Friday, January 29, 2021

Wall Street Trench Warfare Pits Millennials Against Hedge Funds, Brokerages, the "System"

Publisher's Note: A few words about our friend, Mother Nature, whose angry side we witnessed firsthand Tuesday morning around 2:00 am when our mountain abode was shuddered by a massive lightning strike. Barely avoiding the main house, the multi-pronged assault did the most damage by rupturing a propane gas line which erupted into flame with a loud boom that awakened most of our neighbors, one of whom is a fireman who responded with miraculous speed.

The fire was quelled by quick-thinking responders who shut the gas off at the tank, limiting the damage to an eight-foot wooden gate on the fence line. Upon daybreak, we began to assess the electrical damage, which amounted to quite a bit, including the frying of the AT&T internet modem, Dish TV modem along with the wiring to the dish itself which took one of the strikes directly, the entirely of an expensive audio center, two ceiling fan motors, a refrigerator, a furnace circuit board, an internet extender unit, and a small number of lights.

Indeed, we were fortunate that the damage was so limited, the sudden clap of electrical force serving as a not-so-gentle reminder of how fragile and conductive is our modern way of living. After two days of various repair trucks and service people in and out, life returned mostly to normal late Thursday. The insurance company is soon to be writing a fairly large check.

File this post under "better late than never," homage to resilience and Yankee ingenuity.

Over the past few days, the investing community has been treated to the tragi-comedy of millennial RobinHooders and other miscreant day-trading types versus the mighty force of hedge fund short-sellers (Citadel, part owner of Melvin Capital, among others) over shares of GameStop (GME), the failing gaming retailer. With wealthy billionaire hedge fund operators looking to cash in on the woes of the firm, thousands of small retail investors, purportedly organizing on Reddit, took them to task, buying up shares of the ill-fated company and boosting the price, causing the short-side hedgies to cover, suffering billions of dollars in forced buying.

From mid-morning Tuesday to the close on Thursday, shares of GameStop were whipsawed every which way, starting in the high 80s to close Tuesday at 145, then opening Wednesday at 327, eventually reaching a peak of 468 early Thursday morning.

That's when - with losses into the $$ billions - the unthinkable happened. Apparently at the behest of the doomed hedge fund managers, Robinhood and other brokerages - including TD Ameritrade, Webull, Merrill Edge, and others - began limiting trading and options on GameStop and other companies (AMC, BB, BBBY, EXPR, GME, KOSS, NAKD, and NOK) targeted by the millennial horde to sell only or raising margin requirements as high as 300%, in some cases closing out positions without notice to clients. In a little over an hour, the share price on GME fell from 468 to 112, eventually bouncing back over 300, but finally closing out Thursday at 193.60.

The story does not end there, however. While the hedge funds were being bailed out by the brokerages, retail investors were claiming "foul," obviously annoyed over the ham-fisted approach to the perception of fairness in "open" markets. It appears that Wall Street trading houses will allow unlimited losses to small investors, but when it comes to whales like hedge funds, they'll willingly step in to staunch declines.

Such action obviously is not sitting well with the general public nor the damaged retail millennial crowd. At least one lawsuit has been filed and congressional dog-and-pony shows are upcoming. It's safely assumed that no Wall Street persona will suffer anything more than having to be publicly berated and forced to contribute to a number of election campaigns. Such is the technocratic justice that prevails.

In the meantime, the wealthy hedgies are now forewarned that their activities in the market are not going to be tolerated by the retail crowd which has served notice that they can and will organize in monetary assault. The hallowed canyons of Wall Street have become the site of open economic class warfare, a drama which is likely to end well for nobody. In so far as the recent action have amounted to minor initial skirmishes, escalation of this unique economic trench warfare is to be expected.

In pre-market trading, GME is up 154 points, to 348. This battle is far from over.

Robinhood and other brokerages have freed up trading in the affected companies, according to reports. Robinhood has tapped into its liquidity, borrowing from JPMorgan Chase and Goldman Sachs.

From the looks of things, there's likely to be more losers than winners in this battle.


