Monday, March 23, 2026

WEEKEND WRAP CONCLUDED: Trump Finds the Off-Ramp to 'Cut and Run' as Markets Reach Breaking Points

President Trump, ever the entertainer-in-chief has found the exit ramp he's been seeking to extricate himself and the United States from the worst military defeat in the country's history.

The Truth Social post from early Monday morning, Trump posted, yelling, in all CAPS:

I AM PLEASED TO REPORT THAT THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA, AND THE COUNTRY OF IRAN, HAVE HAD, OVER THE LAST TWO DAYS, VERY GOOD AND PRODUCTIVE CONVERSATIONS REGARDING A COMPLETE AND TOTAL RESOLUTION OF OUR HOSTILITIES IN THE MIDDLE EAST. BASED ON THE TENOR AND TONE OF THESE IN DEPTH, DETAILED, AND CONSTRUCTIVE CONVERSATIONS, WHICH WILL CONTINUE THROUGHOUT THE WEEK, I HAVE INSTRUCTED THE DEPARTMENT OF WAR TO POSTPONE ANY AND ALL MILITARY STRIKES AGAINST IRANIAN POWER PLANTS AND ENERGY INFRASTRUCTURE FOR A FIVE DAY PERIOD, SUBJECT TO THE SUCCESS OF THE ONGOING MEETINGS AND DISCUSSIONS. THANK YOU FOR YOUR ATTENTION TO THIS MATTER! PRESIDENT DONALD J. TRUMP

Of course, this is absolute nonsense, intended to reach the Iranians (about 3:37 pm in Tehran), though the main targeted audience is in the U.S. and specifically, the people moving money around on Wall Street.

This comes on the heels of Saturday's post:

If Iran doesn’t FULLY OPEN, WITHOUT THREAT, the Strait of Hormuz, within 48 HOURS from this exact point in time, the United States of America will hit and obliterate their various POWER PLANTS, STARTING WITH THE BIGGEST ONE FIRST! Thank you for your attention to this matter. President DONALD J. TRUMP

The deadline Trump set was for Monday evening, around 8:00 pm ET. The post from this morning contradicts and makes the threat moot.

This post, on Friday night, exposed the hand Trump is playing:

We are getting very close to meeting our objectives as we consider winding down our great Military efforts in the Middle East with respect to the Terrorist Regime of Iran: (1) Completely degrading Iranian Missile Capability, Launchers, and everything else pertaining to them. (2) Destroying Iran’s Defense Industrial Base. (3) Eliminating their Navy and Air Force, including Anti Aircraft Weaponry. (4) Never allowing Iran to get even close to Nuclear Capability, and always being in a position where the U.S.A. can quickly and powerfully react to such a situation, should it take place. (5) Protecting, at the highest level, our Middle Eastern Allies, including Israel, Saudi Arabia, Qatar, the United Arab Emirates, Bahrain, Kuwait, and others. The Hormuz Strait will have to be guarded and policed, as necessary, by other Nations who use it — The United States does not! If asked, we will help these Countries in their Hormuz efforts, but it shouldn’t be necessary once Iran’s threat is eradicated. Importantly, it will be an easy Military Operation for them. Thank you for your attention to this matter! President DONALD J. TRUMP

Trump will get none of what he's asking for from Iran, as they've shown no inclination to negotiate with the U.S. - as they've stated many ties already - but, he has established the U.S. position on the conflict in the Middle East, essentially signaling the end of U.S. involvement in the region, and, via Monday morning's post, a nearly immediate end to hostilities.

Of course, this directive does not include Israel, which is being left hung out to fend for itself against Iran, which has methodically destroyed much of Israel through some 80 or more waves of missile and draone attacks, the latest targeting the communities of Dimona and Arad, the largest near the center of Israel's sparsely populated Negev desert, demonstrating that they have the ability to strike Israel's Dimona nuclear plant at any time should they so choose.

Iran also demonstrated very clearly to America, Israel and the world that their missiles have a much longer range than previously thought when they sent two missiles at the military base of Diego Garcia, some 2,500 miles from Tehran on Friday. Though the missiles caused little damage and reportedly no injuries, the message sent by the Iranians was clear: they have enough range to hit targets in Europe.

Also, over the weekend, Iran shot down an F-15 fighter jet near the Strait of Hormuz.

This most recent activity arrives following unmistakable evidence that Iran has defeated the U.S. and Israel in no uncertain terms, blowing up U.S. bases in the region, severely damaging two aircraft carriers - USS Abraham Lincoln and USS Gerald R. Ford - shooting down at least six U.S. aircraft and shelling Israel's main cities of Haifa and Tel Aviv continuously. There's little doubt that Trump and his military and political advisors have seen enough, and, while raising the white flag of surrender remains out of the question, the decision to cut and run has been made, just in time for markets to open on Monday morning.

While its apparent that the U.S. has no will to fight to the end, it's also clear that the decision was made late last week, as markets began to enter danger zones. As of Friday's closing bell the Dow Jones Industrial Average was 9.11% off its February 10 high (50,188.14). The NASDAQ had dipped 9.61% from its October 29, 2025 high of 23,958.47. Markets were reaching dangerously close to "official" correction territory of -10%.

Additionally, WTI crude oil was approaching $100 per barrel and the average price of gas in the U.S. was near $4.00 ($3.93 Sunday).

Trump made his intentions to exit the theater of war clear with the Monday morning "truth", much of which was pure nonsense. Markets responded as expected. Crude oil sank from $101.30 to $89.08 within a matter of minutes. Dow futures, which were down some 400 points, streaked higher to up over 1,000 points. The same kind of moves were seen in NASDAQ futures, up more than 500 points, and S& futures, up more than 130 points.

Without a doubt, Trump and his billionaire buddies are making serious bank on these moves. It's obvious that President Trump and his cabal of criminals favor money over people's lives. As disgusting as that may sound, it is obvious to all but those blinded by the MAGA "never wrong" crowd.

America has been defeated. It has lost its prestige in the world. Whatever gains are made by pulling out of a war that it started will be tainted by the blood of the dead.

As far as Israel is concerned, best of luck. Iran will likely destroy most of the country and render its military useless.



WEEKEND WRAP: Trump 6D Chess? We See What You Did There in the Middle East; FULL REPORT MONDAY

Editor's Note: This is a condensed version of the usual Weekend Wrap due to time limitations, fast-changing narratives and the NCAA Men's Basketball Championship Tournament. Full commentary will be posted on Monday, March 23. - FR

There has been a major signal shift coming from the White House and Trump's latest "truths" and "tweets" leaning favorably towards a cut and run from the Middle East without admitting defeat. Because this issue begs for more clarity - and because college basketball in March takes precedence over everything - a fuller picture should emerge by Monday morning. Money Daily will have a full report prior to the U.S. market open on Monday.

Stocks

Another bummer week for stocks:
Dow: -981.00 (-2.11%)
NASDAQ: -457.75 (-2.07%)
S&P 500: -125.71 (-1.90%)
NYSE Composite: -434.21 (-1.97%)
Dow Transports: -117.17 (-0.66%)

Major averages were all down close to two percent on the week. Not a coincidence. As cynical as commentary on the stock market has become, there's little surprise that stocks stopped out just short of a -10% decline.

Treasury Yield Curve Rates

Date 1 Mo 1.5 mo 2 Mo 3 Mo 4 Mo 6 Mo 1 Yr
02/13/2026 3.72 3.71 3.73 3.68 3.70 3.59 3.42
02/20/2026 3.72 3.73 3.74 3.69 3.71 3.61 3.51
02/27/2026 3.74 3.73 3.73 3.67 3.67 3.60 3.48
03/06/2026 3.75 3.74 3.72 3.69 3.67 3.66 3.55
03/13/2026 3.75 3.74 3.71 3.72 3.69 3.70 3.66
03/20/2026 3.73 3.71 3.72 3.74 3.73 3.79 3.80

Date 2 Yr 3 Yr 5 Yr 7 Yr 10 Yr 20 Yr 30 Yr
02/13/2026 3.40 3.43 3.61 3.81 4.04 4.64 4.69
02/20/2026 3.48 3.50 3.65 3.85 4.08 4.66 4.72
02/27/2026 3.38 3.39 3.51 3.72 3.97 4.57 4.64
03/06/2026 3.56 3.59 3.72 3.93 4.15 4.74 4.77
03/13/2026 3.73 3.74 3.87 4.07 4.28 4.89 4.90
03/20/2026 3.88 3.90 4.01 4.20 4.39 4.97 4.96

Commentary Monday...

Spreads:

2s-10s
2025
1/3: +32
1/10: +37
1/17: +34
1/24: +36
1/31: +36
2/7: +20
2/14: +21
2/21: +23
2/28: +25
3/7: +33
3/14: +29
3/21: +31
3/28: +38
4/4: +33
4/11: +52
4/17: +53
4/25: +55
5/2: +50
5/9: +49
5/16: +45
5/23: +51
5/30: +52
6/6: +48
6/13: +45
6/20: +48
6/27: +56
7/3: +47
7/11: +53
7/18: +56
7/25: +49
8/1: +54
8/8: +51
8/15: +58
8/22: +58
8/29: +64
9/5: +59
9/12: +50
9/19: +57
9/26: +57
10/3: +45
10/10: +53
10/17: +56
10/24: +54
10/31: +51
11/7: +56
11/14: +52
11/21: +55
11/28: +55
12/5: +58
12/12: +67
12/19: +68
12/26: +68
2026
1/2: +72
1/9: +64
1/16: +65
1/23: +64
1/30: +74
2/6: +72
2/13: +64
2/20: +60
2/27: +59
3/6: +59
3/13: +55
3/20: +51

Full Spectrum (30-days - 30-years)
2025
1/3: +38
1/10: +54
1/17: +41
1/24: +40
1/31: +36
2/7: +32
2/14: +32
2/21: +31
2/28: +13
3/7: +24
3/14: +25
3/21: +23
3/28: +26
4/4: +5
4/11: +38
4/17: +44
4/25: +40
5/2: +41
5/9: +46
5/16: +52
5/23: +68
5/30: +59
6/6: +69
6/13: +67
6/20: +69
6/27: +66
7/3: +51
7/11: +59
7/18: +65
7/25: +55
8/1: +32
8/8: +37
8/15: +44
8/22: +41
8/29: +51
9/5: +49
9/12: +40
9/19: +54
9/26: +55
10/3: +47
10/10: +43
10/17: +42
10/24: +48
10/31: +61
11/7: +69
11/14: +70
11/21: +68
11/28: +62
12/5: +97
12/12: +109
12/19: +111
12/26: +111
2026
1/2: +114
1/9: +112
1/16: +108
1/23: +104
1/30: +115
2/6: +113
2/13: +97
2/20: +100
2/27: +90
3/6: +102
3/13: +115
3/20: +123

Oil/Gas

WTI Crude Oil finished the week at $98.09, slightly higher than last Friday's close at $97.20

Average price for a gallon of unleaded regular gasoline in the U.S. is $3.94.

