All manner of radioactive isotopes continue to leak out of all six nuclear reactors at the Fukushima Daiichi plant on the Eastern coast of Japan. Radiation has been detected in sea water, fresh water, in the air and on land. Here's a nice summary of the effects a few of these "heavy" elements on human health.
Half a world away, Libya is being bombed to smithereens.
The coalition doing the bombing is falling apart.
New and existing homes sales are at 30 year lows.
New unemployment claims came in at 382,000, which is 5,000 fewer than the week before. Funny thing about those new unemployment claims, other than the fact that they're fairly benign numbers, is that when the economy isn't creating jobs and we're still stuck in a depression, people just hang on to the jobs they have. Businesses can only let go of so many people, so the natural tendency is for fewer and fewer people to quit, be fired or laid off. Thus, numbers like we've been getting the past few weeks only indicate that there are fewer people collecting benefits, not that new jobs are actually being created.
New jobs! You're such a kidder.
Durable orders for February were down 0.9%. The expectation was for a gain of 1.1%. Ooopsie!
All good, according to Wall Street. Party on.
I am the walrus.
Coo-coo-ka-choo.
Dow 12,170.56, +84.54 (0.70%)
NASDAQ 2,736.42, +38.12 (1.41%)
S&P 500 1,309.66, +12.12 (0.93%)
NYSE Composite 8,311.61, +62.78 (0.76%)
As expected advancing issues exceeded decliners, 4273-2196. Global economic conditions are so good, in fact, that there were 110 new highs on the NASDAQ and just 22 new lows. On the NYSE, 135 companies set new highs while only 13 hit new lows. Volume actually picked up a bit after two days of sleep-walking. Don't want to miss the rally, for Pete's sake.
NASDAQ Volume 1,901,250,250
NYSE Volume 4,358,651,500
Meanwhile, oil traded on the NYMEX, that light, sweet stuff called West Texas Intermediate, backed off a whole 15 cents a barrel, to $105.60. The new normal for a gallon of gas in the USA is now $3.55, according to AAA.
According to our sources at Kitco, gold is currently down $8.10, at $1430.50 per ounce, but that price does not reflect that the yellow money made a new all-time high today of $1449.10. Silver is being quoted at $37.19, down 23 cents. But silver also made a move to a fresh 31-year-high, slightly above $38 per ounce.
So, who's right? Normally, gold and silver only gain in times of undue global stress, as a store of value and a hedge against collapsing currencies and/or inflation risk.
Stocks go up in times of robust economic activity, normally, or whenever the Fed pumps enormous amounts of fresh capital into markets, as they've been doing for the better part of the past 2 1/2 years.
The dollar index fell .183, to 75.69, a horrifically low figure, indicating the US is not the safe haven it used to be in which to park money.
There's your answer. If the dollar index continues to fall, reaching unprecedented lows, which it is currently approaching, US stocks, denominated in dollars, have to gain just to keep up. Commodities may swing either way, but the precious metals and oil should rise as the dollar weakens, so both stock players and gold bugs are right to keep pushing prices higher. Only one of them will be the eventual winner, however, and, while we are pretty sure which that will be, we're not telling.
Thursday, March 24, 2011
Wednesday, March 23, 2011
WAKE UP, PEOPLE! THE GLOBE IS GOING NUCLEAR!
Not to sound alarmist, but anybody who believes the mainstream media is giving us the truth about what's really happening on the ground, in the air and in the water around the Fukushima plant in Japan, might just as well stick one's head in the sand and hope for the best.
Conditions at the the plant continue to worsen, despite the best efforts of brave individuals trying to keep the entire Eastern coast of Japan from turning into a nuclear wasteland and the media isn't even trying to cover it.
But why listen to me. Here are a few choice links of interest to anyone who doesn't want to grow a third ear or die from thyroid cancer when it could be avoided:
For starters, here' a story about of Australia about how 128 elderly patients were left to die in a hospital six miles from the nuclear plant.
Oh, well, too bad for them, huh? We're here in America, so none of this is affecting any of us, right?
Well, take a look at this map of the dispersion from the disabled plant:
Did that get your attention? Sure, maybe the radiation levels aren't anything to get excited about, but do you trust our dysfunctional media to actually deliver the truth? And why did FOX get their main reporter, Sheppard Smith, out of Japan and CNN do the same with Anderson Cooper, LAST WEEK?