Two days of an internet outage afforded the distinct displeasure of reading the stupid little book. COVID-19 The Great Reset by Klaus Schwab and Thierry Malleret. If only to spare readers any wasted moments on what amounts to child-like writing (maybe fifth grade level) by supposed intellectuals who espouse to instruct world leaders and commoners alike how to prosper from the pandemic, this review will be sparingly brief.

The authors (shuddering at dignifying them thusly) take vague suppositions on various issues such as "climate change" (which is a foremost topic for them), governance, mental health, environmentalism and other worldly subjects and expand them into a tapestry of pandemic behaviors seen through a prism of time between January and June of 2020. Their focus on digitization, lockdowns (which they frighteningly refer to as confinement), control, and taking advantage of the situation is perversely anti-human and gravely mistaken.

Schwab and Malleret suggest, ad nauseum, that the advent of COVID-19 brought with it hopeful possibilities for governments, businesses, and individuals to rethink, retool, and reset their environment and practices. Nearly completely disregarding the medical missteps and personal devastation, the evidence and advice springs from the Rahm Emanuel principle of "...never let a crisis go to waste," which is in itself a sick, cynical world view. There's no concrete evidence or proposals offered. The whole 190 pages of boring, run-on text and 20 pages of footnotes includes a dizzying array of if (found on 73 pages), and, but (143 pages), could (85), might (44), may (89) propositions and no concrete solutions to anything.

While it's refreshing to realize through the reading that Schwab, founder of the World Economic Forum (WEF), is not some crazed Nazi holdout bent on world domination, but rather a fuzzy teddy bear without much purpose or brain power, the other side of the coin says this book should not be on anybody's reading list. In fact, it should never have been written. That's why there's no link HERE to the free PDF, as it might encourage some to engage. Forget it. Dustbin of history stuff, it is.

While at the literary latrine, it would be a shame not to leak just how painful it was to see and hear youth poet laureate, Amanda Gorman, recite her trite, mixed metaphorical nonsense, "The Hill We Climb" at the fake inaugural last week. While the poem itself offered a garbled message of hope and desperation, it was decidedly non-inclusive and unwelcome to large swaths of people, particularly white ones.

It's not OK to elevate black girls to high positions when they reference their color, slavery, and inflammatory lines such as:

We've seen a force that would shatter our nation
rather than share it
Would destroy our country if it meant delaying democracy
And this effort very nearly succeeded
But while democracy can be periodically delayed
it can never be permanently defeated

... as Americanism without punctuation. It's gaslighting.

Basically, give it a break. Americans are truly tired of being reminded of how evil, insensitive, and racist we are.

Just for good measure, a reminder that "double-masking" is doubly stupid.

At the Close, Wednesday, January 27, 2021:
Dow: 30,303.17, -633.87 (-2.05%)
NASDAQ: 13,270.60, -355.47 (-2.61%)
S&P 500: 3,750.77, -98.85 (-2.57%)
NYSE: 14,487.73, -379.64 (-2.55%)

At the Close, Thursday, January 28, 2021:
Dow: 30,603.36, +300.19 (+0.99%)
NASDAQ: 13,337.16, +66.56 (+0.50%)
S&P 500: 3,787.38, +36.61 (+0.98%)
NYSE: 14,669.52, +181.79 (+1.25%)

Tuesday, January 26, 2021

World Economic Forum Opens on Virtual Platform

Publisher's Note: A lightning strike overnight has our electrical on emergency use only, so this is going to be brief. Apologies.

On Monday, the World Economic Forum opened "Virtual Davos" with a series of speeches and affirmations.

The World Economic Forum will convene the Special Annual Meeting 2021 in Singapore from 25-28 May. It will return to Davos-Klosters, Switzerland, for the Annual Meeting 2022. The Special Annual Meeting 2021 in Singapore will be the first global leadership event to address worldwide recovery from the pandemic.

If you want to follow the events - all online - at Virtual Davos this week, start with the Davos Agenda 2021.

