Thursday, December 2, 2010

Trichet Promises More Money for More Banks in Europe

As the Fed's already-discredited quantitative easing (it was supposed to lower interest rates, not raise them, so we can assume Ben Bernanke was lying, again) funnels money from the Us Treasury to the Federal Reserve to the Primary Dealers (big banks), Europe has apparently taken notice and today, EU President Jean Claude Trichet announced a similar plan for the whole of the European Union, in which the ECB will purchase government (sovereign) debt outright and funnel it to the banks, which, like ours in America, are largely insolvent and lying about their financial conditions.

The race to the bottom, to devalue currency, has reached a new, more insidious stage that threatens the entire economic system of the world, in more pernicious and devious ways than the creators of sub-prime mortgages and credit default swaps could have ever imagined. With endless creation of money out of thin air, rampant inflation is inevitable, in everything except wages, that is, and possible home prices.

Choosing the path of least resistance, kicking the can down the road, so to speak, will lead to unimaginable horrors for millions of Americans and Europeans in terms of decreased buying power and slave wages, a fact that our so-called "leaders" know all too well.

With another $8 billion pumped into the coffers of the banks, Wall Street once again took off and ran with the money, pushing equity prices close to their peaks of early November.

Dow 11,362.41, +106.63 (0.95%)
NASDAQ 2,579.35, +29.92 (1.17%)
S&P 500 1,221.53, +15.46 (1.28%)
NYSE Composite 7,712.25, +108.52 (1.43%)


Advancing issues finished well ahead of decliners, 4442-2054. There were 501 new highs and 42 new lows, very similar to yesterday's figures, which implies that many of them were the very same stocks, pumped by the banks only to be dumped to the johnny-come-lately funds and individual investors. Volume was moderate, since most of the buying was by large firms with super-fast computers.

NASDAQ Volume 2,053,117,000
NYSE Volume 5,584,217,500


Commodities joined in the ramp-up. Oil gained $1.25, to $88.00. Gold was up a mere $1.00, to $1,389.30. Silver added 16 cents, to $28.57.

Tomorrow's non-farm payroll data for November should send stocks to higher highs and even more ridiculous valuations. Scheduled for 8:30 am, the fraud bankers will have plenty of time to adjust the algos on their computers for another glorious day of stock buying.

The following video contains some strong words from Vermont Senator Bernie Sanders over the increasing social inequality in America, citing how, as the middle class collapses, the top 1% earns 23.5% of all income, more than the bottom 50% of all earners. Further, the millionaires and billionaires on Wall Street are making more today, after we bailed them out, than before the bailout. It's poignant and very well worth watching.

Short Sales Helpful, But Read the Fine Print

While the economy seems to be improving, though modestly, one area of concern remains the shattered real estate market, where home prices have tumbled, homeowners owe more than their house is worth - a condition known as being "upside down" - and the recent foreclosure moratoriums by mortgage servicers like Bank of America, Ally Bank and JP Morgan Chase have slowed the pace of residential real estate sales.

With unemployment close to 10%, many homeowners are facing foreclosure and looking for ways to get out from under a financial burden they did not anticipate. One such method is a real estate short sale, which is a process by which the homeowner sells the property back to the bank at a reduced price. This often results in a win for both sides, as the bank does not have to engage in the time-consuming and costly process of foreclosure and the homeowner walks away from the home and mortgage debt, usually without any residual amount owed, known in the industry as a "deficiency," that being the difference between the original amount owed and the amount of the short sale.

Most states provide for deficiency claims, and banks routinely take judgments against short sale sellers, so this is an area which needs to be negotiated with the lender beforehand, and the services of a lawyer, representing the short seller, are strongly advised. Banks don't like to take losses and will normally try to slip in a deficiency clause into a short sale agreement.

For further information, you can can click here to check for all kinds of sales - including short sales - in your area, or for sales nationwide and more information on all kinds of real estate transactions, click here.

Wednesday, December 1, 2010

Ponzinomics, Feudalism and Fascism of the Highest Order




The following is my response to the video above, and to the wild upswing in the markets today. Just follow the bouncing ball, people, and the sequence of events. Wikileaks founder, Julian Assange, releases a boatload of data and internal memorandum from the State Department which is embarrassing to some of the highest-ranking officials in the world. Assange makes the mistake of telling, in an interview, that he is planning to release data concerning a very large US bank in January of 2011.

By nightfall on the East coast, Assange is wanted by Interpol in relation to rape and "sex crimes." As the day opens in the Far East, markets are pumped higher on positive economic data, and then to Europe, and finally, to the United States, where the Dow rallies for 255 points.

All of mainstream media is suddenly talking about recovery and how Spain won't need a bailout, and how jobs are being created in the US, and how the Christmas season is looking very robust for retailers.

At noon, the Fed, under order of law, courtesy the Dodd-Frank bill, releases the names and amounts of money lent to institutions during the height of the financial crisis in 2008. The list is vast, as are the numbers. It is a mind-boggling declaration of widespread, rampant, credit inflation.

