Showing posts with label Adam Schiff. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Adam Schiff. Show all posts

Thursday, January 23, 2020

Stocks Slide As IMF Revises Global Growth Projections Lower... Again

In the Senate, the impeachment trial of President Trump is well underway, though some Senators are wondering how the House managers can keep up their opening statement for another 16 hours without being laughed out of the chamber.

Adam Schiff, Gerold Nadler and their associates dithered and danced around the same tired narrative that's been their staple for the past six months and nobody is really buying it. Perhaps that's why stocks slumped late in the day, due to overwhelming boredom.

Impeachment aside, stocks were off to a solid start on Wednesday, but failed to make much progress, with the Dow actually ending in the red after being up 124 points early in the session.

There are be a plethora of reasons to be selling stocks at this juncture, main among them valuation, but the continuing slowdown in global trade and potential for most of Europe to fall into a recession are probably the most "top of mind" as winter winds blow cold across the Northern Hemisphere.

Lowering its 2019 forecast (a little late) for the sixth straight time, the IMF dropped expectations for global growth to 2.9%, down 0.1 from it's previous 3.0% expectation. Most of the data is already in place. The IMF, like everyone else, is monitoring fourth quarter results from corporations around the world.

In what has to be regarded as somewhat on the cheeky side, the IMF also lowered its 2020 forecast, from 3.4% to 3.3%. It's ludicrous to believe that the amalgamated egoistic economists at the IMF can get any prediction right, especially one calling for improvement when the early evidence is clearly favoring decline. Within a few months, these brainiacs will be revising their crystal ball projections and tea leaf readings to something more aligned with reality.

Considering that the US, at least, is at the far end of an 11-year bull market, some slowdown would be expected and it's notable that the brain-dead at the IMF cannot fathom the declining birth rate effects of demographics in developed countries, most of which have fallen below replacement figures.

With cheerleaders like those at the IMF and the relentless money creation by the Fed, there's little wonder the rich get richer as fake predictions are afforded the most credence.

At some point, the Fed will stop printing or the dollar will hyper-inflate. At that point, the IMF can revise upward and still find itself woefully behind the curve.

At the Close, Wednesday, January 22, 2020:
Dow Jones Industrial Average: 29,186.27, -9.77 (-0.03%)
NASDAQ: 9,383.77, +12.96 (+0.14%)
S&P 500: 3,321.75, +0.96 (+0.03%)
NYSE: 14,110.24, +0.26 (+0.00%)

Thursday, January 2, 2020

2019 Is Done: Stocks Roared, Trump Still President in 2020

2019 is over, and aren't we all so happy.
Donald Trump with Brandi Brandt
on the cover of Playboy magazine, March 1990

By many measures, it was a somewhat unremarkable year, ending with odd and twisted political theater, courtesy of Speaker of the House, Nancy Pelosi, and her merry band of miscreants, led by congresspeople Adam Schiff and Gerald Nadler, chairmen of, respectively, Intelligence and Judiciary committees. In the case of Schiff, the obvious misappropriation of his ilk being somehow related to intelligence was as humorless as it was frightening.

What made Pelosi's gambit significant was not that she impeached a president, but that she impeached one Donald J. Trump, a populist president who apparently did nothing wrong other than defeat the chosen candidate of the left, Hillary Rodham Clinton, in the presidential race of 2016. Thus, three years a a few months hither, Trump is impeached on charges that are as vacuous and ephemeral as the open-and-closed-door hearings themselves: Abuse of Power and Obstruction of Congress, neither of which are codified as criminal acts, and almost assuredly do not rise to the level of "high crimes and misdemeanors" outlined in the US constitution. In the final analysis, Trump's real crime is being nearly universally hated by leading Democrat politicians, movie stars, and the establishment media.

But that was not all.

Pelosi and nearly all of her fellow Democrats in the House voted along strict party lines and then failed to name managers or send the articles of impeachment over to the Senate for a trial, also prescribed by the constitution, leaving the president, and the nation, in a state of suspended impeachment limbo. This final, futile, feckless act of desperation came after months of Pelosi claiming that Trump needed to be impeached as quickly as possible as he posed a grave, immediate threat to our nation's security.

That argument went right out a window high on the Capitol, along with the baby, the bathwater, the Green New Deal, and the electoral hopes of a plethora Democrat candidates for federal offices in November 2020, not the least of which were named Joe Biden, Elizabeth Warren, and Pete whatever-his-name-is, mayor of South Bend, Indiana.

The funny thing about Mayor Pete, incidentally, is not that he is openly gay (the priests running the University of Notre Dame are still trying to downplay his position), but that the mainstream media almost never mentions this salient fact. Maybe they think that since he looks straight, people will forget or simply overlook his sexual inclination.

That's a good one. The MSM continues to push their agenda, which recently has devolved into a convoluted collection of mistruths, untruths, hidden truths, innuendo, scare tactics, race-baiting, gender-bending, misinformation, disinformation, lies, statistics, more lies, omissions, Facebook posts, deleted Tweets, and Instagram memes, mostly consisting of accusations of President Trump strangling kittens, starting wars, ending wars, killing immigrant children, or otherwise undermining democracy.

It's so sad that it has become almost laughable, but not quite yet. The mainstream media is saving the laugh track stuff for the primaries and general election. Chuck Todd, moderator of NBC's Meet the Press thinks that he, his network, the New York Times and Washington Post more believable than the president. That's how deluded and delusional most of the apparatchik reporters, readers, reciters and anchors are, but none more than the non-journalist, Todd. The mainstream media gave birth to the malady known as TDS (Trump Derangement Syndrome) and they continue to feed it. They're like doctors prescribing amphetamines to meth heads.

