Showing posts with label Nancy Pelosi. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Nancy Pelosi. Show all posts

Friday, February 7, 2020

Wuhan Flu Can't Stop Stocks; January Added 225,000 Jobs

Stocks made reasonable gains on Thursday in advance of the monthly non-farm payroll data released Friday prior to the market open.

The news was solid for US employment, as the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) reported 225,000 new jobs in the month of January, far outpacing expectations of 165,000.

Entering into the job market in January were 500,000 looking for work, though not all of them found it. The influx of new job seekers boosted the jobless rate to 3.6 percent, from a 50-year low of 3.5 percent in December.

On mainland China, both the death count and number of new cases of coronavirus, or Wuhan Flu, as it is now becoming known more colloquially, continued to rise, but the Chinese government announced that the number of people under observation was declining. This, according to Chinese officials, is an important turning point in efforts to control the spread of the virus. How well that prediction works out for the country of 1.2 billion people remains to be seen.

The roller coaster ride that has recently been Tesla stock abated, at least for a day, with shares of the electric car company settling around a price of $750 per unit. Whether that level proves to be support or resistance is another guessing game. Many are still short the stock, believing that the company is built largely on sand and promises, while rumors of a secondary offering continue to swirl.

President Trump lambasted his foes and praised his friends in a pair of very pubic appearances on Thursday, the day after the Senate voted overwhelmingly (2/3rds vote needed) in favor of acquittal from the charges of impeachment leveled against him by a partisan, Democrat-led House of Representatives. At a prayer breakfast, Trump had no kind words for Speaker of the House, Nancy Pelosi, nor Mitt Romney, the only Republican to cast a vote of guilty against him.

Later in the day, Trump assembled members of the House, Senate, his legal team and others, in a round of congratulations and thanks that lasted well over an hour. Singling out many of his political allies with stories and minutia, Trump laid the groundwork for what is likely to be a counter-attack against the Democrats who tried to have him removed from office and public life, setting the stage for a wide open election campaign that will hold nothing back.

Politics, like money, is a hardball business and the Trump team intends to use the best equipment and the best players to take it to the opposition in the fall.

At the Close, Thursday, February 6, 2020:
Dow Jones Industrial Average: 29,379.77, +88.92 (+0.30%)
NASDAQ: 9,572.15, +63.47 (+0.67%)
S&P 500: 3,345.78, +11.09 (+0.33%)
NYSE: 14,034.95, +10.09 (+0.07%)

Wednesday, February 5, 2020

Stocks Rock Higher, Look to Extend Rally on Coronavirus Treatments, Upbeat ADP Report

Tuesday's rally was the best since August of last year, as the spread of the coronavirus appeared to be centered in China and has not advanced with great intensity to the rest of the world. While the situation in China is still dire, with 494 deaths cumulative totaled worldwide as of Tuesday night, the number of cases reported outside of its epicenter appears to have been mostly contained. In the United States, confirmed cases is holding at 11, and the global total outside of China is just 216. That compares well to the number of confirmed cases inside China, at 24,391 and still growing.

There is a very good interactive map and graphical overview from John Hopkins, here.

Also encouraging is news on treatments for the disease on various fronts. Chinese researchers have applied for a patent to employ Gilead Science's Remdesivir as a treatment, which was used to treat the first US patient in Washington state in late January. The first known case of coronavirus in the US was treated with the drug and continues to recover.

In the US, the Department of Health and Human Services (HHS) is collaborating with Regeneron Pharmaceuticals on a coronavirus treatment.

These positive developments have driven stocks higher after a sudden collapse on the major indices last Friday.

Elsewhere, Nancy Pelosi, apparently still upset that Donald J. Trump is still president of the United States, tore up her copy of Trump's State of the Union speech, immediately after the president had delivered his positive message to the congress. Despite the hissy fit by Speaker of the House Pelosi, Mr. Trump's presidency appears to be sailing along nicely despite partisan Democrat attempts to derail it. The president is expected to be cleared of any wrongdoing on Wednesday at 4:00 pm ET, when the Senate will likely acquit him on impeachment charges brought by the House Democrats.