At the Close, Monday, January 25, 2021:
Dow: 30,960.00, -36.98 (-0.12%)
NASDAQ: 13,635.99, +92.13 (+0.69%)
S&P 500: 3,855.36, +13.89 (+0.36%)
NYSE: 14,935.29, -16.55 (-0.11%)

Sunday, January 24, 2021

WEEKEND WRAP: Biden Takes Oath; Stocks Pause, Bonds Flat; Earnings Season in Full Swing

On Wednesday, Joe Biden took the presidential oath of office, making him the 46th president of the United States. The inauguration went off without a hitch, which was to be expected, considering there were more than 25,000 National Guards on duty across the District of Columbia, protecting the president and assembled dignitaries from some supposed threat, which, since the whole narrative was complete fiction, never materialized.

Neither white supremacists, ANTIFA or BLM radicals or even Daughters of the Republic showed up for the event, which more resembled a bad "made for TV movie" than the usual pomp and circumstance associated with the peaceful transition of power. It was so bad, there were more people awaiting President Trump's arrival in Florida than there were at Joe Biden's inauguration.

Trump didn't attend the inauguration. He left hours beforehand, aboard Air Force One. According to verifiable sources, he took the nuclear codes with him. Biden doesn't have the nuclear codes, probably never will, and his members of his administration are barred from the Pentagon, also verified.

There are still, at this writing, some 7,000 National Guardsmen on duty in the nation's capitol, which is quizzical, since there was no threat of violence at the big event, and no intelligence to expect any. The fences encompassing the National Mall, White House, Capitol, and Supreme Court are still up. The desolate city looks more like a third world prison camp than the seat of national power.

What the new president did right away was sign away some executive orders, mostly designed to reverse EOs issued by President Trump. EOs don't carry the weight of law. Biden's signings are designed to set the country back four years, and, despite what he says about uniting the country, don't exactly exude that Kumbaya feeling.

In response, stocks, in the first two full trading days since the inauguration, took a left turn. See closing prices below:

Index: 1/20/2021 / 1/22/2021
Dow: 31,188.38 / 30,996.98
NASDAQ: 13,457.25 / 13,543.06
S&P 500: 3,851.85 / 3,841.47
NYSE: 15,097.28 / 14,951.84

Just guessing, but, other than the NASDAQ (which always goes up because of the Tech monopoly giants (the AMFAG stocks: AAPL, MSFT, FB, AMZN, GOOG), traders seem to be less than enthralled with the direction taken by the new administration. While presidents aren't usually responsible for Wall Street antics, there is something of a correlation between policy and prices. The Biden administration is off to a rocky start.

While change has come to the federal government, some things are out of their reach, and unlikely to change. Treasuries were flat, with the 10-year yielding 1.10%, just a single basis point below the close of the prior week. The 30-year ended the week unchanged, at 1.85%.

Likewise, the surpression of precious metal prices continued, though at a somewhat subdued pace. Gold gained, from $1,829.80 to $1,855.50 (+$25.70), though it was down slightly the two days following Biden's inauguration. Silver rose from $24.87 to $25.57, a gain of 70 cents per ounce.

Oil, which hit a nine-month high of $53.57 per barrel on January 14, closed out at $51.98 on Friday, the 22nd. Could relief at the pump be at hand? Unlikely. Democrat governors, from New York's Andrew Cuomo, to Illinois' J.B. Pritzker, are reopening their economies and weather will begin to warm in another month or so, though heating costs have been mild this winter. Oil's price could moderate for a time, but by summer, it's almost certain to be above current levels.

In the crypto space, Bitcoin continues to vacillate at a level about 20% below its recent high above $42,000. Bitcoin's price fell as low as $28,732 and is holding around $32,000 currently. Etherium, the second largest coin by market cap, dipped as low as $1,039.62, but has recovered above $1,300.

Below is the Money Daily exclusive weekly survey of commonly-sold items on eBay (numismatics excluded, shipping - often free - included):

Itam: Low / High / Average / Median
1 oz silver coin: 35.00 / 50.50 / 42.17 / 42.47
1 oz silver bar: 32.25 / 47.15 / 38.57 / 38.48
1 oz gold coin: 1,952.00 / 2,046.24 / 1,999.27 / 2,007.80
1 oz gold bar: 1,950.00 / 1,986.49 / 1,966.96 / 1,965.94

For historical price data go HERE.