Bitcoin

This week: $68,913.54
Last week: $71,582.53
2 weeks ago: $67,310.05
6 months ago: $112,387.70
One year ago: $84,294.35
Five years ago: $55,870.88

Commentary Monday.

Precious Metals

Gold:Silver Ratio: 66.29; last week: 62.31

Futures, per COMEX continuous contracts:

Gold price 2/20: $5,108.34
Gold price 2/27: $5,296.40
Gold price 3/6: $5,181.30
Gold price 3/13: $5,023.10
Gold price 3/20: $4,492.00

Silver price 2/20: $84.57
Silver price 2/27: $94.39
Silver price 3/6: $84.69
Silver price 3/13: $80.64
Silver price 3/20: $67.81

SPOT:
(stockcharts.com)
Gold 2/20: $5,130.00
Gold 2/27: $5,278.05
Gold 3/6: $5,144.28
Gold 3/13: $5,022.11
Gold 3/20: $4,494.00

Silver 2/20: $84.57
Silver 2/27: $93.82
Silver 3/6: $84.33
Silver: 3/13: $80.60
Silver 3/20: $67.79

Here are the most recent prices for common one ounce gold and silver items sold on eBay (free shipping included, numismatics excluded):

Item/Price Low High Average Median
1 oz silver coin: 80.00 93.00 86.65 87.50
1 oz silver bar: 69.99 92.74 81.72 80.55
1 oz gold coin: 4,627.15 4,867.15 4,724.31 4,702.95
1 oz gold bar: 4,647.15 4,891.66 4,722.66 4,704.29

The Single Ounce Silver Market Price Benchmark (SOSMPB) continued to decline through Sunday, to $84.11, a loss of $10.97 from the March 15 price of $95.08 per troy ounce.

WEEKEND WRAP

More to come on Monday...

At the Close, Friday, March 20, 2026:
Dow: 45,577.47, -443.96 (-0.96%)
NASDAQ: 21,647.61, -443.08 (-2.01%)
S&P 500: 6,506.48, -100.01 (-1.51%)
NYSE Composite: 21,616.73, -324.30 (-1.48%)

For the Week:
Dow: -981.00 (-2.11%)
NASDAQ: -457.75 (-2.07%)
S&P 500: -125.71 (-1.90%)
NYSE Composite: -434.21 (-1.97%)
Dow Transports: -117.17 (-0.66%)



Disclaimer: Information disseminated on this site should not be construed as investment advice. Downtown Magazine Inc., Money Daily and it's owners, affiliates and/or employees are not investment advisors and do not offer specific investment advice. All investments have risk. You should consult a professional investment advisor or stock broker or use your individual judgement when making investment decisions. By viewing this site, you hold harmless Downtown Magazine Inc., Money Daily, its owners, affiliates and employees against any and all liability. Copyright 2026, Downtown Magazine Inc., all rights reserved.

Friday, March 20, 2026

Who Is Winning?; Stocks in Correction Mode; Gold, Silver Begin to Recover; Oil Approaches $100, U.S. Average Gas Price is $3.93

Whatever one's opinion on the War in the Middle East, one thing that stands out is the joint effort by Israeli and U.S. governments and their lackeys in the mainstream media to paint the narrative in a manner that is - to say the least - not entirely disgusting and repugnant.

Worldwide, people are supposed to believe that making war is an overall good thing for everybody. It's not. Things get blown up. People die. How that equates to something good, as in "short term pain for long term gain", takes an exceptional leap of faith... and stupidity.

People are also led to believe that Iran is an evil, terrorist state when it's not. Also, the U.S. and Israel are winning, an exceptionally false account, being that most of the U.S. bases in the Middle East have been destroyed, some beyond repair, much of Israel has been mercilessly struck by more than 50 waves of missile attacks with extensive death and damage, the U.S. Navy won't get anywhere near Iran for fear of being blown out of the water, the Strait of Hormuz has been essentially closed to commercial traffic for nearly three weeks, crude oil is approaching $100/barrel, the average price for a gallon of gas in the U.S. is $3.93, and president Trump is asking for $200 billion more for a military "escapade" that's costing about $1 billion a day of money the U.S. does not have and will have to borrow.

Nobody is winning at this point. It's more like posturing.

At the start, this war was supposed to be over in a few days, a week, then two weeks, then four, and now, maybe by September. Why anybody believes the people promoting this nonsense is a mystery. Truth is, most don't.

Beyond the ravages of war, there are other matters to consider. America's stature as a reliable partner and honest negotiator has been permanently destroyed. Trump asked NATO countries for assistance (which, by the way, would not be needed if the U.S. were winning) in their war effort. The answer was a loud, unanimous, NO.

As far as markets are concerned, the slaughter in precious metals is a textbook example of manipulation. During times of war, prices for gold and silver always have gone up. Not this time... because it's different.

What isn't different is he effect on stocks. All the major indices are lower.

From recent all-time highs for each, as of Thursday's close, the Dow is down 8.30%. The NASDAQ is down 7.80%. The S&P 500 is down 5.32%. At least two of the major indices were about to fall into "official" correction territory - down 10% - yesterday, until Benjamin Netanyahu magically appeared to claim that he's alive and that the war is being won. Hurrah!

This is going to get worse. All of the majors are looking at a fourth straight week of losses. Through Thursday's close, the Dow is down 537 points. The NASDAQ is down 14 points and the S&P is down 18.

Futures are indicating a soft open. Gold and silver are recovering.

Total U.S. government debt passed $39 trillion this week.

Winning seems a bit overrated.

At the Close, Thursday, March 19, 2026:
Dow: 46,021.43, -203.72 (-0.44%)
NASDAQ: 22,090.69, -61.73 (-0.28%)
S&P 500: 6,606.49, -18.21 (-0.27%)
NYSE Composite: 21,941.03, -55.57 (-0.25%)



Stocks, Commodities Unraveling as Middle East War Goes Off the Rails; Fraud, Corruption Leading the Way to Economic Destruction

Outside of outright fraud in markets - which is occurring almost everywhere, but especially in commodity markets, gold, silver, and WTI crude oil - there is little to impede the coming events fomented by the irrational attacks on Iran by the brutal Israeli and U.S. militaries.

Much of what's occurred thus far in the 20-day war was entirely avoidable. The senseless killings, indiscriminate bombings and missile assaults are firmly attached to the bloodthirsty regimes in power by the aggressors. Iran's equally lethal responses against Israel and U.S. interests in the Gulf nations were widely anticipated after the various murders of their spiritual, political and military leaders.

The proximate cause of the war had little to do with Iran's nuclear capabilities. Iran's development of a nuclear deterrent had been outlawed by the fatwa issued by Ayatollah Ali Hosseini Khamenei that had been in effect for at least the past 20 years.

According to Gareth Porter, the fatwa was issued for the first time in the mid-1990s in a letter that was never publicly released. The fatwa was issued "without any fanfare" responding to a request from an official "for his religious opinion on nuclear weapons".[2]

In October 2003, Khamenei issued an oral fatwa that forbade the production and using any form of weapon of mass destruction.[4] Two years later, in August 2005, the fatwa was cited in an official statement by the Iranian government at a meeting of the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) in Vienna. It stated that the production, stockpiling and use of nuclear weapons were forbidden under Islam.

Israel's president, Benjamin Netanyahu, who is now likely dead or severely incapacitated, had been making the false claim that Iran was just weeks or months away from having a nuclear weapon for the last 20 or 30 years. Many reporters in the news media and high U.S. government positions (neocons) have been making the same or similar claims for decades. Truthfully, Iran was no closer to having a nuclear weapon than they were six months, six years or 20 years ago, which brings into question the ultimate motive of the Israelis and U.S. political leaders.

Speculation has been swirling around President Trump's association with Jeffrey Epstein as a cause, the war started to deflect attention away from sex crimes committed prior to Trump's ascension to the presidency. While that may have played a part in the planning and execution of the military assault, there are deeper, more profound, and frightening reasons the U.S. and Israel attacked Iran. These issues have been bubbling under the surface for many years and are mostly involved with the geopolitics of China, BRICS, U.S. global hegemony, the U.S. dollar, and the legitimacy of the state of Israel.

America has been losing its grip on political power for most of the last four or five decades. After then-president Richard . Nixon closed the gold window in 1971, the value of the U.S. dollar has been pressured, but its viability as the world's reseve currency has been under extreme assault in the past 15 years and especially since the COVID crisis in 2020-21. It's become obvious that the dollar is not a survivable currency, and, with its ultimate demise, the rest of the world's fiat issuance will suffer the same fate of extinction, or, at best, severe loss of purchasing power. The world is now clearly on a path toward revulsion and a complete reordering of priorities, including, and especially, the monetary order. The fiat system is clearly failing; the war the Middle East and Ukraine are nothing less than manifestations of failed policies, beginning with monetary leadership.

Just three weeks into the conflict, the Middle East is already in complete turmoil. By its brazen assault of Iran, the United States and Israel have bitten off more then they can chew. Iran's military capabilities have wreaked extensive damage on U.S. bases in the region and on the Israeli cities of Tel Aviv, Jerusalem, and Haifa, along with Hezbollah's relentless attacks from Lebanon, which Israel foolishly thought they could capture with the world focused on Iran.

If there's any clarity at all in the current fog of war, it is that the U.S. military has been out-maneuvered by Iran and that President Trump may well have been persuaded (or strong-armed) into thinking that Iran would capitulate quickly once the war started. The U.S. has - intentionally or by incompetence - vastly underestimated the will of the Iranian people and the depth of their missile arsenal. U.S. and Israeli defenses have been obliterated by precision Iranian missile strikes. The U.S. Navy doesn't have a ship within 700 kilometers of Iran's borders and two of America's aircraft carriers - the USS Ford and USS Abraham Lincoln - have been damaged and departed from the theater of war.

What's ahead - now that Israel has broken every unwritten rule of war by attacking oil and energy infrastructure - is a maelstrom of destruction to regional assets, the end of the sultanates of Oman, Bahrain, Saudi Arabia, UAE, and other oil-producers, which, in addition to causing massive human, military, and industrial losses, and a global depression. Without energy, economies die. While the U.S. may have seen this development as a positive since it is a major oil producer, it will be no less devastating in America as elsewhere because of the intertwining nature of the global system.

All anybody outside of government can do is hope and pray for a reasonable solution. While prayer may provide some degree of relief from te daily bombardments, hope will do little to salvage a portfolio or retirement account from the eventual market crash. There's almost no doubt that the "big one" is well on its way, the only questions being "when"? and "how long"? Individuals and businesses must consider asset allocations and investment horizons with clear-eyed realism. It's easy to hope for the best of conclusions; hard decisions take courage and quite possibly a large dose of pessimism.

Whatever happens over the next year to five years, it's likely to be epochal.