2019 finished on a nearly comical note if not for the snarly seriousness of the matter. Attempting to remove a sitting president isn't something that should be undertaken without careful consideration of the consequences. Democrats have not done their homework and have put the American public under considerable stress, needing relief.

For the financial world, New Year's Eve was especially celebratory, with champagne toasts to a grand and glorious annum of outsize gains for stocks. The major indices - following the sudden and sharp declines of 2018's fourth quarter - posted gains as follows:


  • Dow: ended 2018 at 23,327.46; ended 2019 at 28,538.44; 22.34% gain
  • NASDAQ: ended 2018 at 6,635.28; ended 2019 at 8,972.60; 35.25% gain
  • S&P 500: ended 2018 at 2,506.85; ended 2019 at 3,230.78; 28.88% gain
  • NYSE Composite: ended 2018 at 11,374.39; ended 2019 at 13,913.03; 22.32% gain


Those are pretty good numbers.

Will they be repeated in 2020? Advance indications are that the bull market will continue, but, as every prospectus in the history of financial instruments and advisors purports, past performance is no guarantee of future results. Keep that in mind as the Fed will continue to keep flooding the market with liquidity until it decides to stop, which can happen at any time, without much notice.

Concern about the Fed changing its dovish, dulcet tune is not something on the minds of most investors heading into the new year. The Fed has shown itself to be accommodative at all times, no matter the circumstance, and they're likely to continue to be so. What used to be known as "applying the brakes" of an overheating economy by raising interest rates is not a probability in the coming year, as the economy shows about as much potential to overheat as a potato has to become an orange. It's not going to happen, and neither is a recession, because the Fed won't have that.

Precious metals also found bids. Gold posted a marvelous gain of 18.43%, rising from 1279.00 to 1514.75 over the course of 2019.

Silver was similarly impressive, going from 15.47 to 18.05 through the year for a profit of 16.68%.

To the dismay of consumers everywhere, WTI Crude Oil also experienced a rise in price, from 47.09 on January 3, 2019, to 61.68 on December 30, up 30.99%. That sent North American gas prices higher at the pump and elsewhere.

Prices for just about everything anybody would want or need were higher in 2019, by varying amounts. For that, we have the Fed, trade wars, tariffs, and greed to thank.

OK. 2020 is a thing. It's out of beta. Have at it.

At the Close, Tuesday, December 31, 2019:
Dow Jones Industrial Average: 28,538.44, +76.30 (+0.27%)
NASDAQ: 8,972.60, +26.61 (+0.30%)
S&P 500: 3,230.78, +9.49 (+0.29%)
NYSE Composite: 13,913.03, +36.88 (+0.27%)

Thursday, December 19, 2019

Despicable Democrats Impeach President Trump, Who Will Be Cleared By The Senate

Well, they've gone and done it.

The Democrat-controlled House of Representatives has voted - completely along party lines - to approve articles of impeachment, which at some point will go to the Senate, where President Donald J. Trump will almost certainly be acquitted in what figures to be a very short trial, with few witnesses, if any.

The reason the trial will be of small duration is because the Democrats, via Adam Schiff's Intelligence Committee, and Jerry Nadler's Judiciary Committee, have already ginned up enough "evidence" of Mr. Trump's supposed "Abuse of Power" and "Obstruction of Congress," that the senators don't really need to see or hear anything else. What they have before them is so flimsy, devoid of substance, and charges the president with actions that are not even crimes, that they will hopefully turn the matter out in a few days. Anything longer-lasting will be just more mud-slinging at a president who has done nothing wrong, certainly nothing even remotely impeachable.

Wednesday, December 18, 2019, was a sad day for the rule of law in the United States of America. The Democrats, led by Speaker of the House Nancy Pelosi, have foisted upon the public a shameless exercise in partisan witch-baiting. The mainstream media deserves just as much public rancor as the House Democrats for not calling these partisan hacks out on their theatrics. This impeachment exercise has been and will continue to be a complete and utter waste of everybody's time. It will accomplish nothing, except possibly to finally rid the lower chamber of congress of the Democrat majority. In that regard, December 18 may end up going down in the history books of a glorious great day of change and retribution, dashing the Democrats into the dustbin of history.

Whatever one's politics, this impeachment fiasco never rose near to seriousness. It was always a goose-chase, a farcical enterprise foisted upon the public by rank amateurs who had nothing better to do with their times in office than to take out their frustrations in a most despicable manner. The Democrats may want to brand Republican supporters as "deplorables," but these cretins masquerading as respectable representatives of the public weal, are truly disgraceful. The sooner this all gets behind the American public, the better.

As far as a market reaction, there wasn't one, as the tiresome "debate" raged on in the House until after markets were closed for the day, though there might be some hint of derision come Thursday after the bell.

Trading has been sluggish, which it usually is in the "lull" week before Christmas, which took a back seat to politics this year. There isn't much with which to move markets. Everybody seems to want to head out of town for the holidays, sooner, rather than later, and who can blame them?

At the Close, Wednesday, December 18, 2019:
Dow Jones Industrial Average: 28,239.28, -27.88 (-0.10%)
NASDAQ: 8,827.73, +4.38 (+0.05%)
S&P 500: 3,191.14, -1.38 (-0.04%)
NYSE Composite: 13,799.21, +3.86 (+0.03%)