Just back from a holiday weekend and the end of a long summer, traders went to work selling everything on Monday.
Not that stocks weren't deserving of lower valuations, they were and still are. This is just the beginning of a trend that began late last week. If this is the start of the second leg down for stocks, it promises to be slower, longer and more painful than the quick initial burst in March.
Stocks have been pumped higher throughout the fake COVID pandemic, despite an economy that has rotted from within. We are witnessing the destruction of the US economy and of what was - a mere 30 years ago - the greatest country on the face of the planet. Financialization, which began in the 80s and accelerated to its zenith in 2008, is now in the process of unwinding all of the malinvestments made through those years. Today's companies are barely profitable unless they are a niche tech company with no or limited competition such as Google, Apple, Facebook, Amazon, and Netflix, but they are all overvalued, the trade crowded, weak hands taking losses.
There may be day-to-day gains, but the trend is clearly to the downside. Stocks are being liquidated by large investors and funds. The smart money is getting out, leaving the dumb money as ultimate bag-holders. In this secondary bear market phase, buying dips will only provide returns for day-traders and some momentum chasers. Long term investors will get taken to the cleaners.
Expect this phase of the bear market to gradually undermine all investments. All major indices will exceed the lows made this March, though the entire process could take as long as two years. In the interim, the Wall Street casino is open for business, ready to scalp proceeds from unsuspecting people with money and no clue as to what's really happening.
Many of the Western states are on fire, literally, and the cites are being destroyed from within, a process that's been ongoing for many years. Older, Eastern "rust belt" cities are bankrupt, as are the states of New Jersey, Illinois, New York, and California. While the media wants everyone to focus on the presidential election and wear masks to somehow thwart an infectious pathogen that does little harm to 99.98% of the population, the pillars of industry are crumbling. Rats - brokers, bankers, CEOs - are jumping ship as the destruction accelerates.
Stocks may rebound here and maybe for more than a week or even two, but in the end they are mostly overvalued and will suffer losses just on that regard. Loss of confidence and lack of investible capital will bring stocks to more sensible levels and eliminate those who cannot make ends meet, i.e., zombie companies.
Fed intervention will not help in a condition that is turning from a liquidity crisis to a solvency crisis, two different animals.
Note well the decline in the price of oil on Tuesday. It was absolutely hammered and will continue to test lower lows over coming months. The economy is imploding and extra funny money from the government or from the Federal Reserve isn't going to fix what's broken. Crony capitalism, corruption, media collusion, and the end of globalization are all coming together to destroy what's left.
A great reset is coming, possibly before the end of the year, though the implications will reverberate throughout the global system for decades.
Thus far, stocks have seen only minor damage. When third quarter earnings begin to roll out in about a month, the handwriting will be there for everyone to see. Stocks should enter correction (-10%) within weeks and resume bear market posture (-20%) some time in October, or, at the latest, after the November 3 elections, which are certain to be a fiasco of mammoth proportion.
At the Close, Tuesday, September 8, 2020:
Dow: 27,500.89, -632.41 (-2.25%)
NASDAQ: 10,847.69, -465.41 (-4.11%)
S&P 500: 3,331.84, -95.12 (-2.78%)
NYSE: 12,688.07, -229.03 (-1.77%)
Wednesday, September 9, 2020
Sunday, September 6, 2020
WEEKEND WRAP: Stocks Battered, Protests Expand, Congress, Federal Reserve Readying Unveiling of Digital Dollar
Following two relatively "calm" weeks in the markets, the week that included the last day of August (Monday) into September proved to be quite volatile, setting up the return of congress after Labor Day as a consequential event.
As the week progressed, the usual uppity attitude of equity markets began to turn, reaching a level closing in on the bizarre behavior the has engulfed the world's population, as in the wearing of masks everywhere, all the time, for no good reason.
While it is certainly true that there is an actual pathogen known as COVID-19 and that it and its variants have spread globally, there is also ample evidence to ascertain that the pathogen (or virus) is hardly as deadly to healthy people as officials from the WHO and CDC, the government, large swaths of the medical community, and especially the media would have anyone believe.
The CDC recently refined some of its data to conclude that only six percent of the deaths in the United States attributable to COVID-19 were caused by the virus ALONE. Through the week just past, that six percent figure (and the coincident number of 9,210 of 153,504 total deaths at the time) was tossed around social media, tweeted by President Trump, purportedly debunked by the mainstream media - first by local affiliates, then by more national and international outlets - re-bunked, resurrected, damned by none other than Dr. Anthony Fauci and finally left out in the open to foment more rage, anger, and divisiveness between anti-vaxxers, anti-COVID "conspirators" and the masked muzzled masses of the general population.
Growing dissatisfaction with government lockdowns and restrictions prompted demonstrations and rallies in countries as diverse as Great Britain, Germany (where some protesters stormed the legendary Reichstag), and, most recently, Australia, and online in China.
Coronavirus and the debate over whether the pandemic is better described as a plandemic or SCAM-demic is just one of three main themes which will grow in intensity as the US November 3rd elections approach. The other two are the economy - and by inference the stock, bond and precious metals markets - and the ongoing Black Lives Matter violent protests that have swept across American cities coast to coast.
This edition of the WEEKEND WRAP will cover the first two of those themes, leaving to say that the BLM/ANTIFA Marxist protesting, looting, burning and rioting will continue virtually unabated until the elections and probably well beyond, no matter who wins or loses.
In terms of the economy, matters turned from complacency to panic on a dime as Wednesday turned to Thursday, with the major stock indices fell by the greatest percentages since the middle of June.
On Wednesday, the S&P 500 and NASDAQ, respectively marked their 22nd and 43rd closing record highs of 2020, and the Dow finished above 29,000 for the first time since February, bringing it to within two percent of its Feb. 12 all-time closing high (21,551.42).
On Thursday, everything changed. As of 4:00 pm ET on Thursday, the September 3 markets looked like this:
Dow: 28,292.73, -807.77 (-2.78%)
NASDAQ: 11,458.10, -598.34 (-4.96%)
S&P 500: 3,455.06, -125.78 (-3.51%)
NYSE: 12,966.14, -310.61 (-2.34%)
It was an absolute drubbing, seemingly out of nowhere, as first time unemployment claims came in at the lowest level since March, 881,000, seasonally adjusted. Apparently having seen or had enough of stock market gains based on multiple expansion among a small number of stocks - the FAANMGs, Facebook, Amazon, Apple, Netflix, Microsoft, and Alphabet, parent of Google - market-propping initiatives and a bevy of easy-money facilities from the Fed, and a government stalemate on a second round of stimulus checks and extension of enhanced unemployment benefits.
Smart money folded, leaving the stock market to novice Robin Hood traders, semi-professional day-traders and the retail public.
