Showing posts with label income disparity. Show all posts
Showing posts with label income disparity. Show all posts

Wednesday, March 27, 2013

Income Inequality Killing America, or, Is It Already Dead?

Once again, just so we all get it straight: stock markets are not necessarily reflective of the underlying economy. That point was driven home with a lead hammer today, when European and US stocks fell out of bed and into an early dive only to rally the rest of the day and finish close to unchanged (US stocks, at least).

Most European bourses were down hard in the early going, but rallied into the close. Reasons for the swan song for stocks were the ongoing crisis in Cyprus and instability in Italy, which has been operating without a government for months and appears to be ready to do so for many months more.

As for why stocks regained some of the losses throughout the various trading sessions, the acronym, BTD, would suffice, as in "Buy the Dip," which has become shorthand for day-trading insiders making money while there's still some not being confiscated in a bank reorganization.

Meanwhile, Cyprus (where the local stock market has been tanking for four years, down 96%, so we should have seen this coming) prepares for a decade or longer of depression as planes flew euros in from the continent to shore up the banks and ATMs, which will open tomorrow. The rules, however, have changed. Cheques cannot be cashed, only deposited; the limit on daily withdrawals is 300 euros, and not more than 3000 euros can leave the island on one's person. Thus has the troika enslaved and imprisoned the million of so residents of the once-beautiful Mediterranean island.

But, unless one is still convinced that what is happening in Cyprus and, to a lesser extent, along the southern periphery of Europe can't happen in the United States, there are certainly enough examples of debt-slavery, capital destruction and other assorted miseries that come with a declining economy to convince most of the "recovery" die-hards that the US is more likely mired in a recession (and has been since 2008) than experiencing a recovery.

All one has to do to verify this condition is open one's eyes to what's going on in one's own town or city, as Jim Quinn eloquently lays out in his essay titled Available. Empty strip malls, for sale and lease signs everywhere, shuttered storefronts and vacant commercial developments are just the tip of the iceberg Quinn sees heading directly toward the USS Titanic, ending in the complete blow-up of the Federal Reserve's balance sheet. It's a great read.

This article by David Cay Johnston, details the extent of wealth inequality in America over the past 50 years - how it has grown, improving the lives of those in the top 10% and the top 1%, while impoverishing just about everybody else.

According to Johnston's article - published in January - the average gain in annual income since 1966 for the bottom 90% in America was an astonishingly-small $59. Read that again. FIFTY-NINE DOLLARS. Now, consider how much taxes and inflation have eroded disposable income and spending power and one begins to see clearly how America's "wealth curve" is distorted - toward the rich.

Here's an example comment that sends the point home:

I wish my father were still alive to see this. I always used to tell him that it was easier to make a good living back in his peak earning years - 1955-1975 - than mine - 1985-2005 - but he never wanted to believe that the America he fought for in WWII was any different now than then.

He stubbornly stuck to his preferred line of reasoning, all the while watching single-earner households evolve into double-earner debt traps, inflation, stagflation, recession, government regulation and bungling, even as it got harder and harder for him to make decent money in his later years.

Now I know why my general acceptance of prices has been stuck somewhere around a 1974 level, when a new car cost $3500-6000, a two bedroom apartment was $400 and a steak dinner ran about $6-8. Because my income has been stuck there thanks to inflation. Back in 1975, I was making about $350 a week and had plenty of money left over after regular expenses. Guess what? I'm making a little more than that now - about $500 - but it's a struggle to get by. Taxes went way up since then, along with gas, food, rent and just about everything else.

Now, greed and loopholes may be great for the .001%, but inflation has truly wrecked our middle class and society.

And the wreckage continues.

Now it becomes clear as to why the stock markets continue to rise to record levels as the general economy crumbles into ruins. The top 10% of Americans own 50% of the stock market. They're living in a parallel universe, one in which their profits are earned by plundering the lower, middle and even the upper-middle classes.

So-called "conservative" commentators might say statements like that spark class warfare, but that's what the upper class has been engaged in for many years. They've waged an economic war on the rest of America, thanks to short-sighted tax policies that heavily favor the rich. How can anyone find anything "conservative" about promoting distortions in income that threaten the American way of life?

Here's a must-see video on the topic.

Wealth Inequality in America (this video has gone viral over the past month)



That should be enough for today. In case you want to keep believing mainstream television media instead of what you can see with your own two eyes, then remain in your deluded non-reality of willful ignorance. The rest of us must begin to move on, outside the debt-servitude structure imposed upon us by government at all levels and into something that's more sustainable and self-reliant.

Stocks, bonds, bank deposits? Keep 'em. What the truly enlightened are now stocking up on are gold (silver), guns and grub (seeds, gardens).