To get an idea of just how exteme matters may become, one has to look no further than yesterday's stock indices, all of which headed straigt into the tank, and today's gold, silver, and oil prices.

This morning, gold was quoted on the spot market as low as $4,502, and silver at $65.45. This is unprecedented. At no other time have precious metals dropped so rapidly during a war-time event. The opposite has always been the norm. It is only because the mechanisms of price discovery on the COMEX and by the CME are corrupt and dominated by insiders and government meddlers. The same is true of the price of WTI crude oil, which adamantly refuses to price above $100 even though there's every indication that the world is facing a severe reckoning. Corruption, manipulation, and the allure of massive war profits are at the heart of the conflict and current mis-pricing of, well, practically everything. In six months, nothing will be recognizable. It's almost that way today.

With markets about to open in the U.S., Dow futures are off 305, NASDAQ futures are down 181, and S&P futures are off by 43. All of the major indices have recently broken below their leading 50-day moving averages and are approaching the 200-day MA. Nothing good can be said about this development. Today, tomorrow or early next week, the major indices will drop into correction territory, a clear sign that further deterioration lay ahead.

President Trump will be impeached early next year if he doesn't take dramatic action very, very soon, and by that, meaning a complete cessation of hostilities and the end of militarism by Israel. That's not likely to happen, so...

Brace for impact!

At the Close, Wednesday, March 18, 2026:
Dow: 46,225.15, -768.11 (-1.63%)
NASDAQ: 22,152.42, -327.11 (-1.46%)
S&P 500: 6,624.70, -91.39 (-1.36%)
NYSE Composite: 21,996.60, -318.94 (-1.43%)



Wednesday, March 18, 2026

Trump Supporters Fading as Venezuela Wins WBC over USA, Iran Hammers U.S. and Israel, PPI - even without recent energy price hikes - Up 0.7% in February

Wednesday is shaping up to be a rough day for the Trump White House and the remaining dozens of MAGA loyalists.

A day after the irony of Venezuela topping "USA-USA-USA" in the World Baseball Classic, the BLS release of February PPI figures sent stock futures sliding into a bottomless pit.

President Trump might take a victory lap for Venezuela, since, in the bizarre world in which he exists, he's been "running" Venezuela after deposing that heinous drug-running, cartel-leading former-president Nicolas Maduro, and the country is doing so well it's now got the best baseball team in the world.

In a saga that is surely more destructive than ironic, the economy that has been touted as strong and vibrant for, oh, maybe the last century, seems to have developed a few jams in the otherwise smooth flow. This morning's release of PPI showed the early effects of tariff-led inflation, with inflation at the wholesale level up 0.7%.

The Producer Price Index for final demand increased 0.7 percent in February, seasonally adjusted, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today. Final demand prices moved up 0.5 percent in January and 0.4 percent in December 2025. On an unadjusted basis, the index for final demand rose 3.4 percent for the 12 months ended in February, the largest 12-month advance since increasing 3.4 percent in February 2025.

Adjusted or unadjusted, February PPI does not factor in the massive spike that's coming in March, due to the expected rise in energy prices from the stupid war that Trump started with Iran on February 28. Now nearly three weeks along, the U.S. Navy has fully retreated from the theater of war, since large, floating objects have become easy targets for Iranian missiles and drone strikes, Israel is being demolished on a daily basis, most of the U.S. military bases have been destroyed, the U.S. and Israel have run out of defensive Patriot and THAAD missiles, and there's growing concern that both are beginning to run low on offensive supplies.

With U.S. Markets due to open in minutes, stock futures are diving. Dow futures: -277; NASDAQ futures: -127; S&P futures: -35.

Can it get any worse for the Epstein gang? Oh, yeah, lots worse!

At the Close, Tuesday, March 17, 2026:
Dow: 46,993.26, +46.85 (+0.10%)
NASDAQ: 22,479.53, +105.35 (+0.47%)
S&P 500: 6,716.09, +16.71 (+0.25%)
NYSE Composite: 22,315.54, +56.96 (+0.26%)



Tuesday, March 17, 2026

Stocks Turn Higher on Fake "Talks" Between US and Iran; Iran Denies Interaction; Oil Lower; Gold, Silver Flat, Awaiting Fed

Editor's Note: A bit worn down from the latest forever war - and snow in East Tennessee - Money Daily turned to AI (Microsoft's Co-pilot) for this morning's missive. The result was notably sketchy, though that was likely due to inadequate prompts (queries), so further human commentary was added. AI is improving, so getting used to its more streamlined response production should be considered as a signpost to the future of journalism. --FR

Relief rally: U.S. stocks bounced on March 16 after oil cooled, with the S&P 500 up about 1% and tech leading gains; S&P futures were slightly softer premarket on March 17 while gold and silver remained elevated. Market close (March 16, 2026)

S&P 500: 6,699.38 (+1.01%), Nasdaq Composite: 22,374.18 (+1.22%), Dow Jones: 46,946.41 (+0.83%) — a broad relief rally as crude eased.

Russell 2000 also ticked higher (small‑cap bounce), reflecting a market‑wide lift.

What drove the move

Oil pulled back toward ~$93/barrel, removing some near‑term inflation pressure and helping cyclical names and yields ease. Trump jabbering about "talks" with Iran is total gaslighting, though the market (humans? computers?) bought into it. Iran denies any such interaction with the US, continues targeting US assets in the regions and greater Israel.

Megacap tech led the upside — Meta and Nvidia were notable contributors to the Nasdaq’s gain. (BFD) Dollar Tree (DLTR) posted a 6% gain after beating estimates on revenue and profit for the fourth quarter of 2025 and estimating 4-5% growth for 2026.

Premarket / futures (leading into March 17 open)

S&P 500 futures were modestly lower (roughly -0.1% to -0.4% in early premarket reads) across sources, while Nasdaq‑100 futures showed slightly larger weakness; Dow futures were near flat to slightly down in early trade. Expect a cautious open.

Precious metals

Gold closed near the $5,000/oz level on March 16 (spot readings clustered around ~$5,010–$5,025/oz across price services), staying elevated amid geopolitical risk and safe‑haven demand.

Silver traded around $80–$81/oz, holding recent gains and remaining sensitive to industrial/tech demand narratives.

Volatility, yields and commodities

VIX was elevated (mid‑20s), reflecting lingering risk from geopolitics despite Monday’s relief. However, VIX was down significantly from Friday.

Treasury yields eased as oil fell, which supported equities; that dynamic helped the relief rally.

Big movers and sector notes

Winners: Meta (+~2% intraday) and Nvidia (+~1–2%) were among the largest cap contributors; select small‑cap and biotech names posted outsized single‑day gains.

Losers: Energy names lagged on the oil pullback; some optics/optical component suppliers fell after comments at Nvidia’s GTC.

Market breadth and technical context

Breadth remains a concern: analysts note deteriorating participation (fewer stocks driving index gains) and weak cumulative advance‑decline measures — a caution that rallies may be narrow unless breadth improves.

Quick takeaways and what to watch today

Watch oil headlines and any escalation in Middle East energy risks — they remain the primary macro swing factor.

Monitor Nvidia/GTC commentary and megacap earnings/updates for tech leadership cues.

If futures open weaker but breadth improves (more advancers than decliners), the rally can broaden; if breadth stays poor, expect chop.

This could be another slow day as the market waits for the FOMC announcement on Wednesday, though the Fed is likely to stand pat on rates, so, "nothing to see here, move along," is more of less the message.

Market sources and links

  • Bloomberg — https://www.bloomberg.com — comprehensive market news, macro, and commodities.
  • Reuters Markets — https://www.reuters.com/markets — timely market headlines and earnings movers.
  • CNBC Markets — https://www.cnbc.com/markets — U.S. market closes, futures, and big movers.
  • The Wall Street Journal Markets — https://www.wsj.com/news/markets — market analysis and sector coverage.
  • MarketWatch — https://www.marketwatch.com — intraday movers, breadth, and market data.
  • Investing.com — https://www.investing.com — futures, commodities, and metals quotes.
  • Kitco News — https://www.kitco.com/news — gold and silver prices and commentary.
  • Barchart — https://www.barchart.com — advance/decline data, movers, and technical screens.
  • Nasdaq Market Activity — https://www.nasdaq.com/market-activity (nasdaq.com in Bing) — index and stock-specific data.
  • Yahoo Finance — https://finance.yahoo.com — quotes, premarket futures, and news aggregation.
  • TradingView — https://www.tradingview.com — charts, futures tickers, and community ideas.
  • FT Markets — https://www.ft.com/markets — global market context and commodity coverage.

At the Close, Monday, March 16, 2026:
Dow: 46,946.41, +387.94 (+0.83%)
NASDAQ: 22,374.18, +268.82 (+1.22%)
S&P 500: 6,699.38, +67.19 (+1.01%)
NYSE Composite: 22,258.58, +207.64 (+0.94%)



Sunday, March 15, 2026

WEEKEND WRAP: 'Short Term Pain for Long Term Gain' the Most Recent Gaslighting for Americans as Middle East War Extends into Third Week

Short Term Pain for Long Term Gain

What a complete load of crap.

The national average for a gallon of gas at the pump this Sunday is $3.69. A month ago (Feb. 15) it was $2.92. That's 26% increase and nobody has any idea of how long this "short term pain" will last and what constitutes "long term gain." Sounds like a well-conceived con to separate Americans (and Europeans) from their money.

While Trump's "escapade" in the Middle East has reached Day 16, it might be time to begin measuring the pain threshold of the American public and the rest of the world in terms of weeks, as it appears this conflict isn't going to end anytime soon.

As Americans have found out in Vietnam, Iraq, Afghanistan, and Ukraine, when the United States goes to war, they don't dally around for a few weeks or even months. Military confrontations - especially one in which we have an ally, in this case, Israel - normally take years to resolve, so anybody wishing for a quick end to the Iranian question might want to read a few history books.

The approach to this particular exercise has been cynical to say the least. A few days after the Department of War and wartime President Trump said the conflict might last "a few weeks", it quickly became four to eight weeks, and then some suggested 100 days or into September. Considering the strength of Iran's military and the resolve of their people (who aren't about to overthrow their government, sorry), there's every chance that the U.S. will still be at war with Iran at this time next year and maybe the year after that.

The first few weeks of the war haven't gone quite as swimmingly as the U.S. expected. As for Israel, it's being - to use a trump-ism - bombed to hell, with parts of Tel Aviv and Haifa beginning to resemble the demolition that's taken place in Gaza over the past two years.

Keeping score at this juncture isn't easy, but, as in most conflicts, everybody's losing. Iran and Israel have likely both lost thousands of lives, while the U.S. military is keeping its actual casualty count under wraps, with ample assistance by the Western media cartel.

No reports come from Israel, under a tight censorship blanket, and photo images of damage to U.S. airbases and weaponry are under four-to-14-day embargoes.