There was more good economic news prior to Wednesday's market open, as ADP reported January private sector job gains of 291,000, the largest upswing in four years.

Stock futures point to a positive open in New York.

At the Close, Tuesday, February 4, 2020:
Dow Jones Industrial Average: 28,807.63, +407.82 (+1.44%)
NASDAQ: 9,467.97, +194.57 (+2.10%)
S&P 500: 3,297.59, +48.67 (+1.50%)
NYSE: 13,862.84, +184.91 (+1.35%)

Thursday, January 2, 2020

2019 Is Done: Stocks Roared, Trump Still President in 2020

2019 is over, and aren't we all so happy.
Donald Trump with Brandi Brandt
on the cover of Playboy magazine, March 1990

By many measures, it was a somewhat unremarkable year, ending with odd and twisted political theater, courtesy of Speaker of the House, Nancy Pelosi, and her merry band of miscreants, led by congresspeople Adam Schiff and Gerald Nadler, chairmen of, respectively, Intelligence and Judiciary committees. In the case of Schiff, the obvious misappropriation of his ilk being somehow related to intelligence was as humorless as it was frightening.

What made Pelosi's gambit significant was not that she impeached a president, but that she impeached one Donald J. Trump, a populist president who apparently did nothing wrong other than defeat the chosen candidate of the left, Hillary Rodham Clinton, in the presidential race of 2016. Thus, three years a a few months hither, Trump is impeached on charges that are as vacuous and ephemeral as the open-and-closed-door hearings themselves: Abuse of Power and Obstruction of Congress, neither of which are codified as criminal acts, and almost assuredly do not rise to the level of "high crimes and misdemeanors" outlined in the US constitution. In the final analysis, Trump's real crime is being nearly universally hated by leading Democrat politicians, movie stars, and the establishment media.

But that was not all.

Pelosi and nearly all of her fellow Democrats in the House voted along strict party lines and then failed to name managers or send the articles of impeachment over to the Senate for a trial, also prescribed by the constitution, leaving the president, and the nation, in a state of suspended impeachment limbo. This final, futile, feckless act of desperation came after months of Pelosi claiming that Trump needed to be impeached as quickly as possible as he posed a grave, immediate threat to our nation's security.

That argument went right out a window high on the Capitol, along with the baby, the bathwater, the Green New Deal, and the electoral hopes of a plethora Democrat candidates for federal offices in November 2020, not the least of which were named Joe Biden, Elizabeth Warren, and Pete whatever-his-name-is, mayor of South Bend, Indiana.

The funny thing about Mayor Pete, incidentally, is not that he is openly gay (the priests running the University of Notre Dame are still trying to downplay his position), but that the mainstream media almost never mentions this salient fact. Maybe they think that since he looks straight, people will forget or simply overlook his sexual inclination.

That's a good one. The MSM continues to push their agenda, which recently has devolved into a convoluted collection of mistruths, untruths, hidden truths, innuendo, scare tactics, race-baiting, gender-bending, misinformation, disinformation, lies, statistics, more lies, omissions, Facebook posts, deleted Tweets, and Instagram memes, mostly consisting of accusations of President Trump strangling kittens, starting wars, ending wars, killing immigrant children, or otherwise undermining democracy.

It's so sad that it has become almost laughable, but not quite yet. The mainstream media is saving the laugh track stuff for the primaries and general election. Chuck Todd, moderator of NBC's Meet the Press thinks that he, his network, the New York Times and Washington Post more believable than the president. That's how deluded and delusional most of the apparatchik reporters, readers, reciters and anchors are, but none more than the non-journalist, Todd. The mainstream media gave birth to the malady known as TDS (Trump Derangement Syndrome) and they continue to feed it. They're like doctors prescribing amphetamines to meth heads.

2019 finished on a nearly comical note if not for the snarly seriousness of the matter. Attempting to remove a sitting president isn't something that should be undertaken without careful consideration of the consequences. Democrats have not done their homework and have put the American public under considerable stress, needing relief.

