Euro to any great degree, only because money seeks its safest refuge, and in currency markets, the US still appears to be a safer bet than most of Europe.

The Chinese expressed their displeasure by having their ratings agency, Dagong Global Credit Rating Co. Ltd cut the U.S. local and foreign currency long-term sovereign credit rating to A-plus from AA.

Throughout the day, stocks were sent lower as gold and silver, especially, caromed ever higher, with gold spiking to $1425.50 and silver hitting $29.38. By the end of the day, however, the fiat money-makers had had enough and the CME announced an increase in margin requirements to buy silver from $5000 per contract to $6500 (silver is traded in 5000 oz. increments).

That may have been cover for some serious naked shorting of both gold and silver, because while it may explain the late day selloff in silver, it would have had little effect on gold, which also crashed late in the day (see chart at right). At the moment, the bid on gold is $1393.00, and silver has been smashed down to $26.95. The obvious take-away is that the Bernanke put - his $600-900 billion in USSS created right out of thin air, is receiving some serious competition from real money, that being gold and silver, and the Fed, through their proxies on the trading floors had to do something.


They're likely to try to tamp down gold and silver prices in order to garner more bids on their beloved US stock markets, though it's unclear at this time whether anything they do can stem the tide rising against them. In the long run, though most people will never notice, gold and silver are going to become the basis for currency, not Federal Reserve Notes (FRNs) and debt. Sides are being drawn and this battle will end with few winners. Most of the losers will be stockholders and owners of paper currencies. Gold and silver - as they have over thousands of years - will prevail.

Dow 11,346.75, -60.09 (0.53%)
NASDAQ 2,562.98, -17.07 (0.66%)
S&P 500 1,213.40, -9.85 (0.81%)
NYSE Composite 7,702.31, -79.89 (1.03%)
NASDAQ Volume 2,204,733,500
NYSE Volume 5,605,771,500

Declining issues rocked advancers, 4709-1789. There were still 777 new highs to a paltry 82 new lows, but volume was much higher than yesterday's session and better than most days during the run-up of the past two months, a discouraging sign for stock investors, but probably the best news for the long-term, in which the stock market becomes a game of last-man standing.

Oil even came down for a change, dropping 34 cents, to $86.72, and if the stock market continues to slide, expect oil to diverge from gold and silver, following stocks down the deflationary path. Bernanke's big money bet notwithstanding, the next few weeks and into the end of the year may be very hazardous times for trading in anything.

With a pickup of sixty seats in the House, the Republican party has taken control, spurred onward by the success of anywhere from 30-40 Tea Party candidates. In the wide-ranging report from PBS below, some of the nuances are Rand Paul's hint that he may cut federal employee paychecks by 10%, Utah Senator Mike Lee pondering a constitutional amendment to balance the budget, cut the Department of Education and voting NO on raising the debt ceiling, a vote that is likely to come up early in the next term (March-May, 2011).

Currency Wars: Gold/Silver vs. US$ vs. Euro

While there wasn't much of a downdraft in stocks today (the NASDAQ was positive at the close), currency watchers had plenty to occupy their attention as the dollar appreciated against the Euro, though the big winners were Gold and Silver (the shining star of the past two months).

The Fed offered up $6.5 billion to Wall Street in the form or a POMO, but the boys said, "oh, no" and continued their selling of overpriced stocks in the face of Euro woes.

The European answer to Ben Bernanke's blind monkey monetary policy (QE2) was expressly Continental. As Ireland, Greece, Portugal and Spain teeter on the brink of insolvency, the European response was a curt, "you're not so bad; we're worse," as the race to the bottom of the currency abyss accelerated to a manic pace.

The big beneficiaries were manifested in pronounced moves in gold and silver, the former reaching new all-time highs, the latter continuing it's crusade against anything fiat. At the end of the day, owning gold, silver or dollars was the correct bet, against the wishes of Mr. Bernanke, and, at least for today, a complete repudiation of his overt, repulsive monetarism.

