Showing posts with label risk aversion. Show all posts
Showing posts with label risk aversion. Show all posts

Tuesday, June 5, 2018

Dow Jumps As Factory Orders Slump

Fast on the heels of four straight triple-digit moves from the prior week, the Dow Jones Industrial Average shot up 178 points to open the week and put the month of June solidly in the green, Monday's move happening on absolutely no news whatsoever.

If anything, data was poor, as factory orders slowed in April, down 0.8% after jumping a revised 1.7% in March, according to the Commerce Department.

Recent data has only served to confirm that the US economy is operating just beyond stall speed. All of the hoopla over tax cuts, President Trump's crowing over the jobs numbers and growing economy reinforces the growth narrative which has failed to reach much of mainstream America, especially those in the lower economic rungs.

While corporate profits may continue to surprise, it's suspected that very few homeless people own stocks or bonds. It's the forgotten part of the economic landscape that continues to be forgotten. Starting a business is still a dicey undertaking in the US, due mostly to onerous laws and regulations from the federal government on down to the local level.

Still, according to official statistics, the economy is chugging along, though the metrics employed to record and track the economy are antiquated and do not take into account the odious debt overhanging all aspects of American industry. When one takes into consideration all the borrowed money going into what comprises such data as GDP, the only conclusion is that the American experience continues to be goosed higher by ever-increasing government, business and individual borrowing.

What keeps economists and investors up late at night is the memory of 2008, when a global liquidity crisis sent the global economy to its knees. That kind of nagging worry will prove to keep a lid on excessive speculation. Renewed attention to risk aversion has been keeping the stock markets within a range for the last three months running and is likely to do so going forward.

Date Close Gain/Loss Cum. G/L
6/1/18 24,635.21 +219.37 +219.37
6/2/18 24,813.69 +178.48 +397.85

At the Close, Monday, June 4, 2018:
Dow Jones Industrial Average: 24,813.69, +178.48 (+0.72%)
NASDAQ: 7,606.46, +52.13 (+0.69%)
S&P 500: 2,746.87, +12.25 (+0.45%)
NYSE Composite: 12,673.91, +53.08 (+0.42%)