For the financial world, New Year's Eve was especially celebratory, with champagne toasts to a grand and glorious annum of outsize gains for stocks. The major indices - following the sudden and sharp declines of 2018's fourth quarter - posted gains as follows:


  • Dow: ended 2018 at 23,327.46; ended 2019 at 28,538.44; 22.34% gain
  • NASDAQ: ended 2018 at 6,635.28; ended 2019 at 8,972.60; 35.25% gain
  • S&P 500: ended 2018 at 2,506.85; ended 2019 at 3,230.78; 28.88% gain
  • NYSE Composite: ended 2018 at 11,374.39; ended 2019 at 13,913.03; 22.32% gain


Those are pretty good numbers.

Will they be repeated in 2020? Advance indications are that the bull market will continue, but, as every prospectus in the history of financial instruments and advisors purports, past performance is no guarantee of future results. Keep that in mind as the Fed will continue to keep flooding the market with liquidity until it decides to stop, which can happen at any time, without much notice.

Concern about the Fed changing its dovish, dulcet tune is not something on the minds of most investors heading into the new year. The Fed has shown itself to be accommodative at all times, no matter the circumstance, and they're likely to continue to be so. What used to be known as "applying the brakes" of an overheating economy by raising interest rates is not a probability in the coming year, as the economy shows about as much potential to overheat as a potato has to become an orange. It's not going to happen, and neither is a recession, because the Fed won't have that.

Precious metals also found bids. Gold posted a marvelous gain of 18.43%, rising from 1279.00 to 1514.75 over the course of 2019.

Silver was similarly impressive, going from 15.47 to 18.05 through the year for a profit of 16.68%.

To the dismay of consumers everywhere, WTI Crude Oil also experienced a rise in price, from 47.09 on January 3, 2019, to 61.68 on December 30, up 30.99%. That sent North American gas prices higher at the pump and elsewhere.

Prices for just about everything anybody would want or need were higher in 2019, by varying amounts. For that, we have the Fed, trade wars, tariffs, and greed to thank.

OK. 2020 is a thing. It's out of beta. Have at it.

At the Close, Tuesday, December 31, 2019:
Dow Jones Industrial Average: 28,538.44, +76.30 (+0.27%)
NASDAQ: 8,972.60, +26.61 (+0.30%)
S&P 500: 3,230.78, +9.49 (+0.29%)
NYSE Composite: 13,913.03, +36.88 (+0.27%)

Sunday, December 22, 2019

WEEKEND WRAP: The World Might End, But Nobody Would Care

There were two major events this week, but hardly anyone cared about them.

First, President Trump was impeached. Well, at least that's what the House Democrats and Nancy Pelosi like to think, though they haven't actually sent the articles of impeachment over to the Senate for a trial.

Second, all of the major indices in the US reached new all-time highs. Not only did most people not care - it's become a foregone conclusion that stocks will always go higher, just like house prices in 2004-2007 - most didn't even notice. After all, it's close to Christmas and everybody is busy shopping, cooking, preparing to give people things they don't need, purchased with money they shouldn't be spending.

As laid back as the week was, the heat went down here at Money Daily and we didn't publish on Thursday. It was chilly and we were preoccupied with getting our trusty backup propane heater up and running. We did, it's warmer now, but the main heating unit is shot and needs to be replaced. That is supposed to happen Monday.

Another item not making any headlines was the spiking of the treasury yield curve. During the week it steepened, with the 10-year note striking a yield of 1.92% on Wednesday and holding there through Friday. The short end of the curve is a bit inverted, with one-year bills yielding more than shorter durations, though not by much. The Fed probably has all of this under control. No need to elaborate or give a darn.

If you're reading this and don't care, not to worry. Nobody else gives a hoot either, apparently.

Probably, this is what happens when markets are rigged, the media lies constantly, and politicians act like a crazed bunch of monkeys released from the local zoo. People get used to things being FUBAR and just tune out.

An asteroid could whack the earth and throw it off its axis, destroying most life on the planet and nobody would think twice about how horrible an end that would be. The remaining people would probably try to go to work the next day or turn on the TV and watch a blank screen, thinking that it's improved over what used to be broadcast.

And stocks would be up.