Of interest looking ahead, the coming week is the heart of earnings season, as companies release 4th quarter 2020 and full year results. Among the companies reporting this week are some heavyweights, as shown below.

Monday: (before open) Kimberly-Clark (KMB); (after close) Xilinx (XLNX), Yamana Gold (AUY)

Tuesday: (before open) UBS AG (UBS), 3M (MMM), D.R. Horton (DHI), General Electric (GE), Johnson & Johnson (JNJ), American Express (AXP), Lockheed Martin (LMT), Verizon (VZ); (after close) Texas Instruments (TXN), Capital One (COF), Starbucks (SBUX), Advanced Micro Devices (AMD), Microsoft (MSFT)

Wednesday: (before open) Blackstone (BX), AT&T (T), Teledyne (TDY), General Dynamics (GD), Boeing (BA); (after close) Facebook (FB), Las Vegas Sands (LVS), Tesla (TSLA), Apple (AAPL), Teradyne (TER), Raymond James (RJF)

Thursday: (before open) Dow Chemical (DOW), Stanley Black & Decker (SWK), Tractor Supply Company (TSCO), PulteGroup (PHM), Southwest Airlines (LUV), McDonald's (MCD), Altria (MO), American Airlines (AAL), Sherwin-Williams (SHW), Alliance Data Systems (ADS), Nucor (NUE), Mastercard (MA); (after close) Celanese (CE), Visa (V), Beazer Homes (BZH), US Steel (X)

Friday: (before open) Weyerhaeuser (WY), Caterpillar (CAT), Eli Lilly (ELI), Honeywell (HON), Synchrony Financial (SYF), Chevron (CVX), Colgate-Palmolive (CL)

At the Close, Friday, January 22, 2021:
Dow: 30,996.98, -179.03 (-0.57%)
NASDAQ: 13,543.06, +12.15 (+0.09%)
S&P 500: 3,841.47, -11.60 (-0.30%)
NYSE: 14,951.84, -67.21 (-0.45%)

For the Week:
Dow: +182.72 (+0.59%)
NASDAQ: +544.56 (+4.19%)
S&P 500: +73.22 (+1.94%)
NYSE: +57.68 (+0.39%)

Friday, January 22, 2021

Radio Silence; Stocks Looking for Lower Open

Appearances can be misleading.

While the military occupation of the District of Columbia (DC) is now winding down, about 7,000 members of the National Guard will remain until the end of January, according to Air Force Maj. Matthew Murphy, a spokesman for the National Guard.

Fences around the Capitol, White House and National Mall are still up, even though the inauguration of Joe Biden is over with, having occurred on Wednesday, without incident.

Biden is busy signing executive orders, though a few constitutional experts express doubt that they will have any binding effect.

In any case, life goes on. Stocks continued to be soft on Thursday and are poised to open sharply to the downside Friday. Dow futures are off more than 200 points with just minutes to go before the opening bell.

Gotta run.

Enjoy the Show.

At the Close, Thursday, January 21, 2021:
Dow: 31,176.01, -12.37 (-0.04%)
NASDAQ: 13,530.92, +73.67 (+0.55%)
S&P 500: 3,853.07, +1.22 (+0.03%)
NYSE: 15,019.05, -78.23 (-0.52%)

Thursday, January 21, 2021

Economic Policies to Expect from Joe Biden's Administration and How to Deal with Them

This article is opinion. The views expressed within are not necessarily the views of the author, Money Daily, Downtown Magazine or any of its reporters, editors or publishers or their associates or partners.

It's official, though it is illegitimate. Joe Biden and Kamala Harris were sworn in by Chief Justice John Roberts as president and vice president of the United States.

