Tuesday, October 28, 2025

Trump, U.S. Government, Wall Street, Media Gaslighting Americans Over Trade, Shutdown, SNAP, and Crypto; China Has Not Formally Agreed to Meet

Americans are being gaslit as never before by the president, congress and the mainstream and financial media over the continuing trade disputes with China and the government shutdown, which is nearing a critical period, now having reached four weeks.

Everyone in Washington - and especially the Trump administration - was caught off-guard when China imposed restrictions on rare earth exports last month. China has the world's largest reserves of rare earth minerals and accounts for 90% of worldwide processing of the various metals that are significant in the production of automobiles, military weaponry, and electronics.

President Trump, his aides and administration, along with the mainstream media continue to promote the narrative that the president is going to meet with Chinese president Xi Jinping "on the sidelines of the APEC" summit in South Korea. That's according to the president and his staff. China has made no formal statement that the two leaders are to meet this week or at any other time. If there was going to be an actual meeting of the minds, China would have arranged much more carefully-planned engagement than a “sideline” meeting between Xi and Trump.

Even if there is a meeting, it will have little to no lasting value and settle nothing between the world’s two largest economies.

There's the real possibility that China's leadership will not agree to a meeting with President Trump, by Xi or any other high-ranking officials. Treasury Secretary Bessent made the rounds on the Sunday talk shows, spouting off about "progress" and a "framework" for negotiations over trade policies, though nothing even remotely substantial has been announced.

At the ASEAN summit in Malaysia this weekend, Trump signed a variety of "deals" with various coutnries from Southeast Asia, including Cambodia, Vietnam, and Malaysia. Prime Minister Modi of India made a point of not attending the conference in person, expressly to avoid meeting with Trump.

These summits - ASEAN and APEC - are meetings of Asian countries. The United States is a sideshow. They were no doubt invited, but the U.S. plays no pivotal role in any trade relationship with any of these countries, other then the imposition of tariffs and sanctions against any number of them.

Asia and the BRICS have turned completely away from the West. Germany's foreign minister was told not to come to China, as there was nothing to discuss, according to Chinese authorities. A similar message is being telegraphed to Trump and the United States. Even North Korean president Kim has not extended any invitation to Trump.

Trump has also been falsely claiming that India has agreed to reduce the amount of oil it imports from Russia in response to recent sanctions placed on Russia’s two largest oil producers. Nothing could be further from the truth. He’s also suggested that China will be importing less Russian oil, though China has said no such thing.

Wall Street has been adding points and percentages to all-time highs on all of the major indices, pushing the narrative of a trade "deal" soon to be worked out between China and the U.S., despite evidence to the contrary. Meanwhile, congress has allowed the government shutdown to extend to the second-longest on record. Beginning November 1, funds for SNAP, or food stamps, will run out, shutting off roughly 42 million Americans from the program. This will affect every state, yet congress continues to drag its feet on the issue and others, such as pay for the military, air-traffic controllers and about 700,000 federal employees who have been working without pay since the shutdown began, October 1st. It's grandstanding at a high level, without any hint of being resolved.

Since Trump has been busily arranging "deals" on rare earth minerals with every country - including Australia - that he can find, Money Daily asked Bing's AI bot, co-pilot:

How long does it take to develop rare earth mines and develop processing facilities?

Here's what AI said:

Typical timelines — short answer:

Mine development: 7–15 years from discovery to first commercial production.

Processing facility (commercial scale): 3–10 years from permitting to full-rate operations.

Pilot or demonstration plant: 1–3 years to build and commission, used to de-risk commercial scale decisions.

Stages and typical duration

Exploration and resource definition: 1–5 years; includes drilling, assays, and resource modeling.

Pre-feasibility and feasibility studies: 1–3 years; engineering, metallurgy, and economic modeling.

Permitting and environmental review: 2–6+ years; dependent on jurisdiction, complexity of tailings/waste treatment, and consultation needs.

Financing and off-take/partnership agreements: 1–3 years; often runs in parallel with engineering and permitting.

Detailed engineering and construction: 2–4 years for a mine or processing plant; larger, more complex hydrometallurgical plants can take longer.

Commissioning and ramp-up to commercial production: 6–18 months for initial output; up to several years to reach steady-state recovery and product quality.

Major factors that lengthen or shorten timelines

Regulatory environment and permitting complexity — stricter regimes and lengthy environmental review add years.

Metallurgical complexity of the ore — unusual mineralogy or need for complex separations increases testing, pilot work, and design time.

Availability of capital and partnerships — secured financing and industrial partners accelerate schedules.

Local infrastructure and supply chain — remote sites without roads, power, or water require added construction time.

Community engagement and Indigenous consultation — meaningful consultation and agreements can extend timelines but are critical to project viability.

Policy support and defense/strategic programs — government incentives or strategic prioritization can compress timelines through funding and fast-track permitting

Benchmarks and recent examples

Pilot processing plants to re-establish domestic capability have been built and commissioned in roughly 1–3 years in the U.S. context.

National and regional strategies to create full processing hubs show multi-year to decade-long timeframes from project start to operational domestic supply chains.

Practical implications for planning

Budget for multi-year lead times and staged investments that move from lab tests → pilot plant → commercial plant.

Prioritize early metallurgical test work and pilot validation to reduce technical risk and accelerate permitting and financing.