At the Close, Friday, December 20, 2019:
Dow Jones Industrial Average: 28,455.09, +78.13 (+0.28%)
NASDAQ: 8,924.96, +37.74 (+0.42%)
S&P 500: 3,221.22, +15.85 (+0.49%)
NYSE Composite: 13,889.25, +57.58 (+0.42%)

For the Week:
Dow: +319.71 (+1.14%)
NASDAQ: +190.08 (+2.18%)
S&P 500: +52.42 (+1.65%)
NYSE Composite: +191.91 (+1.40%)

Thursday, December 19, 2019

Despicable Democrats Impeach President Trump, Who Will Be Cleared By The Senate

Well, they've gone and done it.

The Democrat-controlled House of Representatives has voted - completely along party lines - to approve articles of impeachment, which at some point will go to the Senate, where President Donald J. Trump will almost certainly be acquitted in what figures to be a very short trial, with few witnesses, if any.

The reason the trial will be of small duration is because the Democrats, via Adam Schiff's Intelligence Committee, and Jerry Nadler's Judiciary Committee, have already ginned up enough "evidence" of Mr. Trump's supposed "Abuse of Power" and "Obstruction of Congress," that the senators don't really need to see or hear anything else. What they have before them is so flimsy, devoid of substance, and charges the president with actions that are not even crimes, that they will hopefully turn the matter out in a few days. Anything longer-lasting will be just more mud-slinging at a president who has done nothing wrong, certainly nothing even remotely impeachable.

Wednesday, December 18, 2019, was a sad day for the rule of law in the United States of America. The Democrats, led by Speaker of the House Nancy Pelosi, have foisted upon the public a shameless exercise in partisan witch-baiting. The mainstream media deserves just as much public rancor as the House Democrats for not calling these partisan hacks out on their theatrics. This impeachment exercise has been and will continue to be a complete and utter waste of everybody's time. It will accomplish nothing, except possibly to finally rid the lower chamber of congress of the Democrat majority. In that regard, December 18 may end up going down in the history books of a glorious great day of change and retribution, dashing the Democrats into the dustbin of history.

Whatever one's politics, this impeachment fiasco never rose near to seriousness. It was always a goose-chase, a farcical enterprise foisted upon the public by rank amateurs who had nothing better to do with their times in office than to take out their frustrations in a most despicable manner. The Democrats may want to brand Republican supporters as "deplorables," but these cretins masquerading as respectable representatives of the public weal, are truly disgraceful. The sooner this all gets behind the American public, the better.

As far as a market reaction, there wasn't one, as the tiresome "debate" raged on in the House until after markets were closed for the day, though there might be some hint of derision come Thursday after the bell.

Trading has been sluggish, which it usually is in the "lull" week before Christmas, which took a back seat to politics this year. There isn't much with which to move markets. Everybody seems to want to head out of town for the holidays, sooner, rather than later, and who can blame them?

At the Close, Wednesday, December 18, 2019:
Dow Jones Industrial Average: 28,239.28, -27.88 (-0.10%)
NASDAQ: 8,827.73, +4.38 (+0.05%)
S&P 500: 3,191.14, -1.38 (-0.04%)
NYSE Composite: 13,799.21, +3.86 (+0.03%)

Tuesday, October 1, 2019

Investors Unconcerned Over Impeachment, Recession

As end-of-quarter trading sessions go, this one was quite on the tame side.

Sure enough, funds bought up some of the most-favored names as "window dressing" for clients, present and future, pleasure. It's an age old tactic to garner new business. "Look what we have," is how funds tout their portfolios to prospective investors, since there are no regulations prohibiting such misleading behavior.

Nonetheless, the practice is commonplace, but less and less significant as consumers become more aware of some Wall Street tactics.

Otherwise, most of the buzz on Monday was over the ongoing impeachment coup against President Trump being conducted in the House of Representatives. The Democrats are using unnamed sources in second-hand, hearsay-colored, whistleblower complaints as their latest weapon against the president.

House Speaker Nancy Pelosi also changed House rules back in December to allow committee members to take depositions from interviewees and people subpoenaed without minority (Republican) representation, which is why the Democrats are working swiftly to take statements while they are actually in recess. Clearing out the opposition is a truly underhanded tactic, not worthy of the US congress, though the Democrat party has apparently now sunk to new levels of sleaziness. More on all of this in an article authored by Raul Ilargi Meijer via The Automatic Earth blog.