Just ask yourself, how long will it take the "authorities" to put this nuclear disaster to rest? Well, it's been ten days, boys and girls, and we're nowhere close to fixing what's going to become known - I have no doubt about this at all - as the worst disaster - man-made or otherwise - of all time.
Now, maybe the fact that food imports from Japan have been banned, do you feel safer? Oh, and there's more, like black smoke and how Tokyo drinking water now contains iodine-131 at levels unsafe for infants. In case you're wondering how much is too much for adults, the recommended safe level is below 300 becquerels per liter. The water tested in Toyko recorded levels of 190-210 becquerel per liter.
So, why do I bother? The national media gives much more coverage to the stupidity of our
engagement in Libya. Wonder why? The old adage in TV news reporting is, "if it bleeds, it leads," meaning that guys getting shot and killed and bombs blowing up buildings is far more engaging to the dumbed-down populace of the United States (and a lot of the rest of the world) than pictures of steam coming out of blown up nuclear facilities.
Well, maybe that's enough for today. Wouldn't want anyone to get upset or panic. After all, our media and our government have proven, since 9-11, to be worthless, so why should it be any different in Japan? Just go along in your haze of cognitive dissonance, and maybe buy some stocks.
Oh, the Portugese parliament is likely going to dissolve soon, either due to radiation or votes, whichever comes first, I suppose.
So, yes, we should be buying stocks on all this bullish news, some of which is actually being reported.
Dow 12,086.02, +67.39 (0.56%)
NASDAQ 2,698.30, +14.43 (0.54%)
S&P 500 1,297.54, +3.77 (0.29%)
NYSE Composite 8,248.83, +20.42 (0.25%)
Stocks started out negative but ground higher all day. Thank the computers and the algos that do the majority of the trading these days. Advancers slithered by decliners, 3540-2917. On the NASDAQ there were 72 new highs and 42 new lows; the NYSE showed 91 new highs and 18 new lows. Volume was only marginally better than yesterday's which was worse than pathetic. Get ready for a wicked decline some time soon. It may look like a crash, because it just could be one.
NASDAQ Volume 1,715,377,875
NYSE Volume 4,313,727,000
At least those trading in commodities knew what they were doing. Oil was up 78 cents, to $105.75. Gold gained $10.40, to $1,438.00, and silver shot up 93 cents, to $37.20, another new 31-year high. The gold and silver bugs know what's up. If things get any worse, they'll become overnight million-and-billionaires.
Good luck to you still holding any paper assets. They're about to be burned, along with the rest of the fuel rods at Fuk - U - Shima.
Edit: Just had to add that ABC and CBS each began their nightly news broadcasts with nearly 10 minutes of breathless coverage on the death of Elizabeth Taylor. NBC led with Libya, but did report on the drinking water supplies being tainted in Tokyo. Priorities, people, priorities.
Conditions at the the plant continue to worsen, despite the best efforts of brave individuals trying to keep the entire Eastern coast of Japan from turning into a nuclear wasteland and the media isn't even trying to cover it.
But why listen to me. Here are a few choice links of interest to anyone who doesn't want to grow a third ear or die from thyroid cancer when it could be avoided:
For starters, here' a story about of Australia about how 128 elderly patients were left to die in a hospital six miles from the nuclear plant.
Oh, well, too bad for them, huh? We're here in America, so none of this is affecting any of us, right?
Well, take a look at this map of the dispersion from the disabled plant:
Did that get your attention? Sure, maybe the radiation levels aren't anything to get excited about, but do you trust our dysfunctional media to actually deliver the truth? And why did FOX get their main reporter, Sheppard Smith, out of Japan and CNN do the same with Anderson Cooper, LAST WEEK?
Just ask yourself, how long will it take the "authorities" to put this nuclear disaster to rest? Well, it's been ten days, boys and girls, and we're nowhere close to fixing what's going to become known - I have no doubt about this at all - as the worst disaster - man-made or otherwise - of all time.
Now, maybe the fact that food imports from Japan have been banned, do you feel safer? Oh, and there's more, like black smoke and how Tokyo drinking water now contains iodine-131 at levels unsafe for infants. In case you're wondering how much is too much for adults, the recommended safe level is below 300 becquerels per liter. The water tested in Toyko recorded levels of 190-210 becquerel per liter.