One outlier worth note was Bank of America (BAC), which defied all logic and sound investing strategy by posting another in a series of gains. Shares of the nation's largest mortgage lender finished up 24 cents, to $12.60, equaling its close on October 14. Shares had sunk as low as 11.16 (October 25), but have since found new life, though the stock is so heavily shorted, it may be merely a shaking out of weak hands. The stock gapped up at the open and made its best advances in the afternoon, trading as high as 12.73 before settling lower.

Oddly enough, the euphoria from last week, spurred by the Fed's announcement that it would monetize up to $900 billion in debt over the next eight months and sweeping victories in the House by the Republican party, seemed to fade in the light of the new week. Doubters of Fed policy are numerous and many have loudly decried Mr. Bernanke's QE as the wrong prescription for the US and global economies. Among them, US Representative Ron Paul from Texas, who expressed a view that the Fed would fail on its own and that gold should compete with Federal Reserve Notes as currency (see video below).

Additionally, Paul took aim at entitlements on his congressional website, calling for a rejection of the welfare state and offered a position to make Social Security voluntary.

Dow 11,406.84, -37.24 (0.33%)
NASDAQ 2,580.05, +1.07 (0.04%)
S&P 500 1,223.25, -2.60 (0.21%)
NYSE Composite 7,782.20, -18.46 (0.24%)

With the first downturn in the last seven sessions, declining issues paraded past advancers, 3437-3012. New highs led new lows, 691-53, so there's obviously still a good deal of speculation continuing. Volume, however, returned to moribund levels that prevailed prior to last week.

NASDAQ Volume 1,824,770,375.00
NYSE Volume 4,468,926,000

Oil continued to surge, despite the higher dollar, gaining 21 cents, to $87.06, on the front-end contract. The latest print on gold was up $15.30, to $1409.40, while silver amazed again, gaining 95 cents, to $27.71.

US Stock Markets Are Absurdly Manipulated

Here's a message to the people manipulating the markets:

We know what you're doing because you're so bad at it. Like today. Stocks were down all day, except for the last 20 minutes, you and your fat-cat cohorts boosted everything just to show a positive print. Very lame!

Really, folks, the markets are so out of touch, they're not to be touched. I had planned to write a bit about the blowback from the financial community over Bernanke's relentless pumping, a la QE2, but I'm so thoroughly disgusted, I just can't bring myself to write it. Suffice it to say that most of the rest of the world thinks his tinkering is bad monetary policy, and you can count me as one of that group.

Dow 11,444.08, +9.24 (0.08%)
NASDAQ 2,578.98, +1.64 (0.06%)
S&P 500 1,225.85, +4.79 (0.39%)
NYSE Composite 7,800.66, +18.23 (0.23%)

Advancing issues topped decliners, 3679-2767. There were 1069 new highs and 96 new lows. Volume was strong for the second straight day.

NASDAQ Volume 1,984,391,875.00
NYSE Volume 6,297,631,000

The abhorrent non-farm payroll figures - a complete fabrication - came in at +151,000, though most of the increase was surely artificial, boosted by the birth-death model and seasonal adjustments. It's all part of the feel-good story the politicians and bankers keep trying to spin, while real unemployment stands at about 20%. Go to a big city or any medium sized city in the South and you can see first hand what's really going on in America.

The poor are being kicked completely to the curb, the middle class soon to join them. Mainstream media has become nothing more than a mouthpiece for corporate America. It's really quite sad.

Since September 1, the Dow Jones Industrials are up nearly 1400 points, a 14% increase, as though we were in the midst of a massive recovery.

Crude oil tacked on another 36 cents on Friday, to $86.85. Expect $4.00 gas by Spring. Gold finished another $1.10 higher, another all-time high, at $1394.00. Silver continued its meteoric ascent, adding 38 cents, to $26.75.

The Fed has depreciated the value of the dollar some 95% since its inception in 1913. They are in the process of squeezing the final 5% out of it. Be ready for some serious holiday inflation, but enjoy the weekend!