Then there's this:

...followed by Federal Communications Commission (FCC) Chairman Brendan Carr warning broadcasters who air “fake news” to “correct course before their license renewals come up,” in a post on X.

How very Soviet. Taxpayers and citizens should keep in mind that while the public pays for this war through taxes and inflation, they are not allowed to know the truth.

Elsewhere in the swamp of D.C. lawmakers continue to not fund DHS and also can't pass a bill requiring that only U.S. citizens to vote in elections. Congress, let's face it, they just suck. The good news is that the Republicans are likely to lose a massive number of House seats and maybe lose control of the Senate, leaving the government in a deadlocked condition for possibly two years after the midterms this November. Hampering the ability of the government to pass any new legislation is at least a partial win for Americans.

Stocks

The week was another loser for equities:

Dow: -943.08 (-1.99%)
NASDAQ: -282.32 (-1.26%)
S&P 500: -107.83 (-1.60%)
NYSE Composite: -467.13 (-2.07%)
Dow Transports: -729.48 (-3.95%)

With the Dow Transports leading the way with losses in four of the past five weeks, owning equities at this juncture is beginning to become a painful exercise. All of the major indices has lost ground for three consecutive weeks, except fot the NYSE Composite, lower just the past two.

From its recent all time high of 50,188.14 (Feb. 10) , the Dow Industrial Average finished out the week down 7.23%. The NASDAQ, after topping out at 23,958.47 on October 29, 2025, closed Friday down 7.73%, and the S&P, from a closing high of 6.978.60 (January 27) is down 4.96%. Of course, this is nothing. Stocks can turn on a dime, as we all know. Historic trends suggest light declines, as have been seen, followed by a reversal higher. It's still early, but defense and energy stocks should out-perform.

The FOMC meets this week, with consensus betting on no movement on the federal funds rate, keeping the yield at 3.50% to 3.75%. The meeting begins Tuesday and concludes Wednesday with a 2:00 pm ET policy announcement, followed by the usual press conference by Chairman Powell. This month also includes the forecasts or "dot plots" from the assembled members.

On Monday, Industrial Production and Capacity Utilization for February are released, along with the March Empire State manufacturing survey. Tuesday has Pending Home Sales. Wednesday, prior to the FOMC announcement, Producer Price Index (PPI) for February and January Factory Orders.

Thursday data includes January new home sales, weekly jobless claims, Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Survey for March, and January Wholesale Inventories.

Earnings season continues to wind down, with Dollar Tree, FedEx and Macy's highlighting the week.

Monday: (before open) Telos (TLS), Dollar Tree (DLTR); (after close) Playboy (PLBY), Getty Images (GETY), Semtech (SMYC)

Tuesday: (before open) Ebit Systems (ESLT), Tencent Music Entertainment (TME); (after close) Lululemon (LULU), Docusign (DOCU)

Wednesday: (before open) Tencent (TCEHY), Jabil (JBL), Macy's (M), Williams-Sonoma (*WSM), General Mills (GIS); (after close) Five Below (FIVE), Red Cat (RCAT), Micron Technology (MU)

Thursday: (before open) Accenture (ACN), Alibaba (BABa) Intuitive Machines (LUNR), Canadian Solar (CSIQ), Signet Jewelers (SIG), Darden Restaurants (DRI); (after close) FedEx (FDX), Intellicheck (IDN)

Friday: (before open) BitFuFu (FUFU),

Treasury Yield Curve Rates

Date 1 Mo 1.5 mo 2 Mo 3 Mo 4 Mo 6 Mo 1 Yr
02/06/2026 3.72 3.72 3.74 3.68 3.70 3.59 3.45
02/13/2026 3.72 3.71 3.73 3.68 3.70 3.59 3.42
02/20/2026 3.72 3.73 3.74 3.69 3.71 3.61 3.51
02/27/2026 3.74 3.73 3.73 3.67 3.67 3.60 3.48
03/06/2026 3.75 3.74 3.72 3.69 3.67 3.66 3.55
03/13/2026 3.75 3.74 3.71 3.72 3.69 3.70 3.66

Date 2 Yr 3 Yr 5 Yr 7 Yr 10 Yr 20 Yr 30 Yr
02/06/2026 3.50 3.57 3.76 3.98 4.22 4.80 4.85
02/13/2026 3.40 3.43 3.61 3.81 4.04 4.64 4.69
02/20/2026 3.48 3.50 3.65 3.85 4.08 4.66 4.72
02/27/2026 3.38 3.39 3.51 3.72 3.97 4.57 4.64
03/06/2026 3.56 3.59 3.72 3.93 4.15 4.74 4.77
03/13/2026 3.73 3.74 3.87 4.07 4.28 4.89 4.90

Yield on 2-year notes hit the highest since July 31, 2025. All long-dated maturities rose between 13 and 17 basis points, wih the 2s the most egregious, up 17 basis points this week and 35 bips the past two. Between war anxiety, inflation fears and general de-dollarization, bond buyers are likely to be demanding higher and higher yields over the near term. The 30-year bond might yield as high as the dreaded 5% after the Fed is almost certain to stand pat this week. There's just too much risk for a rational market to do otherwise.

The yield curve is essentially a flat line from 30 days out to 3 years, with a substantial rise from 3s out to 30s. U.S. long-term viability is under question. spreads remain elevated, especially with the full spectrum (30 days out to 30 years) at a double top from January 30, +115.

The Fed, being trapped into holding still on any suggestion of rate cuts, has inadvertently created a stagflationary environment. Remember that proposal a month ago to cap credit card rates at 10% for a year? Yeah, just like tariff revenue checks, lower food prices, and no new wars, another false promise from the Faker-in-Chief.

Spreads:

2s-10s
2025
1/3: +32
1/10: +37
1/17: +34
1/24: +36
1/31: +36
2/7: +20
2/14: +21
2/21: +23
2/28: +25
3/7: +33
3/14: +29
3/21: +31
3/28: +38
4/4: +33
4/11: +52
4/17: +53
4/25: +55
5/2: +50
5/9: +49
5/16: +45
5/23: +51
5/30: +52
6/6: +48
6/13: +45
6/20: +48
6/27: +56
7/3: +47
7/11: +53
7/18: +56
7/25: +49
8/1: +54
8/8: +51
8/15: +58
8/22: +58
8/29: +64
9/5: +59
9/12: +50
9/19: +57
9/26: +57
10/3: +45
10/10: +53
10/17: +56
10/24: +54
10/31: +51
11/7: +56
11/14: +52
11/21: +55
11/28: +55
12/5: +58
12/12: +67
12/19: +68
12/26: +68
2026
1/2: +72
1/9: +64
1/16: +65
1/23: +64
1/30: +74
2/6: +72
2/13: +64
2/20: +60
2/27: +59
3/6: +59
3/13: +55

Full Spectrum (30-days - 30-years)
2025
1/3: +38
1/10: +54
1/17: +41
1/24: +40
1/31: +36
2/7: +32
2/14: +32
2/21: +31
2/28: +13
3/7: +24
3/14: +25
3/21: +23
3/28: +26
4/4: +5
4/11: +38
4/17: +44
4/25: +40
5/2: +41
5/9: +46
5/16: +52
5/23: +68
5/30: +59
6/6: +69
6/13: +67
6/20: +69
6/27: +66
7/3: +51
7/11: +59
7/18: +65
7/25: +55
8/1: +32
8/8: +37
8/15: +44
8/22: +41
8/29: +51
9/5: +49
9/12: +40
9/19: +54
9/26: +55
10/3: +47
10/10: +43
10/17: +42
10/24: +48
10/31: +61
11/7: +69
11/14: +70
11/21: +68
11/28: +62
12/5: +97
12/12: +109
12/19: +111
12/26: +111
2026
1/2: +114
1/9: +112
1/16: +108
1/23: +104
1/30: +115
2/6: +113
2/13: +97
2/20: +100
2/27: +90
3/6: +102
3/13: +115

Oil/Gas

As expected, with the Strait of Hormuz closed for a second week, the price of oil continued higher, with WTI crude ending the week at $97.20, up sharply from last week's $91.27, and from $67.29 two weeks ago. The main beneficiary being Russia, now able to sell its oil at temporarily-inflated prices after the U.S. eased back on sanctions. China, for what its worth, receives less than two percent of its overall energy needs from Iran, so they're hardly suffering at all. So far, the big losers are Europe and North America, especially the United States, where consumers are already suffering sticker shock at the pump.

Expect WTI crude to pop over $100/barrel soon, with a target of $150 within six weeks. What a bonanza. Maybe the U.S. can start more wars with oil producers, like, um, itself. Wait, what?

This Sunday morning (March 15), the U.S. national average rose to $3.69, from $3.46 last week, and $2.97 the week prior, according to gasbuddy.com. Might as well call it up 50 cents in one week.

California stayed right on top, at $5.51 per gallon, the highest in the nation and up 38 cents on the week. Washington was up 26 cents ($4.86) and is up 50 cents the past two weeks. Oregon ($4.41), is up 26 cents this week and 80 cents in just the past three weeks. Nevada ($4.56) and Arizona ($4.36) round out the five members of the $4+ contingent.

The lowest prices remain in the Southeast, with Kansas the lowest in the nation, at $3.11. Other nearby states in the region are Oklahoma and Arkansas ($3.19). From North Carolina ($3.51) west to New Mexico ($3.78, up $1.06 in two weeks), are all at $3.20 or higher, including Florida ($3.71, up 84 cents in two weeks).

In the Northeast, prices remained high and were seeking higher. This week, Massachusetts is the lowest ($3.51) with Pennsylvania the highest ($3.68).

In the midwest region, Illinois gapped another 23 cents to $3.71, up 66 cents in two weeks. Michigan, which rose 60 cents, to $3.58 last week, this week moderated back to $3.57. Kansas was the lowest ($3.11).

Sub-$3.00 gas was recorded in NO STATES, after being the norm for 40 of the lower 48 states two weeks ago. There's your short term pain, America. The long term gain, if and when it ever arrives, will be food prices not inflating more than 10% this year. Ya gotta love your government, folks.

Bitcoin

This week: $71,582.53
Last week: $67,310.05
2 weeks ago: $66,515.72
6 months ago: $115,383.40
One year ago: $84,415.52
Five years ago: $58,089.13

Trump and his criminal cabal likes crypto, so it must suck. This stuff is truly toxic.