On Friday, even after August non-farm payrolls showed 1.4 million jobs added to the labor market and an unemployment rate falling to 8.4% from 10.2%, both better than expectations, sellers were out and about, sending stocks to plumb depths approaching important moving averages. Most of the heavy selling pressure was experienced in the first hour of trading, with all of the indices getting a very good bounce when the NASDAQ touched its 50-day moving average at 10,875.87, right around 10:45 am ET.
That timely move saved what could have been an absolute rout and left the markets just a little bit bruised heading into the extended Labor Day weekend. As markets drew to an exhausted closing Friday, all the averages were well above their 50-day moving averages and even further above their 40-week moving averages on the weekly charts.
The Street.com suggests in this article that selling on Friday might not have been such a bad move.
With Monday an extra day off, even though international markets will trade as usual, market participants will be looking at Tuesday's open with renewed interest though an indicator in Tuesday morning's futures is unlikely to foretell of longer-term prospects for America's industrial and financial markets. While it does appear as if big money has fled or is at least paring down some positions, the moves in treasuries Thursday and Friday confuse the narrative.
On Thursday, yields dropped as expected, with the 10-year note losing five basis points, from 0.68% to 0.63%, and the 30-year shedding nine (1.43% to 1.34%). Friday's dip and bounce produced a huge ramp in yields (selling off of bonds) as the 10-year spurted nine basis points to 0.72% and the 30-year closing out the week at 1.46%. These were enormous moves in what used to be normally benign markets. This past week's volatility in the fixed income space was almost without comparison. All said and done, the longer-dated maturities ended the week just slightly lower from the prior Friday close (0.74% on the 10, 1.52 on the 30). Everything shorter than the 10-year note was virtually unchanged.
Developments to come include an expected showdown over the fifth round of coronavirus relief between House Democrats and the White House. The two sides have moved marginally closer to a deal - which is still widely expected, especially with elections coming up - since talks stalled out in early August. There's also an apparent agreement on a continuing resolution to keep government operating into the 2021 fiscal year, which begins October 1.
Scheduled for September 15-16, the Fed's next FOMC meeting looms. The Fed may or may not be issuing any surprises at that time, though, as politicized as it has become, Chairman Powell might unleash a torrent of tidbits during the press conference following the "no change" policy announcement. After his Jackson Hole policy realignment to inflation "no matter what" stance, nothing the Fed Chairman utters is likely to raise eyebrows any further than they already are.
What the Fed isn't openly opining over is the almost certain unveiling of Digital Dollars and Digital Wallets soon to be opened at banks, credit unions and post offices (yes, post offices) across the fruited plains of America. In the video below, Lynette Zang of ITM Traders delves deep into the machinations well underway in congress and at the Federal Reserve for the change from debt-based money to pseudo-crypto currency and the eventual elimination of physical cash. Just in case Lynette's video is unconvincing to any remaining conspiracy-theory-deniers, perhaps a closer look at the Federal Reserve's branding efforts well underway for FedNow bucks will be more convincing. The Federal Reserve itself isn't exactly shy about the coming changes. This link explains FedNow Services and links to more press releases, speeches and FAQs on the subject.
Coindesk also covers the Digital Dollar movement in congress with an overview here and here.
A bill titled the Banking for All Act was introduced by Ohio Senator Sherrod Brown on March 23, 2020 - oddly enough, the same date that markets bottomed - and was immediately referred to the Senate Banking, Housing, and Urban Affairs Committee. A draft of the bill (Senate Bill 3571) is available in pdf format.
The relevant date for the unleashing of the Digital Dollar is tentatively (no later than) January 1, 2021. Happy New Year, serfs!
Near the end of the video, Mrs. Zang mentions "NESARA", a term with which some - including this author - may not be familiar. While a detailed examination of the topic, which stands for National Economic Security And Recovery Act, we'll leave it - and the scary reference to "drain the swamp" terminology which might endear to some Q followers - to an introduction by Wikipedia reference. Obviously, more research and study on the topic is likely warranted.
Not without notice was the sudden, dramatic drop in the price of oil as the week drew to a close. WTI crude absolutely fell off a cliff on Friday, registering a drop of -3.87% from its Thursday close of $41.37, heading into the long weekend at $39.77 USD/bbl., down -1.60, marking just the third time WTI crude futures have closed below $40/barrel since July 2nd, the last day of trading in the commodity before the Independence Day holiday. Is it mere coincidence that the price of oil and its important relationship to gas at the pump rises just before the big summer holiday and falls just before the last? It makes perfect sense in a normal world where people drive more during the summer, but the price movements beg the question when much of the world is on lockdown with many businesses closed and people eschewing regular summer vacations during a supposedly-deadly pandemic.
On the week, gold and silver again suffered losses. The central bank community of conniving cheaters and colluders are making a mockery of the markets and price discovery as the end game to fiat money approaches.
Spot Gold dropped another $30 over the course of the week, finishing at $1,933.94, very close to the bloodbath low of early August. A similar fate befell silver, though not as severely as gold was downed, closing out the week at $26.91 after getting a boost to $28.14 an ounce on Monday. As much as the intervening operatives wish to deflate the prices of precious metals, premiums at dealers continue to be elevated, though not quite as much as during the early days of the "pandemic" when supplies were short and demand was high. Demand remains elevated, but supplies are returning to near normal levels.
Recent (09/06/20) prices for common items on ebay (shipping - often free - included), numismatics excluded:
Item: Low / High / Average / Median
1 oz silver coin: 31.77 / 37.90 / 33.90 / 33.50
1 oz silver bar: 30.99 / 45.99 / 37.23 / 35.81
1 oz gold coin: 2,000.00 / 2,165.00 / 2,086.21 / 2,085.47
1 oz gold bar: 1,988.99 / 2,068.92 / 2,035.44 / 2,034.81
Finally, here's Lynette Zang covering the topic of Federal Reserve's digital dollar:
At the Close, Friday, September 4, 2020:
Dow: 28,133.31, -159.42 (-0.56%)
NASDAQ: 11,313.13, -144.97 (-1.27%)
S&P 500: 3,426.96, -28.10 (-0.81%)
NYSE: 12,917.15, -48.99 (-0.38%)
For the Week:
Dow: -520.56 (-1.82%)
NASDAQ: -382.50 (-3.27%)
S&P 500: -81.05 (-2.31%)
NYSE: -253.81 (-1.93%)
As the week progressed, the usual uppity attitude of equity markets began to turn, reaching a level closing in on the bizarre behavior the has engulfed the world's population, as in the wearing of masks everywhere, all the time, for no good reason.
While it is certainly true that there is an actual pathogen known as COVID-19 and that it and its variants have spread globally, there is also ample evidence to ascertain that the pathogen (or virus) is hardly as deadly to healthy people as officials from the WHO and CDC, the government, large swaths of the medical community, and especially the media would have anyone believe.
