This Is About As Dull A Market As There Ever Has Been

It's been a slow week.

"How slow is it," the crowd chants, Johnny Carson style.

Well, the Dow is up 102 points as of Wednesday's close. That's the good news, and it's about as good as it gets. The NASDAQ, in three sessions, has gained six points, the S&P just under one point, and the NYSE Composite is down 22.75 points.

That's how slow it is.

As for the causes, anybody's guess will do, but the most likely candidates are uncertainty over just about everything, from impeachment hearings in the House of Representatives, to ongoing and increasingly-violent protests in Hong Kong, to backtracking in US-China trade relations, to just plain old vanilla market overbought conditions. It's not like the economy is booming (1.9% 3rd quarter GDP), or that most of the fuel has been courtesy of the Federal Reserve (another $200 billion added to their balance sheet in just the past two months), or that stock buybacks have been responsible for more than 60% of the gains over the past five years (maybe).

There are ample reasons for people to take a look-and-see stance. Just in case nobody's noticed, it's almost the end of 2019, allocations have already been made and funds are sitting on their hands, lest they get burned hitting the BUY button before year end.

If the New York stock exchange shut down for a day or two, or even a week or two, would it matter to anybody but the ultra-wealthy? Probably not, and, since the ultra-wealthy are, ahem, ultra-wealthy, why should they be buying stocks at nosebleed levels anyhow? They're waiting for the next greater fool, so they can sell some of their holdings at nice profits.

Thus, it's a simple assumption to make that if there are few buyers, and ample sellers who are holding out for the best prices, not much is going to happen, and that's why this week has been so slow. Whether that translates into a major downdraft, as many have been predicting once new highs were made last week, or another step up the ladder of success depends largely on news flow, and that hasn't been particularly encouraging of late (see above).

There's an old adage that reads something like, "never short a dull market," which falls a bit short in the logic department. If a market is dull, it obviously is in need of a catalyst to move ahead, move quicker, move at all. Will selling short bring out buyers? Maybe that's the idea, but there's no proof that a dull market is any more prone to melt up than a volatile market. If things are hot, people are buying and selling, brokers are making commissions (well, that's how it used to be), and stocks are going somewhere, up or down, that would seem to be a more dangerous place into which to sell.

There will be short sellers, but, at the present, there doesn't seem to be many eager buyers out there.

This is what happens when nothing happens. You have to write about nothing happening as if there is actually something happening.

Nothing is happening.

At the Close, Wednesday, November 13, 2019:
Dow Jones Industrial Average: 27,783.59, +92.10 (+0.33%)
NASDAQ: 8,482.10, -3.99 (-0.05%)
S&P 500: 3,094.04, +2.20 (+0.07%)
NYSE Composite: 13,385.05, -2.57 (-0.02%)

Stocks Flatten Out To Open Week On Dull Trading Day

Talk about a slow news day!

Stocks barely budged on Monday as investors apparently had more than enough on their collective minds to care about trading. The word for the day was "dull."

That's it.

At the close, Monday, April 10, 2017:
Dow: 20,658.02, +1.92 (0.01%)
NASDAQ: 5,880.93, +3.11 (0.05%)
S&P 500: 2,357.16, +1.62 (0.07%)
NYSE Composite, 11,464.34, +18.76 (0.16%)

Monday, Tuesday... Minor Gains

Not much happening the first two days of the week...

Dow Jones Industrial Average
18,559.01, 25.96 (0.14%)

NASDAQ
5,036.37, -19.41 (-0.38%)

S&P 500
2,163.78, -3.11 (-0.14%)

NYSE Composite
10,751.91, -41.26 (-0.38%)

Tuesday Was an Aberration; Move Along, Now

Didn't I tell you all yesterday that stocks would be back up today. Tuesday was a one-off. Wall Street has to do it every now and then to convince the sheep, er, peep, er, sheeple, like you, that it's all on the up and up.

It's not. It's fed by the Fed. Buy silver. I have little more to say, but, in a nutshell, we're back to feudalism, and the banksters and politicians are the lords and you, me and anyone with either a job or a subsidized existence (it's becoming more lucrative to filch, in fact) are the serfs.

Fuck 'em. And prepare for Amrageddon.

Dow 12,288.17, +61.53 (0.50%)
NASDAQ 2,825.56, +21.21 (0.76%)
S&P 500 1,336.32, +8.31 (0.63%)
NYSE Composite 8,453.76, +70.09 (0.84%)

Advancing issues stomped all over decliners, 4678-1882. NASDAQ new highs: 202; new lows: 32. NYSE new highs: 335; new lows: 13. Volume was solid, for a change. There must be a ramp-up coming. Everybody's all in. Oh, that's right. Options expiration Friday. How could I have missed that? It's where all the money is being made.

NASDAQ Volume 2,289,703,250.00
NYSE Volume 4,453,836,500

Crude oil got a bit of a boost by Iranian warships entering the Suez Canal en route to Syria, up 67 cents to nestle in at $84.99. Gold gained $1.00, to $1,375.10 and silver was down 7 cents, to $30.63. Nothing to see there. Move along.

Tomorrow, the BLS offers the latest in a series of comedy sketches otherwise known as unemployment claims prior to the opening bell, which, in case you haven't noticed, is not a bell at all, but the same sound used in casinos world-wide when a one-armed bandit pays off, even more proof that Wall Street really is one giant casino.