Precious Metals

Gold:Silver Ratio: 62.31; last week: 61.00;

Futures, per COMEX continuous contracts:

Gold price 2/13: $5,063.80
Gold price 2/20: $5,108.34
Gold price 2/27: $5,296.40
Gold price 3/6: $5,181.30
Gold price 3/13: $5,023.10

Silver price 2/13: $77.27
Silver price 2/20: $84.57
Silver price 2/27: $94.39
Silver price 3/6: $84.69
Silver price 3/13: $80.64

SPOT:
(stockcharts.com)
Gold 2/13: $5,041.72
Gold 2/20: $5,130.00
Gold 2/27: $5,278.05
Gold 3/6: $5,144.28
Gold 3/13: $5,022.11

Silver 2/13: $77.19
Silver 2/20: $84.57
Silver 2/27: $93.82
Silver 3/6: $84.33
Silver: 3/13: $80.60

One thing the war with Iran has effectively achieved has been diverting attention away from the criminality committed daily on the COMEX. This week, the assault came on Friday, just prior to the close for the week, taking gold down from $5,129 to as low as $5,008 on the spot market. Silver was spanked pretty hard as well, starting out Friday the 13th at $85.53 in Asia and as high as $84.48 at 9:00 am ET as U.S. markets opened, only to close at an absurd $80.45. One would suppose the cabal needed the weekend to scoop up loose change. The CME is run by criminals. There's nothing more to say.

The weekly survey of prices on eBay continued to reflect waning interest. Premia on small denominations has come down the past few weeks. Where this goes from here, nobody really knows, though spot prices in Shanghai are $92.84 for silver and $5,072 for gold.

Here are the most recent prices for common one ounce gold and silver items sold on eBay (free shipping included, numismatics excluded):

Item/Price Low High Average Median
1 oz silver coin: 88.00 112.50 95.45 90.95
1 oz silver bar: 85.55 102.86 96.56 97.36
1 oz gold coin: 5,162.00 5,404.93 5,272.68 5,269.49
1 oz gold bar: 5,185.52 5,415.21 5,249.61 5,233.57

The Single Ounce Silver Market Price Benchmark (SOSMPB) continued to decline through Sunday, to $95.08, a loss of $5.26 from the March 8 price of $100.34 per troy ounce.

WEEKEND WRAP

The war in the Middle East isn't going to end soon, so Americans might want to buckle down a bit, pray for the best while planning for the worst. At this juncture, nothing coming out of the mouths of politicians or mainstream media should be trusted.

It's too bad. America used ot be a pretty nice place. It gets worse every day.

At the Close, Friday, March 13, 2026:
Dow: 46,558.47, -119.38 (-0.26%)
NASDAQ: 22,105.36, -206.62 (-0.93%)
S&P 500: 6,632.19, -40.43 (-0.61%)
NYSE Composite: 22,050.94, -67.76 (-0.31%)

For the Week:
Dow: -943.08 (-1.99%)
NASDAQ: -282.32 (-1.26%)
S&P 500: -107.83 (-1.60%)
NYSE Composite: -467.13 (-2.07%)
Dow Transports: -729.48 (-3.95%)



Disclaimer: Information disseminated on this site should not be construed as investment advice. Downtown Magazine Inc., Money Daily and it's owners, affiliates and/or employees are not investment advisors and do not offer specific investment advice. All investments have risk. You should consult a professional investment advisor or stock broker or use your individual judgement when making investment decisions. By viewing this site, you hold harmless Downtown Magazine Inc., Money Daily, its owners, affiliates and employees against any and all liability. Copyright 2026, Downtown Magazine Inc., all rights reserved.

Friday, March 13, 2026

Trump, Bibi Risking Massive Loss in War vs. Iran; Oil, Gas Up, Stocks Looking for Friday the 13th Good Luck to Save the Week

How's the war going, Mr. Trump?

Or, should we call it an excursion, as you did?

Is it over, or just the beginning, as your Secretary of WAR, Pete Hegseth, claims?

From just about any perspective, the war is not going well for the United States, and it's even worse for their partner, Israel, where daily missile and drone strickes are turning Tel Aviv, Haifa, and other parts of the country into something resembling what Israel has done to Gaza. Hezbollah, operating in Lebanon, has begun to fight back at invading Israeli forces, coordinating with Iran.

A week ago, Hegseth was making claims about how the number of missile and drone strikes were steadily decreasing, that the U.S. had "degraded" Iran's ability to strike Israel and U.S. bases in the region, and that most of Iran's launchers had been destroyed. He's no longer making those claims.

Israel's president, Benjamin "Bibi" Netanyahu, has been out of the country since the day the war began. For two weeks the leader of the agressor against Iran has been afraid to set foot in his own country. Not a good look and probably qite demoralizing to the IDF and Israeli residents.

According to a recent post by Simplicious, Ali Larijani, head of Iran’s Supreme National Security Council, stated, on March 9:

“Tonight, we received messages from U.S. President Donald Trump through the Omani mediator, asking us to negotiate a ceasefire.

Our response is that we will not accept any negotiations as long as an entity called Israel exists.”

Here is the post in English:

Meanwhile, an enraged Donald Trump continues to lash out:

What an unseemly manner for an American President. It's shameful. Most of the U.S. bases in the region (21 by most assessments) have been badly damaged or rendered inoperable. The Strait of Hormuz remains closed, open only to "friendly vessels, according to Iran. The U.S. Navy refuses to escort tankers through the area, as it is too risky. There are no U.S. naval ships anywhere within 750 kilometers of the war zone. Any ships venutring within 350 miles of Iran's coastline can be targeted by Iranian missiles.

On Thursday, it was reported that a KC-135 refueling tanker crashed in Western Iraq. Another tanker landed safely, though it was damaged. The U.S. claims it was a mid-air accident. The story is still developing.

The average price of a gallon of gas in the U.S. is now $3.64, up 67 cents from this past Sunday. There are no states reporting gas prices below $3.00 per gallon. Two weeks ago there were 40.

President Trump has been caught in a trap of his own making due to poor planning and faulty intelligence. Either he stops the U.S. aggression against Iran or the nation known as Israel is likely to beome a memory. Even if Trump calls off the military, there's no guarantee that Iran will stop bombing and decimating Israel.

That's the situation facing the United States and Israel, not the bombast and fake, censored news that the MSM continues to peddal.

The BEA announced this morning that the Fed's favorite inflation indicator, Core PCE, rose 0.4% in January amd is up 3.1% on a yearly basis, the highest in two years.

WTI crude oil was above $96 earlier this morning, settling back to $92.50.

Wiht U.S. markets due to open in less than a half hour, stock futures are trending higher. Dow futures, +200; NASDAQ futures, +110; S&P futures, +30.

Through Thursday's close, stocks are generally lower. The Dow is down 833; NASDAQ, -75; and the S&P is down 67 points.

It's Friday the 13th. Do you feel lucky?

At the Close, Thursday, February 12, 2026:
Dow: 46,677.85, -739.42 (-1.56%)
NASDAQ: 22,311.98, -404.15 (-1.78%)
S&P 500: 6,672.62, -103.18 (-1.52%)
NYSE Composite: 22,118.70, -368.92 (-1.64%)



Thursday, March 12, 2026

Wasssup? Conflicting Stories Keeping US/Israel Narrative (We're Winning!) Alive; Oil, Gold, Silver Higher; Rubio, Hegseth, Bondi Housed at Military Bases

Plenty of fake news to go around, like Iran having a plan to strike Los Angeles with drones or that Iran is mining the Strait of Hormuz. The first story was sent out by the usual trustworthy FBI. The second story came from the heart of Zionist Bari Weiss' CBS news. Both have been debunked.

On the other hand, Pepe Escobar is refreshingly honest:

Pepe Escobar: Iran Has Served the US an Eviction Notice

Trump says the Strait of Hormuz is fine. Guess he likes burning tankers.

WTI crude oil quoted at $91.53. Brent crude, $98.02.

Gold and silver higher overnight. Gold, $5,184; Silver, $87.18.

Just before 9:00 am ET, stock futures are down significantly and headed lower. Dow futures: -422; NASDAQ futures: -180; S&P futures: -48.

The past five trading sessions have produced the lowest closes on the Dow Industrials this year, with only one day positive, Monday, March 9, when the Dow gained 239 points.

And, what's up with this story about administration officials seeking the safety of military housing.

Next up: Houthis. Yes, remember, Trump told everybody that the U.S. defeated them. Not even remotely true. A laughable claim.

At the Close, Wednesday, March 11, 2026:
Dow: 47,417.27, -289.24 (-0.61%)
NASDAQ: 22,716.13, +19.03 (+0.08%)
S&P 500: 6,775.80, -5.68 (-0.08%)
NYSE Composite: 22,487.62, -59.06 (-0.26%)



Wednesday, March 11, 2026

US Markets are Neither Free Nor Fair; Oil Prices Rise; Images of Destruction in Israel and on U.S. Military Bases Being Censored; CPI Tame

Perusing the various indices Tuesday, it was apparent that markets were acting rather, shall we say, "well-coordinated" as can be seen by the screen captures on the right.

Bear in mind that these three separate indices do overlap, but, the Dow is only 30 stocks, the S&P is 500, the NASDAQ is literally thousands (around 3,700), and NYSE Composite is thousands more. Anybody who thinks U.S. markets are not widely controlled by large shareholders such as BlackRock and Vanguard, and the government, might want to reconsider. Some estimates say that 90% of U.S. stock trades are performed by algorithms and computers with limited or no human involvement, which is why a few well-timed tweets or even one government sound bite - such as President Trump mentioning on Monday that the war might end soon - can move all indices in the exact same direction.

Obviously, the press releases, tweets, and statements are usually designed for a positive response. After all, the government and Wall Street operate the largest skimming operation in the world. They make money off of unsuspecting citizens and companies via price movement, fees, interst, and taxes, and they've been doing it for a very long time. It is naive to think that actual market forces - Adam Smith's "invisible hand" - controls price movements when the market forces are greatly influenced by oligarchs acting in concert. The hand has become quite visible as it grips markets.

The operations of the Mafia and other organizations that engaged in protection rackets, gambling, and extortion have been nearly perfected, though the big money is made by wars and military "excursions".

Nobody is allowed to see images from Israel, where cities like Haifa, Tel Aviv, and Jerusalem have been bombarded by Iran for nearly two weeks straight. Anyone caught transmitting images of destruction from Israel faces up to five years in jail.

Planet Labs PBC, one of the world’s leading commercial satellite imaging companies, has announced a mandatory 96-hour delay on the public release of newly captured imagery covering the Gulf States and adjacent conflict zones.

Planet had previously imposed a 30-day delay on imagery from Gaza. Vantor, formerly Maxar, has long withheld imagery of US and allied military bases entirely.

The OSINT-focused account The STRATCOM Bureau characterized the restriction as unprecedented, noting it followed consultations between Planet Labs and the US government. Planet indicated the scope may change as the conflict evolves.

People around the world are just supposed to accept - without proof - that the U.S. and Israel are "winning." The levels of censorship ove this conflict are off the charts. Those who remember Desert Storm will recall that images of Iraq being blasted to smithereens were broadcast on a daily basis. Reporters were embedded within some military units.

This is different. It's obvious that the U.S. and Israeli governments don't want anybody to know what's actually happening. Pretty sad.