So, why do I bother? The national media gives much more coverage to the stupidity of our
Well, maybe that's enough for today. Wouldn't want anyone to get upset or panic. After all, our media and our government have proven, since 9-11, to be worthless, so why should it be any different in Japan? Just go along in your haze of cognitive dissonance, and maybe buy some stocks.
Oh, the Portugese parliament is likely going to dissolve soon, either due to radiation or votes, whichever comes first, I suppose.
So, yes, we should be buying stocks on all this bullish news, some of which is actually being reported.
Dow 12,086.02, +67.39 (0.56%)
NASDAQ 2,698.30, +14.43 (0.54%)
S&P 500 1,297.54, +3.77 (0.29%)
NYSE Composite 8,248.83, +20.42 (0.25%)
Stocks started out negative but ground higher all day. Thank the computers and the algos that do the majority of the trading these days. Advancers slithered by decliners, 3540-2917. On the NASDAQ there were 72 new highs and 42 new lows; the NYSE showed 91 new highs and 18 new lows. Volume was only marginally better than yesterday's which was worse than pathetic. Get ready for a wicked decline some time soon. It may look like a crash, because it just could be one.
NASDAQ Volume 1,715,377,875
NYSE Volume 4,313,727,000
At least those trading in commodities knew what they were doing. Oil was up 78 cents, to $105.75. Gold gained $10.40, to $1,438.00, and silver shot up 93 cents, to $37.20, another new 31-year high. The gold and silver bugs know what's up. If things get any worse, they'll become overnight million-and-billionaires.
Good luck to you still holding any paper assets. They're about to be burned, along with the rest of the fuel rods at Fuk - U - Shima.
Edit: Just had to add that ABC and CBS each began their nightly news broadcasts with nearly 10 minutes of breathless coverage on the death of Elizabeth Taylor. NBC led with Libya, but did report on the drinking water supplies being tainted in Tokyo. Priorities, people, priorities.
Tuesday, March 22, 2011
A Day Without Disaster
Thankfully, Tuesday is almost over with and there haven't been any grave disasters, though the ones that have been hovering over the globe for the past few weeks are still far from resolved.
It seems to make some sense that markets would just wallow around until the damaged nuclear reactors in Japan are finally shut down, whenever that may happen, Colonel Qadaffi is defeated or found dead in Libya and the level of unrest settles down in various countries in Northern Africa and the Middle East.
That's exactly what went on today. There seemed to be no reason to either buy or sell equities and the major indices traded in narrow ranges all session long.
Naturally, conditions in the hot spots around the world could get better or worse, and nobody is really sure of anything at this juncture, especially when officials in Japan continue to stage a weird kind of kabuki theater in the way they report the situation at the damaged Fukushima nuclear plant, where four reactors have experienced some kind of explosion, accident, fire or other condition as an indirect result of the 9.0 earthquake that rattled the island nation on March 11.
That the reactors are spewing radioactive gasses and material is not disputed, but how much of which particular isotopes are going where and when has not been even remotely reported. All we know is that the radiation levels are higher than they were a week ago in various areas around the site and that the spread has become nearly global in nature, though slight in terms of actual threats to human health.
That's not really very reassuring since the problems persist and any increased exposure to any kind of radiation is potentially a health hazard.
Meanwhile, the US response, in conjunction with a bevy of nations, to the blood-letting in Libya has been met with considerable criticism and even our own representatives are speaking in tongues, with the president, congress and the military all putting out their own spin, none of it making a whole lot of sense.
More than likely, these issues will remain in some kind of focus for the coming weeks, if not months, and there will be other unexpected events in the interim. The best advice would be to expect the unexpected at this juncture, because nothing is for certain and situations are still, as they say, fluid.
Dow 12,018.63, -17.90 (0.15%)
NASDAQ 2,683.87, -8.22 (0.31%)
S&P 500 1,293.77, -4.61 (0.36%)
NYSE Composite 8,228.41, -27.95 (0.34%)
Declining issues dominated winners, 3743-2718. There were 72 new highs and 33 new lows on the NASDAQ; on the NYSE 109 new highs and just 8 new lows. Volume was miserably low. This was, if not the slowest trading day of the year, among the three or four worst. There's simply too much event risk associated to equities in the current cycle.