The CDC recently refined some of its data to conclude that only six percent of the deaths in the United States attributable to COVID-19 were caused by the virus ALONE. Through the week just past, that six percent figure (and the coincident number of 9,210 of 153,504 total deaths at the time) was tossed around social media, tweeted by President Trump, purportedly debunked by the mainstream media - first by local affiliates, then by more national and international outlets - re-bunked, resurrected, damned by none other than Dr. Anthony Fauci and finally left out in the open to foment more rage, anger, and divisiveness between anti-vaxxers, anti-COVID "conspirators" and the masked muzzled masses of the general population.
Growing dissatisfaction with government lockdowns and restrictions prompted demonstrations and rallies in countries as diverse as Great Britain, Germany (where some protesters stormed the legendary Reichstag), and, most recently, Australia, and online in China.
Coronavirus and the debate over whether the pandemic is better described as a plandemic or SCAM-demic is just one of three main themes which will grow in intensity as the US November 3rd elections approach. The other two are the economy - and by inference the stock, bond and precious metals markets - and the ongoing Black Lives Matter violent protests that have swept across American cities coast to coast.
This edition of the WEEKEND WRAP will cover the first two of those themes, leaving to say that the BLM/ANTIFA Marxist protesting, looting, burning and rioting will continue virtually unabated until the elections and probably well beyond, no matter who wins or loses.
In terms of the economy, matters turned from complacency to panic on a dime as Wednesday turned to Thursday, with the major stock indices fell by the greatest percentages since the middle of June.
On Wednesday, the S&P 500 and NASDAQ, respectively marked their 22nd and 43rd closing record highs of 2020, and the Dow finished above 29,000 for the first time since February, bringing it to within two percent of its Feb. 12 all-time closing high (21,551.42).
On Thursday, everything changed. As of 4:00 pm ET on Thursday, the September 3 markets looked like this:
Dow: 28,292.73, -807.77 (-2.78%)
NASDAQ: 11,458.10, -598.34 (-4.96%)
S&P 500: 3,455.06, -125.78 (-3.51%)
NYSE: 12,966.14, -310.61 (-2.34%)
It was an absolute drubbing, seemingly out of nowhere, as first time unemployment claims came in at the lowest level since March, 881,000, seasonally adjusted. Apparently having seen or had enough of stock market gains based on multiple expansion among a small number of stocks - the FAANMGs, Facebook, Amazon, Apple, Netflix, Microsoft, and Alphabet, parent of Google - market-propping initiatives and a bevy of easy-money facilities from the Fed, and a government stalemate on a second round of stimulus checks and extension of enhanced unemployment benefits.
Smart money folded, leaving the stock market to novice Robin Hood traders, semi-professional day-traders and the retail public.
On Friday, even after August non-farm payrolls showed 1.4 million jobs added to the labor market and an unemployment rate falling to 8.4% from 10.2%, both better than expectations, sellers were out and about, sending stocks to plumb depths approaching important moving averages. Most of the heavy selling pressure was experienced in the first hour of trading, with all of the indices getting a very good bounce when the NASDAQ touched its 50-day moving average at 10,875.87, right around 10:45 am ET.
That timely move saved what could have been an absolute rout and left the markets just a little bit bruised heading into the extended Labor Day weekend. As markets drew to an exhausted closing Friday, all the averages were well above their 50-day moving averages and even further above their 40-week moving averages on the weekly charts.
The Street.com suggests in this article that selling on Friday might not have been such a bad move.
With Monday an extra day off, even though international markets will trade as usual, market participants will be looking at Tuesday's open with renewed interest though an indicator in Tuesday morning's futures is unlikely to foretell of longer-term prospects for America's industrial and financial markets. While it does appear as if big money has fled or is at least paring down some positions, the moves in treasuries Thursday and Friday confuse the narrative.
On Thursday, yields dropped as expected, with the 10-year note losing five basis points, from 0.68% to 0.63%, and the 30-year shedding nine (1.43% to 1.34%). Friday's dip and bounce produced a huge ramp in yields (selling off of bonds) as the 10-year spurted nine basis points to 0.72% and the 30-year closing out the week at 1.46%. These were enormous moves in what used to be normally benign markets. This past week's volatility in the fixed income space was almost without comparison. All said and done, the longer-dated maturities ended the week just slightly lower from the prior Friday close (0.74% on the 10, 1.52 on the 30). Everything shorter than the 10-year note was virtually unchanged.
Developments to come include an expected showdown over the fifth round of coronavirus relief between House Democrats and the White House. The two sides have moved marginally closer to a deal - which is still widely expected, especially with elections coming up - since talks stalled out in early August. There's also an apparent agreement on a continuing resolution to keep government operating into the 2021 fiscal year, which begins October 1.
Scheduled for September 15-16, the Fed's next FOMC meeting looms. The Fed may or may not be issuing any surprises at that time, though, as politicized as it has become, Chairman Powell might unleash a torrent of tidbits during the press conference following the "no change" policy announcement. After his Jackson Hole policy realignment to inflation "no matter what" stance, nothing the Fed Chairman utters is likely to raise eyebrows any further than they already are.
What the Fed isn't openly opining over is the almost certain unveiling of Digital Dollars and Digital Wallets soon to be opened at banks, credit unions and post offices (yes, post offices) across the fruited plains of America. In the video below, Lynette Zang of ITM Traders delves deep into the machinations well underway in congress and at the Federal Reserve for the change from debt-based money to pseudo-crypto currency and the eventual elimination of physical cash. Just in case Lynette's video is unconvincing to any remaining conspiracy-theory-deniers, perhaps a closer look at the Federal Reserve's branding efforts well underway for FedNow bucks will be more convincing. The Federal Reserve itself isn't exactly shy about the coming changes. This link explains FedNow Services and links to more press releases, speeches and FAQs on the subject.
Coindesk also covers the Digital Dollar movement in congress with an overview here and here.
A bill titled the Banking for All Act was introduced by Ohio Senator Sherrod Brown on March 23, 2020 - oddly enough, the same date that markets bottomed - and was immediately referred to the Senate Banking, Housing, and Urban Affairs Committee. A draft of the bill (Senate Bill 3571) is available in pdf format.
The relevant date for the unleashing of the Digital Dollar is tentatively (no later than) January 1, 2021. Happy New Year, serfs!
Near the end of the video, Mrs. Zang mentions "NESARA", a term with which some - including this author - may not be familiar. While a detailed examination of the topic, which stands for National Economic Security And Recovery Act, we'll leave it - and the scary reference to "drain the swamp" terminology which might endear to some Q followers - to an introduction by Wikipedia reference. Obviously, more research and study on the topic is likely warranted.
Not without notice was the sudden, dramatic drop in the price of oil as the week drew to a close. WTI crude absolutely fell off a cliff on Friday, registering a drop of -3.87% from its Thursday close of $41.37, heading into the long weekend at $39.77 USD/bbl., down -1.60, marking just the third time WTI crude futures have closed below $40/barrel since July 2nd, the last day of trading in the commodity before the Independence Day holiday. Is it mere coincidence that the price of oil and its important relationship to gas at the pump rises just before the big summer holiday and falls just before the last? It makes perfect sense in a normal world where people drive more during the summer, but the price movements beg the question when much of the world is on lockdown with many businesses closed and people eschewing regular summer vacations during a supposedly-deadly pandemic.