At 8:30 am ET, the Bureau of Labor Statistics released February CPI, stating:

The Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) increased 0.3 percent on a seasonally adjusted basis in February, after rising 0.2 percent in January, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today. Over the last 12 months, the all items index increased 2.4 percent before seasonal adjustment.

Core CPI rose 0.2% in February and 2.5% on an annual basis. Despite the numbers being fairly dovish, stock futures reacted negatively.

With U.S. markets opening in half an hour, Dow futures are off 228 points, NASDAQ futures are down 68, and S&P futures are down 21 points.

Gold and silver are slumping with gold at $5171 and silver at $85.40 per ounce on the spot market. When precious metals retreat, it's lately been a signal that stocks are headed lower, so, at least for the morning session, look for things to head south.

WTI crude oil is rising from overnight lows, up about $4.00 to $86.25 despite calls for various countries to release their strategic oil reserves. The problem there is that, like the United States, many major countries have depleted their supplies (U.S. at 40% of capacity), so the artificial boost will be small and temporary. Iran is said to be dropping mines in the Strait of Hormuz. Whether that is true or not, it's having an effect on oil prices.

Seems a world of hurt.

At the Close, Tuesday, March 10, 2026:
Dow: 47,706.51, -34.29 (-0.07%)
NASDAQ: 22,697.10, +1.16 (+0.01%)
S&P 500: 6,781.48, -14.51 (-0.21%)
NYSE Composite: 6,781.48, -14.51 (-0.21%)



Tuesday, March 10, 2026

Stocks Rally, Oil Price Loses Punch as Trump Signals Early end to War with Iran; Israel Battered; Gold, Silver Rise; Casino is Open

Just as the reality of war was beginning to be felt around the world as oil prices spiked on Monday, the realization of just how utterly broken markets have become manifested itself in a wild trading session.

With the Strait of Hormuz effectively shut down by the Iranians just a few days into the Middle East turmoil, futures price for Brent and WTI crude oil had been steadily rising and went vertical Sunday night. WTI crude was quoted at $91.27 on Friday, March 6, but gapped up above $115 per barrel when futures markets opened Monday, March 9. Stock futures were as slammed Monday morning prior to the cash open.

As the trading session commenced, stocks initially dropped to fresh lows while oil remained elevated. By mid-afternoon, stocks had recovered some of their lost ground and WTI crude was trading just above $100. At 3:00 pm ET President Trump made a statement to CBS news, suggesting that the U.S./Israel war against Iran might end soon, telling Weijia Jiang, the network's White House correspondent, "I think the war is very complete, pretty much."

The president's one-liner was all that was needed for the algorithms to leap into action, sending stocks into overdrive and a positive close and WTI crude down as low as $85/barrel, below the level it had closed on Friday. This typical knee-jerk response in over-hyped, over-leveraged markets is what makes trading so difficult for individuals while at the same time immensely profitable for experienced professionals and insiders.

For what it's worth, the U.S. and Israel have been battered by Iranian missiles over the 10 days of the conflict and have been seeking a ceasefire, but Iran has refused to even address their concerns and continues to carry on their campaigns against U.S. bases in the region and the occupied territory that is Israel.

Iran has managed to destroy more tha $5 billion worth of Patriot and THAAD defense capabilities, has pushed the U.S. "armada" of ships and aircraft carriers to regions well out of range for either aerial assaults by the U.S. or missile attacks by Iran, and has decimated at least 15 U.S. bases in the region, rendering them useless as either defensive or offensive hubs.

While Trump gaslights the general public with his "war is very complete, pretty much" rhetoric, the fact of the matter is that the U.S. and Israel have lost the war and are seeking a way out. Iran is having none of it and is in a position to dictate terms of any ceasefire or end to hostilities. The likelihood of the U.S. leaving the region permanently and Israel being dismantled and disarmed grows daily.

As Tuesday comes into focus, stock futures are lower across the board, but not excessively so, European stocks are higher. Gold has recovered to $5,200 and silver to $89.

Gamble in these casinos at your own peril.

At the Close, Monday, March 9, 2026:
Dow: 47,740.80, +239.25 (+0.50%)
NASDAQ: 22,695.95, +308.27 (+1.38%)
S&P 500: 6,795.99, +55.97 (+0.83%)
NYSE Composite: 22,620.77, -168.78 (-0.74%)



Sunday, March 8, 2026

WEEKEND WRAP: Oil, Gas Skyrocket After Iran Closes Strait of Hormuz; Stocks Sink; Treasury Yields Rise on War Fear; Gold, Silver Fail to Respond

"All wars are banker's wars."

So said General Smedley Butler in speeches and his 1935 book, "War is a Racket."

War Is a Racket is the title of two works, a speech and a booklet, by retired United States Marine Corps Major General and two time Medal of Honor recipient Smedley D. Butler. In them, Butler frankly discusses from his experience as a career military officer how business interests commercially benefit (including war profiteering) from warfare.

After his retirement from the Marine Corps, Butler made a nationwide tour in the early 1930s giving his speech “War is a Racket”. The speech was so well received that he wrote a longer version as a small book with the same title that was published in 1935.

Money Daily has secured a copy of the book, in PDF form, available for free download at the IdleGuy.com library.

Estimates of how much the conflict with Iran is costing the United States are centering around $1 billion a day. If the war lasts 30 days, that's $30 billion. 3 months, $90 billion. These figures are likely to be on the conservative side. It's more likely that the eventual cost to the government, including the cost of rebuilding the 22 military bases in the region that have already been struck and continue to be assaulted by Iranian missiles and drones, will be considerably higher, if the U.S. is even allowed a presence in the region when all is said and done, will be between $1.5 and $3 TRILLION.

To get an idea of what $1 billion can buy, how about 5000 new homes at $200,000 each, PER DAY. If the war lasts 30 days, that 150,000 new homes; 90 days, 450,000. It's an incredible waste of treasure and lives. The cabal in Washington doesn't seem to care.

In the end, who profits from all this waste and abuse? Certainly the U.S. arms manufacturers who will be tasked with rebuilding our depleted supplies of offensive and defensive materiel. And those firms are financed by the major banking interests in the United States, chief among them JP Morgan Chase, CitiGroup, Bank of America, Goldman Sachs, and Stanley Morgan. A host of smaller banks will also benefit from the squandering and rebuilding efforts, so, in a sense, the cost of waging and losing (The U.S. has already lost this war. It was lost when they killed Khomenei, the one person who forbade Iran from having a nuclear weapon, via his fatwa.) this war can be seen as a benefit. Surely it will be sold the gullible Americans new jobs, an engine of growth, and similarly facetious sloganeering.

Adding the cost of this particularly stupid escapade (among others) will send the 2027 budget deficit well beyond $3 trillion, and probably the same for the 2028 fiscal year. By the end of 2029, total federal (unpayable) debt is likely to exceed $50 trillion.

There is a simmering thought among global analysts that the U.S. isn't planning on "winning" (whatever that means) this war. The general idea is that by losing a war against Iran, the U.S. can free itself from the entanglement with Israel and the Gulf States, bow out from the region somewhat gracefully and probably focus on plundering the wealth and resources of South America and Canada. The countries in South America don't possess much in terms of military power, and what they do have, they likely bought from the U.S., making them easy targets for exploitation without resistance. The U.S. wouldn't have to worry about China or Russia interfering. After all, it's "our" sphere of influence.

After just a week of senseless folly, the situation for the United States and Israel isn't looking very good and investors of all stripes and levels of exposure to U.S. markets should be aware that this condition is likely to worsen. A couple of entries related to the ongoing strife follow...

From an X post by Alon Mizrahi, an Israeli journalist, one of the most worthy Jews in the world:

"We are witnessing history. Iran, to everyone's surprise, is destroying American bases so thoroughly, on such a large scale, and so decisively that the world is not ready for this.

In 4 days, Iran has managed to expand its sphere of military dominance in the region. Iran has destroyed the most valuable and expensive military bases, property, and equipment in the entire world.

The American bases in Bahrain, Kuwait, Qatar, and Saudi Arabia are among the largest military facilities in the entire world. These facilities have cost trillions of dollars over several decades to build. We are talking about the fact that the bulk of the military spending that has been made over more than 30 years has gone up in smoke.

We see radars costing hundreds of millions of dollars each being destroyed in an instant. We see entire military bases being abandoned and burned, looted, and destroyed. And I'm telling you, as far as I know, the U.S. has never suffered such destruction in its entire history, except perhaps for Pearl Harbor, but that was just one attack.

No enemy in a conventional war has ever done this to American military forces as Iran is doing right now. It's hard to believe. The military situation is so serious that censorship is blocking almost all new information about this war. If you've noticed, we're getting less and less information every day.

Thirty-five years ago, during the first Iraqi war, we were shown endless footage from Iraq. Back then, smart bombs and cameras were a novelty, but every night we were shown night-time footage. Now we hardly see any videos at all.

Understand this! Supposedly, this is the world's largest military power, with the world's largest air capabilities, and on the fourth day of the U.S. offensive, supposedly and supposedly breaking through Iranian defenses, we don't see any signs of American dominance in the Iranian sky. Where are all the video recordings of our planes flying over Tehran or any other part of Iran, for that matter?

American soldiers can't even dream of setting foot on Iranian soil. And to understand how desperate this war is, on the fourth day you're already hearing the most insane proposals and ideas from the Trump administration. They're proposing sending military escorts for oil tankers leaving the Persian Gulf. What are you even talking about! You want to send American ships into the zone of destruction of thousands of Iranian missiles? NOW no one can get through the Strait of Hormuz.

The Iranians have been preparing for this for decades. They're flaunting the idea of arming Kurdish militias to invade Iran. What the hell are you talking about? Have you seen a map of Iran!? It seems the Trump administration has never seen a map of Iran! Do you know how vast it is? What does it mean to invade Iran!? Do you think a militia of 10,000 people could invade Iran!? Or even 50,000? Or 100,000? Iran will swallow them up.

The U.S. and Israel have already lost this war. The U.S. and Israel can kill millions of civilians in their homes. They have powerful bombs and can blow up buildings, but they won't win this war. Iran's military infrastructure and weaponry is deep underground all over IRAN. Neither the Americans nor, especially, the Israelis have any chance of reaching any of it. They're in deep shit.

They started something they have no chance of finishing. When this all ends, the U.S. will never return to West Asia. There will be no American presence in the Middle East. I'm telling you this now with certainty."

"Are we understanding that the current phase of the war is Iran toying with Western missile defense systems, and the actual damage and carnage hasn't even begun?

Are we all getting that this is just the prelude to the war? And the West's hold over West Asia ia already slipping?

In a couple more days (in my estimation, no more than a week), interceptor inventory is going to begin to go dry.

Initially, Iran's neighbours will be at its mercy -completely. Could this be when we start to hear calls for US forces to leave the region? I won't rule this out.

American forces will be nowhere in sight within 500 miles from Iranian borders, with bigger concentration of men and equipment held 2000-5000 kilometers away, which is ridiculously useless.