POMO + QE2 = Stocks to the Moon, Silver Soaring

One of the side effects of Ben Bernanke's $800 billion gambit - and there are many - is to send stocks directly upward, while also giving silver and gold somewhat of a boost.

A day after the announcement of $600 billion in QE2, plus another $150-200 billion more in re-allocated MBS, the Fed hit the trifecta with a 4$.5 billion POMO today and sent stocks to the their best levels since the crash of 2008.

Yes, siree! We're back on easy street thanks to Uncle Benji debasing the currency. Now all you people worried about your pension funds and 401Ks can rest easy, Uncle Ben's got ya covered.

Another side affect of QE is runaway inflation, but let's not talk about that now. Let's talk about that when gas is $4.25 a gallon, because that's where this is evidently headed. And word has it that if this round of stimulus via magic money creation isn't enough, don't worry, Ben can just conjure up some more. Isn't capitalism nice, easy, fun?

Oh, and you people who have saved diligently and are now in fixed income securities, bonds, and money markets, well, you're screwed. You'll still have money; it just won't be worth much, and, as an added bonus, it will buy even less in years ahead. Happy Retirement!

To the uninitiated, typical, dumb-ass American, they'll just see that the Dow was up AGAIN! and their stocks are doing well, so all is good in America. We've got a whole slew of newly-minted Republicans in the House of Representatives all set to slash taxes (for corporations), cut spending (on social programs) and usher in a new era of prosperity for the good old USA.

The problem with this scenario is that it's just all bunk. We're headed down the path of the Weimar Republic or, more recently, Zimbabwe, places where inflation was so out of control that restaurants asked patrons to pay in advance because by the time they'd finish their meal, it would cost more. The currency became essentially worthless in a matter of days and weeks.

Don't worry, though, we're just getting started. The fun part of hyper-inflation won't come until the dollar index hits something like 45. It's still above 75, or at least it was this afternoon. That could have changed.

Dow 11,434.84, +219.71 (1.96%)
NASDAQ 2,577.34, +37.07 (1.46%)
S&P 500 1,221.06, +23.10 (1.93%)
NYSE Composite 7,782.43, +174.02 (2.29%)

Gainers decimated losers on the day, 5265-1295. The new highs, new lows numbers were simply amazing: 1343 new highs; perhaps more amazing were the 112 new lows. From where did those come?

Volume was exceptional, for once, though considering that the Fed has only begun to pump nearly a trillion dollars into the stock market, we could see volume spikes which dwarf this in weeks and months to come. Today was a day to just pick some stocks you like and throw a bunch of money at them. They're almost guaranteed to go up. Even Bank of America (BAC) was up nearly 5%, despite the news that they may be on the hook for over $120 Billion in mortgage put-backs. In other words, the bank will be munching on those loans for years to come and, in fact, their exposure is probably more on the order of double or triple that.

NASDAQ Volume 2,533,570,750.00
NYSE Volume 6,609,444,500

The good news is that gold and silver went off like rockets today as well, because the really smart money (which gold and silver are) is into this space in expectation of enormous inflation and destruction of the dollar and other currencies. Gold was up $44.10, hitting a new all-time record high of $1392.90. Silver, in percentage terms, did even better, gaining $1.53, to $26.37, as JP Morgan and HSBC face criminal and class action lawsuits related to shorting and manipulating the silver market. Ouchie for them; great for anyone who loves silver.

It's a wild world out there; every man, woman and child for themselves.

Just a note in the wind. Keep an eye on House of Representative member Ron Paul, and his newly-elected Senator son, Rand. I'm promoting a Paul-Paul ticket for president and VP in 2012. A father-son team in the White House. Looks like a natural to me.

Oh, and never mind that unemployment claims were up 20,000 this week, to 457,000. That number will grow ever larger, likely to surpass 500,000 in December or by late January at the latest, while the stock market soars. Hey, who needs employees when you've got the Fed's printing presses on your side.

Tomorrow's non-farm payroll report for October should be a non-event, as will most fabricated economic data from now on. with money creation out the wazoo, there's no sense in measuring anything except the thickness of your bankroll.