On the week, gold and silver again suffered losses. The central bank community of conniving cheaters and colluders are making a mockery of the markets and price discovery as the end game to fiat money approaches.
Spot Gold dropped another $30 over the course of the week, finishing at $1,933.94, very close to the bloodbath low of early August. A similar fate befell silver, though not as severely as gold was downed, closing out the week at $26.91 after getting a boost to $28.14 an ounce on Monday. As much as the intervening operatives wish to deflate the prices of precious metals, premiums at dealers continue to be elevated, though not quite as much as during the early days of the "pandemic" when supplies were short and demand was high. Demand remains elevated, but supplies are returning to near normal levels.
Recent (09/06/20) prices for common items on ebay (shipping - often free - included), numismatics excluded:
Item: Low / High / Average / Median
1 oz silver coin: 31.77 / 37.90 / 33.90 / 33.50
1 oz silver bar: 30.99 / 45.99 / 37.23 / 35.81
1 oz gold coin: 2,000.00 / 2,165.00 / 2,086.21 / 2,085.47
1 oz gold bar: 1,988.99 / 2,068.92 / 2,035.44 / 2,034.81
Finally, here's Lynette Zang covering the topic of Federal Reserve's digital dollar:
At the Close, Friday, September 4, 2020:
Dow: 28,133.31, -159.42 (-0.56%)
NASDAQ: 11,313.13, -144.97 (-1.27%)
S&P 500: 3,426.96, -28.10 (-0.81%)
NYSE: 12,917.15, -48.99 (-0.38%)
For the Week:
Dow: -520.56 (-1.82%)
NASDAQ: -382.50 (-3.27%)
S&P 500: -81.05 (-2.31%)
NYSE: -253.81 (-1.93%)
Friday, September 4, 2020
Thursday's Stock Slide Tempered By August Non-Farm Payrolls at 1.371 Million, Unemployment Rate, 8.4%
There's no getting around it, stocks got pounded on Thursday.
When what must have seemed like an eternally-long day of relentless selling, the S&P 500 had dropped 3.5%, the Dow was down 2.8% and the NASDAQ took the brunt of the hit, down nearly five percent.
Since June 11, Thursday's drubbing was the worst single-day drop for the NASDAQ and the S&P 500. The cause for the sudden departure from exorbitant optimism may have been a needed jolt of reality, as the US economy remains mired in a COVID-related mess and the "V-shaped" recovery theory looking more doubtful as congress dithers over a second aid package to hard-hit individuals and businesses and violent protests continue to plague large American cities.
Among the casualties were some recent high fliers. Apple (AAPL) dropped 8% on on the day. Tesla (TSLA, 407.00, -40.37) skidded 9%, finishing the day down 19% from the record high achieved on Monday (498.32). Chip maker AMD (AMD) lost 8.5%. Another big name in the chip sector that has traded to the upside throughout the rally, Nvidia (NVDA), lost 9.2%.
The stocks added to the Dow Industrials Monday didn't provide any cover either. Honeywell (HON), Amgen (AGM), and Salesforce.com (CRM), were among the worst performers on the index, losing 3.58%, 3.96%, and 4.22%, respectively. These were the companies chosen to replace dullards ExxonMobil (XOM), Raytheon (RTX), and Pfizer (PFE) to propel the Dow to record highs. So much for best-laid plans.
Money was flowing out of stocks and into bonds, a story that's been developing all week. The 10-year note, which ended last Friday with a yield of 0.74%, finished Thursday at 0.63%. The slide on the 30-year was more pronounced. It ended last week with a yield that was the highest since June, 1.52%, but dropped to 1.34% Thursday.
As investors were looking forward to the August non-farm payroll data from the BLS and an upcoming three-day weekend, concern is that Thursday's reversal of fortune might not be a one-off but rather a second leg of the carnage that developed in February and March, when the coronavirus was still incubating in the US and government lockdowns and stay-at-home orders had not yet been issued.
Following the stock swoon in March, the Fed stepped up with $3 trillion in loan guarantees and a smorgasbord of programs, facilities, and initiatives designed to limit the damage to US stocks. They provided cover for iliquid stocks and sent the indices soaring to new heights over the next five months.
There's growing evidence that the market has been left to retail investors as insiders have been cashing out with extraordinary gains at a breakneck pace. Most professional investors had at least an inkling of suspicion about the foundation of the sharp rally off the March lows and were likely those jumping ship as stocks got crushed... for a day. The potential for a re-rally is still evident, and it doesn't have to be right away. Stocks could slide even further in coming days before serious money comes back into the market on the dip.
As congress readies to get back to business - if that's how one would characterize what they do up there - following the Labor Day weekend, the market can be buoyed by the White House and House of Representatives at least coming to an interim solution to keep the government operating. Treasury Secretary Steven Mnuchin and House Speaker Nancy Pelosi have apparently struck a deal in principle for a continuing resolution to extend government operations into the 2021 fiscal year, starting October 1.
At 8:30 am ET, there was some encouraging news, with non-farm payrolls for August coming in slightly above expectations at 1.371 million. The unemployment rate fell by a massive amount, from 10.2% in July to 8.4% as of this reading. Futures are gradually improving ahead of the cash open at 9:30.
In other news, that paragon of virtue, Goldman Sachs (GS), has avoided jail time for some of its highest executives via a settlement with the government of Malaysia in the 1MDB scandal.
Not to worry. The Vampire Squid - as Goldman Sachs is known - will probably just steal that amount or more from some other non-white country, or maybe France. Or, they could be reimbursed by the Federal Reserve, to which $2.01 billion amounts to a rounding error.
Those unfamiliar with the Goldman-1MDB scandal that involved theft, money laundering, corrupt government officials, bribery, and even murder of political opponents, is encapsulated in this scathing report by the Harvard Law School Forum on Corporate Governance.
With bad news seeming to have taken some of the wind out of Wall Street's sales, the good news is that there are some college football games this weekend (two were played on Thursday, with seven more slated for Saturday) and the Kentucky Derby will be run Saturday at Louisville's Churchill Downs, albeit four months late. Many of the horses will be wearing blinkers and all of the jockeys will be wearing masks. Oh, well...
At the Close, Thursday, September 3, 2020:
Dow: 28,292.73, -807.77 (-2.78%)
NASDAQ: 11,458.10, -598.34 (-4.96%)
S&P 500: 3,455.06, -125.78 (-3.51%)
NYSE: 12,966.14, -310.61 (-2.34%)
When what must have seemed like an eternally-long day of relentless selling, the S&P 500 had dropped 3.5%, the Dow was down 2.8% and the NASDAQ took the brunt of the hit, down nearly five percent.