NASDAQ Volume 1,671,905,000
NYSE Volume 3,995,960,500
Oil finished at an even $104.00, up another $1.67 due to unresolved Middle East issues. Gold managed a squeeze out a gain of $2.30, closing at $1,427.60 in New York, within 1% of its all-time high. Silver gained nicely, adding 27 cents per ounce, to $36.27, the third-highest point in the last 31 years and just pennies away from the nominal high of $36.60, reached just two weeks ago, on March 7.
The longer it takes for Japan's nuclear reactor problems to be resolved, the longer stocks will remain bogged down, stuck in a range between the highs of February 18 and recent lows. Radiation leaks and potential melt-downs are nothing to joke about, and the condition of those plants is such that it could easily become a much more severe problem before it is eventually resolved.
There's already a panic quietly building world-wide, even though the reported radiation levels have been in an "acceptable" range. However, the longer the reactors leak radiation, the lower the tolerance of acceptance becomes. That situation remains highly volatile and potentially upsetting on a global basis, not only to investors but to the health of people.
It seems to make some sense that markets would just wallow around until the damaged nuclear reactors in Japan are finally shut down, whenever that may happen, Colonel Qadaffi is defeated or found dead in Libya and the level of unrest settles down in various countries in Northern Africa and the Middle East.
That's exactly what went on today. There seemed to be no reason to either buy or sell equities and the major indices traded in narrow ranges all session long.
Naturally, conditions in the hot spots around the world could get better or worse, and nobody is really sure of anything at this juncture, especially when officials in Japan continue to stage a weird kind of kabuki theater in the way they report the situation at the damaged Fukushima nuclear plant, where four reactors have experienced some kind of explosion, accident, fire or other condition as an indirect result of the 9.0 earthquake that rattled the island nation on March 11.
That the reactors are spewing radioactive gasses and material is not disputed, but how much of which particular isotopes are going where and when has not been even remotely reported. All we know is that the radiation levels are higher than they were a week ago in various areas around the site and that the spread has become nearly global in nature, though slight in terms of actual threats to human health.
That's not really very reassuring since the problems persist and any increased exposure to any kind of radiation is potentially a health hazard.
Meanwhile, the US response, in conjunction with a bevy of nations, to the blood-letting in Libya has been met with considerable criticism and even our own representatives are speaking in tongues, with the president, congress and the military all putting out their own spin, none of it making a whole lot of sense.
More than likely, these issues will remain in some kind of focus for the coming weeks, if not months, and there will be other unexpected events in the interim. The best advice would be to expect the unexpected at this juncture, because nothing is for certain and situations are still, as they say, fluid.
Dow 12,018.63, -17.90 (0.15%)
NASDAQ 2,683.87, -8.22 (0.31%)
S&P 500 1,293.77, -4.61 (0.36%)
NYSE Composite 8,228.41, -27.95 (0.34%)
Declining issues dominated winners, 3743-2718. There were 72 new highs and 33 new lows on the NASDAQ; on the NYSE 109 new highs and just 8 new lows. Volume was miserably low. This was, if not the slowest trading day of the year, among the three or four worst. There's simply too much event risk associated to equities in the current cycle.
NASDAQ Volume 1,671,905,000
NYSE Volume 3,995,960,500
Oil finished at an even $104.00, up another $1.67 due to unresolved Middle East issues. Gold managed a squeeze out a gain of $2.30, closing at $1,427.60 in New York, within 1% of its all-time high. Silver gained nicely, adding 27 cents per ounce, to $36.27, the third-highest point in the last 31 years and just pennies away from the nominal high of $36.60, reached just two weeks ago, on March 7.
The longer it takes for Japan's nuclear reactor problems to be resolved, the longer stocks will remain bogged down, stuck in a range between the highs of February 18 and recent lows. Radiation leaks and potential melt-downs are nothing to joke about, and the condition of those plants is such that it could easily become a much more severe problem before it is eventually resolved.
There's already a panic quietly building world-wide, even though the reported radiation levels have been in an "acceptable" range. However, the longer the reactors leak radiation, the lower the tolerance of acceptance becomes. That situation remains highly volatile and potentially upsetting on a global basis, not only to investors but to the health of people.