Being that Justice Roberts is a compromised individual incapable of rendering sound judgements and the Biden/Harris ticket won the 2016 presidential election only by using underhanded, illegal, fraudulent means, this presidency is wholly illegitimate. In other words, about half the people who voted in the election - and plenty more who didn't bother to vote - believe it was a fraud, the votes cast for the various candidates were never audited or verified, and the legislatures which sent the electors to the electoral college were blindsided with phony voting records. The US Senate, which is full of scoundrels, thieves, liars, grifters, and common crooks verified the bogus slates of electors not because they believed them to be true but because doing so was expedient towards covering up a boatload of crimes against humanity and the American people who they are sworn to represent, but don't.

All of this has been well established in the alternative media, since the mainstream media issues only propaganda and chooses to cover only stories which are palatable to their chosen narrative. The courts - full of judges who can easily be bought off, threatened, or otherwise compelled to render rulings favorable to a chosen side - failed to do their duty to render justice without prejudice, so they're likewise disqualified on any and all moral arguments in terms of fairness, knowledge of facts, equity, or law.

Now that it's understood that within the federal government exists a dazzling amount of deceit and corruption, making sense of the new administration's policies and how to deal with them in a fashion beneficial not to them, but to individuals, corporations, trusts, and estates which will be affected can be fleshed out in a logical manner.

The overall thrust of the Biden administration's economic policies will be more favorable to the government than to the people. Those policies which are not favorable to individuals may, to a large extent, be favorable to huge, uncontrolled, publicly-held corporations, many of which are listed on the major US stock exchanges.

It should be noted that the term "publicly-held corporation" is somewhat of a misnomer, as shares of these corporations are not widely held by the at-large public, but by financial firms, banks, insurance companies, mutual funds, ETFs, and other investment vehicles which are the playthings of extremely wealthy (billionaires) individuals who are mostly shielded by shell corporations designed to evade or inhibit taxation.

There is overwhelming evidence that legacy legislation - that which has been on the "books" for years, decades, or longer - has been, as suits its needs, altered, molded, revised, and otherwise distorted to benefit mainly the government or its friendly conspirators. This is easily recognizable by the volumes of legislation, laws, rules, regulations, codes, and citations routinely churned out by congress and agencies operating under it or the executive branch.

The US income tax code (Title 26) under which the IRS operates is nearly 17,000 pages long and contains an estimated 5.5 million words. It would take an average reader, reading non-stop, 24 hours a day, more than 16 days to read the entire monstrosity. Understanding it would take orders of magnitude longer, so it would take an individual somewhere around a year to have a comprehensive understanding. Since doing anything 24 hours a day for a year is impossible, even reading the document, taking notes and understanding it all, working on it a mere eight hours a day, would comprise the better part of three years and during that time, congress and various agencies would have added, changed or annotated much of it. The complete US tax code is more than 90,000 pages long. Comprehending all of it would take 20 years or longer.

Basically, it's hopeless, but one still cannot argue ignorance of the law as a defense for not paying your taxes properly.

Biden's team, with plenty of help from congress, is sure to raise taxes on individuals in a manner which the ordinary working man or woman cannot escape. This is well known and yet another rationale that the general public did not vote for them as doing so would constitute illogical acts in opposition to self-interest. The people who will be hurt the most by Biden's tax hikes will be the middle class, those earning between $20,000 and $150,000 a year, with most of the damage occurring at the upper end of that range. Currently, there are seven tax brackets. Biden's people may want to decrease that down to five, because of science or fairness or some other lame excuse. What they're likely to do is jack up the lower end (currently 12% for people earning between roughly $10,000 and $40,000) to 15 or 18% and then combine the next two brackets ($40,000 to $185,000) into one, at 27 to 30 percent, and after that, everybody pays 34 to 40%.

Yes, it's going to be wonderful for the government until they realize the level of straight-up, honest compliance will slip considerably. More people will cheat, hide income, or just refuse. There's likely to be so many people refusing to pay taxes that the IRS won't be able to keep up with the non-filers, late filers or tax protesters.

Never mind that no matter how much revenue the government receives in taxes it will never be enough to satisfy their voracious appetite for other people's money. The Biden administration, along with congress, will likely manage to make the fiscal 2020 budget deficit of $3.1 trillion look like child's play.