The media continues to excite us with details of how Europe will not suffer any debt contagion, that the crisis is contained. Little time is spent reporting the Fed's release. we are all too busy watching stocks rise, secure in the knowledge that our economy is on the mend.

My contention is that the "rally" is a chimera. It will fade before making new highs, maybe a little bit after, perhaps. But the crony capitalism continues. And Julian Assange will not be a free man for long. He will not be allowed to release any information damaging to any bank, anywhere, at any time.

The banks own most of the world. The ECB and the Fed are only the most visible manifestations of the banking elite. The buy the debt of sovereign nations. They own them. Most are well hidden, or hiding in plain view.

Any questions?

Sure, but first, my reaction to the video. It was a bit over the top. All Americans don't act that way, only the slowest, dumbest, fattest and most ignorant. Unfortunately, their numbers are growing and their progeny will become more cheap, slave labor and credit card users for the rich to fondle and manipulate. That is the elitist game. It's what they do. So, yeah, there are a lot of fat, ignorant slobs out there who have lost nearly any dignity they might have had.

My question is this: What should those of us who believe ourselves to be above that level of wantonness and ignorance do about it? Should we counsel those who are too hypnotized by materialism, television and welfare statism to make better of themselves, to deny materialism and embrace a more wholesome existence?

I'll answer that one myself: Of course we should.

Now comes another antecedent question. After we've counseled our downtrodden brothers and sistahs and they go about their usual wanton ways as though they've heard nothing we've said, suppose one of them comes to us in their miserable way and tries to sell us a laptop that they bought for $198, for $20, for drugs, or food, or gas, or whatever moronic desire they might have at that time. What should we do then?

I'll answer that, too, for myself. I'm sure others might see this differently. My answer, I'd offer them $10, maybe $5. If they're too stupid to see, let them be blind. If you or I don't separate them from their possessions for less than market value, who will? Of course, the elitists, gladly, mind you.

I say it is the duty of all Americans to buy for less than market value and sell for as much as possible, even going so far as to sell to elitists at inflated prices. It is up to the entrepreneurial among us to seize the opportunity the elitists have created for those of us wise enough to make money to do so. I say it is easy if the system plans to endlessly create more money through debt. We should all be pawn-brokers, sharks and sharp deal-makers, for if we are not, surely it will be ourselves at the short end of the next deal and the one after that and so on, until we are slaves ourselves.

Stand up and take from the poor. They have been given our wealth by the rich. Take from the rich, too, if you can. If the economy is going to burgeon upon a sea of debt, then we must open our eyes and aour hands to take what is rightfully ours. we must fortify our own foundations, and to hell from whence it comes, as long as we make it OURS.

Now, if you have any questions, ask somebody else. I've already told you my plan. Acquire.

Dow 11,255.78, +249.76 (2.27%)
NASDAQ 2,549.43, +51.20 (2.05%)
S&P 500 1,206.07, +19.47 (1.64%)
NYSE Composite 7,603.73, +172.79 (2.33%)
NASDAQ Volume 2,136,493,000
NYSE Volume 5,358,660,500


Advances: 4944
Declines: 1632
New Highs: 500
New Lows: 51

Oil: $86.75, +2.64
Gold: $1,388.30, +2.20
Silver: $28.41, +0.20

Tuesday, November 30, 2010

Dow Down 400+ Points Since QE2

Since the inception of the Fed's QE2 program, throwing billions of dollars at Primary Dealers in exchange for Treasuries - essentially monetizing the government's debt - stocks have suffered mightily, posting losses in 11 of the past 16 sessions and dropping a whopping 445 points since November 7.

Currently, the scapegoat is the dastardly Irish, who chose a most inopportune time for their banks to become wholly insolvent and in needs of rescue by the European Union. With debt contagion spreading across to the continent in rapid fashion, the Euro has declined against the greenback, taking the fun of a weak currency trade along with it. As the dollar has strengthened, US stocks have nose-dived, and the rout is clearly underway, whether Ben Bernanke wishes to admit it or not.

Action on the markets today was entirely below the 50-day moving average on the Dow, and ended, after a midday respite, to the downside for the third session in a row. Blaming the Irish may be good sport for Fed bankers, but problems in the Eurozone certainly don't bode well for the ailing US economy. The slow-motion train wreck of Western economies which began in 2007 with the sub--prime mortgage unwind, is, after a $20 trillion reprieve from 2008 to the present, set to gather momentum and careen off the tracks again.

What will eventually prove to be the US economic undoing is still debatable. An expose of Bank of America's immoral and despicable practices in the mortgage arena has been put on the table by Wikileaks' founder Julien Assange. Shares of the Charlotte, NC-based bank fell to a 2-year low, closing at 10.95, on fears of such an event.

Perhaps Ireland's Parliament will just say no to the bank bailout being shoved down their throats by the equally-corrupt European Union, which itself may be a forgotten relic of a failed experiment in a few year's time.

