Monday, February 22, 2016

Donald Trump Shock Wave Shakes Nation

Winning every available delegate in a truly historic presidential primary victory in South Carolina on Saturday, business billionaire Donald J. Trump now sets his sights on the state of Nevada and its upcoming caucus on Tuesday.

After what appears to be a sure win for Mr. Trump, the big test comes the following Tuesday, when 13 states will hold Republican primary votes, led by the inartfully-named "SEC" states of Alabama, Georgia, Virginia, Arkansas, Texas and Tennessee. Equally important are tests in Massachusetts, Minnesota, Oklahoma, Colorado and Alaska. 595 delegates are up for grabs on March 1. Texas alone accounts for 155, and is one of the few states in which Donald Trump does not lead. There, Ted Cruz, who is a senator from the state, holds a slim advantage, though the latest poll was taken prior to Trump's victory in the Palmetto State.

No candidate that has won both New Hampshire and South Carolina has failed to capture the Republican nomination, a fact that completely eluded the commentators on the Sunday talk show circuit, most of whom spent their air time desperately searching for an antidote to Trump fever, which is sweeping a nation angry with politicians, politics, a do-nothing congress and an administration that has sold its constituency down the proverbial river.

Trump offers a refreshing change of pace from the status quo. From his apparent off-the-cuff remarks to his infectious enthusiasm, Trump embodies a new paradigm for the American electorate and its making the establishment parties and the supine news media quake in its collective booties.

The message is clear and unqualified. Trump promises to build a wall on the Mexican border to halt the flow of illegal immigrants, and, to make sure nobody misses the message, Trump always reminds supporters and detractors alike that he'll make Mexico pay for it. Other policy initiatives include bringing back American jobs from places like Mexico, China and Vietnam, taking better care of veterans, destroying ISIS, cutting taxes for the middle class and business, repatriating profits earned in foreign countries by American enterprises, and protecting the rights of American citizens outlined by the Bill of Rights, especially the second amendment, the right to bear arms.

Not surprisingly, Trump's forthrightness and honesty go a long way in an age dominated by skepticism, innuendo and false prophets. His campaign message to "Make America Great Again" resounds in a country fed up with liberal concepts like multiculturalism, atheism and statist elitism. Trump, while himself a very rich man, is self-made and down-to-earth in ways that Americans have demonstrably appreciated. His approach is common-sensical and sometimes bordering on comical, calling politicians incompetent, self-important and dishonest, most of which applies in spades to the current crop of paid-off crony representatives of lobbyists, big business and special interests.

And then today, there was this:



If Trump is willing to abolish Obamacare, Common Core and reopen the wounds of 9/11 and the Iraq War, why not tackle the biggest buffoons in the room, the rentiers of the Eccles Building, the clueless illuminati which has brought us bubbles and busts and threatens to do the same again?

The world is waiting.

Today's Rigged Results:
S&P 500: 1,945.50, +27.72 (1.45%)
Dow: 16,620.66, +228.67 (1.40%)
NASDAQ: 4,570.61, +66.18 (1.47%)

Crude Oil 33.60 +5.83% Gold 1,209.40 -1.74% EUR/USD 1.1026 -0.96% 10-Yr Bond 1.7660 +1.03% Corn 368.00 +0.68% Copper 2.11 +1.81% Silver 15.19 -1.22% Natural Gas 1.86 -0.16% Russell 2000 1,021.74 +1.16% VIX 19.38 -5.60% BATS 1000 20,682.61 0.00% GBP/USD 1.4148 -1.09% USD/JPY 112.9550

Friday, February 19, 2016

Stocks Finish Week Mixed to Flat, as CPI Confuses Markets

Odd for a day of options expiration, the day on Wall Street was marked by light volatility and a narrow trading range, the tone set for confusion prior to the open when CPI showed a spike in January to 0.3%, the biggest jump in more than four years.

On a year-over-year basis, excluding food and energy, CPI grew by 2.2%, the highest inflation rate since June 2012. While on the one hand, the data was supportive of further hikes in the federal funds rate, investors were concerned that such a data-driven move by the Fed might cause further declines in stocks.

With that, equities got stuck in cautious trading, ending just about where they started the day.

The minor moves did little to derail the mini-rally that comprised the better part of the holiday-shortened week.

The Dow finished ahead for the week by 418.15 (+2.62%); the S&P added 53.00 points (+2.84%); the NASDAQ ended ahead by 166.92 (+3.85%). The gains were the best of the seven weeks of trading this year, though the indices remain mired in the red zone.

With no FOMC meeting in February, investors will have to ride along until March 15-16, the dates of the next Open Market Committee, though odds are still in favor of the committee keeping rates at 0.25-0.50%, considering the poor performance of stocks following the first rate hike in December.

As was the case at the end of last year, the Fed is stuck in a serious spot, hoping to hike rates three more times this year, while the US and global economies continue to look ragged, worn out and teetering on the brink of recession.

About the best the Fed can offer in its assessment of US markets is that at least they're doing better than all other advanced economies, including France, UK, Germany, Japan, China, and Australia.

Friday's Totals:
S&P 500: 1,917.78, -0.05 (0.00%)
Dow: 16,391.99, -21.44 (0.13%)
NASDAQ: 4,504.43, +16.89 (0.38%)

Crude Oil 31.71 -3.70% Gold 1,232.10 +0.47% EUR/USD 1.1133 +0.01% 10-Yr Bond 1.7480 -0.63% Corn 365.00 -0.14% Copper 2.09 +0.58% Silver 15.44 +0.02% Natural Gas 1.80 -2.65% Russell 2000 1,010.01 +0.53% VIX 20.53 -5.13% BATS 1000 20,682.61 0.00% GBP/USD 1.4406 0.00% USD/JPY 112.5750 0.00%

Thursday, February 18, 2016

Chinks In The Global Ponzi Armor

What the central banks have constructed today as a "global economy" would make Bernie Madoff blush for all its arrogance and chutzpah.