Engage regulators, communities, and potential customers early to shorten non-technical delays.

Sources:

Center For Strategic & International Studies (CSIS)

Rare Eart Exchanges

National Defense Magazine

Essentially, Money Daily is calling BS on all of this, in addition to the recent slaughter in gold and silver markets, just as both precious metals had advanced to record levels, out-pacing every other asset. While gold and silver have been slapped down, bitcoin and crypto are being heavily promoted in the media and online, with many of the usual carnival barkers, including President Trump's sons, Don Jr. and Eric touting their own crypto endeavors.

The U.S., $38 trillion in debt, hopes to repair the damage its done to itself by paying off the interest with stablecoins or some other form of crypto-currency while the rest of the world heads inexorably to money backed by gold and possibly, silver.

Stocks have been on a tear recently, and, with earnings season in full swing, gains on the S&P, Dow, and NASDAQ are heading for nose-bleed levels.

There will be hell to pay when no deal is made with China and 42 million Americans are deprived of benefits they've been receiving for years, in order to EAT.

The government is playing with marked cards. Americans will pay a heavy price for a government that has no concrete plans and politicians whose main focus is on enriching themselves and getting re-elected.

At the Close, Monday, October 27, 2025:
Dow: 47,544.59, +337.47 (+0.71%)
NASDAQ: 23,637.46, +432.59 (+1.86%)
S&P 500: 6,875.16, +83.47 (+1.23%)
NYSE Composite: 21,789.63, +91.57 (+0.42%)



Sunday, October 26, 2025

WEEKEND WRAP: Trump in Asia, Wasting Everybody's Time; Government Shutdown in 26th Day; Food Stamps Cut Off November 1?

There's quite a bit going on this week following one in which gold and silver got taken down a notch or two, President Trump raised tariffs on Canada because they aired a commercial featuring former President Ronald Reagan criticizing tariffs, the U.S. shot down a few more "drug boats" in the Caribbean and the Pacific, CPI inflation at three percent was deemed "good" by Wall Street, the media and the government, and the government shutdown became the second-longest in U.S. history.

That's just for openers. The upcoming week will feature President Trump trying to persuade countries in Asia to do business with the U.S., including a meeting with China's Xi Jinping, and a rate cut at the FOMC meeting Tuesday, with the policy decision 2:00 pm ET Wednesday. Halloween is Friday. Lots of tricks, maybe some treats.

42 million Americans are hoping the federal government reopens so they can get food stamps for November, though the Senate doesn't seem to be in much of a rush to do anything besides posture and point fingers at each other.

Bloomberg headline: Trump Unveils Flurry of Asia Trade Deals Ahead of Xi Meeting

However, should one actually read the story (Money Daily did), as it reveals the lie:

"The US president dangled exemptions from his reciprocal tariff regime on key exports from Thailand, Cambodia, Vietnam and Malaysia..."

"It’s a step in the right direction but there’s still considerable uncertainty out there,” said Peter Mumford, who covers Southeast Asia at risk consultancy Eurasia Group, citing questions on the rules of origin for reciprocal agreements, sectoral tariffs and transshipment levies. “And none of these are legally binding agreements too. They’re all quite flexible agreements."

Trump claims to have reached agreements lifting tariffs on a wide swath of goods from Vietnam, Cambodia, Thailand, and Malaysia, and made deals for preferential treatment on rare earths with Thailand and Malaysia. Bloomberg's own analyst offered this: "Absent specific commitments, the deal’s impact may not outlast the summit," said Adam Farrar, a geo-economics analyst at Bloomberg Economics.

"He [Trump] also expressed optimism during a meeting with Brazilian President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva that they could easily strike a trade agreement, as the Latin American country seeks to reduce the 50% tariff on many of its goods."

Note that they may have met, but there's still no deal. BRICS countries are beginning to unify and stand against Trump and his tariff regime. A planned meeting with Russia's President, Vladimir Putin, in Budapest, was scuttled due to Trump's imposition of sanctions against Russian oil companies, Lukoil and Rosneft.

For his part, prior to the meeting, Lula said this: "I am fully prepared to defend Brazil's interests and show that there was a mistake on the tariffs imposed on Brazil."

Trump is attempting to use leverage with Southeast Asian countries against China. It's a strategy that is not likely to reap benefits. There is talk in certain circles that President Xi won't meet with Trump at all. India's Prime Minister, Narendra Modi, skipped the ASEAN summit in Malaysia, specifically to avoid meeting with Trump, who has placed 50% tariffs on Indian exports to America.

There's a good chance that the meeting with Xi will not take place at all. China has made no official commitment about the meeting, which is supposed to take place on Thursday (or now, Thursday or Friday) on the sidelines of the APEC conference in South Korea.

Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent, who is with Trump on the Far East trip, continued meetings with Chinse counterparts, saying the talks were, "constructive, far-reaching and in-depth," adding that they give the nations "the ability to move forward to set the stage for the leaders meeting in a very positive framework."

In other words, they got squat. Mainstream Western media is all propaganda, much of it just plain lies, especially Bloomberg.

Stocks

Stocks had another solid week, and should benefit from a deluge of earnings from some of the biggest names in tech and a number of Dow stocks.