Monday, March 21, 2011
Meltdown in Japan, Melt-up in US Stocks
Absurdity has found a new home: the US equity markets.
Somebody wake me up when the nightmare is over, because I cannot find any good reason to buy stocks right now, so, I must be dreaming.
War planes fly over Libya and Israeli jets take out a Hammas stronghold in Gaza. So, that's the good news, right? R-r-r-r-i-g-h-t. The Japanese government is lying to its people about radioactivity levels. That must be the bad news. And AT&T is going to gobble up T-Mobile, so we'll have one fewer cell phone provider. Does anyone recall the day that AT&T was broken up because its business constituted a monopoly?
Don't worry, the hologram of Eric Holder will do nothing. Anti-trust? In trust we trust, I guess.
The following numbers mean nothing. It's all just a paper moon.
Dow 12,036.53, +178.01 (1.50%)
NASDAQ 2,692.09, +48.42 (1.83%)
S&P 500 1,298.38, +19.18 (1.50%)
NYSE Composite 8,256.36, +139.96 (1.72%)
Advancing issues absolutely slaughtered decliners, 5182-1379. Stocks shot up at the open and stayed afloat all day. NASDAQ registered 90 new highs and 30 new lows. The NYSE had 129 new highs and just 9 new lows. Pathetic. Volume was in an abyss, especially on the NASDAQ.
NASDAQ Volume 1,766,817,250
NYSE Volume 5,027,389,500
WTI hit $102.33 a barrel on the NYMEX, up $1.26 on the day. Gold soared $10.30, to $1,426.40. Silver was up 94 cents to an even $36.00. Both are approaching recent multi-year or record highs. But everything is just fine. Notice how the news media shifted focus away from Japan and towards Libya. Well, guns and rockets and missiles launched from warships is much more entertaining than those invisible radioactive isotopes being spewed continuously into the air and the sea in Japan. So, bang, bang, bang. It's good TV.
We have entered an age in our culture in which nothing really makes much sense any more. Spend $200,000 for your kid's education so he or she can get a $35,000 a year job and have to pay back a mountain of debt. Blow up a country for its oil. Don't report on uncontrolled radioactivity that will kill thousands, maybe hundreds of thousands, maybe more. Buy stocks because some broker who knows less about economics and money than you do told you it was a good deal. Sit back and relax, watch TV. This is March Madness, after all, and we're not talking basketball.
BTW: According to the Supreme Court, the Fed will have to release documents relating to loans taken out by banks from the discount window in April and May, 2008, before the stock market crash.
They knew. But they wouldn't tell you.
Somebody wake me up when the nightmare is over, because I cannot find any good reason to buy stocks right now, so, I must be dreaming.
War planes fly over Libya and Israeli jets take out a Hammas stronghold in Gaza. So, that's the good news, right? R-r-r-r-i-g-h-t. The Japanese government is lying to its people about radioactivity levels. That must be the bad news. And AT&T is going to gobble up T-Mobile, so we'll have one fewer cell phone provider. Does anyone recall the day that AT&T was broken up because its business constituted a monopoly?
Don't worry, the hologram of Eric Holder will do nothing. Anti-trust? In trust we trust, I guess.
The following numbers mean nothing. It's all just a paper moon.
Dow 12,036.53, +178.01 (1.50%)
NASDAQ 2,692.09, +48.42 (1.83%)
S&P 500 1,298.38, +19.18 (1.50%)
NYSE Composite 8,256.36, +139.96 (1.72%)
Advancing issues absolutely slaughtered decliners, 5182-1379. Stocks shot up at the open and stayed afloat all day. NASDAQ registered 90 new highs and 30 new lows. The NYSE had 129 new highs and just 9 new lows. Pathetic. Volume was in an abyss, especially on the NASDAQ.
NASDAQ Volume 1,766,817,250
NYSE Volume 5,027,389,500
WTI hit $102.33 a barrel on the NYMEX, up $1.26 on the day. Gold soared $10.30, to $1,426.40. Silver was up 94 cents to an even $36.00. Both are approaching recent multi-year or record highs. But everything is just fine. Notice how the news media shifted focus away from Japan and towards Libya. Well, guns and rockets and missiles launched from warships is much more entertaining than those invisible radioactive isotopes being spewed continuously into the air and the sea in Japan. So, bang, bang, bang. It's good TV.