Much of what's occurring in DC is apparent to the sharpest minds on Wall Street, and there's certain to be monitoring of events as the happen. Taking wall Street's apparent unconcerned posture as a clue, there's likely less than a 10 percent chance of the Democrats succeeding in impeaching President Trump. Their narrative is weak, not all members of the party are in agreement with approach and, further, if the House actually voted to impeach, a trial would have to be held in the Senate, where a 2/3rds vote is needed to convict and that is highly unlikely, given that Republicans are in the majority.

The weeks ahead will surely be replete with accusations and arguments about the president's "unfitness." A spirited counter-attack from the administration is also expected, and that should be a spectacle to behold.

Wall Street seems confident that the tremors in Washington, DC will not result in a political earthquake. While a positive outcome from their proceedings is far from assured, it is probably best to keep a level head, understanding that much of what the House Democrats are calling "crimes" are actually the president investigating the root causes of the non-stop witch hunt against him.

At the Close, Monday, September 30, 2019:
Dow Jones Industrial Average: 26,916.83, +96.58 (+0.36%)
NASDAQ: 7,999.34, +59.71 (+0.75%)
S&P 500: 2,976.74, +14.95 (+0.50%)
NYSE Composite: 13,004.74, +32.76 (+0.25%)

Wednesday, September 25, 2019

Impeachment of President Trump Is Irresponsible and a Vile Attack by Desperate Democrats

Markets were roiled throughout the session on Tuesday, as the Fed continued overnight repo operations, Europe appeared headed for a recession, and, late in the day, Speaker of the House, Nancy Pelosi, announced an impeachment enquiry would commence against President Donald J. Trump, ostensibly for comments (or, promises, as Democrats allege) made during a telephone call to the president of Ukraine.

Sadly, the Democrats in the House (and, loosely, the Senate) have lost all hope of winning the presidential election in 2020, so they've resorted to the most vile political weapon available and are willing to drag the citizens of the United States through an arduous and ridiculous process that in the end will yield nothing.

The Democrats have no crime to pin on President Trump. Rather, they see no chance of beating him in the upcoming election, so, being as desperate for power as they are, seem willing to abandon all sense of propriety and decency.

For his part, President Trump had already agreed to make the entire, unredacted transcript of the phone call in question prior to Pelosi's announcement. It's apparent to most legal scholars - and apparently to Wall Street investors - that the president has done nothing wrong and that the impeachment call is merely another step away from responsibility by the Democrat party, continuing a vendetta against Trump which began on election eve, 2016, when he defeated their darling, Hillary Clinton, in the presidential election.

Wall Streeters understand well that more turmoil from Washington, DC is unwarranted, unnecessary, and potentially disruptive to markets. Whatever President Trump has done during his nearly three years in office, he certainly has not undermined American business interests. For the most part, he's battled the fake Russia-gate hoax investigation, and this is being viewed by interested parties as a continuation of Democrat hatred of the president.

What may be even worse than launching an impeachment enquiry on flimsy grounds is that the Democrats currently do not have enough votes to pass the impeachment onto the senate. A simple majority is needed for referral to the senate for a trial, but, while the Democrats do have a majority, they may not have the full support of their members.

Thus, unless charges against President Trump are solid and can show intent and criminality, House Democrats may have bitten off more than they can chew. It's nowhere near certain that any evidence will be enough to indict the president and charge him with a crime. It's even less clear that moderate Democrats will support the effort.

In the end, the president is likely to run roughshod over the Democrat haters in congress, as he did with the Mueller investigation, now relegated to ancient history. As Bill Clinton famously said during his impeachment hearings, "there's no there there."

Impeachment is an issue that should be taken with the utmost seriousness and only be entertained in the interest of the American citizenry. There is not one shred of evidence that President Trump is anything but a true patriot, an honorable American, doing his best - against violent opposition by the democrats and the press - to serve the American people.

Pelosi's green-lighting of an impeachment investigation is both irresponsible and likely to fail.

And it should.