Monday, October 27: (before open) Keurig Dr. Pepper (KDP); (after close) Avis (CAR), Rambus (RMBS), Whirlpool (WHR), Waste Management (WM), Bed Bath & Beyond (BBBY)

Tuesday, October 28: (before open) United Health (UNH), Corning (GLW), UPS (UPS), HSBC (HSBC), DR Horton (DHI), Royal Caribbean (RCL), PayPal (PYPL), SoFi (SOFI); (after close) Cheesecake Factory (CAKE), Seagate (STX), Visa (V), Electronic Arts (EA)

Wednesday, October 29: (before open) Etsy (ETSY), ADP (ADP), Phillips 66 (PSX), Caterpllar (CAT), Boeing (BA), Verizon (VZ), CVS Health (CVS); (after close) Carvana (CVNA), Chipolte Mexican Grill (CMG), Alphabet (GOOG), Meta (META), Microsoft (MSFT)

Thursday, October 30: (before open) Advance Auto Parts (AAP), Comcast (CMCSA), Merck (MRK), Eli Lilly (LLY); (after close) Amazon (AMZN), Apple (AAPL), Coinbase (COIN), Reddit (RDDT), Microstrategy (MSTR)

Friday, October 31: (before open) Chevron (CVX), ExxonMobil (XOM), Charter Communications (CHTR), Colgate-Palmolive (CL)

The Shiller PE (CAPE) closed out the week at 40.58, chasing the number from the dotcom bubble, December, 1999, of 44.14).

Treasury Yield Curve Rates

Date 1 Mo 1.5 mo 2 Mo 3 Mo 4 Mo 6 Mo 1 Yr
09/19/2025 4.19 4.16 4.14 4.03 3.98 3.81 3.60
09/26/2025 4.22 4.20 4.17 4.02 4.00 3.83 3.67
10/03/2025 4.24 4.17 4.11 4.03 3.96 3.82 3.64
10/10/2025 4.19 4.16 4.10 4.02 3.96 3.81 3.60
10/17/2025 4.18 4.15 4.08 4.00 3.95 3.79 3.56
10/24/2025 4.11 4.06 4.02 3.93 3.89 3.76 3.58

Date 2 Yr 3 Yr 5 Yr 7 Yr 10 Yr 20 Yr 30 Yr
09/19/2025 3.57 3.56 3.68 3.88 4.14 4.71 4.75
09/26/2025 3.63 3.66 3.76 3.96 4.20 4.74 4.77
10/03/2025 3.58 3.59 3.72 3.90 4.13 4.69 4.71
10/10/2025 3.52 3.52 3.65 3.83 4.05 4.60 4.63
10/17/2025 3.46 3.47 3.59 3.78 4.02 4.58 4.60
10/24/2025 3.48 3.49 3.61 3.79 4.02 4.56 4.59

With the next FOMC this week (October 28-29), yields continue front-running the expected 25 basis point cut (maybe 50) and another one in December (Dec. 9-10), with one month bills at their lowest yield since 12/29/2022 (4.04%). The Fed, figuring they've convinced enough people that three percent inflation is close enough to their two percent target, will cut at least 0.25%, bringing the federal funds target rate to 3.75-4.00%. Applying their usual guesstimate of how badly they wish to screw American consumers, that should be enough for this month, with another 0.25% coming off next month.

Not that it matters that stocks are at an all-time high, unemployment remains near historic lows under five percent and inflation has re-ignited.

The Fed has pretty poor aim. With all the monetary tools at its disposal, it can't even hit its own targets.

2s-10s spreads dipped to +54 while full spectrum gapped up to +48. Demand for treasuries remains strong, despite BRICS and de-dollarization efforts, the slack pick-up home grown.

Spreads:

2s-10s
2025
1/3: +32
1/10: +37
1/17: +34
1/24: +36
1/31: +36
2/7: +20
2/14: +21
2/21: +23
2/28: +25
3/7: +33
3/14: +29
3/21: +31
3/28: +38
4/4: +33
4/11: +52
4/17: +53
4/25: +55
5/2: +50
5/9: +49
5/16: +45
5/23: +51
5/30: +52
6/6: +48
6/13: +45
6/20: +48
6/27: +56
7/3: +47
7/11: +53
7/18: +56
7/25: +49
8/1: +54
8/8: +51
8/15: +58
8/22: +58
8/29: +64
9/5: +59
9/12: +50
9/19: +57
9/26: +57
10/3: +45
10/10: +53
10/17: +56

Full Spectrum (30-days - 30-years)
2025
1/3: +38
1/10: +54
1/17: +41
1/24: +40
1/31: +36
2/7: +32
2/14: +32
2/21: +31
2/28: +13
3/7: +24
3/14: +25
3/21: +23
3/28: +26
4/4: +5
4/11: +38
4/17: +44
4/25: +40
5/2: +41
5/9: +46
5/16: +52
5/23: +68
5/30: +59
6/6: +69
6/13: +67
6/20: +69
6/27: +66
7/3: +51
7/11: +59
7/18: +65
7/25: +55
8/1: +32
8/8: +37
8/15: +44
8/22: +41
8/29: +51
9/5: +49
9/12: +40
9/19: +54
9/26: +55
10/3: +47
10/10: +43
10/17: +42

Oil/Gas

Following President Trump slapping sanctions on Russian oil, WTI crude oil exploded higher, closing out the week at $61.44, up sharply from last week's $57.25. The move was mostly fluff, based on prices being too low for American producers, especially with ExxonMobil and Chevron reporting earnings this Friday (Oct. 31). Trump's sanctions are going to do anything to hurt Russia, but will hurt American consumers wiht higher prices at the pump.

