Friday, October 19, 2018

Stocks Can't Gain Traction; Tech, Industrials Lead Broad Decline

Continuing the stock rout that began in earnest two weeks ago became deeper and more pronounced on Thursday as broad declines sent speculators scurrying for cover.

The Dow Jones Industrial Average recorded its fifth triple-digit loss of the month and its eighth losing session in 14 trading days this month. The index is down nearly 1500 points from the all-time high reached at the close on October 3rd (26.828.39). If this isn't the beginning of a serious correction or bear market, it certainly looks like one.

Only five of the 30 Dow stocks managed gains, led by Verizon (VZ, 54.65, +0.69, +1.28%). Exxon Mobil and Chevron were also among the few winners, despite another day of declines in oil futures, which slumped below $69/barrel for the first time in a month. Mirroring the decline in stocks, WTI crude futures peaked on October 3rd at 76.20, but it's been all downhill since.

Caterpillar (CAT) was the Dow's biggest loser, dragged down nearly four percent on poor results from industry peers. CAT is off nearly 15% since October 3rd.

The other major indices suffered more serious losses, with the NASDAQ leading the way down, losing 157 points, more than a two percent drop. Once again, tech stocks dominated those losing ground, with Netflix, Google, Apple, and Tesla all declining by more than two percent.

There seems to be no escaping the cascade of falling stocks in October, traditionally one of the most volatile months for equities. No sector is particularly a safe haven, though utility stocks have largely been spared, thanks to low alpha and steady dividends.

The Dow needs only to finish Friday with a loss of 39 points or better to avoid a fourth straight weekly decline. A solid close to the week would also allow the S&P and NASDAQ to close out the week with gains, thanks to Tuesday's melt-up advance. However, stocks in Europe are losing ground in early Friday trading.

Dow Jones Industrial Average October Scorecard:

Date Close Gain/Loss Cum. G/L
10/1/18 26,651.21 +192.90 +192.90
10/2/18 26,773.94 +122.73 +315.63
10/3/18 26,828.39 +54.45 +370.08
10/4/18 26,627.48 -200.91 +169.17
10/5/18 26,447.05 -180.43 -11.26
10/8/18 26,486.78 +39.73 +28.47
10/9/18 26,430.57 -56.21 -27.74
10/10/18 25,598.74 -831.83 -859.57
10/11/18 25,052.83 -545.91 -1405.48
10/12/18 25,339.99 +287.16 -1118.32
10/15/18 25,250.55 -89.44 -1207.76
10/16/18 25,798.42 +547.87 -659.89
10/17/18 25,706.68 -91.74 -751.63
10/18/18 25,379.45 -327.23 -1078.86

At the Close, Thursday, October 18, 2018:
Dow Jones Industrial Average: 25,379.45, -327.23 (-1.27%)
NASDAQ: 7,485.14, -157.56 (-2.06%)
S&P 500: 2,768.78, -40.43 (-1.44%)
NYSE Composite: 12,445.48, -167.57 (-1.33%)

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