This is while Iran's military capabilities and chain of command are 100% intact, its territorial integrity cannot be breached even in fantasy scenarios, and its oil and munition supplies are full and guaranteed for a long, long time.

This is while Iran has hardly used some of the mightier weapons in its arsenal. While the Hormoz Strait is already closed shut, the Red Sea is blocked for Western traffic (or will become so soon).

This is while the Western coalition of Zionist pedophile whores cannot even dream of commanding the 3 million-soldier military required to challenge Iran, and even if they did, there is no way for them to come near Iran without being torn to shreds by drone swarms, hypersonic missiles and mine fields on land and at sea.

And while Iran's strategic capabilities are buried underground in tens and hundreds of location across a giant country backed by the world's leading industrial power, and another military superpower, both just around the corner.

While Iran has intelligence gathering capabilities that are equal or better than what the West has.

While Iran has a land army, including reservists and volunteers, that number in the millions.

And if that's no enough, they are Shia Muslims.

Do you understand how utterly ridiculous Western threats and aspirations are? Iran has cost them in 6 days what the Iraq war cost in 6 years. And Iran is not swinging wildly in desperation. It is closely following the instructions in a manual. - The pedophile whores will mass murder innocent Iranian men, women and children. Tragically, nothing can prevent this. The Iranian people will pay the price for removing the Western sickness from the human body.

The one thing that could really change the course of this war, and make Iran's triumph much swifter and less painful, is China taking over Taiwan.

Once this is also done, the US empire will be officially over. And it's only a matter of time now. A year, two years, maybe three or four, but that's it.

The decaying, incestuous, rotting Western elites are dying, and this time they is no way they can access enough native children's blood to sustain themselves. It is game over.

We are watching some of the greatest days in all of history."

Faraz Parvez follows:

Alon Mizrahi raises an important strategic question: what happens when a superpower enters a conflict assuming rapid dominance but encounters a prepared regional power that has spent decades planning for exactly such a confrontation. The core of the issue is not a single strike or a few damaged installations; it is the broader strategic architecture of the region.

For years Iran has invested heavily in asymmetric deterrence—underground missile complexes, dispersed command networks, hardened infrastructure, and mobile launch platforms. This model was specifically designed to neutralize the traditional advantage of technologically superior air forces. Destroying surface installations does not necessarily eliminate the deeper military capability beneath them.

Another strategic factor is geography. Iran is not a small state that can be rapidly subdued through aerial bombardment. It is a vast country with complex terrain, large population centers, and extensive internal logistics. Any prolonged confrontation inevitably stretches supply lines and operational planning for external forces.

Equally important is the regional environment. Military facilities across West Asia were built to project power outward, but they also become fixed targets in the event of a major regional conflict. Modern missile technology has significantly changed the vulnerability of static bases, radars, and infrastructure that once seemed untouchable.

History repeatedly shows that wars are rarely decided by early claims of victory or defeat. Strategic outcomes depend on endurance, logistics, political cohesion, and the ability of societies to sustain pressure over time. What observers like Mizrahi are highlighting is the possibility that the conflict may be revealing limits to assumptions about overwhelming military superiority.

Whether one agrees fully with his conclusions or not, the broader point remains: modern warfare in West Asia is increasingly shaped by resilience, geography, and asymmetric strategy, not only by technological advantage.

By Faraz Parvez Professor Dr. (Retired) Arshad Afzal Former Faculty Member, Umm Al-Qura University, Makkah, KSA themindscope.net


Jane Street is a fascinating and somewhat secretive firm. Here's what's publicly known:

Jane Street is a global proprietary trading firm and market maker, headquartered in New York City, with offices in London, Hong Kong, and Amsterdam. They trade a enormous range of financial products — equities, bonds, currencies, commodities, and especially ETFs and options.

They are one of the largest ETF market makers in the world, responsible for a significant portion of global ETF liquidity They are famously quantitative and technology-driven — essentially a hybrid of a trading firm and a technology company They are known for their heavy use of functional programming, particularly the language OCaml, which is unusual in finance They are privately held and extremely secretive about their strategies and financials

Scale

Jane Street came into the public eye more dramatically in 2023 when it was reported they generated approximately $21 billion in trading revenue in the first half of 2023 alone — an extraordinary figure that stunned even Wall Street insiders.

Culture

Known for hiring heavily from top math and computer science programs Emphasizes probabilistic thinking and careful reasoning Has a reputation for being intellectually rigorous and somewhat unconventional

Controversy

They were drawn into the news in 2024 over a lawsuit against former employees who allegedly took proprietary trading strategies to a competitor.

Founders Jane Street was co-founded in 1999 by Tim Reynolds, Robert Granieri, Marc Gerstein, and Michael Jenkins. Reynolds, Granieri, and Jenkins were former traders at Susquehanna International Group, while Gerstein was a developer at IBM. Granieri is the only founder still at the company as of 2026. NPR

Notable Names Connected to the Firm Sam Bankman-Fried and Caroline Ellison, founders of the collapsed FTX exchange, are both Jane Street alumni. Other notable former employees include Brett Harrison, now CEO of trading technology firm Architect Financial Technologies, and Zvi Mowshowitz, a writer covering artificial intelligence. NPR A Jane Street employee named Bryce Pratt has recently been named in a lawsuit (more below).

Leadership Structure The company has historically not maintained a CEO and is informally led by a group of 30 or 40 senior executives. All employees are paid based on the firm's collective profits, not personal trading gains. NPR

Financial Performance Jane Street's total revenue for the first three quarters of 2025 reached $24 billion, exceeding its total revenue for the entire year of 2024. For context, Citadel Securities had approximately $9.7 billion in trading revenue for all of 2024. Federal News Network

The India Scandal (SEBI) On July 4, 2025, Jane Street was suspended from all trading in India by SEBI, with bank accounts frozen. Jane Street deposited approximately $560 million into an escrow account and was allowed to resume trading on July 21 — under the condition that it remain subject to investigation. The case was still pending as of February 2026. Federal News Network The alleged strategy involved using one entity to drive up India's Bank Nifty index at market open while a separate entity simultaneously held derivatives positions.

The Terraform/FTX Lawsuit On February 23, 2026, the liquidator of Terraform Labs filed a lawsuit in Manhattan federal court against Jane Street. At the heart of the case is a private chat group called "Bryce's Secret," created by Bryce Pratt, a Jane Street employee who had previously interned at Terraform. The lawsuit alleges the group became an information conduit connecting Terraform's internal operations with Jane Street, potentially allowing the firm to trade ahead of Terraform's moves during the 2022 UST/Luna collapse. Federal News Network

It's a firm that operates in the shadows but keeps finding itself in the headlines. Quite a story.

Founders & History

Wikipedia – Jane Street Capital Wikipedia – Robert Granieri FA Magazine – The Mysterious Billionaire Boss at Jane Street (Oct 2025 — excellent profile of Granieri)

India/SEBI Scandal

MarketsWiki – Jane Street BW Businessworld – Shadow of Jane Street

Terraform/FTX Lawsuit & Bryce Pratt

PANews – Who Exactly is Jane Street? (Feb 2026 — covers the Terraform lawsuit in detail)

The FA Magazine piece on Granieri is particularly worth reading — it's the most detailed profile of the firm's culture and leadership that's publicly available.


Stocks

U.S. indices took it on the chin during the first week of the war with Iran.

For the Week:
Dow: -1476.37 (-3.01%)
NASDAQ: -280.53 (-1.24%)
S&P 500: -138.86 (-2.02%)
NYSE Composite: -976.37 (-4.16%)
Dow Transports: -1227.87 (-6.24%)

That is not a good look, nor does it offer any indication that the equity markets are heading back towards all-time highs any time soon. Rather, there's a solid chance that, generally speaking, stocks aren't going to be a great investment going forward. Recent jobs reports, and, especially, the latest, February's NFP showing a loss of 92,000 jobs, augers for recessionary forces taking hold of the U.S. economy. GDP projection for 2026 1Q from the Atlanta Fed's GDPnow fell from 3.21% on March 4, to 2.12% on March 6, based on slowing retail growth and the February jobs report.

If the war with Iran lasts longer than a month, the effects of the U.S. government shouldering resources into a military money pit will spill into the second quarter. While that may be the least of the U.S. worries, for investors, it could be significant. Despite what President Trump, Treasury secretary Bessent or any of the administration's mouthpieces and the mainstream media may lead one to believe, the U.S. wasn't on very strong footing going into this quagmire and isnt going to get any better during it.

Stocks may have already topped. Year-to-date, the Dow is down 1.17%; the S&P, -1.54%; NASDAQ, -3.68%. From all-time highs, the Dow (50,188.14, 2/8/26) is down 5.35%, the S&P (6,978.60, 1/27/26) has lost 3.42%, and the NASDAQ (23,958.47, 10/29/25) is down 6.56%. While those numbers may not seem to be substantial, consideration must be afforded the current climate. Making up ground in a market that's already struggling, with the country at war, and with no strong catalysts (earnings season is over) for another three to five weeks, there doesn't seem to be any appetite for upside other than the usual plays and ploys by the insider crowd, which, apparently has kept U.S. equities from collapse for the better part of a month already.

Data will be slim this week, with a focus on inflation. On Tuesday, February Existing Home Sales; Wednesday, February CPI; Thursday, U.S. Trade Deficit, unemployment claims; Friday: Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) price index.

Earnings season continues ot slow, with Oracle, Kohl's, Dick's Sporting Goods, and Dollar General the companies in focus this week.

Monday: (before open) Korn Ferry (KFY), ZIM (ZIM), FuelCell Energy (FCEL); (after close) Zevra Therapeutics (ZVRA), Casey's (CASY), Kronos (KRO), Vail Resorts (MTN), Hewlett Packard Enterprise (HPE)

Tuesday: (before open) Kohl's (KSS), ABM (ABM), Biontech (BNTX); (after close) Oracle (ORCL), Avino (ASM)

Wednesday: (before open) Smith Douglas Homes (SDHC), Campbell's (CPB); (after close) Petco (WOOF), Stitch Fix (SFIX)

Thursday: (before open) Dollar General (DG), Sleep Number (SNBR), Dick's Sporting Goods (DKS); (after close) ULTA Beauty (ULTA), Wheaton Precious Metals (WPM), Inovio (INO), Adobe (ADBE)

Friday: (before open) Century Casinos (CNTY)

Treasury Yield Curve Rates

Date 1 Mo 1.5 mo 2 Mo 3 Mo 4 Mo 6 Mo 1 Yr
01/30/2026 3.72 3.73 3.75 3.67 3.69 3.61 3.48
02/06/2026 3.72 3.72 3.74 3.68 3.70 3.59 3.45
02/13/2026 3.72 3.71 3.73 3.68 3.70 3.59 3.42
02/20/2026 3.72 3.73 3.74 3.69 3.71 3.61 3.51
02/27/2026 3.74 3.73 3.73 3.67 3.67 3.60 3.48
03/06/2026 3.75 3.74 3.72 3.69 3.67 3.66 3.55

Date 2 Yr 3 Yr 5 Yr 7 Yr 10 Yr 20 Yr 30 Yr
01/30/2026 3.52 3.60 3.79 4.01 4.26 4.82 4.87
02/06/2026 3.50 3.57 3.76 3.98 4.22 4.80 4.85
02/13/2026 3.40 3.43 3.61 3.81 4.04 4.64 4.69
02/20/2026 3.48 3.50 3.65 3.85 4.08 4.66 4.72
02/27/2026 3.38 3.39 3.51 3.72 3.97 4.57 4.64
03/06/2026 3.56 3.59 3.72 3.93 4.15 4.74 4.77

Yields rose like Michael Jordan taking flight for a dunk. War has a way of doing that. Call it a buyer's strike, but bond holders seem unwilling to accept lower rates on treasuries while the country is engaged in outright military conflict on the other side of the world.