The rise in oil prices sent retail gas prices just a touch higher. with the U.S. national average up two cents, at $3.03, according to Gasbuddy.com.

California remains highest, at $4.59 per gallon, followed by Washington ($4.35), both lower on the week. Oregon ($3.93), was down seven cents on the week, but, if higher crude oil prices persist, it may bounce back above $4.00. The lowest prices remain in the Southeast, with Louisiana ($2.55) the lowest, followed by Oklahoma and Mississippi both at $2.56, jumping more than ten cents from last week. Tennessee ($2.57) and Texas ($2.59) follow. The remaining Southeast states are all below $2.75 (Georgia), with Florida the exception, at $2.90.

Relief continued in the Northeast, where all states were under $3.00, except for Pennsylvania ($3.21), New York and Vermont ($3.09), West Virginia ($3.07), and Maine ($3.00).

Illinois ($3.24), Michigan ($3.08) and Indiana ($3.06) were the only Midwest states above $3.00. Kentucky was lowest, at $2.67.

Sub-$3.00 gas can be found in 32 states, down three from last week.

Bitcoin (fake money)

This week: $113,471.40
Last week: $106,748.23
2 weeks ago: $112,895.70
6 months ago: $94,225.30
One year ago: $67,672.59
Five years ago: $16,078.98

Bitcoin cheerleaders have been out in force since gold and silver's slap-down Friday and again on Tuesday. The pundits are all over X, touting bitcoin going to $200,000, $400,000 and estimates in the millions.

There is a concerted effort by crypto enthusiasts, Western governments, and the Trump family to sell the public on crypto, hoping they will stay away from gold and silver. It's actually kind of humorous.

Precious Metals

Gold:Silver Ratio: 84.54; last week: 80.35

Per COMEX continuous contracts:

Gold price 9/26: $3,789.80
Gold price 10/3: $3,912.10
Gold price 10/10: $4,035.50
Gold price 10/17: $4,267.90
Gold price 10/24: $4,126.90

Silver price 9/26: $46.37
Silver price 10/3: $47.97
Silver price 10/10: $47.51
Silver price 10/17: $50.63
Silver price 10/24: $48.41

SPOT:
(stockcharts.com)
Gold 10/17: $4250.59
Gold 10/24: $4110.63
Silver 10/17: $51.88
Silver 10/24: $48.59

(Kitko)
Gold 10/19: Bid: $4,250.80; Ask: $4,252.80
Gold 10/26: Bid: $4,111.20; Ask: $4,113.20
Silver 10/19: Bid: $51.86; Ask: $51.98
Silver 10/26: Bid: $48.53; Ask: $48.65

Gold and silver were dumped early in the week, and, while gold rebounded, silver remained below the magic $50 mark. In a sane world, the price would be $150. Prices at dealers and on eBay reflect the public's rejection of the paper slap-down.

Here are the most recent prices for common one ounce gold and silver items sold on eBay (free shipping included, numismatics excluded):

Item/Price Low High Average Median
1 oz silver coin: 48.00 64.00 55.75 56.05
1 oz silver bar: 52.00 63.00 56.73 55.95
1 oz gold coin: 4,262.80 4,655.84 4,400.19 4,383.86
1 oz gold bar: 4,292.80 4,532.43 4,353.39 4,335.30

The Single Ounce Silver Market Price Benchmark (SOSMPB) fell somewhat sharply over the course of the week, to $56.12, a decline of $2.42 from the October 19 all-time high price of $58.54 per troy ounce.

WEEKEND WRAP

The next two weeks should provide some indication of where the U.S. economy is headed. If the government doesn't reopen before November 6th, it would serve as notice that the shutdown was planned well ahead of time and that the government's main goal is to sow chaos, both at home and abroad.

At the Close, Friday, October 24, 2025:

Dow: 47,207.12, +472.51 (+1.01%)
NASDAQ: 23,204.87, +263.07 (+1.15%)
S&P 500: 6,791.69, +53.25 (+0.79%)
NYSE Composite: 21,698.06, +74.24 (+0.34%)

For the Week:
Dow: +1016.51 (+2.20%)
NASDAQ: +524.89 (+2.31%)
S&P 500: +127.68 (+1.92%)
NYSE Composite: +286.60 (+1.34%)
Dow Transports: -224.62 (-1.41%)



Disclaimer: Information disseminated on this site should not be construed as investment advice. Downtown Magazine Inc., Money Daily and it's owners, affiliates and/or employees are not investment advisors and do not offer specific investment advice. All investments have risk. You should consult a professional investment advisor or stock broker or use your individual judgement when making investment decisions. By viewing this site, you hold harmless Downtown Magazine Inc., Money Daily, its owners, affiliates and employees against any and all liability. Copyright 2025, Downtown Magazine Inc., all rights reserved.

All Lies, All the Time: Descent Into the End of Empire; 3% Inflation is Good; Russia is Bad; China, India Won't Buy Russian Oil (yeah, sure)

If it wasn't so sad, it would be funny.