At the Close, Tuesday, September 24, 2019:
Dow Jones Industrial Average: 26,807.77, -142.22 (-0.53%)
NASDAQ: 7,993.63, -118.83 (-1.46%)
S&P 500: 2,966.60, -25.18 (-0.84%)
NYSE Composite: 12,992.26, -93.07 (-0.71%)

Tuesday, May 16, 2017

Political Theater Weakening The Dollar; Silver, Gold Up

After setting new record all-time highs (again, and again, and again) yesterday, core investors in the S&P 500 took a back seat to the NASDAQ nutcases who pushed the index to another record close.

While this is beginning to be reminiscent of the 1999-2000 tech bubble and bust, we're still in the bubble stage, so hang on to whatever you're not trading. If you must, get some protection in cheap NASDAQ put options to protect your position.

In case you're not invested in stocks or are more interested in baseball, the NBA playoffs or the current political circus in Washington, a close eye on the dollar index might be a suggested tonic, which goes well with either gin or vodka.

Wiht the dollar index down, gold and silver registered nice gains on the day, but, as soon as the crooked dealers at the COMEX get wind of it, that will change. Gold and silver bugs keep hoping that the current fiat system implodes, which would likely enrich them, though that's an old conclusion not necessarily in order these days.

Taking close to a one percent hit on the day (could it possibly be because even Republicans are now openly in opposition to President Trump, along with the requisite fake outrage from Democrats?) the political climate in Washington is beginning to sour experienced traders and geo-political watchers, mostly because it doesn't take a break. The opposition to the current sitting president is outrageous and loud, and the fear is that something is going to break, if not the President's tweeting pattern, then maybe blood vessels on house minority leader Nancy Pelosi's forehead.

Then again, majority leader Paul Ryan's sound bites on the "Trump gave Russia top secret info" fake news has to make one wonder just what the deep state has on him. He looks like a square guy, but he acts like a Democrat, unless, of course, Trump pushes through a healthcare reform bill or something along those lines. Then he's all glad-handing and giddy. The guy has no political future, and, unless the press and the Democrats begin conducting themselves in more decorous manners, neither does the country.

At the Close, 5/16/17:
Dow: 20,979.75, -2.19 (-0.01%)
NASDAQ: 6,169.87, +20.20 (0.33%)
S&P 500: 2,400.67, -1.65 (-0.07%)
NYSE Composite: 11,606.49, -7.75 (-0.07%)

Tuesday, September 3, 2013

Boehner, Pelosi Side with O'Bomber, Tank Markets

This past Friday, nearly the entire civilized world believed that US bombs would be falling on Syria over the weekend.

Abruptly, n Saturday, the president, in a true CYA moment, decided to get authorization from congress, which, according to our constitution (remember, we still have one, if in name only), is a necessity in order to attack any entity that does not pose a serious, immediate threat to the nation, and Syria easily qualifies.

With the congress winding down its month-long vacation (somebody remind us why are we paying them), a vote on the matter of whether or not to use offensive weapons against Syria couldn't occur much before September 9, the date upon which congress will officially resume to be in session. Thus, the inevitable bombing and unofficial start to World War III would have to wait.

On Tuesday, the house leadership of both parties - Nancy Peolosi and John Boehner - were back on the Hill, each making statements in support of the Bomber-in-Chief's proposal to use force against Syria.

So, if one is to believe in what the tea-leaves tell us, the president will get his authorization, despite some grandstanding by Tea Party members on the right and anti-war types on the left. Never mind that only nine percent of Americans support any kind of military action against Syria. The one-party rulers in Washington will have their way and theirs is the way of war.

Wall Street didn't take the news kindly. Up sharply early on, thinking that maybe, possibly, congress would not give the president the green light, markets did an about-face after the Boehner/Pelosi comments and stayed down for the remainder of the session. Everybody put away their "Dow 15,000!" hats and got back to thinking about how spiked oil and gas prices might negatively affect the economy, how bombing a nation essentially tearing itself apart in a civil war would benefit US interests, and how this might weigh on decisions surrounding the budget, the debt ceiling and whether the Fed would taper its bond-buying at its next meeting (Sept. 17-18).

With that, traders wiped 100 points off the Dow, albeit on volume that was hardly indicative of a back-to-work mentality. Come to think of it, since Obamacare is making work in America largely a part-time experience, maybe lower volume and shorter trading sessions might be just the ticket.