Dow 14,526.16, -33.49 (0.23%)
NASDAQ 3,256.52, +4.04 (0.12%)
S&P 500 1,562.85, -0.92 (0.06%)
NYSE Compos... 9,070.44, -13.27 (0.15%)
NASDAQ Volume 1,418,889,500.00 (light)
NYSE Volume 3,180,277,250 (lighter)
Combined NYSE & NASDAQ Advance - Decline: 3294-3059
Combined NYSE & NASDAQ New highs - New lows: 330-48
WTI crude oil: 96.58, +0.24
Gold: 1,606.20, +10.50
Silver: 28.61, -0.067

Monday, November 7, 2011

Euro Leads Stocks Lower, Then Higher; Income Disparity Hits Young Hardest

There are plenty of correlation trades that make plenty of sense, but perhaps the only one worth watching - from a macro perspective - is the Euro-Dollar trade because of its unique correlation to the US stock market.

Today was a prime example of how that trade controls markets, from weak hands to strong, from dead to money to risk-be-damned, full speed ahead.

As trading opened for the week, the Euro was under a great deal of stress, not only from the continuing crisis, but by way of the dual southern European national plight being waged in Greece and Italy, where both leaders - George Papandreou of Greece and Silvio Berlusconi of Italy - were rumored to be ready to step down at the drop of a falafel or calzone, so precarious their countries' dilemmas.

While Papandreou finally agreed today to step down from his post as Prime Minister in an effort for the country to form a unity government (whatever that may mean in a nation on the brink of dissolution), Berlusconi seems locked into a similar fate, given the debt issues facing his country. Bond yields have risen dramatically on Italy's benchmark 10-year bonds over recent weeks and the spread between the Italian 10-year and the 10-year German Bund hit 490 basis points today.

Also weighing on the Euro was the nearly failed auction of Euro 3 billion in bonds by the EFSF, the entity created to save European banks from catastrophe. The auction was lightly subscribed and only 2.5 billion of the bonds were sold - at a price 171 basis points over the Bund - the rest going back to the issuers at a hefty premium. The EFSF does not have enough heft to buy Italy's bonds, putting Berlusconi and his government in a very precarious position.

As the Euro sagged in the morning so did stocks in the US, as every hedge fund manager worth his or her salt is short the US dollar, a trade that provides cheap dollar liquidity to US markets but is also inherently ruinous to the long-term survivability of the world's reserve currency. As the day wore on in Europe and issues began to straighten themselves out, especially in the case of Greece, the Euro began to rise, taking the dollar down and US stocks up. Simple, Easy. A piece of cake.

The real problem with this trade - as it has been all along - is that the US is probably in better shape than Europe, which has been on the brink of a currency collapse for months, making the premise for being short the US dollar somewhat specious, or perhaps totally false, a straw man trade designed only to make the impression that all's well in the USA and keeping stocks trending higher.

Therein lies the fatal deceit of the short dollar trade. If somehow the Euro must be kept propped up - when it's true value is somewhere closer to parity with the dollar than the current 1.38:1 ratio of dollars to Euros - then the inevitability of the failure of the Euro as a currency, the EU as a common trading bloc and a massive decline in US stocks must occur. This is, without a doubt, how tightly intertwined markets now are, dangerously so, and the heads of most US banking, trading and political entities are well aware of this situation.

When the Euro blows, which it almost certainly will, US stocks will follow, and isn't that a nice, pleasant note upon which to start off your week? Of course, it gets worse. Because when stocks drop, what the middle class is going to do will make the continuing "Occupy" protests look like a kindergarten cookies and milk party. Nothing riles up a people than having their wealth pulled out from under them, and, while the bankers and politicians have thus far succeeded in keeping complete collapse a fringe argument, Europe's failings could quickly become an American nightmare.

It was revealed today just how badly broken the American system has become. Pew Research Center reported that the wealth disparity between young and old has reached its highest level ever, with "Households headed by a person 65 or older have a median net worth 47 times greater than households headed by a person under 35."

Unarguable as that fact may be, it exposes the soft underbelly of American life, wherein the elderly, otherwise known as collectors of entitlements, such as Social Security are prospering at the expense of the young, who must work hard and pay bills, debt and support their elder countrymen. It's as unfair a situation as the top 1% holding 40% of the nation's wealth, and perhaps worth fixing, with means testing, rather than turning our nation into an armed camp of elderly versus youth.

In between are the Baby Boomer generation, the first post-WWII generation to begin reaching retirement age. Some have saved, others not so much, but, as a whole, the largest segment - those born between 1950 and 1960 - are still years away from collecting a Social Security check. If one were to take a bet on just how much a person 55 to 60 years old today should expect as a monthly stipend at age 65 or 67, it would probably be wise to cut that number down by 25-45% from current expectations.

If one is inclined to believe the situation is tough right now, imagine another 50 million expecting to receive Social Security checks in coming years. The math simply does not add up unless those paying into the system are going to be taxed at 80% of their wages. It's just the truth, we're headed for even harder times ahead.

Dow 12,068.39, +85.15 (0.71%)
NASDAQ 2,695.25, +9.10 (0.34%)
S&P 500 1,261.12, +7.89 (0.63%)
NYSE Composite 7,590.43, +38.20 (0.51%)
NASDAQ Volume 1,735,945,625.00
NYSE Volume 3,629,465,250
Combined NYSE & NASDAQ Advance - Decline: 2773-2795
Combined NYSE & NASDAQ New highs - New lows: 88-64
WTI crude oil: 95.52, +1.26
Gold: 1,791.10, +35.00
Silver: 34.83, +0.74