Or maybe it's the other way around.

Just a day after the U.S. imposed sanctions on Russia's two largest oil companies, according to an EXCLUSIVE REPORT by Reuters (who never lie, ever, honest) Chinese firms have decided to scale back their purchases of Russian oil and India is poised to do the same.

Poised: [pɔɪzd] Adjective

having a composed and self-assured manner:

"not every day you saw that poised, competent kid distressed"

The story carries the usual flashpoints of falsity, highlighted below:

SINGAPORE, Oct 23 (Reuters) - Chinese state oil majors have suspended purchases of seaborne Russian oil after the United States imposed sanctions on Rosneft and Lukoil, Moscow's two biggest oil companies, multiple trade sources said on Thursday.

The move comes as refiners in India, the largest buyer of seaborne Russian oil, are set to sharply cut their crude imports from Moscow, to comply with the U.S. sanctions imposed over the Kremlin's invasion of Ukraine.

Notice how that second sentence just blares out India's intentions, without attributing any sources. Supposedly, when the U.S. says to major nuclear-armed nations, "Jump!", they respond by asking, "how high?"

So here comes the delayed CPI report for September. Without looking, Money Daily is going to go out on a limb and say that the numbers beat expectations.

Nailed it. Well, kinda. The report from the always reliable BLS reads thusly:

The Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) increased 0.3 percent on a seasonally adjusted basis in September, after rising 0.4 percent in August, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today. Over the last 12 months, the all items index increased 3.0 percent before seasonal adjustment. Note that September CPI data collection was completed before the lapse in appropriations.

The index for gasoline rose 4.1 percent in September and was the largest factor in the all items monthly increase, as the index for energy rose 1.5 percent over the month. The food index increased 0.2 percent over the month as the food at home index rose 0.3 percent and the food away from home index increased 0.1 percent.

The index for all items less food and energy rose 0.2 percent in September, after rising 0.3 percent in each of the 2 preceding months. Indexes that increased over the month include shelter, airline fares, recreation, household furnishings and operations, and apparel. The indexes for motor vehicle insurance, used cars and trucks, and communication were among the few major indexes that decreased in September.

The all items index rose 3.0 percent for the 12 months ending September, after rising 2.9 percent over the 12 months ending August. The all items less food and energy index also rose 3.0 percent over the last 12 months. The energy index increased 2.8 percent for the 12 months ending September. The food index increased 3.1 percent over the last year.

Just wondering... if the September CPI data collection was completed before the "lapse in appropriations", as the press release states, why was the release of the data delayed? The entire government shutdown thing is a massive fraud perpetrated by both parties and the president, who could have come up with a compromise continuing resolution as they always do. They simply did not want to, as their objective is to sow chaos, and, by most accounts, they're doing a swell job of it.

This isn't exactly what one would call "throttling inflation" or whatever color lipstick the Fed or the BLS wishes to paint on this particular piglet's lips.

Inflation is rising, but the "beating expectations" narrative gives the Fed cover to cut interest rates next week at the FOMC meeting )(October 28=29)

CNBC .helps put the lies into perspective:

The September consumer price index report rose 0.3% on the month, bringing the annual inflation rate to 3%, according to the Bureau of Labor Statistics. That’s just below the 0.4% and 3.1% that economists polled by Dow Jones had expected. While the data was lighter than expected, the inflation rate still marked an uptick from the 2.9% seen in August.

So, inflation is getting worse, but, because the completely fabricated numbers from the "partially shut down" BLS beat Wall Street experts’ (who are almost always wrong about everything) expectations, it's all good for the economy, so "buy stocks."

As usual, stock futures shot to the moon. Right around 9:00 am ET - a half hour after the CPI release - Dow futures were up 206 points, NASDAQ futures up 210, and S&P futures were ahead by 39 points.

There are a number of problems with this report, but the most glaring is the claim that gasoline rose 4.1% in September. Money Daily tracks gasoline prices weekly, via gasbuddy.com and we checked. August U.S. national average gas prices ranged between $3.10 and $3.18, while September gas prices fell in a range of $3.10 to $3.19, virtually unchanged.

Even using the lows of August ($3.10) and the September high of $3.19 - which was actually at the beginning of the month; the $3.10 reading came at the end - the difference is 2.9% not 4.0%. Essentially, gas prices were pretty much flat during the summer and oil prices were falling slightly. The BLS just made the numbers up, as usual.

In any case, the obvious takeaway is that the American public, which, apparently, according to experts on the matter in government and media, are dumber than goldfish and will believe anything, are supposed to just accept three percent inflation as a standard good thing. Never mind that the cost of everything (except silver and gold, of course) will double in 23 years.

Since actual inflation is much worse than that - a provable fact just by going shopping for groceries, lumber, clothes, just about anything - the dollar's purchasing power is plummeting faster than the approval rating for congress.

Oh, well, silver and gold are selling off because THERE IS NO INFLATION. (Orwellian)

Next up comes the meeting between President Trump and China's Xi Jinping on Thursday, October 30, on the sideline of the APEC conference in South Korea. There's a safe bet that Trump will return from his overseas trip boasting about how he got Xi to agree to everything, including sharing China’s rare earths and convinced him to stop buying Russian oil. It's all lies, all the time for these people.