Closer to home, it appears that the lame-duck congress has its hands full in the dwindling time before they decide to do what they do best - go home and do nothing - tackling issues such as the Bush tax cuts and jobless benefits have seen little movement. Congress must also pass a continuing resolution to keep the government operating by December 4, which just happens to be this Friday.

Tomorrow, ADP releases its normal private sector employment report, this one for the month of November, as a precursor to the BLS non-farm payroll data on Friday, which could also sway markets. Consensus seems to be calling for the nation to have created 130-150,000 new jobs in the month. Any number less robust than that could set off investor alarms again.

For today, another $6 billion pumped from the Fed to Primary dealers did little to stem the tide of selling. Stocks rebounded off their morning lows, but suffered a setback in the final hour, all major indices finishing deep in red ink.

Dow 11,006.02, -46.47 (0.42%)
NASDAQ 2,498.23, -26.99 (1.07%)
S&P 500 1,180.55, -7.21 (0.61%)
NYSE Composite 7,430.94, -52.40 (0.70%)


Losses were widespread as losers outnumbered gainers, 4290-2137. New highs numbered 156, while new lows closed to gap, at 103. In an obvious sign of weakness, volume ramped up to numbers not seen since election day.

NASDAQ Volume 2,429,697,750
NYSE Volume 5,643,896,500


Oil took a solid hit, losing $1.62, to $84.11, though it remains at elevated levels. Gold was a star, shooting up $19.20, to $1,386.70 per ounce. Silver also posted a strong gain of 89 cents, to finish at $28.09 on the COMEX.

FUD (Fear, uncertainty and doubt) are on the rise again and the Fed seems powerless to do anything but print more money.

Monday, November 29, 2010

Day-Traders Paradise

Forget fundamentals.

There is no reason to even bother examining a stock's recent performance, p/e ratio, cash flow, balance sheet or any other metric which might have some impact on earnings or performance because the stock market in the USA is now run by computers, and computers don't care about stocks, they only care about momentum, price and volume.

Add to that the fact that these computers are programmed by PhD's who don't know squat about markets, and even less about individual stocks. After that, add in near-infinite liquidity (free money) courtesy of the Federal Reserve's QE2 program and you have the makings for one very dysfunctional investment landscape.

Therefore, mere humans, especially those trading from the comforts of home, are at a distinct disadvantage. Only the major brokerages and banks are allowed to reap huge profits, not mere mortals who suffer from emotion and are terribly slow compared to the market-busting super-computers employed by the big firms and the HFTs.

Today was a perfect example of the dysfunction prevalent throughout the securities complex. In the morning, amid fears of growing problems in Europe on the back of the Ireland bank-bailout, stocks suffered enormous losses, with the Dow dipping by as many as 162 points shortly after 10:00 am. Of course, that was before the Fed floated some $9 billion to their pals on Wall Street to stage a comeback.

The day-trading slobs, like Lloyd Blanfien, CEO of Goldman Sachs, surely made a killing, as they do every day, manipulating the markets to their own delight and profit, all the while hammering the small investor and mutual fund managers at the margins.

Dow 11,052.49, -39.51 (0.36%)
NASDAQ 2,525.22, -9.34 (0.37%)
S&P 500 1,187.76, -1.64 (0.14%)
NYSE Composite 7,483.34, -17.20 (0.23%)


By the final bell, things were still in the red, though only slightly. Losers beat winners by a margin of 3645-2787; 155 issues made new highs, 85 recorded new lows. Volume was as usual: pathetic, but that's what you get when only computers are playing. Someday - and we can only hope it is soon - the computers will be forced to prey upon each other.

NASDAQ Volume 1,693,482,250
NYSE Volume 4,207,444,500


Oil priced itself another $1.87 higher, to $85.73 a barrel. Gold bounded all over the place, last showing a gain of $3.20, at $1367.40. Silver added 43 cents, to $27.13.

Just for those who think they've got it rough, here's a touching story about a family who blew $14 million in ten years. A great read, if you dislike people with money who are simply morons.

And, in the latest pandering PR move from the White House, President Obama called for a two-year wage freeze for civilian federal employees. The timing of this is particularly amusing, since federal wages reached an all-time high in 2010. The proposal needs congressional approval, so we'll see if the Tea Partiers recently elected to congress have any bite. It should be noted that some of them ran on platforms that called for cutting federal pay by 7-10%.

Good luck with that.

The final piece of sobering news is how governments will readily use public trust money to ensure than wealthy bondholders don't suffer any losses. The case in point is Ireland's 85 billion Euro aid package, which will be funded in part from government pension reserves, to the tune of 17.5 billion Euros.

That's how it's going to play out here in America, too, folks. All you people thinking you're going to get a nice pension check every month better start learning the new math. Cut that check in half by 2015, if you're lucky. As for Social Security, the Ponzi scheme of the past century, one would be well-advised to not count on that at all.