Since June 11, Thursday's drubbing was the worst single-day drop for the NASDAQ and the S&P 500. The cause for the sudden departure from exorbitant optimism may have been a needed jolt of reality, as the US economy remains mired in a COVID-related mess and the "V-shaped" recovery theory looking more doubtful as congress dithers over a second aid package to hard-hit individuals and businesses and violent protests continue to plague large American cities.
Among the casualties were some recent high fliers. Apple (AAPL) dropped 8% on on the day. Tesla (TSLA, 407.00, -40.37) skidded 9%, finishing the day down 19% from the record high achieved on Monday (498.32). Chip maker AMD (AMD) lost 8.5%. Another big name in the chip sector that has traded to the upside throughout the rally, Nvidia (NVDA), lost 9.2%.
The stocks added to the Dow Industrials Monday didn't provide any cover either. Honeywell (HON), Amgen (AGM), and Salesforce.com (CRM), were among the worst performers on the index, losing 3.58%, 3.96%, and 4.22%, respectively. These were the companies chosen to replace dullards ExxonMobil (XOM), Raytheon (RTX), and Pfizer (PFE) to propel the Dow to record highs. So much for best-laid plans.
Money was flowing out of stocks and into bonds, a story that's been developing all week. The 10-year note, which ended last Friday with a yield of 0.74%, finished Thursday at 0.63%. The slide on the 30-year was more pronounced. It ended last week with a yield that was the highest since June, 1.52%, but dropped to 1.34% Thursday.
As investors were looking forward to the August non-farm payroll data from the BLS and an upcoming three-day weekend, concern is that Thursday's reversal of fortune might not be a one-off but rather a second leg of the carnage that developed in February and March, when the coronavirus was still incubating in the US and government lockdowns and stay-at-home orders had not yet been issued.
Following the stock swoon in March, the Fed stepped up with $3 trillion in loan guarantees and a smorgasbord of programs, facilities, and initiatives designed to limit the damage to US stocks. They provided cover for iliquid stocks and sent the indices soaring to new heights over the next five months.
There's growing evidence that the market has been left to retail investors as insiders have been cashing out with extraordinary gains at a breakneck pace. Most professional investors had at least an inkling of suspicion about the foundation of the sharp rally off the March lows and were likely those jumping ship as stocks got crushed... for a day. The potential for a re-rally is still evident, and it doesn't have to be right away. Stocks could slide even further in coming days before serious money comes back into the market on the dip.
As congress readies to get back to business - if that's how one would characterize what they do up there - following the Labor Day weekend, the market can be buoyed by the White House and House of Representatives at least coming to an interim solution to keep the government operating. Treasury Secretary Steven Mnuchin and House Speaker Nancy Pelosi have apparently struck a deal in principle for a continuing resolution to extend government operations into the 2021 fiscal year, starting October 1.
At 8:30 am ET, there was some encouraging news, with non-farm payrolls for August coming in slightly above expectations at 1.371 million. The unemployment rate fell by a massive amount, from 10.2% in July to 8.4% as of this reading. Futures are gradually improving ahead of the cash open at 9:30.
In other news, that paragon of virtue, Goldman Sachs (GS), has avoided jail time for some of its highest executives via a settlement with the government of Malaysia in the 1MDB scandal.
Goldman Sachs had to boost its legal reserves by $2.01 billion to account for the Malaysia settlement, shaving its second-quarter net income by 85% and wiping out what had been a surprise jump in profit due to trading gains.
Not to worry. The Vampire Squid - as Goldman Sachs is known - will probably just steal that amount or more from some other non-white country, or maybe France. Or, they could be reimbursed by the Federal Reserve, to which $2.01 billion amounts to a rounding error.
Those unfamiliar with the Goldman-1MDB scandal that involved theft, money laundering, corrupt government officials, bribery, and even murder of political opponents, is encapsulated in this scathing report by the Harvard Law School Forum on Corporate Governance.
With bad news seeming to have taken some of the wind out of Wall Street's sales, the good news is that there are some college football games this weekend (two were played on Thursday, with seven more slated for Saturday) and the Kentucky Derby will be run Saturday at Louisville's Churchill Downs, albeit four months late. Many of the horses will be wearing blinkers and all of the jockeys will be wearing masks. Oh, well...
At the Close, Thursday, September 3, 2020:
Dow: 28,292.73, -807.77 (-2.78%)
NASDAQ: 11,458.10, -598.34 (-4.96%)
S&P 500: 3,455.06, -125.78 (-3.51%)
NYSE: 12,966.14, -310.61 (-2.34%)
Thursday, September 3, 2020
Stocks Rip Higher, Unemployment Claims Down Due to Labor Dept. Adjustment (?), Sturgis Biker Death Reported
Stocks were up sharply on Wednesday, September 2nd, with all major indices putting in impressive gains. Led by the Dow Industrials, which cracked the 29,000 mark for the first time since February 20, the trading was genuinely positive all day but really ramped up in the final two hours.
The big move in the Industrial Average was aided by the recent inclusion of Amgen Inc. (258.12, +7.26 +2.89%) and Honeywell (172.47, +4.50 +2.68%) but disappointed by salesforce.com (276.69, -4.56 -1.62%), which replaced ExxonMobile, Raytheon, and Pfizer.
Wednesday's move left the Dow just 450 points from its all-time closing high (21,551.42, Feb. 10, 2020), a number that is almost certainly to be shattered within weeks, if not days.
Moving ahead to Thursday's pre-market, initial jobless claims were 833,352 on an unadjusted basis, and 881,000, seasonally adjusted.
As if the unemployment figures produced by the Department of Labor weren't suspect enough, a change in how seasonally-adjusted claims are reported began with today's report.
According to Yahoo News, "Thursday’s report, however, will also mark the first time the US Department of Labor (DOL) counts new and continuing jobless claims under an updated system, with this change expected to lower the number of seasonally adjusted claims that get reported."
According to another "trusted" source, USA Today claims, "The new method involves using a seasonal adjustment that’s more stable because it applies a number rather than a percentage to the actual claims total, J.P. Morgan economist Daniel Silver wrote in a note to clients."
Now, since the seasonally-adjusted number is higher (881,000) than the non-adjusted figure (833,352), what can we make of this? Hard to tell, since the opposite of what was expected to happen (lower seasonally-adjusted number) via the change in calculation, occurred.
Well, suffice it to say that the government lies, mostly all the time.
This report would not be complete without a little taste of fake news - today's entry into the panoply of bogusness from the pre-eminent anti-truth newspaper, the Washington Post.
Their story, published on September 2, purports to detail the horrible after-effects from the evil biker rally in Sturgis, South Dakota back in the second week of August, claiming to report the First covid-19 death linked to Sturgis Motorcycle Rally.
The article - with some degree of giddiness - states:
First, note that the man had underlying conditions, but the article - likewise the hundreds of other articles covering the same story - fails to mention what those conditions were. Cancer? Obesity? Acne? Anybody?