Everything will continue to deteriorate in America, which has become a general theme, in case you haven’t noticed since the president and the media keep telling you everything is wonderful.

Not a word out of Washington nor the mainstream media should be believed. The entire world is being lied to about everything. When Russia takes over all of Ukraine, Europe, the UK and the US will claim victory.

This pretty much sums up how the meeting between the leaders of the U.S. and China will go next week:

Trump: We have all the cards.

Xi: We make the cards.

Thank you for your attention to this matter.

At the Close, Thursday, October 23, 2025:
Dow: 46,734.61, +144.20 (+0.31%)
NASDAQ: 22,941.80, +201.40 (+0.89%)
S&P 500: 6,738.44, +39.04 (+0.58%)
NYSE Composite: 21,623.82, +109.11 (+0.51%)



Friday, October 24, 2025

Mainstream Media Refuses to Tell the Truth: EU, US, UK Being Thumped Daily by BRICS; Sanctions on Russia Cause U.S. Oil Prices to Explode Higher

After a while, all the noise becomes something of a blur and begins to make no sense. It appears that U.S., U.K., and E.U. foreign policies, so intent on harming other countries (primarily Russia and China) rather than strengthening themselves, have met their matches in the BRICS, or, rather, the policies of the West have caused the countries of the East, the BRICS, or the "Global South" to unite and that union is making life more and more difficult for the instigators, marginalizing them and destroying their currencies.

"Project Ukraine," as Alex and Alexander over at the Duran prefer to call it, is a massive sinkhole into which NATO nations have thrust hundreds of billions of dollars, euros, and pounds, only to get 1.7 million Ukrainians killed, the country torn to pieces, and the damage done to themselves yet to be fully realized. The most massive foreign policy blunder of this century and maybe of all time has brought Europe, the UK, and the United States to the brink of insolvency, reduced weapon stockpiles to bare minimums and threatened national security.

By almost any standard, Ukraine has been a failure of massive proportions, yet the countries which promoted the proxy war against Russia continue to support it, all the while attempting to deflect blame for its continuation on Russia and sometimes, Ukraine.

President Trump, who campaigned on ending the war in Ukraine "on day one" is an absolute embarrassment to diplomacy. He could stop the fighting by withdrawing U.S. support - in money and weapons - to Ukraine, but refuses to do so. Thus, he has sentenced more Ukrainians to their deaths, and made the United States a global pariah. The continuity of lies and fabrications about the causes for the Ukraine conflict and its ongoing status, promoted by the government and parroted by the media, are too numerous to enumerate, but it boils down to simple soundbites: Russia bad, Ukraine democracy, rah!

It's a huge bag of horse manure, everybody knows it, and it needed to be ended years ago. But it won't end, because the military industrial complex that runs the U.S. government doesn't want it to end. They're making too much money blowing up things.

Ukraine is a ten thousand pound yoke hung on the neck of Americans, Europeans, and UK citizens and there's nothing anybody can do about it. Ukraine will prove to be the ultimate undoing of all the Western economies. Their insistence on continuing the madness of this failed campaign is inconceivably reckless and devastating.

An opinion poll in France's Le Monde finds: 96% feel dissatisfied or angry about the state of the country; 90% believe it is in decline; 81% don’t think democracy is working for them; 66% think most politicians are corrupt; 71% think their living standards are getting worse; 57% have trouble making ends meet; 85% think France ‘needs a real leader to restore order’; and 63% say they don’t ‘feel at home any more’.

On Wednesday, Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent announced a new round of sanctions against Russia's two largest oil companies, Rosneft and Lukoil. How these sanctions are going to harm Russia or how they are going to be enforced are as yet unknown, since Russia sells oil globally, mostly to China, India, and other countries outside the U.S. sphere of influence. They likely won't harm Russia in the least, nor will they help to end the conflict in Ukraine. India and China aren't going to stop buying Russian oil just because the U.S. says they shouldn't. It's basic extortion. "You bought Russian oil. Pay us." Doesn't really work that way.

What these sanctions did manage to accomplish, however, was to spike the price of U.S. and European oil higher. WTI crude oil bottomed out at $56.39 on Tuesday. Brent crude was $60.36. As of Thursday morning, WTI is $61.68 and Brent is $65.81. Russia hasn't blinked. A real “game-changer” ya got there.

Obviously, this strategy is tantamount to poking oneself in the eye with a stick. One has to ask, "qui bono?" Well, obviously, ExxonMobil, Shell, BP, and a host of other oil giants and their shareholders who have been horrified at the recent declines in the price of oil and petrol and gas at the pump, putting their mammoth profits at risk. You can bet your bottom dollar that all those Senators and House Reps who are keeping the government shut down bought a few shares beforehand.

These new sanctions are piled on top of 18 prior rounds of sanctions imposed against Russia. Obviously, they're working wonders, if making the BRICS alliance stronger and keeping the war in Ukraine running in Russia's favor is what they had in mind. These policies are much too stupid to be accidental. They are purposeful, designed to weaken the countries imposing the sanctions and to make their own citizens suffer.

