Monday, January 30, 2012

Paying Bills


This guest post from Lewis Beck

I have started paying all of my bills online. It is so much easier and it keeps me more organized. I used to have a stack of bills that came in the mail and I would have to use several stamps and mail each bill back. Sometimes, if I was out of stamps, I would end up mailing my bills back late because I would forget to go buy more stamps. If my bills were late, I would be charged a late fee. When I pay bills online can do it immediately and I do not have to worry about if the bill is going to be late. I also just get an email when the bill is due, so I do not have to worry about getting so much mail that just sits on my counter. I do not have to worry about late fees or stamps. It is so much easier to pay my bills online. I am so glad that I have Satelite Internet Oregon. It has made my life much less complicated and I do not know what I would do without the internet.

Friday, January 27, 2012

4th Quarter GDP Up 2.8%; 1.9% from Inventory Build; Checklist for Peace and Prosperity

US markets opened the day with news that the first estimate of 4th quarter 2011 GDP came in at 2.8%, a tad shy of the 3.0% (and many higher) estimates from the punditry. That bit of reality got stocks off to a ragged start and the choppiness continued throughout the day with the NASDAQ the only positive index for the bulk of the session.

The saddest part of the GDP breakout was that 1.9% of the 2.8% gain came from inventory build, which, as experienced in years past, will be quickly pushed out the door in the first quarter of 2012 and not fully replaced. That sets up an extraordinary condition through the first quarter: that of teetering on the brink of GDP contraction. Everyone is aware of the situation, which is why trading volumes have been so weak and stocks now being used as short-term bets rather than investments.

Still, the always-bullish crowd on Wall Street still, according to the January Barometer, believes there are better days ahead. That is until the bad days come, which they surely will. The aforementioned barometer is an old adage that purports that market direction, as dictated by the change in the month of January, will remain the same throughout the year. Last year, January was strong, just as this year, but we ended the year flat, and, after April, and especially after July, it was mostly downhill, so, take the sage guidance of the January Barometer with as many grains of salt as your risk appetite will allow.

Full year 2011 GDP was a grand 1.575%. And that's probably a stretch.

Muddle, muddle, toil and trouble,

Huddle, huddle, masses under the bubble.

America's economy is not growing and that's a good thing, though only for selected groups, like those who have seen it coming all along, nascent Nihilists and, of course, those at the top of the food chain (damn bankers).

Finally, here's my checklist for peace and prosperity in one's life:
  • Paid for (free and clear) house to live in
  • Nice stacks of Precious Metals Guns & ammo Food in storage Garden Plenty of cash for six months expenses Solid understanding of the situation Don't give a rat's behind about upcoming elections Severe, deep-seated hatred of banks and government A business that keeps churning cash Clear conscience
Options include, sex slave, big dog to scare potential intruders, smokes (all kinds), liquor (you'll need it), home-brewing, wine-making or still (best of all worlds, all three), neighbors who may not fully comprehend the situ, but still are not a-holes, working computer(s). A nice collection of good books is always recommended.

Note that anything I-related, phone, pad, whatever, are not even optional. They're just future junk.

Since anybody who reads this blog is probably a notch or four above the teeming masses, we, as a group, should be exceptionally pleased that the system hasn't gone full retard into the eventual collapse, yet. Gives us more time to prepare for Armageddon, should it come, though we will be best prepared to fight off the zombies.

My advice: stick to your plan and work it. Hard. Tell those who think you're nuts (98% of population) to F-off. Fight like a gladiator for every penny and never lose faith in your own unique human ability, which knows only the limits you put on it.

Life is good and getting better for those who are prepared. The heck with the rest of the idiots.

Finally, two ideas in just four short words to mull over the weekend: Ron Paul. Short Google.

Dow 12,660.46, -74.17 (0.58%)
NASDAQ 2,816.55, +11.27 (0.40%)
S&P 500 1,316.32, -2.11 (0.16%)
NYSE Composite 7,876.60, -7.30 (0.09%)
NASDAQ Volume 1,685,430,875
NYSE Volume 3,822,956,000
Combined NYSE & NASDAQ Advance - Decline: 3540-1981
Combined NYSE & NASDAQ New highs - New lows: 235-18 (still extreme, but stalling out)
WTI crude oil: 99.56, -0.14
Gold: 1,732.20, +5.50
Silver: 33.79, +0.05

Thursday, January 26, 2012

Welcome to the Age of Financial Repression; Markets Fall, Metals Gain

This was truly a strange day in US equity markets. On the heels of Wednesday's Fed announcement that the federal funds rate would stay at 0-0.25% until the latter part of 2014 (read: as long as we need ZIRP to keep the economy from collapse) and blow-out earnings from Caterpillar (CAT), stocks opened sharply higher, but then nose-dived right at 10:00 am, after the Commerce Dept. reported that new home sales in December fell by 2.2%, to an annualized rate of 307,000. Additionally, the median price of a new house purchased last month declined 12.8% from a year ago. 2010 now stands complete as the worst year for new home sales since records began being kept in 1963.

On top of the earlier-reported initial unemployment claims spiking back up to 377,000 from an upwardly-revised 356,000 last week, not even the hope of endless largesse from the Federal Reserve could keep stocks in positive territory. All major indices ended in the red. By contrast, gold and silver posted solid gains.

A term one won't be hearing much on mainstream media is "financial repression," and if it sounds harsh, it's because it is, and it is the reality of much of today's economic world.

Here's a definition of Financial Repression from Investopedia:
A term that describes measures by which governments channel funds to themselves as a form of debt reduction. This concept was introduced in 1973 by Stanford economists Edward S. Shaw and Ronald I. McKinnon. Financial repression can include such measures as directed lending to the government, caps on interest rates, regulation of capital movement between countries and a tighter association between government and banks. The term was initially used in response to the emerging market financial systems during the 1960s, '70s and '80s.

Bingo. Another term for the collusion of business and government is fascism.

Welcome to the new world order. For a glimpse of who and what are destroying the value of capital and thus, your money, just take some time to view the goings-on at the World Economic Forum in Davos, Switzerland. Surely, George Soros, Mark Zuckerman, Jamie Dimon and a gaggle of billionaires have the worming men and women of the world's best interests at heart.

Dow 12,734.63, -22.33 (0.18%)
NASDAQ 2,805.28, -13.03 (0.46%)
S&P 500 1,318.43, -7.62 (0.57%)
NYSE Composite 7,883.90, -30.91 (0.39%)
NASDAQ Volume 2,061,939,750
NYSE Volume 4,521,722,000
Combined NYSE & NASDAQ Advance - Decline: 2651-2944
Combined NYSE & NASDAQ New highs - New lows: 332-21 (very extreme)
WTI crude oil: 99.70, +0.30
Gold: 1,726.70, +26.60
Silver: 33.74, +0.62