While the article very plainly states that the man attended the rally in Sturgis, it fails to mention where he went before and after the rally. The coronavirus, we've been told, can have a quite long incubation period, so where the Post tries to link the man's death to the rally, it doesn't mention whether he was a regular church-goer, mall shopper, or attended any other rallies, festivals, parties, or gatherings where he could have picked up the infection. For all we know, he could have contracted the COVID from a relative or somebody he had lunch with near his home. Dead horse. Stop beating it.
Let's take a look at some numbers, OK?
The annual US Death rate is 863.8 deaths per 100,000 population. That amounts to 16.61 deaths per 100,000 per week.
Considering that the Sturgis biker festival supposedly drew about 400,000, it would be statistically insignificant if 64 of the people who attended the rally died each week following the event. Many of these bikers are in the riskiest categories, over 50, surely many with one or more comorbidity, so if 100 or more of these bikers died since August 16, it would not be surprising.
But, here we have one. ONE. Just one guy and it makes news. Now, if bikers were dropping like flies sprayed with Black Flag, then there would be a story. One guy, who was old and already sick, dying, does not a news story make. What it does is promote the COVID propaganda narrative which tells us to wear masks, stay away from each other (no hugging, kissing, or, for the sake of the children, none of that intimacy stuff), be afraid, make sure to be first in line for an untested, possibly fatal, vaccine which will be rolled out in a couple of months, and stop living as normal human beings.
The fellow who passed away may have had a terminal illness for all we know and was going to the biker rally for one last good time before cashing in his chips. We don't know and rest assured the crack reporters who covered this story are unlikely to follow up with any relevant details, so, we'll probably never know the truth.
The truth. It hurts. It's also, according to the "father of tragedy," Aeschylus, the first casualty of war, and we are at war. With the government, the media, the medical and financial communities.
At the Close, Wednesday, September 2, 2020:
Dow: 29,100.50, +454.84 (+1.59%)
NASDAQ: 12,056.44, +116.78 (+0.98%)
S&P 500: 3,580.84, +54.19 (+1.54%)
NYSE: 13,276.74, +163.00 (+1.24%)
The big move in the Industrial Average was aided by the recent inclusion of Amgen Inc. (258.12, +7.26 +2.89%) and Honeywell (172.47, +4.50 +2.68%) but disappointed by salesforce.com (276.69, -4.56 -1.62%), which replaced ExxonMobile, Raytheon, and Pfizer.
Wednesday's move left the Dow just 450 points from its all-time closing high (21,551.42, Feb. 10, 2020), a number that is almost certainly to be shattered within weeks, if not days.
Moving ahead to Thursday's pre-market, initial jobless claims were 833,352 on an unadjusted basis, and 881,000, seasonally adjusted.
As if the unemployment figures produced by the Department of Labor weren't suspect enough, a change in how seasonally-adjusted claims are reported began with today's report.
According to Yahoo News, "Thursday’s report, however, will also mark the first time the US Department of Labor (DOL) counts new and continuing jobless claims under an updated system, with this change expected to lower the number of seasonally adjusted claims that get reported."
According to another "trusted" source, USA Today claims, "The new method involves using a seasonal adjustment that’s more stable because it applies a number rather than a percentage to the actual claims total, J.P. Morgan economist Daniel Silver wrote in a note to clients."
Now, since the seasonally-adjusted number is higher (881,000) than the non-adjusted figure (833,352), what can we make of this? Hard to tell, since the opposite of what was expected to happen (lower seasonally-adjusted number) via the change in calculation, occurred.
Well, suffice it to say that the government lies, mostly all the time.
This report would not be complete without a little taste of fake news - today's entry into the panoply of bogusness from the pre-eminent anti-truth newspaper, the Washington Post.
Their story, published on September 2, purports to detail the horrible after-effects from the evil biker rally in Sturgis, South Dakota back in the second week of August, claiming to report the First covid-19 death linked to Sturgis Motorcycle Rally.
The article - with some degree of giddiness - states:
The man was in his 60s, had underlying conditions and was hospitalized in intensive care for several weeks after returning from the rally, said Kris Ehresmann, infectious-disease director at the Minnesota Department of Health. The case is among at least 260 cases in 11 states tied directly to the event, according to a survey of health departments by The Washington Post.
First, note that the man had underlying conditions, but the article - likewise the hundreds of other articles covering the same story - fails to mention what those conditions were. Cancer? Obesity? Acne? Anybody?
While the article very plainly states that the man attended the rally in Sturgis, it fails to mention where he went before and after the rally. The coronavirus, we've been told, can have a quite long incubation period, so where the Post tries to link the man's death to the rally, it doesn't mention whether he was a regular church-goer, mall shopper, or attended any other rallies, festivals, parties, or gatherings where he could have picked up the infection. For all we know, he could have contracted the COVID from a relative or somebody he had lunch with near his home. Dead horse. Stop beating it.
Let's take a look at some numbers, OK?
The annual US Death rate is 863.8 deaths per 100,000 population. That amounts to 16.61 deaths per 100,000 per week.
Considering that the Sturgis biker festival supposedly drew about 400,000, it would be statistically insignificant if 64 of the people who attended the rally died each week following the event. Many of these bikers are in the riskiest categories, over 50, surely many with one or more comorbidity, so if 100 or more of these bikers died since August 16, it would not be surprising.
But, here we have one. ONE. Just one guy and it makes news. Now, if bikers were dropping like flies sprayed with Black Flag, then there would be a story. One guy, who was old and already sick, dying, does not a news story make. What it does is promote the COVID propaganda narrative which tells us to wear masks, stay away from each other (no hugging, kissing, or, for the sake of the children, none of that intimacy stuff), be afraid, make sure to be first in line for an untested, possibly fatal, vaccine which will be rolled out in a couple of months, and stop living as normal human beings.
The fellow who passed away may have had a terminal illness for all we know and was going to the biker rally for one last good time before cashing in his chips. We don't know and rest assured the crack reporters who covered this story are unlikely to follow up with any relevant details, so, we'll probably never know the truth.
The truth. It hurts. It's also, according to the "father of tragedy," Aeschylus, the first casualty of war, and we are at war. With the government, the media, the medical and financial communities.
At the Close, Wednesday, September 2, 2020:
Dow: 29,100.50, +454.84 (+1.59%)
NASDAQ: 12,056.44, +116.78 (+0.98%)
S&P 500: 3,580.84, +54.19 (+1.54%)
NYSE: 13,276.74, +163.00 (+1.24%)
Wednesday, September 2, 2020
True Value Of Silver Is $414.81 Per Troy Ounce; More on COVID-19 Government/Media/Medical Collusion
Here's a quick insight into how much the value of a dollar has fallen since 1950 (70 years ago).
In 1950, a gallon of gas cost right around 25 cents. Silver was 75 cents an ounce, so an ounce of silver could purchase 3 gallons of gas. If you used US quarters (90% silver, in circulation), you could have bought more, about 5.5 gallons.