According to all-knowing Bloomberg, transactions involving the two Russian oil producers need to be wound down by November 21, leaving a window of opportunity open for negotiation, evasion, maybe some live ammo shooting at each other. President Trump's meeting with China's Xi Jinping, expected to take place on the sidelines of the Asia-Pacific Economic Cooperation (APEC) summit in South Korea October 31 and November 1 (too bad. They're going to miss the Breeders' Cup and possibly games six and seven of the World Series), is more likely to turn into a massive pissing match rather than some grand trade deal. Who game plans these things? Some drunken sailor? Howard Lutnik? P. Diddy? Bo Diddley?

The question was posed to Bing's AI co-pilot, "How do sanctions against Russian oil companies cause U.S. oil prices to rise?"

Here is what it said:

Sanctions against Russian oil companies, such as Rosneft and Lukoil, lead to a rise in U.S. oil prices due to several reasons:

Increased Demand: The sanctions target Russia's two largest oil companies, which are essential for the U.S. energy market. The sanctions are part of a broader effort to pressure Russia to end its war in Ukraine, which has implications for global oil supply and demand.

Market Impact: The sanctions are expected to reduce Russia's oil production and exports, which could lead to a decrease in supply and increase in demand for U.S. oil. This could result in higher prices for U.S. consumers.

Economic Consequences: The sanctions are also expected to have economic consequences for Russia, including reduced revenue and potential economic instability. This could further impact the global oil market and lead to higher prices for U.S. oil.

In summary, the sanctions against Russian oil companies are expected to cause a rise in U.S. oil prices due to increased demand, reduced supply, and economic consequences for Russia. These factors combined can lead to higher prices for U.S. consumers.

Higher prices. Just what Americans, Britons, and Europeans need. So screwed.

In a little more than a week, should the U.S. government shutdown continue past the end of October, funding for SNAP, otherwise known as "food stamps" will expire. 42 million Americans will not get their monthly allotment of money to buy groceries.

First off, it's shameful that 12% of the population needs assistance in order to eat, as in, stay alive, but, if the government allows SNAP to go unfunded, there will be riots, looting, and mayhem across America. It's probably why Trump has prepositioned National Guard troops to places like Chicago, Memphis, etc. This is just another stage of the government shutdown master plan, easing everybody into martial law, dependent on the federal government - despite it being unfunded, "shut down" as it were - for protection. Thug tactics. Protection racket.

Let's see how that goes. Things are getting just a little out of hand when it comes to government and the power they wield. Definitely not a good look, but, this is what happens when people put their faith in politicians who put their own interests ahead of the county’s.

With all the confusion, malfeasance, and objectionable noise in global politics underway, Wall Street chugs along, though most of Wednesday was spent chugging in reverse. For whatever reasons, all the major indices were down. Maybe they were "overextended", like everybody was complaining about gold and silver before they were summarily slapped down on Tuesday. Could be anything. Probably nothing to worry about. Stocks always go up.

This morning, there seems to be some concern over earnings reported after the close Wednesday and before the bell Thursday. Tesla (TSLA) is down four percent after missing its earnings target. Dinosaur computer firm, IBM (IBM) posted adjusted earnings per share of $2.65, beating the analyst estimate of $2.44 handily. Revenue came in at $16.33 billion, ahead of consensus estimate of $16.09 billion and representing a nine percent increase year-over-year. However, shares are down seven percent in the pre-market. Investors apparently are more concerned with slowing growth in the company's cloud business and timid growth projections. Maybe that PE ratio of 47 has something to do with it. Or AI, or, aye-aye, or an eye for an eye, who knows?

Not to worry, Exxon Mobil (XOM) and Chevron (CVX) are both higher in anticipation of higher fuel prices courtesy of sanctions on Russian oil companies. See how that works?

What could go wrong?

At the close, Wednesday, October 22, 2025:
Dow: 46,590.41, -334.33 (-0.71%)
NASDAQ: 22,740.40, -213.27 (-0.93%)
S&P 500: 6,699.40, -35.95 (-0.53%)
NYSE Composite: 21,514.71, -56.45 (-0.26%)



Wednesday, October 22, 2025

The Sudden Demise of Gold and Silver, and Why It Doesn't Matter (much); Trump's Boasting Reveals Underlying Realities and U.S. Weakness

Of all the narratives, rationales, and explanations for the sudden reversal of gold (and silver) on Tuesday, those provided by expert trader Don Durrett on the CapitalCosm youtube channel: BREAKING! Someone BIG is CRASHING GOLD & SILVER Prices (here's who) was likely to have been closest to the mark.

Early in the video, Durrett points out that gold remains in a bull market, and notes that all of the selling took place in New York, where gold is not bought, only sold, and also correctly makes the claim that the U.S. central bank - the Federal Reserve - does not buy gold, which is indeed the case, though all other central banks around the world, and especially in the East, are buyers of gold.

What makes the case for the selloff in New York all the more plausible and all the more fake (Durrett calls it a "bankster" selloff") is that the mainstream media - from Bloomberg to Yahoo! to Reuters - have been spouting off about gold and silver being "overbought" or "overextended" for weeks prior to Friday's and Tuesday's massive downdrafts. When was the last time the mainstream financial media said the NASDAQ, S&P, or stocks like Nvidia, Google, Amazon or Apple were "overextended?" The answer to that is simply never. Peons and muppets are not supposed to hold assets that are stores of value. They are guided to buy stocks, the prices and movements of which are guided by the owners of the Wall Street casino, the big banks and brokerages.