Dow 14,833.96, +23.65 (0.16%)
NASDAQ 3,612.61, +22.74 (0.63%)
S&P 500 1,639.77, +6.80 (0.42%)
NYSE Composite 9,333.50, +62.84 (0.68%)
NASDAQ Volume 1,568,192,750.00
NYSE Volume 4,111,344,250
Combined NYSE & NASDAQ Advance - Decline: 4025-2691
Combined NYSE & NASDAQ New highs - New lows: 130-89
WTI crude oil: 108.54, +0.89
Gold: 1,412.00, +15.90
Silver: 24.43, +0.916

Thursday, November 29, 2012

Wall Street to Washington, the Clown Show Continues

OK, it's finally gotten officially stupid to invest any money at all in stocks, though judging by the massive outflows from stock-related mutual funds to bond funds, it seems that may be preaching to the choir as far as retail investors are concerned.

Today saw more ridiculous posturing and pontification by various US public office-holders, first by House Speaker John Boehner (who seems to relish in the publicity and his new-found super-power, capable of moving stock indices with a single phrase) who, after meeting with the president's chief negotiator - Treasury Secretary Timothy Geithner - said that there had been no substantive progress on the fiscal cliff issues in two weeks (no kidding!) and that the president needs to put his cards on the table.

Apparently, Geithner is stone-walling for Obama, insisting on allowing the Bush tax cuts to expire on the wealthiest taxpayers - those earning over $250,000 - while allowing them to remain in place for everyone else, but Boehner is likely still insisting on concrete spending cuts. Both have good ideas, though the probability of a realistic compromise appears to be still a ways off.

So, Boehner steps to the microphone a few minutes after 11:30 am ET, says a few words and the Dow loses 50 points in about a minute. A little while later, Senate Leader Harry Reid takes his turn and stocks recover a bit. Maybe Harry has a gentler touch? But stocks went up even more when NY Senator Chuck (I represent Israel) Schumer took to the podium and said a deal was almost a certainty by Christmas, once again, overstating the obvious. Senator Schumer probably had an options straddle working, needed a few extra points on the SPY and he got them.

Nancy Pelosi threatened to speak nearing the close, but held off until after the final bell. Apparently, Mrs. Pelosi plays the futures markets. It's all so absurd, the great Saul Bellow could not have penned a more abstract, obtuse script.

Other than the fiscal cliff bad theater, existing home sales in October were reported to have increased by 5.2% percent over the previous month, third quarter GDP was revised upward from 2.0% to 2.7%, which the market had expected, though most of the gains came from government spending, inventory additions and hedonic adjustments.

Retail Sales for November were reported by a number of chain stores, showing an overall gain of 1.7%, well below the happy forecast of a 4-5% jump. Naturally, Hurricane Sandy was blamed for much of the shortfall, though actual sales declines at Kohl's (down 5.6%), Macy's and Nordstom's were more likely due to a combination of competition, poor marketing and overall sluggish demand by consumers, who can only buy so many 42-inch flat screens, iPods and clothes on limited budgets.

Also, this graphic caught some attention. It shows how former Goldman Sachs executives are now the central bankers of most of Europe. No wonder they're doing so well over there.

Gold was up sharply, as was oil and silver, a day after being belted down by unseen forces. Silver, in particular, is at a two-month high, and looks like its about to break out, though that's been said and seen before, with no follow-through, thanks to the suppressive work constantly being done at JP Morgan.

The big tent will open for the circus promptly at 9:30 am ET tomorrow.

Dow 13,021.82, +36.71 (0.28%)
NASDAQ 3,012.03, +20.25 (0.68%)
S&P 500 1,415.95, +6.02 (0.43%)
NYSE Composite, 8,256.07, +48.71 (0.59%)
NASDAQ Volume 1,758,355,875.00
NYSE Volume 3,337,720,000
Combined NYSE & NASDAQ Advance - Decline: 3963-1531
Combined NYSE & NASDAQ New highs - New lows: 233-30
WTI crude oil: 88.07, +1.58
Gold: 1,727.20, +10.70
Silver: 34.35, +0.664