A US quarter contains 0.181 troy ounces of silver, so you would need 5.52 quarters to equal an ounce of silver, or, roughly, in 1950, $1.38. With that, you could have basically purchased 5.52 gallons of gas. So, even back in 1950, the trading price of silver (0.75) was actually lower than the amount of silver in circulating coins ($1.38).
Fast forward to 2020, where the price of a gallon of gas is around $2.00 and an ounce of silver is $28. Today, with the same ounce of silver you had in 1950, you could buy 14 gallons of gas. If you use US quarters (taken out fo circulation in 1964), which are now worth $5.00 each, the same 5.52 quarters are worth $27.60, or roughly the same as a raw ounce of silver.
Either way you slice it, the value of a dollar has declined significantly against silver (and gas).
How much? A lot. If you use the price of one ounce of raw silver, you could purchase nearly five times the amount of gas today than you could in 1950. If you used 1950 quarters (circulating) today (not in circulation), you'd get a little less than three times the amount of gas.
Here's another calculation we can make: since the price of silver was much lower than the value of circulating currency (quarters) in 1950, in fact, the price of silver was just 54% of the circulating currency, which is why coins stayed in circulation instead of being melted down for their silver value because the coins were worth much more than the actual raw metal. That's what currency in a strong economy looks like.
Taken in 2020 terms, if the price of silver is still just 54% of what it should be, the price of silver should be $51.85 and those 5.52 quarters would be worth not $5.00 each, but $9.39.
It gets worse - for the US dollar, that is. Because of inflation, which is, in reality, the gradual destruction of the value of a currency, gas, that was 25 cents a gallon in 1950, is now $2.00 a gallon, so we are getting just 1/8th of the 1950 value in current dollars, or 12.5%, meaning that since 1950, the value of the US dollar has fallen by 87.5%. OUCH! This is what the Federal Reserve calls "stable prices."
So, in dollar terms, the real price of silver should be eight times what it is today, and then it would still have to be reajusted upward because that number would still be 54% lower than what it should be.
Here's the math: price of silver today ($28.00) x 8 = $224. Now, since that's just 54% of its true value, ($224 x 100) ÷ 54 = $414.81. There you have it.
The price of silver (in US dollars) has been kept down purposely so that people would not be clamoring to go back to a gold or silver standard. In the early days of the United States of America, the country was on a bi-metallic standard, using gold and silver as currency, according to the constitution. The Federal Reserve Notes (FRNs) issued by the Federal Reserve (a private bank, BTW) are not constitutionally-mandated currency.
Now, many people think we should be going back to a gold standard. Here are some truly amazing numbers about how much an ounce of gold should be worth today. At the current gold-silver ratio of 70.35 ($1970:$28), using our $414.81 (let's just round up to $415) price of silver, an ounce of gold would be a staggering $29,195.25.
Since the current gold-silver ratio is way off the traditional, time-honored measures of 16:1 or 12:1, an ounce of gold would be, at those ratios, $6,640, or $4,980, respectively. Since gold bugs won't be satisfied with those figures, and most rational people would be happy with a gold-silver ratio around 25:1, or $10,375 per ounce of gold.
This is why, when people say the central banks manipulate the price of gold via the spot price and futures trading, they're missing the point. Central bankers truly do hate gold - it's competitive currency, after all - but they really hate silver much more and there's evidence of it. Once you do some reading on the Crime of '73 and here, you'll understand why central bankers have a standing obligation to keep the price of silver (and gold) at criminally low levels.
NEXT!
That's an honest and correct CDC statistic. There have been 186,000 deaths attributed to COVID-19 in the United States. Just on this data alone, the number of deaths of people younger than 65 is 20% of the total, or 37,200. In a population of 330 million, that makes the chances of anybody under the age of 65 dying from COVID-19, 1-in-8870, or 0.0088%, or less than one-tenth of one percent, which would be 0.01%.
This is THE point. If the chances of dying from this so-called "killer virus" is so small, why then did governors across the country issue maddeningly-restrictive conditions on the general population, including closing businesses for weeks or months, shutting down schools, churches, any gathering of more than 15 people, various quarantines, ridiculous amounts of testing with tests that were wildly inaccurate, mandatory mask-wearing and all the rest of the absurd social distancing requirements?
The very best one can conclude from this six-month episode which cratered the global economy is that government reacted far too ham-handedly and excessively cautiously in its efforts to safeguard against the spread of COVID-19, which managed to spread itself quite readily, regardless.
The federal and state governments have acted in wholly irresponsible manners regarding a virus that is not even as deadly as the common flu variant, bringing people to the point of asking whether the governors, mayors, county officials, and hospital administrators were willfully negligent in their response to the virus.
It would seem sensible to most people that causing a nationwide panic would lead to worse outcomes overall than the virus itself posed. The mainstream media, which promoted the virus as a deadly health risk when it was only deadly to people with existing medical conditions, is equally at fault for pushing the narrative of the medical community, which, from day one never advised anybody to strengthen their immune systems, whether it be through healthy eating and exercise or a regular regimen of vitamins C, D3, Zinc and green tea, a preventative measure that has proven effective.
While the CDC's findings that only six percent of the deaths attributed to COVID-19 were caused by that alone is damning evidence enough, an understanding that the general population was never at any serious health risk goes against the grain of the roles of government, media, and the medical community, which is to work for the good of the general public. The actions of governors, mayors, medical practitioners, and mainstream media outlets has been poor public policy at best. At worst, their actions have been nothing short of a criminal conspiracy intended to cover up the foundational cracks in the economy, to shroud radical policies by the Federal Reserve that have bankrupted the country, and to undermine the re-election of Donald Trump to the presidency.
Would that the people of the United States could levy an indictment against the elite individuals, organizations, and institutions upon which the people entrusted their very lives, the evidence would indicate that decisions were made rashly, irresponsibly, and without regard to the well-being of the public.
The case for universal mask-wearing, social distancing, and some mendacious, profit-driven push for a vaccine is closed.
None of it was necessary. The American people - and people in nations around the world - have been duped once again, this time with the implicit assistance of social media companies which censored and banned the truth from emerging.
It is well past time for people to wake up to the reality of the situation: that the government/media/medical cabal engineered a diabolical panic for personal, political, and economic gain.
The vast majority of people in America and especially anybody under the age of 40 in good health should remove their masks and loudly proclaim, "we do not believe you. We do not consent."
This was a scam from day one.
Case closed.
At the Close, Tuesday, September 1, 2020:
Dow: 28,645.66 +215.56 (+0.76%)
NASDAQ: 11,939.67, +164.17 (+1.39%)
S&P 500: 3,526.65, +26.34 (+0.75%)
NYSE: 13,113.74, +68.14 (+0.52%)
In 1950, a gallon of gas cost right around 25 cents. Silver was 75 cents an ounce, so an ounce of silver could purchase 3 gallons of gas. If you used US quarters (90% silver, in circulation), you could have bought more, about 5.5 gallons.