Now, it may have been the case that precious metals were in an overbought condition. Gold and silver have been the best asset performers all year, far outpacing stocks and rambling on ahead of Wall Street's latest scheme, crypto. Even with the falloff from Tuesday included, over the past month, gold remains up 7.37%, silver, 7.49%, while bitcoin has lost 5.78%. Incidentally, over the past month - from September 21 to October 22 - the S&P 500 is up a paltry 0.62%.

Other considerations which gold and silver proponents should be well aware are the enormous moves made by both of the precious metals in a short period of time. Two years ago, around October 23, 2023, gold was $2,000, and silver was $23. They've each more than doubled over the past two years, which, considering gold is still above $4,000 and silver is holding around $48, puts the selloff into context.

All indications point to coordinated selling on the NYMEX, GLOBEX, and COMEX of paper gold and silver contracts, not actual metal. There has been no news regarding relief in the silver shortage in London, the precious metals ETFs in India which suspended opening of new accounts - Kotak Mutual Fund and UTI Asset Management - have not re-opened to new money, the ongoing silver supply shortage reamins in its fifth year running, the world's central banks continue to buy gold, and investment professionals have recently begun to advise allocating anywhere from 10 to 20 percent of portfolios to precious metals.

What the sudden falloff - among the largest one-day declines in the prices of gold and silver - in precious metals suggests is that the Wall Street insiders needed a better entry point for their high net worth clientele, and battered the price lower to accommodate themselves. Unbeknownst to most people is that while JP Morgan and Citibank operate some of the most sophisticated short-selling operations to suppress the prices of gold and silver, they are at the same time long the metals in the banks' proprietary accounts.

The bull market in gold and silver, which likely began in earnest in January of 2024 for both, is still in its early stages and the pullback offers another entry point for those wishing to secure their futures and escape the debt-based rat trap set by governments and bankers.

For those unconvinced that gold and silver have significantly more upside, the following questions should be entertained:

The CPI reading for September that, due to the government shutdown, has been delayed until this Friday (October 24), show the Fed is closer to its two percent target, and, even if it is, who trusts the figures from the BLS?

Will the Federal Reserve lower interest rates at next week's FOMC meeting (October 28-29)?

If and when the federal government reopens, will the House, Senate, and the President suddenly resolve to cut the deficit significantly?

Honest answers to those questions imply that gold and silver have much higher price targets ahead of them and the trend remains bullish.

Another area worth looking into are the actions of President Trump, especially concerning tariffs and trade relations with China. Just yesterday, the president inked a deal with Australia to jointly produce rare earths after China imposed export controls on the critical ores.

Upon signing the deal, Trump boasted, "In about a year from now, we'll have so much critical minerals and rare earths that you won't know what to do with them."

Trump's statement is simply untrue. First, the agreement is merely a framework for cooperation between the two governments. There are few specifics, and the timing of the deal, along with Trump's boasting, indicates that the U.S. is desperate to obtain rare earths and critical minerals now that China has weaponized them in the ongoing trade war. There's little chance that Australia and the U.S. together can produce the amount of ore that America needs and produce it quickly enough to even approach China's substantial lead.

According to the U.S. Geological Survey (USGA), in 2024, China produced 270,000 tons of rare earths and has 44 million tons of reserves. By contrast, Australia produced 13,000 tons and has 5.7 million tons of reserves, and the U.S. produced 45,000 tons and has 1.9 million in reserves.

Trump's endless barrage of tweets and boasts serves only to persuade the few remaining fawning MAGA supporters that he's keeping his America first promises. Anybody who's ever been around real winners in life, be they in sports or business or any other human endeavor, knows that champions don't have to boast about their accomplishments. Hank Aaron, who for years was baseball's all-time home run hitter, was a modest man with a firm handshake and quiet confidence. Tom Brady doesn't go around reminding people that he won seven Super Bowls. Warren Buffett, one of the wealthiest men in the world, drives a 2014 Cadillac.

Man and women who have achieved great things exude an air of confidence that runs counter to Trump's constant boasts, threats, and bragging on social media and in his public appearances. Much of what he claims - outside his success at closing the border - is exaggerated and often fallacious. The president has a need to maintain an atmosphere of America's dominance, when the reality is that the country is in a severe state of decline.

Most of what comes out of "official" Washington is little more than bluster and blather. As such, it is meaningless in the larger, longer term outlook most serious people maintain. That's why gold and silver will continue their march higher soon enough and the boasts and extended narratives of 21st-century America will be revealed as nothing more than empty rhetoric.

There's little that Trump or congress or anybody can do to change the direction of world events. The BRICS and China, Russia, and India are eating the West's lunch. Putin, Xi, and Modi laugh at the half-truths and superficial posturing of the West. America and Europe are in a state of terminal decline and the sooner the managers (they are not "leaders") of the Western developed countries come to grips with this reality and offer their people more than platitudes and sanctions against other countries the sooner they can begin to accept their role in the emergent new world order in which Asia, gold, and cooperation make the rules and fiat, debt-based currencies, sanctions, and empty promises become a thing of the past.

At the Close, Tuesday, October 21, 2025:
Dow: 46,924.74, +218.16 (+0.47%)
NASDAQ: 22,953.67, -36.88 (-0.16%)
S&P 500: 6,735.35, +0.22 (0.00%)
NYSE Composite: 21,571.16, -27.01 (-0.13%)