The 2021 deficit is already approaching $600 billion in just the first three months of the fiscal year and that figure does not include the $900 billion recently approved by congress in December's COVID relief bill. President Quid Pro Joe has proposed another $1.9 trillion stimulus package, so once congress gets back to work - ostensibly around or after the Super Bowl (Feb. 7) or the State of the Union (SOTU) speech (Feb 2 or 9) - expect the budget deficit to at least double just on one piece of legislation.

Some good news here is that the SOTU speech is expected to be one of the shortest ever, given that aging Joe Biden can't stand upright for more than maybe 30 minutes. There's also a good chance that he might just skip it, being that he's so new to the job.

Small businesses, those that remain following the repeated lockdowns and other enterprise-killing restrictions imposed as remedies to the hated (but still non-lethal) coronavirus, will be taxed and regulated to death. Hardest hit will be LLCs, only because they are the most popular form of business entity, but upcoming tax legislation will also negatively affect sole proprietors, partnerships, and small corporations, whether they be C or S or professional corporations. Non-profits are likely to be hoovered up into the corporate tax nightmare because they traditionally have been afforded many loopholes and the Biden administration purportedly can't have that. You may give $100 to a charity, but at least $20 to $40 of it will go to he government by the time Biden's team is done.

Any other federal tax that can be raised, will be. That means gasoline tax, FCC tax on cell phones and all those other taxes hidden in your utility bills, insurance policies, cable bills, and so forth will all go up anywhere from 10 to 30 percent.

Expect all the various federal, state (let's not forget them), and local taxes to eat up a good 45 to 65% of an individual's income, depending on state and city of residence. After the income taxes, hidden taxes and fees, state sales taxes and property taxes will take another huge chunk.

At the top of the heap are the big corporations, to which Biden has raised a middle finger, promising to raise corporate tax rates to 28%. Naturally, there will be various loopholes and exemptions for favored entities. Any company claiming to be "green" or "LGBTQ" will get breaks. The rest will get bricks.

And let's not forget that it was Joe Biden who originally helped create legislation to tax seniors via Social Security, and then later to increase that tax. Even though he's a senior citizen himself, Joe doesn't actually like old people, other than as tax slaves. Joe's only interest is in fattening his own wallet, and that's best accomplished by taking it from you.

On the bright side, Biden's nominee for Treasury Secretary is former Federal Reserve Chair, Janet Yellen. In addition to loose bowels, Yellen offered loose monetary policy during her stint at the Fed and promises to fulfill her role as chief destroyer of the value of the US dollar with the most dovish fiscal policy in the history of government. She's already advised the president and congress to "go big" on the stimulus package and she recently spooked the markets with talk of 50-year treasury bonds. If Yellen lasts more than a year on the job, she'll be lobbying for UBI (Universal Basic Income) and digital currency (FedCoin) along with negative interest rates.

Janet Yellen will be an absolute disaster for the US in terms of fiscal policy. Nobody will want to buy US bonds. The Fed will own them all, which, actually, could be the plan anyway.

So, overall, the federal government is going to take a wrecking ball to the US economy while at the same time skimming as much as possible from income producers and wage earners.

Advice? Good luck.

Anybody who gets a regular paycheck is completely screwed. The money comes right out of your paycheck before you even see it.

Own a business? Close it. Thinking of starting a business? Either go all cash or get a frontal lobotomy because you're insane. Investors should also be on the lookout for falling stock prices. They're at record levels already and the Biden administration is out to destroy every aspect of financial prosperity in America, though, admittedly, the stock market may offer some vestige of relief because that’s where the oligarchs play.

Anybody with the welfare of themselves and/or their family would do well to move to a "red" state with low taxes, out of cities and away from population centers greater than 50,000. Escaping to another country may be a preferred route should one have the ability.

Times up here. Gotta go.

At the Close, Wednesday, January 20, 2021:
Dow: 31,188.38, +257.86 (+0.83%)
NASDAQ: 13,457.25, +260.07 (+1.97%)
S&P 500: 3,851.85, +52.94 (+1.39%)
NYSE: 15,097.28, +109.94 (+0.73%)