A US quarter contains 0.181 troy ounces of silver, so you would need 5.52 quarters to equal an ounce of silver, or, roughly, in 1950, $1.38. With that, you could have basically purchased 5.52 gallons of gas. So, even back in 1950, the trading price of silver (0.75) was actually lower than the amount of silver in circulating coins ($1.38).
Fast forward to 2020, where the price of a gallon of gas is around $2.00 and an ounce of silver is $28. Today, with the same ounce of silver you had in 1950, you could buy 14 gallons of gas. If you use US quarters (taken out fo circulation in 1964), which are now worth $5.00 each, the same 5.52 quarters are worth $27.60, or roughly the same as a raw ounce of silver.
Either way you slice it, the value of a dollar has declined significantly against silver (and gas).
How much? A lot. If you use the price of one ounce of raw silver, you could purchase nearly five times the amount of gas today than you could in 1950. If you used 1950 quarters (circulating) today (not in circulation), you'd get a little less than three times the amount of gas.
Here's another calculation we can make: since the price of silver was much lower than the value of circulating currency (quarters) in 1950, in fact, the price of silver was just 54% of the circulating currency, which is why coins stayed in circulation instead of being melted down for their silver value because the coins were worth much more than the actual raw metal. That's what currency in a strong economy looks like.
Taken in 2020 terms, if the price of silver is still just 54% of what it should be, the price of silver should be $51.85 and those 5.52 quarters would be worth not $5.00 each, but $9.39.
It gets worse - for the US dollar, that is. Because of inflation, which is, in reality, the gradual destruction of the value of a currency, gas, that was 25 cents a gallon in 1950, is now $2.00 a gallon, so we are getting just 1/8th of the 1950 value in current dollars, or 12.5%, meaning that since 1950, the value of the US dollar has fallen by 87.5%. OUCH! This is what the Federal Reserve calls "stable prices."
So, in dollar terms, the real price of silver should be eight times what it is today, and then it would still have to be reajusted upward because that number would still be 54% lower than what it should be.
Here's the math: price of silver today ($28.00) x 8 = $224. Now, since that's just 54% of its true value, ($224 x 100) ÷ 54 = $414.81. There you have it.
The price of silver (in US dollars) has been kept down purposely so that people would not be clamoring to go back to a gold or silver standard. In the early days of the United States of America, the country was on a bi-metallic standard, using gold and silver as currency, according to the constitution. The Federal Reserve Notes (FRNs) issued by the Federal Reserve (a private bank, BTW) are not constitutionally-mandated currency.
Now, many people think we should be going back to a gold standard. Here are some truly amazing numbers about how much an ounce of gold should be worth today. At the current gold-silver ratio of 70.35 ($1970:$28), using our $414.81 (let's just round up to $415) price of silver, an ounce of gold would be a staggering $29,195.25.
Since the current gold-silver ratio is way off the traditional, time-honored measures of 16:1 or 12:1, an ounce of gold would be, at those ratios, $6,640, or $4,980, respectively. Since gold bugs won't be satisfied with those figures, and most rational people would be happy with a gold-silver ratio around 25:1, or $10,375 per ounce of gold.
This is why, when people say the central banks manipulate the price of gold via the spot price and futures trading, they're missing the point. Central bankers truly do hate gold - it's competitive currency, after all - but they really hate silver much more and there's evidence of it. Once you do some reading on the Crime of '73 and here, you'll understand why central bankers have a standing obligation to keep the price of silver (and gold) at criminally low levels.
NEXT!
People who are older are at greater risk for serious illness, and possibly death, from Covid-19. The CDC reports that 8 out of 10 Covid-19 deaths reported in the U.S. are people over 65 years old.
That's an honest and correct CDC statistic. There have been 186,000 deaths attributed to COVID-19 in the United States. Just on this data alone, the number of deaths of people younger than 65 is 20% of the total, or 37,200. In a population of 330 million, that makes the chances of anybody under the age of 65 dying from COVID-19, 1-in-8870, or 0.0088%, or less than one-tenth of one percent, which would be 0.01%.
This is THE point. If the chances of dying from this so-called "killer virus" is so small, why then did governors across the country issue maddeningly-restrictive conditions on the general population, including closing businesses for weeks or months, shutting down schools, churches, any gathering of more than 15 people, various quarantines, ridiculous amounts of testing with tests that were wildly inaccurate, mandatory mask-wearing and all the rest of the absurd social distancing requirements?
The very best one can conclude from this six-month episode which cratered the global economy is that government reacted far too ham-handedly and excessively cautiously in its efforts to safeguard against the spread of COVID-19, which managed to spread itself quite readily, regardless.
The federal and state governments have acted in wholly irresponsible manners regarding a virus that is not even as deadly as the common flu variant, bringing people to the point of asking whether the governors, mayors, county officials, and hospital administrators were willfully negligent in their response to the virus.
It would seem sensible to most people that causing a nationwide panic would lead to worse outcomes overall than the virus itself posed. The mainstream media, which promoted the virus as a deadly health risk when it was only deadly to people with existing medical conditions, is equally at fault for pushing the narrative of the medical community, which, from day one never advised anybody to strengthen their immune systems, whether it be through healthy eating and exercise or a regular regimen of vitamins C, D3, Zinc and green tea, a preventative measure that has proven effective.
While the CDC's findings that only six percent of the deaths attributed to COVID-19 were caused by that alone is damning evidence enough, an understanding that the general population was never at any serious health risk goes against the grain of the roles of government, media, and the medical community, which is to work for the good of the general public. The actions of governors, mayors, medical practitioners, and mainstream media outlets has been poor public policy at best. At worst, their actions have been nothing short of a criminal conspiracy intended to cover up the foundational cracks in the economy, to shroud radical policies by the Federal Reserve that have bankrupted the country, and to undermine the re-election of Donald Trump to the presidency.
Would that the people of the United States could levy an indictment against the elite individuals, organizations, and institutions upon which the people entrusted their very lives, the evidence would indicate that decisions were made rashly, irresponsibly, and without regard to the well-being of the public.
The case for universal mask-wearing, social distancing, and some mendacious, profit-driven push for a vaccine is closed.
None of it was necessary. The American people - and people in nations around the world - have been duped once again, this time with the implicit assistance of social media companies which censored and banned the truth from emerging.
It is well past time for people to wake up to the reality of the situation: that the government/media/medical cabal engineered a diabolical panic for personal, political, and economic gain.
The vast majority of people in America and especially anybody under the age of 40 in good health should remove their masks and loudly proclaim, "we do not believe you. We do not consent."
This was a scam from day one.
Case closed.
At the Close, Tuesday, September 1, 2020:
Dow: 28,645.66 +215.56 (+0.76%)
NASDAQ: 11,939.67, +164.17 (+1.39%)
S&P 500: 3,526.65, +26.34 (+0.75%)
NYSE: 13,113.74, +68.14 (+0.52%)
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