Five-year and seven-year yields led the way, up 21 basis points equally, but yields on the other popular notes were not far behind: 2s, +18 bp; 3s, +20; 10s, +18. 30-year bond yields gained 13 basis points, the general trend seeking higher yields on longer-dated maturities.

Spreads remained near recent highs, with 2s-10s at +59, and full spectrum at +102, though the trend was an overall flattening of the yield curve, not a particularly encouraging sign.

The Fed's next FOMC meeting is March 17-18, so there isn't likely to be a need for an emergency rate cut. If one does occur before then, it would be an immediate distress signal indicating something very much wrong with the global economic plumbing.

CME's Fedwatch tool shows a 96% probability of no change at the meeting in 10 days. (Money Daily will take the under on that, -0.25%. War, ya know.)

Spreads:

2s-10s
2025
1/3: +32
1/10: +37
1/17: +34
1/24: +36
1/31: +36
2/7: +20
2/14: +21
2/21: +23
2/28: +25
3/7: +33
3/14: +29
3/21: +31
3/28: +38
4/4: +33
4/11: +52
4/17: +53
4/25: +55
5/2: +50
5/9: +49
5/16: +45
5/23: +51
5/30: +52
6/6: +48
6/13: +45
6/20: +48
6/27: +56
7/3: +47
7/11: +53
7/18: +56
7/25: +49
8/1: +54
8/8: +51
8/15: +58
8/22: +58
8/29: +64
9/5: +59
9/12: +50
9/19: +57
9/26: +57
10/3: +45
10/10: +53
10/17: +56
10/24: +54
10/31: +51
11/7: +56
11/14: +52
11/21: +55
11/28: +55
12/5: +58
12/12: +67
12/19: +68
12/26: +68
2026
1/2: +72
1/9: +64
1/16: +65
1/23: +64
1/30: +74
2/6: +72
2/13: +64
2/20: +60
2/27: +59
3/6: +59

Full Spectrum (30-days - 30-years)
2025
1/3: +38
1/10: +54
1/17: +41
1/24: +40
1/31: +36
2/7: +32
2/14: +32
2/21: +31
2/28: +13
3/7: +24
3/14: +25
3/21: +23
3/28: +26
4/4: +5
4/11: +38
4/17: +44
4/25: +40
5/2: +41
5/9: +46
5/16: +52
5/23: +68
5/30: +59
6/6: +69
6/13: +67
6/20: +69
6/27: +66
7/3: +51
7/11: +59
7/18: +65
7/25: +55
8/1: +32
8/8: +37
8/15: +44
8/22: +41
8/29: +51
9/5: +49
9/12: +40
9/19: +54
9/26: +55
10/3: +47
10/10: +43
10/17: +42
10/24: +48
10/31: +61
11/7: +69
11/14: +70
11/21: +68
11/28: +62
12/5: +97
12/12: +109
12/19: +111
12/26: +111
2026
1/2: +114
1/9: +112
1/16: +108
1/23: +104
1/30: +115
2/6: +113
2/13: +97
2/20: +100
2/27: +90
3/6: =102

Oil/Gas

Well, this was expected. Once Iran closed off the Strait of Hormuz, the price of oil was bound to head higher, and this week it did with WTI crude ending the week at $91.27, from $67.29 a week ago. China, Europe, and the U.S. will suffer from supply imbalances, the winner is obviously Russia, despite sanctions. Moscow holds a distinct advantage as oil is needed at what may become any price. The U.S. even lifted sanctions on Russia for sales of oil to India. What a gaslighting fluffer the U.S. Treasury Secretary is.

It is more likely that the conflict over Iran will last longer than U.S. and Israel desire, putting pressure on the U.S. and Israel to either step up their assault in hopes that Iran will capitulate sooner, rather than later, if at all. Trump and Netanyahu have taken a dangerous gambit, throwing the world iinto a state of severe instability.

Expect WTI crude to pop over $100/barrel this week, with a target of $150, some saying $250.

This Sunday morning (March 8), gas prices were already showing significant price hikes at the pump, with the U.S. national average rising to $3.46, from $2.97 last week, according to gasbuddy.com. Might as well call it up 50 cents in one week.

California tops the list, at $5.13 per gallon, the highest in the nation and up exactly cents just this week and 82 cents over the past six. Washington was up 24 cents ($4.60) and is likely to remain a charter member of the $4+ club for the duration of Mideast hostilities. Oregon ($4.15), is up 26 cents this week and 54 cents in just the past three weeks. Nevada checks in at $4.15 and Arizona is heading for $4 quickly. Last week it was $3.34. This week, $3.88. The lowest prices remain in the Southeast, with Oklahoma, despite an 52 cent rise, still below any other state though the gap has narrowed considerably, at $2.93. Kansas showed up at $2.89, though that's likely the cause of sparse reporting. The only other states below $3.00 in the region are Arkansas ($2.95), Tennessee ($2.97) and Mississippi ($2.99). Guess all of that Venezuela oil isn't helping out much. The remaining Southeast states, from North Carolina ($2.74) west to New Mexico ($3.28, up 56 cents), are all at (Louisiana, $3.00) or above $3.00, including Florida ($3.45, up 58 cents).

In the Northeast, prices remained jumped well beyond recent lower prices. Most were around $3.00 or lawer last week. This week, Massachusetts is the lowest ($3.29) with Pennsylvania the highest ($3.58).

In the midwest region, Illinois gapped 43 cents to $3.48, outdone by Michigan, which rose 60 cents, to $3.58, highest in the region. Kansas was the lowest ($2.89). No other state was below $3.00

Sub-$3.00 gas was recorded in just FIVE STATES, after being the norm for 40 of the lower 48 states last week. With only Kansas, Oklahoma, Arkansas, Mississippi, and Tennessee under $3.00 and all except Kansas above $2.90, it's highly probable that there will be no $3.00 gas just two weeks since President Trump boasted about $1.99 gas in Iowa at the State of the Union. Well done, indeed.

Bitcoin

This week: $67,310.05
Last week: $66,515.72
2 weeks ago: $67,651.35
6 months ago: $111,718.20
One year ago: $86,143.01
Five years ago: $61,190.87

Excuse the French, but phuque crypto. If bitcoin is such a panacea and a great investment, how come it is only up nine percent over the past five years. It hasn't even kept pace with inflation. Screw Michael Saylor and the rest of the snake oil salesmen. Crypto is DEAD MONEY.

Precious Metals

Gold:Silver Ratio: 61.00; last week: 56.26;

Futures, per COMEX continuous contracts:

Gold price 2/6: $4,988.60
Gold price 2/13: $5,063.80
Gold price 2/20: $5,108.34
Gold price 2/27: $5,296.40
Gold price 3/6: $5,181.30

Silver price 2/6: $77.53
Silver price 2/13: $77.27
Silver price 2/20: $84.57
Silver price 2/27: $94.39
Silver price 3/6: $84.69

SPOT:
(stockcharts.com)
Gold 2/6: $4,964.07
Gold 2/13: $5,041.72
Gold 2/20: $5,130.00
Gold 2/27: $5,278.05
Gold 3/6: $5,144.28

Silver 2/6: $77.98
Silver 2/13: $77.19
Silver 2/20: $84.57
Silver 2/27: $93.82
Silver 3/6: $84.33

Gold and silver prices normally increase during wartime. Leave it to insiders to ruin the party. The drops over the course of the first week of the war with Iran aren't likely to be long-holding, unless the world economy is about to crash. At that point, all assets go down, except the price of oil, which will spike, but then adjust to reduced demand and a stalled global system. In such a situation, gold will be the first asset to recover. Silver would most likely lag, but still retain value. It's still too early to tell how long this conflict will last, but it sure appears to be on track for at least another three to four weeks. The U.S. might actually throw up the white flag first. That's not a joke. The Yanks are getting their collective asses handed to them and Iran hasn't even begun using their best weapons. If the U.S. sends in ground troops, it's literally World War III and the body bags business will boom.

The weekly survey of prices on eBay moderated this week, with the usual situation of bars outpacing coins in silver and the opposite in gold. Premia is coming down.

Here are the most recent prices for common one ounce gold and silver items sold on eBay (free shipping included, numismatics excluded):

Item/Price Low High Average Median
1 oz silver coin: 86.00 115.00 99.51 97.50
1 oz silver bar: 94.85 106.16 102.11 102.23
1 oz gold coin: 5,200.00 5,591.25 5,444.76 5,454.40
1 oz gold bar: 5,367.35 5,489.46 5,406.08 5,395.00

The Single Ounce Silver Market Price Benchmark (SOSMPB) came back in through Sunday, to $100.34, a loss of $6.11 from the March 1 price of $106.45 per troy ounce.

WEEKEND WRAP

Personal note: Though I hate to admit it, I am an elderly American, and I've seen my country engage in more than its fair share of needless military confrontations, wars, and escapades, but this one takes the cake, the bronze ring, and the blue ribbon. Never has any country in my living memory made such a stupid, unnecessary action. Iran was about as big a threat to the U.S. as France, and France has nukes (unfortunately we can't liberate Paris again). From an investment perspective, I'm extremely conservative, holding only hard assets (things you can actually touch: gold, silver, land, machinery, business assets), and cash, in reserve to invest somewhere down the road. While I am opposed to war in general and there are no winners long term, the best result, from my perspective, would be for the U.S. to vacate the Middle East permanently. We have no business being there. -- Fearless Rick

At the Close, Friday, March 6, 2026:
Dow: 47,501.55, -453.19 (-0.95%)
NASDAQ: 22,387.68, -361.31 (-1.59%)
S&P 500: 6,740.02, -90.69 (-1.33%)
NYSE Composite: 22,518.07, -271.48 (-1.19%)

For the Week:
Dow: -1476.37 (-3.01%)
NASDAQ: -280.53 (-1.24%)
S&P 500: -138.86 (-2.02%)
NYSE Composite: -976.37 (-4.16%)
Dow Transports: -1227.87 (-6.24%)



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