Once more, the NASDAQ led all indices in percentage terms, chalking up a two percent gain for the final week in August. The Dow finished up August with a second consecutive monthly gain (+557.29), though it was less than half of July's rise (+1143.78).
Despite two straight losing sessions, the Dow stands just 650 points away from the record.
The strategy being forwarded by the Trump administration has great appeal on Wall Street, as the summer saw many positive gains across all sectors despite efforts by the media to ignore or downplay the president's accomplishments Pointing up potential drawbacks from proposed and enacted tariffs on imports and negotiated trade deals with Mexico and Canada, the left-leaning TV and big-city newspaper media continue a vain attempt to discredit the election of Trump in 2016 via ongoing harassment by the fake Mueller investigation and countless talking heads from former administrations taking every opportunity to trash-talk the current occupant of the White House.
Thus, while the media and proponents of the left side of the political aisle promulgate a false narrative, Donald Trump and his team are actually moving forward on bold economic plans, rescuing America from over a decade of stagnation and building for a better future.
Official and unofficial sources confirm that the two-pronged assault via media and political character assassination are being called into question by US citizens. Seeing bigger paychecks, job openings everywhere and a dramatic decline in Washington war-mongering, the general public simply is not buying with the media, Democrats, and political shills are selling.
With the three-day Labor Day weekend marking an unofficial close to summer, many professional traders will be getting back to serious work approaching the next FOMC meeting (September 25-26). It's accepted that the policy meeting will produce another 25 basis point increase in the target federal funds rate, boosting it to 2.00-2.25%. The effective rate as of July was 1.91%. There is s normal lag between the target and effective rate of a few days or weeks on the lower end. Currently, the effective rate has been rising between the 1.75% and 2.00% target rate set in June.
Two big items on the Fed radar are inflation and the dollar. Having targeted two percent inflation as desirable, official data shows a slow but steady rise, approaching or even exceeding the goal. The strong dollar, however, is acting as a counterweight not only to inflation but to tariffs, the rising dollar able to purchase more foreign goods for the same amount of money.
The strong dollar, rising interest rates, and positive data on the US economy (4.2% GDP growth in the second quarter) offer the additional benefit of making the US the best place to invest, either in equities (growth) or fixed income (stability).
With one month remaining in the third quarter, the US economy engine seems to be operating on all cylinders. Any slowdown, even as predicted by a potential inverted yield curve, is still expected to be at least six months to over a year away. With that kind of time horizon, there's little concern on Wall Street over even the most expensive stocks, such as the FAANGs (Facebook (FB), Apple (AAPL), Amazon (AMZN), Netflix (NFLX), and Google (GOOG) (Alphabet)), which continue to guide the NASDAQ to new highs.
Such strong speculative conditions should persist past the FOMC meeting into the fourth quarter. More than a few analysts had predicted a weaker second half of 2018, though those forecasts are likely to be tossed upon the scrapheap of financial history.
Donald Trump's "Make America Great Again" jingo is sounding like sweet music to the ears of investors, a condition unlikely to change any time soon.
Dow Jones Industrial Average August Scorecard:
| Date | Close | Gain/Loss | Cum. G/L |
| 8/1/18 | 25,333.82 | -81.37 | -81.37 |
| 8/2/18 | 25,326.16 | -7.66 | -89.03 |
| 8/3/18 | 25,462.58 | +136.42 | +55.05 |
| 8/6/18 | 25,502.18 | +39.60 | +94.65 |
| 8/7/18 | 25,628.91 | +126.73 | +221.38 |
| 8/8/18 | 25,583.75 | -45.16 | +176.22 |
| 8/9/18 | 25,509.23 | -74.52 | +101.70 |
| 8/10/18 | 25,313.14 | -196.09 | -94.39 |
| 8/13/18 | 25,187.70 | -125.44 | -219.83 |
| 8/14/18 | 25,299.92 | +112.22 | -107.61 |
| 8/15/18 | 25,162.41 | -137.51 | -245.12 |
| 8/16/18 | 25,558.73 | +396.32 | +151.20 |
| 8/17/18 | 25,669.32 | +110.59 | +261.79 |
| 8/20/18 | 25,758.69 | +89.37 | +351.16 |
| 8/21/18 | 25,822.29 | +63.60 | +414.76 |
| 8/22/18 | 25,733.60 | -88.69 | +326.07 |
| 8/23/18 | 25,656.98 | -76.62 | +249.45 |
| 8/24/18 | 25,790.35 | +133.37 | +382.82 |
| 8/27/18 | 26,049.64 | +259.29 | +642.11 |
| 8/28/18 | 26,064.02 | +14.38 | +656.49 |
| 8/29/18 | 26,124.57 | +60.55 | +717.04 |
| 8/30/18 | 25,986.92 | -137.65 | +579.39 |
| 8/31/18 | 25,964.82 | -22.10 | +557.29 |
At the Close, Friday, August 31, 2018:
Dow Jones Industrial Average: 25,964.82, -22.10 (-0.09%)
NASDAQ: 8,109.537, +21.174 (+0.26%)
S&P 500: 2,901.52, +0.39 (+0.01%)
NYSE Composite: 13,016.89, -23.04 (-0.18%)
For the Week:
Dow: +174.47 (+0.68%)
NASDAQ: +163.56 (2.06%)
S&P 500: +26.83 (+0.93%)
NYSE Composite: +17.45 (+0.13%)
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