We have entered an age in our culture in which nothing really makes much sense any more. Spend $200,000 for your kid's education so he or she can get a $35,000 a year job and have to pay back a mountain of debt. Blow up a country for its oil. Don't report on uncontrolled radioactivity that will kill thousands, maybe hundreds of thousands, maybe more. Buy stocks because some broker who knows less about economics and money than you do told you it was a good deal. Sit back and relax, watch TV. This is March Madness, after all, and we're not talking basketball.
BTW: According to the Supreme Court, the Fed will have to release documents relating to loans taken out by banks from the discount window in April and May, 2008, before the stock market crash.
They knew. But they wouldn't tell you.
Friday, March 18, 2011
Rally Fades Into Close; Wall Street is Full of Bull
A momentous gap up open - all part of the arbitrage plan for scraping money on quadruple options expiration - finished the rally which began on Thursday, as usual, based upon nothing but "sentiment" and, of course, those computer algos which buy, buy, buy.
As stated here the past two days, any rallies under the current climate will be sharp and short-lived. Consider this one over, as the rally faded by half into the close.
Cheerleading CNBC was flashing a "best two-day Dow rally since December" headline, which is somewhat sad in a journalistic sense, since the NASDAQ was down nearly 4% for the week and the Dow and S&P finished the week with losses in the 1.5% area.
Dow 11,858.52, +83.93 (0.71%)
NASDAQ 2,643.67, +7.62 (0.29%)
S&P 500 1,279.20, +5.48 (0.43%)
NYSE Composite 8,116.40, +51.54 (0.64%)
Advancing issues defeated decliners, 4575-1915. NASDAQ new highs: 49; new lows: 42. That snaps a six day winning streak for new lows. On the NYSE, new highs beat new lows, 49-17. That means new highs have been better than new lows 4 of the past 7 days. Volume was particularly high today, due in large part to options expiration.
NASDAQ Volume 2,652,983,000
NYSE Volume 5,778,696,000
Crude oil fell 35 cents on the NYMEX, to $101.07, now that the UN has offered to stop the indiscriminate killing of his own people by forces loyal to president and lunatic-in-chief, Khadaffi.
Gold got back on track, gaining $11.90, to $1,416.10. Silver caught a bid as well, up 80 cents, to $35.06.
Expect more volatility until the conditions on the ground at Japan's disabled nuclear facility is either better explained by Japanese authorities or the situation somehow settled. It is still a very dangerous overhang to all risk assets, which is why gold, silver and goods are still safe bets.
As stated here the past two days, any rallies under the current climate will be sharp and short-lived. Consider this one over, as the rally faded by half into the close.
Cheerleading CNBC was flashing a "best two-day Dow rally since December" headline, which is somewhat sad in a journalistic sense, since the NASDAQ was down nearly 4% for the week and the Dow and S&P finished the week with losses in the 1.5% area.
Dow 11,858.52, +83.93 (0.71%)
NASDAQ 2,643.67, +7.62 (0.29%)
S&P 500 1,279.20, +5.48 (0.43%)
NYSE Composite 8,116.40, +51.54 (0.64%)
Advancing issues defeated decliners, 4575-1915. NASDAQ new highs: 49; new lows: 42. That snaps a six day winning streak for new lows. On the NYSE, new highs beat new lows, 49-17. That means new highs have been better than new lows 4 of the past 7 days. Volume was particularly high today, due in large part to options expiration.
NASDAQ Volume 2,652,983,000
NYSE Volume 5,778,696,000
Crude oil fell 35 cents on the NYMEX, to $101.07, now that the UN has offered to stop the indiscriminate killing of his own people by forces loyal to president and lunatic-in-chief, Khadaffi.
Gold got back on track, gaining $11.90, to $1,416.10. Silver caught a bid as well, up 80 cents, to $35.06.
Expect more volatility until the conditions on the ground at Japan's disabled nuclear facility is either better explained by Japanese authorities or the situation somehow settled. It is still a very dangerous overhang to all risk assets, which is why gold, silver and goods are still safe bets.
Subscribe to:
Posts (Atom)
Posts
