Tuesday, December 26, 2017

Stocks Slide Into Christmas Break, But Finish Higher for the Week

Heading into the final week of 2017, stocks have been terrific performers for there year-to-date, with the major averages all having made multiple new highs throughout the annum.

With the exception of the Composite index, all the majors held the same pattern over the week leading up to Christmas, up sharply on Monday, followed by declines three of the next four days, Thursday being the odd up day. For the NYSE Composite, Wednesday was a gainer, while the other three fell.

Because of the outsize gains on Monday, all finished the week in the green, with the Composite leading the way, percentage-wise.

Though stocks have been superstars not only for the current year, but for the past nine years running, since the wicked days of the Great Financial Crisis (GFC) back in 2008-09, the past four days have been something of a disappointment, especially since the congress managed to push through a milestone tax reform bill and keep the government functioning for another month with a last-minute continuing resolution on Friday.

What may not be obvious to casual observers is just how stretched valuation have become. Year to date, the NASDAQ is up a whopping 28%, the Dow 23%, S&P 500 19%, and the NYSE Composite the laggard, up a mere 15%, a number which would be stellar most of the time.

Will stocks continue to climb in 2018. It's difficult to take a stand against stocks, but a small January pullback would not be out of the ordinary.

Anybody who sold this market short is likely eating cat food and living in a cardboard box, so it's doubtful any analyst will take a negative view heading into 2018. Someday, all of the smart guys on Wall Street are going to be wrong, but guessing what day that will be is a task for gamblers, not investors.

At the Close, Friday, December 22, 2017:
Dow: 24,754.06, -28.23 (-0.11%)
NASDAQ: 6,959.96, -5.40 (-0.08%)
S&P 500: 2,683.34, -1.23 (-0.05%)
NYSE Composite: 12,797.44, -2.77 (-0.02%)

For the Week:
Dow: +102.32 (+0.42%)
NASDAQ: +23.38 (+0.34%)
S&P 500: +7.53 (+0.28%)
NYSE Composite: +97.76 (+0.77%)

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