The Fed buys Treasury bills, notes and bonds from the US government, the French government, Japan, Germany, UK, Australia, China, and the central banks of those countries do likewise. In essence, they are all borrowing from each other, and all of them, in the aggregate - and often enough singularly - are insolvent. It's the world's largest kiting scheme, being played on a global scale with money created out of thin air, backed by debt, most of which will never be repaid.

This kind of scam is typically known as a pyramid scheme, an airplane game, or, a Ponzi scheme, in which the creators and early adopters receive the bulk of the benefit, and those last in are left whining about promises made and unkept, with a loss of their investment and great remorse.

When one views the global economic structure from outside, it's clear that the creators of the Ponzi are the central banks, the early adopters are governments, and the vast majority of losers are savers, investors, retirees and, eventually, the young and future generations, who will inherit literally, a world of hurt, where the assets have been stripped away, wealth belongs to an upper, upper echelon of self-annoited masters, and social mobility is largely a myth.

Already, in the United States - the wealthiest nation in the world - there is evidence that the next generation to retire beyond he baby boomers, will be less well off than the previous one. Baby boomers have been retiring steadily, but their wealth has been neutered by the Zero Interest Rate Policy (ZIRP) of the Fed (soon to become NIRP), the COLAs (Cost of Living Adjustment) has been likewise zeroed out due to recalibration of how inflation is measured by the government, and taxes will take care of the rest. And that's just the Social Security end of it.

The Federal government has already put in place methods and scenarios in which they can confiscate the holdings of retirees, in 401k confiscations, wealth extraction taxes and "national emergency" legislation. In fact, senior debt holders (derivatives) would already have priority over depositors in an orderly liquidation of a major bank.

There's only one way to win at this game, and that's to not play. If possible, one would work outside the system, avoiding all taxation and contributions to unemployment insurance, social (in)security, worker's compensation theft, and the latest money extraction scheme, the ACA, otherwise known as Obamacare. Savings would likewise have to be outside the system, acquiring and holding everything from undeveloped land to precious metals, gems, to canned food, tools and machinery of trades.

It's a tough game to play, though, as the global Ponzi scheme continues to unravel in front of our very eyes, one which must be given consideration, even as a partial remedy to outright wealth confiscation through inflation, taxation or fiat.

Today's notch in the Ponzi wood:
S&P 500: 1,917.83, -8.99 (0.47%)
Dow: 16,413.43, -40.40 (0.25%)
NASDAQ: 4,487.54, -46.53 (1.03%)

Crude Oil 32.73 -0.76% Gold 1,231.30 +1.64% EUR/USD 1.1112 -0.12% 10-Yr Bond 1.76 -3.30% Corn 366.25 -0.27% Copper 2.07 -0.22% Silver 15.42 +0.28% Natural Gas 1.85 -4.63% Russell 2000 1,004.71 -0.64% VIX 21.64 -3.00% BATS 1000 20,682.61 -0.29% GBP/USD 1.4338 +0.34% USD/JPY 113.2550 -0.74%

Wednesday, February 17, 2016

Market Moves on Fiction

Money Daily's new policy will be (most of the time) to just post the closing figures when stocks close to the upside and offer more analysis and "insight" when the markets close in the red, sometimes, when we feel like it, or not.

After all the carnage that's happened this year, apparently, the bulls are back for another slaughter. Bulls, being the central banks of the world, are desperately buying equities in an attempt to shore up the last vestiges of the industrial revolution, information age and dot-com 3.0.

The current three-day rally offers the same kind of background as all of the previous uplifting moves in stocks; nothing of lasting value.

Today's fiction:
DJIA: 16,453.83, +257.42
S&P 500: 1,926.82, +31.24
NASDAQ: 4,534.07, +98.11

Crude Oil 31.00 +6.75% Gold 1,210.20 +0.17% EUR/USD 1.1135 +0.09% 10-Yr Bond 1.8190 +2.31% Corn 367.00 -0.07% Copper 2.07 +1.05% Silver 15.36 +0.20% Natural Gas 1.93 +1.21% Russell 2000 1,011.13 +1.54% VIX 22.31 -7.47% BATS 1000 20,743.15 +1.55% GBP/USD 1.4294 +0.04% USD/JPY 113.9950 -0.17%

Tuesday, February 16, 2016

Crooked Markets Will Remain At or Above Key Levels Until the End

Pretty much within a few percent either way, the key levels for economic fraud remain at DJIA, 16,000; S&P 500, 1,800; NASDAQ, 4,500.

Global equity markets are being bought by central banks. Eight years ago, Money Daily told you to move your money out of retirement accounts, 401k and IRAs into cash, precious metals and useful machinery. It's still not too late.

DJIA: 16,196.41, +222.57
S&P 500: 1,895.58, +30.80
NASDAQ: 4,435.95, +98.44

Crude Oil 28.91 -1.80% Gold 1,204.30 -2.83% EUR/USD 1.1144 -0.16% 10-Yr Bond 1.7780 +1.72% Corn 361.50 +0.77% Copper 2.05 +1.03% Silver 15.27 -3.29% Natural Gas 1.90 -3.10% Russell 2000 995.80 +2.45% VIX 24.11 -5.08% BATS 1000 20,426.37 +1.68% GBP/USD 1.4304 -0.91% USD/JPY 114.0750 -0.35%