Showing posts with label support. Show all posts
Showing posts with label support. Show all posts

Friday, June 21, 2013

Dead Cats Don't Bounce... Much; Stocks End Worst Week Since Obama Re-election

Hey, we're screwed.

Anybody buying stocks today must have had money to burn because the direction is definitely to the downside for the foreseeable future.

Interest rates kept creeping higher and stocks met what used to be support, now known as resistance. The S&P couldn't get past 1600 and the Dow failed repeatedly at 14,850, the previous intra-day low.

Stocks had their worst week since November 5-9, 2012, the week inclusive of the re-election for Bachus Obummer. It's not a coincidence. Thank you , thank you , thank you, Mr. Bernanke. Volume was even heavier than yesterday, likely the highest of the year. Love volatility or go home.

Watch closely the new highs vs. new lows, which have shifted to heavy overweight in new lows. This is not a drill. A bear market forecast could appear any time, since the Bull is already well past four years old.

In keeping with the spirit of hating stocks and loving arable land, tools, machinery, goldfish ponds and pre-1965 silver coins, here's Billy Preston, circa 1974 (ugh, a bad year, but check out the hair)...



Dow 14,799.40, +41.08 (0.28%)
NASDAQ 3,357.25, -7.39 (0.22%)
S&P 500 1,592.43, +4.24 (0.27%)
NYSE Composite 9,018.57, +22.60 (0.25%)
NASDAQ Volume 2,685,610,750
NYSE Volume 6,174,438,000
Combined NYSE & NASDAQ Advance - Decline: 3467-3076
Combined NYSE & NASDAQ New highs - New lows: 80-343
WTI crude oil: 93.69, -1.45
Gold: 1,292.00, +5.80
Silver: 19.96, +0.136

Thursday, February 19, 2009

Panic Selling Crashes Stocks Through False Bottom

Yesterday's manipulated close above the false bottom at Dow 7552 could not hold, not even for a day, in the wake of unprecedented government handouts and institutional selling that nearly brought the major stock indices to their knees in the final hours of Thursday's session. The Dow Jones Industrials finished the day at their lowest level since October 9, 2002, prior, even to the start of the Iraq War.

The best the government interlopers (through their proxies at Goldman Sachs, Morgan Stanley, et. al.) could muster today was putting a good face on an unmitigated disaster. The game is over for Wall Street. A massive systemic collapse of global finance is palpable and seemingly inevitable.

With an opening pop, investors bought the Dow up about 60 points, but the market could not sustain the gains. By 10:30 the index was back into the red. After a brief, heartless rally, stocks cascaded lower with the Dow eventually falling below 7450. From 11:30 to the close, the the major indices were all under water. Selling was relentless, with the occasional covering of options positions, which close tomorrow. A line could be drawn diagonally across the tops. The slope of the bottoms was more severe.

Dow 7,465.95, -89.68 (1.19%)
NASDAQ 1,442.82, -25.15 (1.71%)
S&P 500 778.94, -9.48 (1.20%)
NYSE Compos 4,881.16, -43.38 (0.88%)


It was not the size of the losses that mattered much in this session, but the overall tenor and tone of trading. The level of desperation as a standard emotion continues to deepen, even daily. People are angry. The press, economists, and the public are all up in arms over the rapid-fire moves of the federal government. Most of the abuse is being heaped upon newly-elected President Obama, though much of the focus is rightfully on the US congress.

Unsurprisingly, the Dow components were a shambles, 20 down and 10 up, with most of the largest losses sustained by financials and tech, though the damage was truly broad-based. Paradoxically, the largest percentage gainer on the Dow was Home Depot, which gained 1.82%, up 0.36 to 20.16.

If you're seeking a good proxy for the Dow, look no further than JP Morgan Chase (JPM), which turned negative today just as the Dow was rolling over. The pride of Wall Street banking, JPM is probably overvalued by a factor of 5-10, since it is in largely the same boat as brethren Bank of America and Citigroup, all of whom are in the government's notorious gang of Systemically Significantly Failing Institutions under the Capital Purchase Program.

JP Morgan Chase dipped 0.91 to 20.60, a mere 4.23% loss, but it is joined at the hip to Bank of America (-0.64, 3.93, -14%) and Citigroup (-40, 2.51, -13.75).

The January Producer Price Index (PPI) registered its first gain in six months, edging up 0.8% over December. This shouldn't have come as much of a surprise, since retailers discounted heavily in December during one of the worst holiday shopping seasons in memory.

Inflation alarmists should also take a cold shower on this news, as much of the increase was due to slightly higher energy prices, and, of course, the figures are seasonally adjusted. Deflation continues to rule.

But the real story of the day was the final breakdown through the November 20 bottom on the Dow. The process will no doubt continue as the other indices approach and retest their lows. The markets are again in uncharted territory.

Friday's action most certainly will be among the most volatile of recent vintage. Thursday was only a prelude to the real wealth-cleansing that will occur over the coming days, weeks and months.

Internals did little to mask the carnage. Decliners swept by advancers, 4384-2129. New lows outnumbered new highs, 617-11. Volume was strong enough to suggest more selling as more participants become engaged in a race to the bottom.

NYSE Volume 1,485,501,000
NASDAQ Volume 2,036,313,000


Commodities exhibited perhaps the most random and directionless trade in decades. Oil priced $4.86 higher, to $39.48. Gold fell $1.70, to $976.50, while silver lost 36 cents, to $13.94. The metals cooled off what was, until today, a torrid rally. Beef and corn were up, pork and soybeans were down. Natural gas fell to a new seasonal low as at $4.11, as milder weather and conservation measures are keeping demand tamped down.

The level of unrest, not only on Wall Street but on Main Street and across the nation and around the world, cannot be underestimated. Cheats and scoundrels in government and business have opened the gates of hell with their wrong-headed policies over many years. Another of America's dates with destiny is fast approaching.

Brace yourself.