Yippie! We're all going to be rich!

Quickly, the News and QE2 and You

The news from the election front from last night: Republicans take control of House of Representatives, have a majority of roughly 60 seats. Democrats retained control of the Senate, though barely. 51 confirmed Democrats, enough to thwart any advances made by the newly-Republican House, guarantees the gridlock which will plunge the nation deeper into depression.

Obama, now neutered, leaves Thursday on a 10-day trip to India.

The FOMC kept rates unchanged at ZERO. The Fed did announce that it would be making additional purchases of Treasuries and other bonds to add to its already bloated balance sheet. Essentially, the Fed - though they won't say this in so many words - is sopping up more government debt and bad MBS from BofA, JP Morgan Chase, Citigroup and Wells Fargo.

The Fed announced that the size of what's known as QE2 (Quantitative Easing, Round 2) will be $600 billion, spread over eight months, or, additional purchases of $75 billion per month, beginning now and ending in June, 2011. All this amounts to, since the money will never actually be lent into circulation, is that the Fed is even more now the buyer of bad debts of last resort, the bag-holder for the broken banking community and bankrupt government.

Even if this money were to go into circulation, the effect of it, in simple terms, would be an additional $250 per month for every person in America. Now, for a family of four, that would be $1000, but the money will supposedly stop in June of next year. Were the Fed to actually do this, instead of playing their silly "we're so smart, you don't understand economics" game, it would actually be a short-term boost to the economy, but would not create a single job nor produce any desirable long-term result.

It would be similar to cash-for-clunkers or the $8000 home-buyer tax credit, a short-term boost, which basically steals sales from the future. In reality, when it ends (it probably won't) there will be a market correction, though, since it won't really end and isn't really stimulative since it's just journal entries and money changing hands between the banks and the Fed, the only real effect will be on the stock market, which is expected to rise because that's where the banks will invest their money.

Yes, it's a Ponzi scheme.

The market reaction to the major news that the Republican party had seized control of the House and the Fed's QE2: Not much.

Dow 11,215.13, +26.41 (0.24%)
NASDAQ 2,540.27, +6.75 (0.27%)
S&P 500 1,197.96, +4.39 (0.37%)
NYSE Composite 7,608.41, +26.27 (0.35%)
NASDAQ Volume 2,018,516,000.00
NYSE Volume 5,412,413,000.0

Advancing issues topped decliners, 3685-2692. There were 628 new highs to 84 new lows. Volume was a little more robust than normal, as evidence that the PPT is still operating behind the scenes appeared after the Fed announcement. Stocks slid quickly, then were boosted back to the positive. Apparently, some quants and hedge funds were unimpressed with the measly $600 billion pledged by the Fed, but the PPT quickly stepped in and quelled the uprising.

Commodites were little changed, though crude is getting a little out of hand, reaching $84.69 on a gain of 79 cents today. $90 per barrel appears to be the target, exacerbated by the weakening dollar. Gold was kept in check, down $8.70, to $1348.80, along with silver, a loser of 10 cents, to $24.84.

The Fed's QE2 is a curiosity to many, though to those in the know, it's nothing other than a temporary loan to the US economy to keep the powers that be in power for some time longer. It staves off the eventual economic collapse that many Americans are feeling first-hand and allows the government and the banks cover for more theft and stripping of middle class wealth.

Conventional wisdom says that commodities will rise if the currency is debased, though, since QE2 is not de facto currency debasement - a nice try, but no cigar - deflation will commence with renewed vigor, further depressing all asset classes outside of stocks, and that would include commodities and precious metals by definition.

Ergo, cash is once again king. Bookmark this post and check back in a few months to see if I'm not right. We will not have runaway inflation. The Fed is afraid of deflation and with good cause, but they are also too timid to actually confront it with blunt force, so they tip-toe towards it, throwing not enough money at it which the deflation monster merrily chomps upon, following the Fed down the primrose path to depression.

Cash is king again. Watch the dollar index rise.