Showing posts with label Angelo Mozilo. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Angelo Mozilo. Show all posts

Friday, October 15, 2010

Bennie Talks, Angelo Walks, BofA Balks

Our markets are indeed funny creatures. After the Fed issued a $4.7 billion POMO, all the cumputers went out and bought shares of Apple (AAPL), the darling of the tech sector and the one stock - according to some estimates - that makes up 20% of the entire NASDAQ every day in volume.

Apple was up more than 4% on the day in anticipation of earnings which come out on Monday, Oct. 18.

Share of Google were catapulted into the stratosphere, up 60 points (11%) to just over $600 per share after the company reported earnings that beat aggressive estimates for the third quarter.

Otherwise, the rest of the market wasn't very impressed with Ben Bernanke's speech in which he almost gushed openly about QE2 and the need to re-inflate the economy. In other words, Ben simply can't wait to print up more money and debase the currency further.

One little problem - well, two - with Ben's strategy is that interest rates are already at record low levels and people are still reluctant to spend, and, that second little annoyance: unemployment continues to hang around the 10% level and isn't seen improving until sometime in... well, make your best guess.

So, besides the ultra-bubbly-looking NASDAQ stocks, the rest of the market drifted below the unchanged mark for almost the entire session. The Dow ended lower, the NASDAQ was on a launch pad and the S&P barely budged. What all of this is saying is that there's a great deal of dislocation between the stocks, the indices and investors. Divergence is usually a good harbinger for an impending crash, to which we alerted the world yesterday. We're still on that tack, but POMO, QE2, elections and jerry-rigging the markets aren't going to help achieve the desired unwind.

Angelo Mozilo, former head of former Countrywide Financial, settled his SEC case for $67 million, along with two of his henchmen, Eric Sieracki and David Sambol. The coverup and deceit of the federal agencies continues. There is still an open DOJ criminal investigation, but with the invisible man, Eric Holder, not particularly interested in prosecuting anybody for anything, the chances of it being dropped are approaching 100%.

As usual, nobody admitted any guilt and the odd twist is that Bank of America, which bought the company in 2007, will pay a good deal of the disgorgement and fines.

Prior to the Mozilo deal, BofA had already been downgraded by Standard and Poors, from a buy to a hold. The stock skidded all day, along with other bank stocks associated to the foreclosure fraud issues which continue to be played out, talked about and eventually likely will be extensively litigated.

Dow 11,062.78, -31.79 (0.29%)
NASDAQ 2,468.77, +33.39 (1.37%)
S&P 500 1,176.19, +2.38 (0.20%)
NYSE Composite 7,520.60, -25.99 (0.34%)
NASDAQ Volume 2,246,778,000
NYSE Volume 6,512,256,500


Despite the split decision in the indices, declining issues led advancers by an unhealthy amount, 3625-2778. New highs continued to dominate new lows, 607-65, though it is notable that the number of new lows is beginning to rise off absurd lows in the 20s, now up two straight days. Volume was very strong, though this being an options expiration day on top of the fat fiat money sent through on the POMO, that's not unexpected.

For a change, the major commodities were all lower. Oil lost $1.44, to $81.25. Gold fell $5.60, to $1,372.00. Even silver, which has been on a tremendous tear, shed 15 cents, to $24.29, still mighty pricey.

With elections just twelve trading days away, we anxiously await the essential "October surprise" moment. Will it be in the form of a market crash, a terror event or a political gaffe.

Ladies and gents, place your bets and have a nice weekend. Take the Jets!

Thursday, June 4, 2009

Stocks Up, Outlook Still Cloudy; Retail Sales Horrible

Investors took little time this morning putting stocks back on a positive path, after initial jobless claims came in lower for the 4th consecutive week. Gains were broad-based, though marginal in most cases, with all indices trading in very narrow ranges. The Dow, for instance, traversed just 116 points from the morning low to the afternoon high, finishing close to the top and near recent highs.

Without much to move the markets, stocks were fairly settled as investors seem to be on hold for now, at least awaiting word from the Labor Dept. on May job losses, released tomorrow at 8:30 am EDT. That number should not be much of a surprise, as there's little to indicate that job losses are going to narrow appreciably. The consensus estimate is for about 525,000 more jobs being shed from the pool in the prior month.

Financials led the way again, with Bank of America and Citigroup both gaining more than 5% by the close, providing a significant boost to the Dow Jones Industrials. General Motors was officially removed at the end of the day, as it will now trade over the counter, under the symbol, GMGMQ.PK. Citigroup will also exit as of Monday. The two Dow components will be replaced by Cisco Systems (CSCO) and Travelers Insurance (TRV).

Apparently of less importance to investors were the ugly retail sales figures released by a number of America's largest chain stores. Same-store sales for a group of 30 retailers fell 4.8% from a year ago. The numbers for some of the nation's best-known stores were horrific, reflecting the reality of a declining economy in a deflationary environment. Limited Brands fell 7%; Gap, down 6%; Abercrombie and Fitch collapsed 28%; Dillard's was down 12%; Macy's fell 9.1%; Nordstrom's sales were of 13.1%; Sak's was down 26.6%. even discounters Target and Costco were off by 6.1% and 7%, respectively.

The retail figures underscore the disconnect between Washington, Wall Street and Main Street. While the pols in D.C. and the monied financiers in New York continue to preach that the economy is recovering, real life experience is posting a different message altogether. The condition is becoming particularly acute, and can be seen in the strain for stocks to gain further momentum. Add to the retail woes the coming closure of nearly 4000 auto dealerships by Chrysler and GM and the condition can only deteriorate over the near term.

Dow 8,750.24, +74.96 (0.86%)
NASDAQ 1,850.02, +24.10 (1.32%)
S&P 500 942.46, +10.70 (1.15%)
NYSE Composite 6,110.76, +76.86 (1.27%)


Advancing issues finished well ahead of decliners, 4769-1643, a rather large bias considering the paucity of gains. New highs barely beat new lows, 66-65, so the indicator remains poised to signal either a renewal of the rally or the beginning of a precipitous decline. Volume was a touch higher than Wednesday's, though still not remarkable and thus, not signaling anything.

NYSE Volume 1,358,776,000
NASDAQ Volume 2,488,895,000


Commodities completely reversed yesterday's performance, with nearly everything gaining in value. Oil rose $2.69, to $68.81. Gold was higher by $16.70, to $982.30, with silver up 59 cents to $15.90.

Tomorrow's non-farm payroll report could be significant, no matter which way the numbers are interpreted, though it's becoming increasingly clear that stocks cannot go much higher without support from the real world. Investors are either living in a dream world or seeing a different new reality, obscure to most Americans.

In the best news of the day, former Countrywide CEO, Angelo Mozillo and two other top executives were formally charged with fraud and insider trading by the SEC. It is a civil lawsuit, but may pave the way for the Justice Department to file criminal charges. Mozilo is the first and only executive to be charged with any crimes stemming from the subprime and general banking crisis.